• Title/Summary/Keyword: Precipitation method

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Impact Assessment of Climate Change on Extreme Rainfall and I-D-F Analysis (기후변화가 극한강우와 I-D-F 분석에 미치는 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Byung-Sik;Kim, Bo-Kyung;Kyung, Min-Soo;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.379-394
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    • 2008
  • Recently, extreme precipitation events beyond design capacity of hydraulic system have been occurred and this is the causes of failure of hydraulic structure for flood prevention and of severe flood damage. Therefore it is very important to understand temporal and spatial characteristics of extreme precipitation events as well as expected changes in extreme precipitation events and distributional characteristics during design period under future climate change. In this paper, climate change scenarios were used to assess the impacts of future climate change on extreme precipitation. Furthermore, analysis of future extreme precipitation characteristics and I-D-F analysis were carried out. This study used SRES B2 greenhouse gas scenario and YONU CGCM to simulate climatic conditions from 2031 to 2050 and statistical downscaling method was applied to establish weather data from each of observation sites operated by the Korean Meteorological Administration. Then quantile mapping of bias correction methods was carried out by comparing the simulated data with observations for bias correction. In addition Modified Bartlett Lewis Rectangular Pulse(MBLRP) model (Onof and Wheater, 1993; Onof 2000) and adjust method were applied to transform daily precipitation time series data into hourly time series data. Finally, rainfall intensity, duration, and frequency were calculated to draw I-D-F curve. Although there are 66 observation sites in Korea, we consider here the results from only Seoul, Daegu, Jeonju, and Gwangju sites in this paper. From the results we found that the rainfall intensity will be increased and the bigger intensity will be occurred for longer rainfall duration when we compare the climate conditions of 2030s with present conditions.

Spatio-tempers Change Prediction and Variability of Temperature and Precipitation (기온 및 강수량의 시공간 변화예측 및 변이성)

  • Lee, Min-A;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Song, Chul-Chul;Lee, Jun-Hak;Choi, Hyun-Ah;Kim, Tae-Min
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.267-278
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    • 2007
  • Internationally many models are developed and applied to predict the impact of the climate change, as occurring a lot of symptoms by climate change. Also, in Korea, according to increasing the application of the climate effect model in many research fields, it is required to study the method for preparing climate data and the characteristics of the climate. In this study IDSW (Inverse Distance Squared Weighting), one of the spatial statistic methods, is applied to interpolate. This method estimates a point of interest by assigning more weight to closer points, which are limited to be select by 3 in 100 km radius. As a result, annual average temperature and precipitation had increased by $0.4^{\circ}C$ and 412 mm during 1977 to 2006. They are also predicted to increase by $3.96^{\circ}C$, 319 mm in the 2100 compared to 2007. High variability of temperature and precipitation for last 30 years shows in some part of the Gangwon-do and in the southern part of Korea. Besides in the study of the variable trend, the variability of temperature and precipitation is inclined to increase in Gangwon-do and southern east part, respectively. However, during 2071 to 2100 variability of temperature is predicted to be high in midwest of Korea and variability of precipitation in the east. In the trend of variability, variability of temperature is apt to increase into west south, and variability of precipitation increase in midwest and a part of south.

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Optimization of PRISM Parameters and Digital Elevation Model Resolution for Estimating the Spatial Distribution of Precipitation in South Korea (남한 강수량 분포 추정을 위한 PRISM 매개변수 및 수치표고모형 최적화)

  • Park, Jong-Chul;Jung, Il-Won;Chang, Hee-Jun;Kim, Man-Kyu
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.36-51
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    • 2012
  • The demand for a climatological dataset with a regular spaced grid is increasing in diverse fields such as ecological and hydrological modeling as well as regional climate impact studies. PRISM(Precipitation-Elevation Regressions on Independent Slopes Model) is a useful method to estimate high-altitude precipitation. However, it is not well discussed over the optimization of PRISM parameters and DEM(Digital Elevation Model) resolution in South Korea. This study developed the PRISM and then optimized parameters of the model and DEM resolution for producing a gridded annual average precipitation data of South Korea with 1km spatial resolution during the period 2000-2005. SCE-UA (Shuffled Complex Evolution-University of Arizona) method employed for the optimization. In addition, sensitivity analysis investigates the change in the model output with respect to the parameter and the DEM spatial resolution variations. The study result shows that maximum radius within which station search will be conducted is 67km. Minimum radius within which all stations are included is 31km. Minimum number of stations required for cell precipitation and elevation regression calculation is four. Optimizing DEM resolution is $1{\times}1km$. This study also shows that the PRISM output very sensitive to DEM spatial resolution variations. This study contributes to improving the accuracy of PRISM technique as it applies to South Korea.

