• Title/Summary/Keyword: Precipitation change

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Estimation of Groundwater Storage Change and Its Relationship with Geology in Eonyang Area, Ulsan Megacity (울산광역시 언양지역의 지하수 저류 변화량 산정 및 지질과의 관련성)

  • Kim, Nam-Hoon;Hamm, Se-Yeong;Kim, Tae-Yong;Cheong, Jae-Yeol;An, Jeong-Hoon;Jeon, Hang-Tak;Kim, Hyoung-Soo
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.263-276
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    • 2008
  • In diverse hydrogeologic fields, estimation of groundwater storage change is one of the most critical issues. Accurate estimation methods for determining groundwater storage change are required more and more. For Yeonyang area of Ulsan Megacity, groundwater storage change was estimated by using water balance method and hydrogeological analyses. The estimates of groundwater storage change was 240 mm corresponding to 18.7% of mean annual precipitation. Direct runoff was calculated as 137 mm (10.6% of mean annual precipitation) by using SCS-CN method. Evapotranspiration based on the Thornthwaite method was calculated as 776 mm (60.5% of mean annual precipitation). Hydraulic properties of the soil types do not show any distinct relation with hydraulic conductivity of the rocks. This fact suggests that hydraulic property on the surface is different from that of subsurface geology. According to multi-linear regression analysis between groundwater storage change and hydraulic parameters, a regression equation of groundwater storage change, which was explained by precipitation and evapotranspiration, was established.

Short Term Runoff Characteristics Change of Stream Water Quality with Different Rainfall Events in Planted Coniferous Forest (침엽수 인공림에서 강우사상별 계류수 수질의 유출특성 변화)

  • Kim, Jaehoon;Choi, Hyung Tae;Yoo, Jae Yun
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.29 no.6
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    • pp.917-922
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    • 2015
  • This study was carried out to investigate solutes concentration change with respect to discharge change in coniferous forest experiment watershed in Gyeonggi-do, Korea. From 2005 to 2008. Precipitation, discharge, solutes has been analyzed from 23 precipitation events. The results showed that low API induced low discharge. $NH_4{^+}$, $K^+$, and $Ca^{2+}$ were indicated by clockwise and $Cl^-$ and $NO_3{^-}$ were represented by counterclockwise hysteresis loop. ${SO_4}^{2-}$, $Na^+$, $Mg^{2+}$ showed no hysteresis loop pattern. $Cl^-$, $Na^+$, $NH_4{^+}$ was relatively constant due to groundwater during precipitation, $NO_3{^-}$ was increased due to soil water compared to early precipitation. $Cl^-$, ${SO_4}^{2-}$, $Na^+$, $Mg^{2+}$, $Ca^{2+}$ was diluted with respect to increased discharge and $NO_3{^-}$ was diluted in early precipitation and then increased in the end. $NO_3{^-}$ and $Ca^{2+}$ eluviated in early precipitation. This characteristics was presumed by the effect of API, discharge and ground water.

Spatio-tempers Change Prediction and Variability of Temperature and Precipitation (기온 및 강수량의 시공간 변화예측 및 변이성)

  • Lee, Min-A;Lee, Woo-Kyun;Song, Chul-Chul;Lee, Jun-Hak;Choi, Hyun-Ah;Kim, Tae-Min
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.267-278
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    • 2007
  • Internationally many models are developed and applied to predict the impact of the climate change, as occurring a lot of symptoms by climate change. Also, in Korea, according to increasing the application of the climate effect model in many research fields, it is required to study the method for preparing climate data and the characteristics of the climate. In this study IDSW (Inverse Distance Squared Weighting), one of the spatial statistic methods, is applied to interpolate. This method estimates a point of interest by assigning more weight to closer points, which are limited to be select by 3 in 100 km radius. As a result, annual average temperature and precipitation had increased by $0.4^{\circ}C$ and 412 mm during 1977 to 2006. They are also predicted to increase by $3.96^{\circ}C$, 319 mm in the 2100 compared to 2007. High variability of temperature and precipitation for last 30 years shows in some part of the Gangwon-do and in the southern part of Korea. Besides in the study of the variable trend, the variability of temperature and precipitation is inclined to increase in Gangwon-do and southern east part, respectively. However, during 2071 to 2100 variability of temperature is predicted to be high in midwest of Korea and variability of precipitation in the east. In the trend of variability, variability of temperature is apt to increase into west south, and variability of precipitation increase in midwest and a part of south.

