• 제목/요약/키워드: Predicted normal value

검색결과 78건 처리시간 0.026초

광역규모 예측인자를 이용한 한반도 계절 강수량의 장기 예측 (Long-term Forecast of Seasonal Precipitation in Korea using the Large-scale Predictors)

  • 김화수;곽종흠;소선섭;서명석;박정규;김맹기
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제23권7호
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    • pp.587-596
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    • 2002
  • 경험적 직교함수(EOF)분석법과 다중회귀법에 기초하여 지연상관된 광역규모 예측인자로부터 3개월 이전에 계절 강수량을 예측할 수 있는 슈퍼앙상블 모델이 개발되었다. 이 모델의 예측성이 교차검증법에 의해 평가되었다. 관측값과 예측값사이의 상관계수는 봄철에 0.73, 여름철에 0.61, 가을철에 0.69, 겨울철에 0.75로 나타났다. 이러한 값은 유의수준 ${\alpha}$=0.00에서 유의한 값이다. 수퍼 앙상블 방법의 범주형 예측성이 3개 범주로 나누어진 사례에 대해서 평가되었다. 3개 범주는 계절 누적강수량의 상위 33.3%를 과우해, 하위 33.3%를 소우해, 그 나머지를 평년해로 구분하였다. 범주형 예측의 적중률은 계절에 따라 42%에서 74%로 나타났다.

신계허약아 진단을 위한 절단값 산정 연구-신장, 체중, 골연령을 기준으로 (Cut-off Values for Diagnosing Kidney Weak Children using Height, Body Weight, Bone Age)

  • 김태환;서혜선;도태윤;이선행;이진용
    • 대한한방소아과학회지
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    • 제37권4호
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2023
  • Objectives This study aimed to evaluate the correlation between pediatric weakness scale scores and growth indices. Furthermore, we intended to calculate the cut-off values for diagnosing Kidney Weak Children through growth indices. Methods A total of 193 patients, aged 6 - 12 years, underwent both the pediatric weakness scale and bone age assessment, and the correlations between the pediatric weakness scale and growth indices were analyzed. Moreover, the cut-off values for diagnosing Kidney Weak Children were calculated. Differences in bone age and predicted height between the normal group and Kidney Weak Children, classified according to the calculated cut-off values, were analyzed. Results The weakness of the Shin or kidney system was significantly correlated with the height percentile, weight percentile, differences in current height percentile and mid parental height percentile, differences in predicted height and mid parental height, and differences in bone age and chronological age. When the criteria for diagnosing Kidney Weak Children is set at "height percentile of ≤25% and weight percentile of ≤25%", the sensitivity and specificity of the cut-off value were maximized. The cut-off values for weakness of the Shin or kidney system were 9 in children aged 6 - 9 years and 10 in children aged 10 - 12 years. Conclusions To diagnose Kidney Weak Children, the cut-off values of weakness of the Shin or kidney system were 9 in children aged 6 - 9 years and 10 in children aged 10 - 12 years.

로이유리의 전도성 금속박막을 이용한 발열유리 제작에 관한 연구 (A study on the fabrication of heatable glass using conductive metal thin film on Low-e glass)

  • 오재곤
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.105-112
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    • 2018
  • 본 논문은 로이유리(Low emissivity glass) 표면에 증착되어 있는 금속박막의 전도 특성을 이용하여 발열유리(Heatable glass)를 제작하는 방법에 대해 제안한다. 로이유리의 발열량은 로이유리 표면저항에 의한 주울(Joule) 열에 의존하므로 소재의 표면저항을 측정함으로써 예측 및 설계가 가능하다. 본 연구에서는 저방사층이 11nm인 소프트로이유리 시료에 각 50mm 간격으로 은(Ag) 전극을 형성시키고, 4단자법으로 면저항을 측정하여 로이유리의 소비전력과 발열량을 예측한 후에, 제작 및 실험을 통해 발열성능을 확인하였다. 기존의 발열유리 제작방법은 크게 두 가지로 일반유리(Normal glass)에 니크롬(Nichrome) 열선을 삽입하는 방법과, 일반유리에 전도성 투명박막을 증착하는 방법이 있다. 니크롬 열선 삽입 방식은 발열성능은 우수하나 유리 고유의 투명성을 저해하고, 전도성 투명박막을 증착하는 방법은 투명성은 양호하나 공정이 복잡하여 실용성이 저하된다. 본 논문에서는 주로 건축물의 단열효과 향상을 위해 사용되는 로이유리를 이용하여 로이유리 전면에 코팅되어 있는 전도성 금속박막에 레이저 빔을 조사하여 원하는 발열성능을 가지는 발열유리를 제작하는 방법을 제안한다. 제안된 방법은 기존의 니크롬 열선을 삽입하는 방법에 비해 투명성이 양호하고, 전도성 투명박막을 증착하는 방법에 비해 제작과정이 보다 수월함을 확인하였다. 아울러, 레이저를 조사하여 로이유리의 표면 박막을 패터닝(Patterning) 하는 형태에 따른 발열특성의 비교와 로이유리에 적합한 레이저 출력조건을 제시하고자 한다.

