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Case Prediction in BPM Systems : A Research Challenge  

Reijers, Hajo A. (Technische Universiteit Eindhoven, Department of Technology Management)
Publication Information
Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers / v.33, no.1, 2007 , pp. 1-10 More about this Journal
Abstract
The capabilities ofBusiness Process Management Systems (BPMS's) are continuously extended to increase theeffectiveness of the management and enactment of business processes. This paper identifies the challenge ofcase prediction, which for a specific case under the control of a BPMS deals with the estimation of the remaining time until it is completed. An accurate case prediction facility is a valuable tool for the operationalcontrol of business processes, as it enables the pre-active monitoring of time violations. Little research has beencarried out in this area and few commercial tools support case prediction. This paper lists the requirements onsuch a facility and sketches sonae directions to reach a solution. To illustrate the depth of the problem, a smallaspect of the problem is treated in more detail. It involves the complex relations between tasks and resources inbusiness processes, which makes an exact analytical approach mfeasible.
Keywords
Business Process Management; Workflow Management; Case Prediction; Analysis Techniques;
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