• 제목/요약/키워드: Power-Weibull model

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Application of discrete Weibull regression model with multiple imputation

  • Yoo, Hanna
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.325-336
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    • 2019
  • In this article we extend the discrete Weibull regression model in the presence of missing data. Discrete Weibull regression models can be adapted to various type of dispersion data however, it is not widely used. Recently Yoo (Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society, 30, 11-22, 2019) adapted the discrete Weibull regression model using single imputation. We extend their studies by using multiple imputation also with several various settings and compare the results. The purpose of this study is to address the merit of using multiple imputation in the presence of missing data in discrete count data. We analyzed the seventh Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES VII), from 2016 to assess the factors influencing the variable, 1 month hospital stay, and we compared the results using discrete Weibull regression model with those of Poisson, negative Binomial and zero-inflated Poisson regression models, which are widely used in count data analyses. The results showed that the discrete Weibull regression model using multiple imputation provided the best fit. We also performed simulation studies to show the accuracy of the discrete Weibull regression using multiple imputation given both under- and over-dispersed distribution, as well as varying missing rates and sample size. Sensitivity analysis showed the influence of mis-specification and the robustness of the discrete Weibull model. Using imputation with discrete Weibull regression to analyze discrete data will increase explanatory power and is widely applicable to various types of dispersion data with a unified model.

A NOVEL WEIBULL MARSHALL-OLKIN POWER LOMAX DISTRIBUTION: PROPERTIES AND APPLICATIONS TO MEDICINE AND ENGINEERING

  • ELHAM MORADI;ZAHRA SHOKOOH GHAZANI
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제41권6호
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    • pp.1275-1301
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    • 2023
  • This paper introduced the Weibull Marshall-Olkin Power Lomax (WMOPL) distribution. The statistical aspects of the proposed model are presented, such as the quantiles function, moments, mean residual life and mean deviations, variance, skewness, kurtosis, and reliability measures like the residual life function, and stress-strength reliability. The parameters of the new model are estimated using six different methods, and simulation research is illustrated to compare the six estimation methods. In the end, two real data sets show that the Weibull Marshall-Olkin Power Lomax distribution is flexible and suitable for modeling data.

A Mathematical model to estimate the wind power using three parameter Weibull distribution

  • Seshaiah, C.V.;Sukkiramathi, K.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.393-408
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    • 2016
  • Weibull distribution is a suitable distribution to use in modeling the life time data. It has been found to be a exact fit for the empirical distribution of the wind speed measurement samples. In brief this paper consist of important properties and characters of Weibull distribution. Also we discuss the application of Weibull distribution to wind speed measurements and derive an expression for the probability distribution of the power produced by a wind turbine at a fixed location, so that the modeling problem reduces to collecting data to estimate the three parameters of the Weibull distribution using Maximum likelihood Method.

와이블-역승법을 이용한 기계류부품의 가속시험 방법 개발 (Development of accelerated life test method for mechanical components using Weibull-IPL(Inverse Power Law) model)

  • 이근호;김형의;강보식
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.445-450
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    • 2003
  • This study was performed 10 develop the accelerated life test method using Weibull-IPL(Inverse Power Law) model for mechanical components. Weibull-IPL model is concerned with determining the assurance life with confidence level and the accelerated life test time From the relation of weibull distribution factors and confidence limit, the testing times on the no number of failure acceptance criteria arc determined. The mechanical components generally represent wear and fatigue characteristics as a failure mode. IPL based on the cumulative damage theory is applied effectively the mechanical components to reduce the testing time and to achieve the accelerating test conditions. As the actual application example, accelerated life test method of agricultural tractor transmission was described. Life distribution of agricultural tractor transmission was supposed to follow Weibull distribution and life test time was calculated under the conditions of average life (MTBF) 3,000 hours and 90% confidence level for one test sample. According to IPL, because test time call be shorten in case increase test load test time could be reduced by 482 hours when we put the load 1.1 times of rated load than 0.73 times of rated load that is equivalent load calculated by load spectrum of the agricultural tractor. This time, acceleration coefficient was 11.7.