A computer simulation of ion exchange membrane electrodialysis for concentration of seawater

  • Tanaka, Yoshinobu
    • Membrane and Water Treatment
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.13-37
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    • 2010
  • The performance of an electrodialyzer for concentrating seawater is predicted by means of a computer simulation, which includes the following five steps; Step 1 mass transport; Step 2 current density distribution; Step 3 cell voltage; Step 4 NaCl concentration in a concentrated solution and energy consumption; Step 5 limiting current density. The program is developed on the basis of the following assumption; (1) Solution leakage and electric current leakage in an electrodialyzer are negligible. (2) Direct current electric resistance of a membrane includes the electric resistance of a boundary layer formed on the desalting surface of the membrane due to concentration polarization. (3) Frequency distribution of solution velocity ratio in desalting cells is equated by the normal distribution. (4) Current density i at x distant from the inlets of desalting cells is approximated by the quadratic equation. (5) Voltage difference between the electrodes at the entrance of desalting cells is equal to the value at the exits. (6) Limiting current density of an electrodialyzer is defined as average current density applied to an electrodialyzer when current density reaches the limit of an ion exchange membrane at the outlet of a desalting cell in which linear velocity and electrolyte concentration are the least. (7) Concentrated solutions are extracted from concentrating cells to the outside of the process. The validity of the computer simulation model is demonstrated by comparing the computed results with the performance of electrodialyzers operating in salt-manufacturing plants. The model makes it possible to discuss optimum specifications and operating conditions of a practical-scale electrodialyzer.

탄성기반에서 과도 열탄성 접촉에 대한 열 접촉 저항의 영향 (Effect of Thermal Contact Resistance on Transient Thermoelastic Contact for an Elastic Foundation)

  • 장용훈;이승욱
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제30권7호
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    • pp.833-840
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    • 2006
  • The paper presents a numerical solution to the problem of a hot rigid indenter sliding over a thermoelastic Winkler foundation with a thermal contact resistance at constant speed. It is shown analytically that no steady-state solution can exist for sufficiently high temperature or sufficiently small normal load or speed, regardless of the thermal contact resistance. However the steady state solution may exist in the same situation if the thermal contact resistance is considered. This means that the effect of the large values of temperature difference and small value of force or velocity which occur at no steady state can be lessened due to the thermal contact resistance. When there is no steady state, the predicted transient behavior involves regions of transient stationary contact interspersed with regions of separation regardless of the thermal contact resistance. Initially, the system typically exhibits a small number of relatively large contact and separation regions, but after the initial transient, the trailing edge of the contact area is only established and the leading edge loses contact, reducing the total extent of contact considerably. As time progresses, larger and larger numbers of small contact areas are established, unlit eventually the accuracy of the algorithm is limited by the discretization used.

Discovery of Novel 4${\alpha}$ helix Cytokine by Hidden Markov Model Analysis

  • Du, Chunjuan;Zeng, Yanjun;Zhu, Yunping;He, Fuchu
    • 한국생물정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국생물정보시스템생물학회 2005년도 BIOINFO 2005
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    • pp.41-44
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    • 2005
  • Cytokines play a crucial role in the immune and inflammatory responses. But because of the high evolutionary rate of these proteins, the similarity between different members of their family is very low, which makes the identification of novel members of cytokines very difficult. According to this point, a new bioinformatic strategy to identify novel cytokine of the short-chain and long-chain 4${\alpha}$ helix cytokine using hidden markov model (HMM) is proposed in the paper. As a result, two motifs were created on the two train data sets, which were used to search three different databases. In order to improve the result, a strict criterion is established to filter the novel cytokines in the subject proteins. Finally, according to their E-value, scores and the criterion, four subject proteins are predicted to be possible novel cytokines for each family respectively.