Communication and data processing strategy for the electromagnetic wave precipitation gauge system (전파강수계 시스템의 통신 및 자료처리 전략 개발)

  • Lee, Jeong Deok;Kim, Minwook;Park, Yeon Gu
    • Journal of Satellite, Information and Communications
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.62-66
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we present the development of communication and data processing strategy for the electromagnetic wave precipitation gauge system. The electromagnetic wave precipitation gauge system is a small system for deriving area rainfall rates within 1 km radius through dual polarization radar observation at 24GHz band. It is necessary to take consider for measurement of accurate precipitation under limited computing resources originating from small systems and to minimize the use of network for the unattended operation and remote management. To overcome computational resource limitations, we adopted the fuzzy logic for quality control to eliminate non-precipitation echoes and developed the method by weighted synthesis of various rain rate fields using multiple radar QPE formulas. Also we have designed variable data packets rules to minimize the network traffic.

Development of a Precipitation Gauge Using Ultrasonic Measuring Technique (초음파식 유량계측 기술을 응용한 강수량측정장치 개발)

  • Seo, Gang-Do;Hong, Sung-Taek;Ryu, Chool;Lee, Kyung-Woo;Ji, Yu-Chul
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.17 no.11
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    • pp.2745-2752
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    • 2013
  • The tipping-bucket and weight measuring type precipitation gauge has long been used worldwide for measuring rainfall. However, the conventional gauge has observation errors and its measurement range is limited by the device's resolution. In this paper, a new type of precipitation gauge that uses an innovative method by applying a new ultrasonic flow measuring technique was developed. This is the first time this technique is being used to gauge rainfall. The prototype was tested in the laboratory designated by the Korea Laboratory Accreditation Scheme (KOLAS). The rainfall intensity condition was 20~420 mm/H and the Standard Correction System for Precipitation Gauges was used. Results of the laboratory experiment showed that the proposed gauge has a ${\pm}2%$ margin of error. Consequently, it was proven that the proposed gauge is quite accurate and reliable for measuring precipitation.

The Regionality of the Variation of Summer Precipitation in Korea (한국의 여름 강수량 변동의 지역성)

  • Kang, Man-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.139-152
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    • 2000
  • The regional characteristics of summer precipitation in Korea are analyzed with the data observed in 66 stations from 1973 to 1997, using the cluster analysis method. In the phenomena of summer precipitation, the rain-rich regions lie in the south coast region, the northern part of Kyonggi Province, and Yongdong region. The monthly precipitation is mostly influenced by Changma fronts and cyclons in June, Changma fronts in July, typhoons in August, and all of typhoons, Changma, and cyclons in September. The increasing and decreasing trends of the monthly precipitation are equally divided with regard to both regional groups and monthly distribution in the cluster analysis. Especially such trends are considerably clear in the rain-rich regions. The increasing tendency is predominant in the northern part of Kyonggi Province and Yongdong region, while the decreasing trend and the periodicity are noted in the south coast region and Cheju Island. The variation of the monthly precipitation is shown to be great in the rain-rich regions, while it is not much associated with the rain-scare regions. Also, the variation is the greatest in September, while the least variation is shown in July.

