• 제목/요약/키워드: Precipitation

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간헐(間歇) 수문과정(水文過程)의 모의발생(模擬發生) 모형(模型)(II) - Markov 연쇄와 연속확률분포(連續確率分布) - (A Simulation Model for the Intermittent Hydrologic Process (II) - Markov Chain and Continuous Probability Distribution -)

  • 이재준;이정식
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.523-534
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    • 1994
  • 본 연구의 목적은 간헐수문과정인 일강수계열의 모의발생 모델을 개발하는 것이다. 이를 위하여 연구(I)에서는 교대재생과정을 이용하여 강수발생과정을 해석하였으며, 본 연구(II)에서는 강수발생과정으로 Markov 연쇄를 이용하고 습윤일의 강수량 분포를 조합하여 일 강수계열을 모의발생하는 추계학적 모델을 개발하였다. Markov 연쇄로는 상태 2(건조, 습윤)의 1차 연쇄를 사용하였으며, 습윤일의 강수량 분포는 연속확률분포인 Gamma, Pearson Type-III(PT3), Extremal Type-III(T3E), Weibull 분포를 적용하였다. 일 강수계열 자료의 계절적 변동성을 고려하여 월별로 분리하여 해석하였으며, 강수발생과정과 습윤일의 강수량과정을 조합하여 구성한 두 개의 모의발생 모델 M-W, M-G 모델을 낙동강과 섬진강 유역의 7개 관측소에 적용하여 관측치와 모의발생치를 비교하므로써 모의발생 모델의 적용성을 확인하였다.

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최근 30년간 한반도 일 강수강도의 지역적 특성 (The Regional Characteristics of Daily Precipitation Intensity in Korea for Recent 30 Years)

  • 김은희;김맹기;이우섭
    • 한국지구과학회지
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    • 제26권5호
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    • pp.404-416
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    • 2005
  • 이 연구는 최근 30년 동안 21개 지상관측소 일강수량 자료를 사용하여 한반도의 강수일수 및 강수강도의 지역성 및 계절성을 조사하였다. 일강수량 80 mm를 기준으로 다우와 소우로 나누어 그 특성을 조사하였으며, 강수일수 및 강도의 일차 선형경향도 함께 연구하였다. 호남 지방에서 소우에 의한 강수일수는 모든 계절에서 다른 지역에 비해 많으며, 특히 가을과 겨울철의 기여도가 상대적으로 컸다. 그러나 다우에 의한 강수일수는 대구를 중심으로 한 영남 지역에서 매우 적은 것으로 나타났다. 남해안 지방에서 강수량은 많고 강수일수가 적어 강수강도가 모든 계절에서 가장 크게 나타났으며, 연강수량에 대한 기여도는 다우와 소우 모두 다른 지역에 비해 크게 나타났다. 최근 30년간 대부분 지역에서 연강수량은 증가하는 선형경향을 보였는데, 대부분 다우에 의한 영향으로 나타났다. 한반도의 연 강수일수는 전반적으로 감소하는 선형경향을 보이지만, 다우에 의한 연 강수일수는 증가하는 선형경향을 보였다. 특히 충청과 경기지방에서 강수강도의 선형경향이 유의한 지역이 다수 발견되었는데, 이는 이 지역이 집중호우에 대한 위험도가 적지 않은 지역임을 말해주는 것이다.

한강과 낙동강 유역평균 월강수량의 기후 특성: I. 유역평균 시계열의 변동 (The Climatological Characteristics of Monthly Precipitation over Han- and Nakdong-river Basins: Part I. Variability of Area Averaged Time Series)

  • 백희정;권원태
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.111-119
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    • 2005
  • 이 연구에서는 49년간 (1954-2002년) 한반도 기상 관측소 자료로부터 한강과 낙동강 유역의 유역평균 월강수량 시계열의 변동에 대한 기후특성을 분석하였다. 비록 두 유역의 연강수량의 크기는 차이가 있으나 월별 변동 특성은 매우 유사하였다. 특히 4월 유역평균 강수량은 감소 경향이 뚜렷하였고, 8월 유역평균 강수량은 증가 경향이 매우 뚜렷하였다. 또한 1970년 중반에 유역평균 월강수량의 변동에 변화가 나타났다. NINO3 지수와 한강과 낙동강 유역평균 월강수량 편차와의 동시상관분석으로부터 유역평균 9월 강수량은 NINO3 지수와 지속적인 음의 상관을 보였고, 11월 유역평균 강수량과는 양의 상관이 크게 나타났다.