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Analysis of climate change impact on flow duration characteristics in the Mekong River (기후변화에 따른 메콩강 유역의 미래 유황변화 분석)

  • Lee, Daeeop;Lee, Giha;Song, Bonggeun;Lee, Seungsoo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.71-82
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the Mekong River streamflow alteration due to climate change. The future climate change scenarios were produced by bias corrections of the data from East Asia RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, given by HadGEM3-RA. Then, SWAT model was used for discharge simulation of the Kratie, the main point of the Mekong River (watershed area: $646,000km^2$, 88% of the annual average flow rate of the Mekong River). As a result of the climate change analysis, the annual precipitation of the Kratie upper-watershed increase in both scenarios compared to the baseline yearly average precipitation. The monthly precipitation increase is relatively large from June to November. In particular, precipitation fluctuated greatly in the RCP 8.5 rather than RCP 4.5. Monthly average maximum and minimum temperature are predicted to be increased in both scenarios. As well as precipitation, the temperature increase in RCP 8.5 scenarios was found to be more significant than RCP 4.5. In addition, as a result of the duration curve comparison, the streamflow variation will become larger in low and high flow rate and the drought will be further intensified in the future.

Signal of vegetation variability found in regional-scale evapotranspiration as revealed by NDVI and assimilated atmospheric data in Asia

  • Suzuki, Rikie;Masuda, Kooiti;Yasunari, Tetsuzo;Yatagai, Akiyo
    • Proceedings of the KSRS Conference
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    • 2002.10a
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    • pp.685-689
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    • 2002
  • This study focused the relationship between the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and the evapotranspiration (ET) temporal changes. Especially, the interannual change of the NDVI and ET from 1982 to 2000 at regional to continental scales was highlighted mainly over Asia. Monthly global NDVI data were acquired from Pathfinder AVHRR Land (PAL) data (1$\times$1 degree resolution). The monthly ET was estimated from assimilated atmospheric data provided from National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) (2.5$\times$2.5 degree resolution), and gridded global precipitation data of CPC Merged Analysis of Precipitation (CMAP) (2.5$\times$2.5 degree resolution). Significant positive correlations were found between the NDVI and ET interannual changes in May and June over western Siberia. Moreover, it was revealed that the most of area in Asia has positive correlation coefficient in May and June. These results delineate that the vegetation activity significantly contributes to the ET interannual change over extensive areas.

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SENSITIVITY OF THE KEUM RIVER BASIN TO CLIMATE CHANGE

  • Kim, Young-Oh;Seo, Yong-Won;Lee, Seung-Hyun;Lee, Dong-Ryul
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.1 no.4
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    • pp.267-277
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    • 2000
  • This study reports an examination of the sensitivity of water resources in the Keum River basin to climate change. Assuming a doubling in $CO_2$ concentrations, a cooperative study provided four climate change scenarios for this study, which have been translated into temperature and precipitation scenarios on a basin scale. The study utilized these temperature and precipitation data for each climate change scenario as inputs to the NWS-PC model to generate the corresponding streamflow scenario over the Keum River basin. A reservoir simulation model for the Dae-Chung Dam in the Keum River basin has been developed with an object-oriented simulation environment, STELLA. For each streamflow scenario, the performance of the reservoir was assessed in terms of reliability, resiliency, and vulnerability. Although the simulation results are heavily dependent on the choice of the climate change scenarios, the following conclusions can be clearly concluded: (1) the future streamflow over the Dae-Chung Dam tends to decease during the dry period, which seriously increases competitive water use issues and (2) flood control issues predominate under the $2CO_2$-High case.