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Consideration of the Groundwater Recharge Based on Environmental Isotopic Characteristics of the Small Basin in the Yeosu Area (환경동위원소를 이용한 여수지역 소유역에서의 지하수함양특성 고찰)

  • 고용권;배대석;김천수;김경수;정형재;김성용
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.93-106
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    • 2001
  • The processes and rates of groundwater recharge were studied by long-term monitoring of groundwater level and isotopic compositions of precipitation, surface water and groundwater in the Yeosu area. The isotopic compositions of surface water and groundwater were directly related to the precipitation event. It is also shown that the minimum amount of precipitation for infiltration to groundwater is about 20mm. The isotopic variations of groundwater shows that the Isotopic composition of groundwater changed by each precipitation event between June and Sep. 2000 is gradually changed without input of precipitation again. It indicates that the groundwater recharged from the upper part is mixed with the groundwater in reservoir. The infiltration rate of first precipitation event after a dry season is estimated to be 16.5% using isotopic mixing equations. It is expected that the groundwater recharge rate could be estimated more quantitavely, if the isotopic method is combined with the conservative methods.

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Assessment of predictability of categorical probabilistic long-term forecasts and its quantification for efficient water resources management (효율적인 수자원관리를 위한 범주형 확률장기예보의 예측력 평가 및 정량화)

  • Son, Chanyoung;Jeong, Yerim;Han, Soohee;Cho, Younghyun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.8
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    • pp.563-577
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    • 2017
  • As the uncertainty of precipitation increases due to climate change, seasonal forecasting and the use of weather forecasts become essential for efficient water resources management. In this study, the categorical probabilistic long-term forecasts implemented by KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) since June 2014 was evaluated using assessment indicators of Hit Rate, Reliability Diagram, and Relative Operating Curve (ROC) and a technique for obtaining quantitative precipitation estimates based on probabilistic forecasts was proposed. The probabilistic long-term forecasts showed its maximum predictability of 48% and the quantified precipitation estimates were closely matched with actual observations; maximum correlation coefficient (R) in predictability evaluation for 100% accurate and actual weather forecasts were 0.98 and 0.71, respectively. A precipitation quantification approach utilizing probabilistic forecasts proposed in this study is expected to enable water management considering the uncertainty of precipitation. This method is also expected to be a useful tool for supporting decision-making in the long-term planning for water resources management and reservoir operations.

Assessment of Drought Severity on Cropland in Korea Peninsula using Normalized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (NPEI) (정규화강수증발산지수(NPEI)를 활용한 한반도 농경지의 가뭄심도 평가)

  • Lim, Chul-Hee;Kim, Damin;Shin, Yuseung;Lee, Woo-Kyun
    • Journal of Climate Change Research
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.223-231
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    • 2015
  • Although a considerable part of climate change can be explained by temperature change, hydrological change such as precipitation, evapotranspiration, and runoff impact more on society. For the ascertain a hydrological change in agriculture sector, this study estimate evapotranspiration of cropland in the Korean peninsula, and then to assess the drought severity in the past 30 years through the estimated potential evapotranspiration and observed precipitation. The potential evapotranspiration is estimated by EPIC model and Penman-Monteith method and the drought severity in cropland of the Korean peninsula is assessed using Normalized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (NPEI) based on the difference in precipitation and potential evapotranspiration. In North Korea, the estimated evapotranspiration tends to increase even though a significant change is not found due to the change of climate. Although a time series change in drought severity in the past 30 years is not pronounced, a deviation by year and difference between South and North Korea is certain. One reason of this is difference in precipitation and evapotranspiration change according to the latitude. The result including expansion of facilities for water management in North Korea can be used for agricultural decision making, as well as base data of climate change adaptation.

Introduction to the production procedure of representative annual maximum precipitation scenario for different durations based on climate change with statistical downscaling approaches (통계적 상세화 기법을 통한 기후변화기반 지속시간별 연최대 대표 강우시나리오 생산기법 소개)

  • Lee, Taesam
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.51 no.spc
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    • pp.1057-1066
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    • 2018
  • Climate change has been influenced on extreme precipitation events, which are major driving causes of flooding. Especially, most of extreme water-related disasters in Korea occur from floods induced by extreme precipitation events. However, future climate change scenarios simulated with Global Circulation Models (GCMs) or Reigonal Climate Models (RCMs) are limited to the application on medium and small size rivers and urban watersheds due to coarse spatial and temporal resolutions. Therefore, the current study introduces the state-of-the-art approaches and procedures of statistical downscaling techniques to resolve this limitation It is expected that the temporally downscaled data allows frequency analysis for the future precipitation and estimating the design precipitation for disaster prevention.