Backward estimation of precipitation from high spatial resolution SAR Sentinel-1 soil moisture: a case study for central South Korea

  • Nguyen, Hoang Hai;Han, Byungjoo;Oh, Yeontaek;Jung, Woosung;Shin, Daeyun
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.329-329
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    • 2022
  • Accurate characterization of terrestrial precipitation variation from high spatial resolution satellite sensors is beneficial for urban hydrology and microscale agriculture modeling, as well as natural disasters (e.g., urban flooding) early warning. However, the widely-used top-down approach for precipitation retrieval from microwave satellites is limited in several hydrological and agricultural applications due to their coarse spatial resolution. In this research, we aim to apply a novel bottom-up method, the parameterized SM2RAIN, where precipitation can be estimated from soil moisture signals based on an inversion of water balance model, to generate high spatial resolution terrestrial precipitation estimates at 0.01º grid (roughly 1-km) from the C-band SAR Sentinel-1. This product was then tested against a common reanalysis-based precipitation data and a domestic rain gauge network from the Korean Meteorological Administration (KMA) over central South Korea, since a clear difference between climatic types (coasts and mainlands) and land covers (croplands and mixed forests) was reported in this area. The results showed that seasonal precipitation variability strongly affected the SM2RAIN performances, and the product derived from separated parameters (rainy and non-rainy seasons) outperformed that estimated considering the entire year. In addition, the product retrieved over the mainland mixed forest region showed slightly superior performance compared to that over the coastal cropland region, suggesting that the 6-day time resolution of S1 data is suitable for capturing the stable precipitation pattern in mainland mixed forests rather than the highly variable precipitation pattern in coastal croplands. Future studies suggest comparing this product to the traditional top-down products, as well as evaluating their integration for enhancing high spatial resolution precipitation over entire South Korea.

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Development of a smart rain gauge system for continuous and accurate observations of light and heavy rainfall

  • Han, Byungjoo;Oh, Yeontaek;Nguyen, Hoang Hai;Jung, Woosung;Shin, Daeyun
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2022년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.334-334
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    • 2022
  • Improvement of old-fashioned rain gauge systems for automatic, timely, continuous, and accurate precipitation observation is highly essential for weather/climate prediction and natural hazards early warning, since the occurrence frequency and intensity of heavy and extreme precipitation events (especially floods) are recently getting more increase and severe worldwide due to climate change. Although rain gauge accuracy of 0.1 mm is recommended by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO), the traditional rain gauges in both weighting and tipping bucket types are often unable to meet that demand due to several existing technical limitations together with higher production and maintenance costs. Therefore, we aim to introduce a newly developed and cost-effective hybrid rain gauge system at 0.1 mm accuracy that combines advantages of weighting and tipping bucket types for continuous, automatic, and accurate precipitation observation, where the errors from long-term load cells and external environmental sources (e.g., winds) can be removed via an automatic drainage system and artificial intelligence-based data quality control procedure. Our rain gauge system consists of an instrument unit for measuring precipitation, a communication unit for transmitting and receiving measured precipitation signals, and a database unit for storing, processing, and analyzing precipitation data. This newly developed rain gauge was designed according to the weather instrument criteria, where precipitation amounts filled into the tipping bucket are measured considering the receiver's diameter, the maximum measurement of precipitation, drainage time, and the conductivity marking. Moreover, it is also designed to transmit the measured precipitation data stored in the PCB through RS232, RS485, and TCP/IP, together with connecting to the data logger to enable data collection and analysis based on user needs. Preliminary results from a comparison with an existing 1.0-mm tipping bucket rain gauge indicated that our developed rain gauge has an excellent performance in continuous precipitation observation with higher measurement accuracy, more correct precipitation days observed (120 days), and a lower error of roughly 27 mm occurred during the measurement period.