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시간에 따른 탄성지지 열탄성 접촉에 대한 열접촉저항의 영향 (Effects of Thermal Contact Resistance on Transient Thermoelastic Contacts for an Elastic Foundation)

  • 장용훈
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2005년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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    • pp.330-333
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    • 2005
  • The paper presents a numerical solution to the problem of a hot rigid indenter siding over a thermoelastic Winkler foundation with a thermal contact resistance at constant speed. It is shown analytically that no steady-state solution can exist for sufficiently high temperature or sufficiently small normal load or speed regardless of the thermal contact resistance. However, the steady state solution may exist in the same situation if the thermal contact resistance is considered. This means that the effect of the large values of temperature difference and small value of force or velocity which occur at no steady state can be lessened due to the thermal contact resistance. When there is no steady-state the predicted transient behavior involves regions of transient stationary contact interspersed with regions of separation regardless of the thermal contact resistance. Initially, the system typically exhibits a small number of relatively large contact and separation regions, but after the initial transient the trailing edge of the contact area is only established and the leading edge loses contact, reducing the total extent of contact considerably. As time progresses, larger and larger number of small contact areas are established, until eventually the accuracy of the algorithm is limited by the discretization used.

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유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 타이어 공력소음의 저감 (Reduction of Air-pumping Noise based on a Genetic Algorithm)

  • 김의열;황성욱;김병현;이상권
    • 한국소음진동공학회논문집
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    • 제22권1호
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    • pp.61-73
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    • 2012
  • The paper presents the novel approach to solve some problems occurred in application of the genetic algorithm to the determination of the optimal tire pattern sequence in order to reduce the tire air-pumping noise which is generated by the repeated compression and expansion of the air cavity between tire pattern and road surface. The genetic algorithm has been used to find the optimal tire pattern sequence having a low level of tire air-pumping noise using the image based air-pumping model. In the genetic algorithm used in the previous researches, there are some problems in the encoding structure and the selection of objective function. The paper proposed single encoding element with five integers, divergent objective function based on evolutionary process and the optimal evolutionary rate based on Shannon entropy to solve the problems. The results of the proposed genetic algorithm with evolutionary process are compared with those of the randomized algorithm without evolutionary process on the two-dimensional normal distribution. It is confirmed that the genetic algorithm is more effective to reduce the peak value of the predicted tire air-pumping noise and the consistency and cohesion of the obtained simulation results are also improved in terms of probability.

내부 원형 그루브를 갖는 저속 드라이 가스 시일의 윤활 성능해석 및 실험 (Lubrication Performance Analysis and Experiment of a Low-Speed Dry Gas Seal having an Inner Circular Groove)

  • 이안성;김준호
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • 제21권2호
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 2005
  • In this study a general Galerkin FE lubrication analysis method was utilized to analyze the complex lubrication performance of a spiral groove seal having an additional inner circular groove, which was designed for a chemical process mixer operating at a low speed of the maximum 500 rpm. Equilibrium seal clearance analyses under varying outer pressure revealed that the seal maintains a certain levitation seal clearance under the outer pressure of more than about 1.5 bar, regardless of a rotating speed. Also, under the normal outer pressure of 11 bar, the axial stiffness of the seal was predicted to have a high value of more than 7.0 e + 07 N/m, regardless of a rotating speed and thereby, the seal is expected to maintain a stable thickness of lubrication film under a certain external excitation acting. A seal levitation test rig was designed and constructed. Experimental results at 500 rpm agreed well with analytical predictions and the applied lubrication analysis method was verified.

Failure analysis of a transmission tower during a microburst

  • Shehata, A.Y.;El Damatty, A.A.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.193-208
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    • 2008
  • This paper focuses on assessing the failure of one of the transmission towers that collapsed in Winnipeg, Canada, as a result of a microburst event. The study is conducted using a fluid-structure numerical model that was developed in-house. A major challenge in microburst-related problems is that the forces acting on a structure vary with the microburst parameters including the descending jet velocity, the diameter of the event and the relative location between the structure and the jet. The numerical model, which combines wind field data for microbursts together with a non-linear finite element formulation, is capable of predicting the progressive failure of a tower that initiates after one of its member reaches its capacity. The model is employed first to determine the microburst parameters that are likely to initiate failure of a number of critical members of the tower. Progressive failure analysis of the tower is then conducted by applying the loads associated with those critical configurations. The analysis predicts a collapse of the conductors cross-arm under a microburst reference velocity that is almost equal to the corresponding value for normal wind load that was used in the design of the structure. A similarity between the predicted modes of failure and the post event field observations was shown.