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Climate Prediction by a Hybrid Method with Emphasizing Future Precipitation Change of East Asia

  • Lim, Yae-Ji;Jo, Seong-Il;Lee, Jae-Yong;Oh, Hee-Seok;Kang, Hyun-Suk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.1143-1152
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    • 2009
  • A canonical correlation analysis(CCA)-based method is proposed for prediction of future climate change which combines information from ensembles of atmosphere-ocean general circulation models(AOGCMs) and observed climate values. This paper focuses on predictions of future climate on a regional scale which are of potential economic values. The proposed method is obtained by coupling the classical CCA with empirical orthogonal functions(EOF) for dimension reduction. Furthermore, we generate a distribution of climate responses, so that extreme events as well as a general feature such as long tails and unimodality can be revealed through the distribution. Results from real data examples demonstrate the promising empirical properties of the proposed approaches.

Estimation of Groundwater Recharge Ratio Using Cumulative Precipitation and Water-level Change (누적 강수량과 지하수위 곡선을 이용한 지하수 함양률 추정 기법)

  • 문상기;우남칠
    • Journal of Soil and Groundwater Environment
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2001
  • A calculation technique which estimates natural recharge using groundwater level change was proposed and prepared with the existing techniques using groundwater recession curve during dry days. As a part of estimating natural groundwater recharge nation wide, the reliable data from the national groundwater monitoring network were used and the methodology was applied to the three sites which have enough data (Chungju, Jinju and Kwangju). For this study, seasonal variation of groundwater level change, an analysis of lagging time on groundwater level and cumulative precipitation, and a comparative study for groundwater recharge were conducted.

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Impacts of the Land-sea Distribution around Korean Peninsula on the simulation of East Asia Summer Precipitation (동아시아 여름 강수 모의에 있어 한반도 주변 해륙분포가 미치는 영향)

  • Cha, Yu-Mi;Lee, Hyo-Shin;Kwon, Won-Tae;Boo, Kyung-On
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.241-253
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    • 2007
  • This paper investigates summer precipitation change in East Asia according to switching surface boundary condition over South Korea and Shantung. Simulations are carried out by ECHO-G/S for 20 years (1980-1999). Surface condition over both areas in ECHO-G/S is represented by ocean (OCN experiment). In OCN experiment, the summer precipitation is considerably underestimated around the Korean peninsula (the dry region) and overestimated over the eastern Tibetan Plateau (the wet region). It may be related that the lack of the heat sources from the unrealistically prescribed land-sea mask weakens northward expansion of rainband and the development of convective precipitation. Moreover the simulated rainband retreats before June in connection with the early genesis of summer monsoon circulation. The systematic bias of the summer precipitation over the dry and wet regions are reduced comparing with the OCN experiment when the land-sea masks over South Korea and Shantung are realistically considered as land (LND experiment). These improvements can be explained by the thermodynamical dissimilarity between land and ocean. Enhanced warming by switching the areas from sea to land has led to develop the thermal low over Yellow Sea with the cyclonic circulation. Thus, this cyclonic circulation supports moistures from the south to the dry region and blocks to the wet region. The heat transport from the land surface to atmosphere plays a key role in the developing convective precipitation in local scale and maintaining the precipitation and the rainband. Therefore, this results indicate that the design of the realistic land-sea distribution is required for the accurate simulation of the regional precipitation.

The Analysis of Climate Change in Haiyan County

  • Yu, Wenzheng;Zhang, Hanxiaoya;Chen, Tianliang;Liu, Jing;Shen, Yanbo
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.14 no.10
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    • pp.3941-3954
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    • 2020
  • In this paper, the climate change in Haiyan County in recent decades was analyzed in detail with the methods of moving average, Mann-Kendall non-parametric mutation test and wavelet analysis. According to the variation trend of meteorological factors such as temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, pan evaporation and precipitation in recent decades, the climate of Haiyan County has a tendency of drought, which is becoming more and more serious. From the results of the analysis, the sunshine hours and the air temperature in Haiyan County have an obvious upward trend. The average surface temperature has increased by 2.75 ℃ from 1976, and its largest increase occurred in the late 1970s and 1980s. At this stage, the average surface temperature increased by 1.37 ℃. The relative humidity has a decreasing trend that has decreased by 2.75%. From 1976 to the present, there are two quasi-3a cycles and one quasi-6a cycle. The precipitation and evaporation showed the opposite change trend, in which the trend of precipitation fluctuated upward, while the trend of evaporation showed a fluctuating downward tendency, which led to the serious loss of water in the feeding area. The wind direction in Haiyan County are mainly from west to east, and its wind speed has a trend of slight increase.