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급냉응고 및 열간가공된 Al-Zr계 합금의 석출거동 (Precipitation Behaviors of Rapidly Solidified and Hot Worked Al-Zr Base Alloys)

  • 박원욱
    • 한국주조공학회지
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.194-200
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    • 1995
  • Rapidly Solidified (RS) Al-Zr base splats with various alloy contents were prepared by atomization-splat quenching method to understand the continuous and discontinuous precipitation in the aged alloys. And the RS alloys were consolidated by hot extrusion and swaging to analyze the effect of plastic deformation on the precipitation behavior. Discontinuous precipitation dominated at relatively low temperature in the Al-Zr alloy, whereas both V additions to Al-Zr alloys and hot metal working appeared to suppress the discontinuous precipitation. As continuous precipitation is favored in the grain interiors, the driving force for discontinuous precipitation become to disappear with a further process.

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고온침전반응에 의한 산화아연 제조공정에서 입자의 형상 및 입도분포에 미치는 침전조건의 영향 (The effect of precipitation conditions on the particle size and size distribution of zinc oxide prepared by high temperature precipitation)

  • 주창식
    • 한국인쇄학회지
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.11-22
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    • 1998
  • For the purpose of preparation of monodispersed spherical zinc oxide fine particles, an experimental research on the preparation of zinc oxide particles from zinc salts solutions by high temperature precipitation reaction was performed. Zinc oxide particles were precipitated from all the precipitation solutions tested if the precipitation temperature was higher than 60$^{\circ}$. As the precipitation temperature Increased until 80$^{\circ}$, the average particle diameter of zinc oxide particles decreased and the narrower particle size distribution were obtained. Spherical zinc oxide fine particles with relatively narrow particle size distribution were precipitated from the ZnSO$_4$ solutions with NaOH as precipitant. Final pH of precipitation solution had an effect on the amount of zinc oxide precipitated, but had no effect on the their particle size or size distribution.

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Stochastic simulation of daily precipitation: A copula approach

  • Choi, Changhui;Ko, Bangwon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.245-254
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    • 2014
  • The traditional methods of simulating daily precipitation have paid little attention to the inherent dependence structure between the total precipitation amount and the precipitation frequency for a fixed period of time. To address this issue, we propose a new simulation algorithm using copula in order to incorporate the dependence into the traditional methods. The algorithm consists of two parts: First, while reflecting the observed dependence, we generate the total precipitation amount (S) and the frequency (N) during the period of interest; then we simulate the daily precipitation whose aggregation matches the pair of (N; S) generated in the first part. Our result shows that the proposed method substantially improves the traditional methods.

부산지방 강수량의 변화시점에 관한 통계적 접근 (The Statistical Approaches on the Change Point Problem Precipitation in the Pusan Area)

  • 박종길;석경하
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 1998
  • This paper alms to estimate the change point of the precipitation in Pusan area using the several statistical approaches. The data concerning rainfall are extracted from the annual climatological report and monthly weather report issued by the Korean Meteorological Administration. The average annual precipitation at Pusan is 1471.6 mm, with a standard deviation of 406.0 mm, less than the normal(1486.0 mm). The trend of the annual precipitation is continuously decreasing after 1991 as a change point. And the statistical tests such as t-test and Wilcoxon rank sum test reveals that the average annual precipitation of after 1991 is less than that of before 1991 at 10% significance level. And the mean gnu성 precipitation In Kyongnam districts is also continuously decreasing after 1991 same as Pusan.

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Nonlinear Canonical Correlation Analysis of the Korea Precipitaiton with Sea Surface Temperature near East Asia

  • 김광섭;순밍동
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2010년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.1620-1624
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    • 2010
  • The NLCCA has been applied to analyze the East Asia sea surface temperature (SST) and Korea monthly precipitation, where the eight leading PCs of the SST and the eight PCs of the precipitation during 1973-2007 were inputs to an NLCCA model. The first NLCCA mode is plotted in the PC spaces of the Korea precipitation and the world SST present a curve linking the nonlinear relationship between the first three leading PCs of Korea precipitation and world SST forthright. The correlation coefficient between canonical variate time series u and v is 0.8538 for the first NLCCA mode. And there are some areas' climate variability have higher relationship with Korea precipitation, especially focus on the north of East Sea' climate variability have represented the higher canonical correlation with Korea precipitation, with the correlation coefficient is 0.871 and 0.838. Likewise in Korea, most stations display similarly uniform distributing characteristic and less difference, in particular the inshore stations have display identical distributing characteristic. In correlation variables' scores, the fluctuation and variation trend are also seasonal oscillation with high frequency.

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