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Evaluation of wind power potential for selecting suitable wind turbine

  • Sukkiramathi, K.;Rajkumar, R.;Seshaiah, C.V.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.311-319
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    • 2020
  • India is a developing nation and heavily spends on the development of wind power plants to meet the national energy demand. The objective of this paper is to investigate wind power potential of Ennore site using wind data collected over a period of two years by three parameter Weibull distribution. The Weibull parameters are estimated using maximum likelihood, least square method and moment method and the accuracy is determined using R2 and root mean square error values. The site specific capacity factor is calculated by the mathematical model developed by three parameter Weibull distribution at different hub heights above the ground level. At last, the wind energy economic analysis is carried out using capacity factor at 30 m, 40 m and 50 m height for different wind turbine models. The analysis showed that the site has potential to install utility wind turbines to generate energy at the lowest cost per kilowatt-hour at height of 50 m. This research provides information of wind characteristics of potential sites and helps in selecting suitable wind turbine.

Two Factors Failure Model of Oil-Paper Insulation Aging under Electrical and Thermal Multistress

  • Li, Jian;Wang, Yan;Bao, Lianwei
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.957-963
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    • 2014
  • Converter transformers play important roles in high-voltage direct current transmission systems. This paper presents experimental and analysis results of the combined electrical and thermal aging of oil-impregnated paper at pulsating DC voltages. Breakdown voltages and time-to-breakdown of oil-paper specimens were measured by using short-time and constant-stress tests. The breakdown characteristics of combined electrical and thermal aging on insulation system were discussed. According to the relationship between failure time and aging temperature, the two-parameter Weibull model was improved. On the basis of the competing risk algorithm and the improved Weibull model, the two factors failure model was calculated. And the influence of temperature in the insulation system has been analyzed. This model performs better than the two-parameter Weibull model when both time and temperature are considered as variables in estimating the lifetime of oil-paper insulation.

소자의 수명 예측을 위한 Weibull Step-Stress Type-I Model (Weibull Step-Stress Type-I Model Predict the Lifetime of Device)

  • 정재성;오영환
    • 전자공학회논문지A
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    • 제32A권6호
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    • pp.67-74
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    • 1995
  • This paper proposes the step-stress type-I censoring model for analyzing the data of accelerated life test and reducing the time of accelerated life test. In order to obtain the data of accelerated life test, the step-stress accelerated life test was run with voltage stress to CMOS Hex Buffer. The Weibull distribution, the Inverse-power-law model and Maximum likelihood method were used. The iterative procedure using modified-quasi-linearization method is applied to solve the nonlinear equation. The proposed Weibull step-stress type-I censoring model exactly estimases the life time of units, while reducting the time of accelerated life test and the equipments of test.

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On the maximum likelihood estimators for parameters of a Weibull distribution under random censoring

  • Kim, Namhyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.241-250
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we consider statistical inferences on the estimation of the parameters of a Weibull distribution when data are randomly censored. Maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) and approximate MLEs are derived to estimate the parameters. We consider two cases for the censoring model: the assumption that the censoring distribution does not involve any parameters of interest and a censoring distribution that follows a Weibull distribution. A simulation study is conducted to compare the performances of the estimators. The result shows that the MLEs and the approximate MLEs are similar in terms of biases and mean square errors; in addition, the assumption of the censoring model has a strong influence on the estimation of scale parameter.

3변수 Weibull 분포형의 형상매개변수 및 극치값 가중치를 고려한 EDF 검정에 대한 연구 (A Study on Empirical Distribution Function with Unknown Shape Parameter and Extreme Value Weight for Three Parameter Weibull Distribution)

  • 김태림;신홍준;허준행
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제46권6호
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    • pp.643-653
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    • 2013
  • 적절한 확률분포형을 결정하고 그에 따른 확률수문량을 산정하는 것은 빈도해석에서 가장 중요한 절차이며, 이를 수행하기 위해서는 경험적 확률분포에서 얻어지는 자료와 가정한 확률분포에서 얻어지는 자료의 일치 정도를 판별하는 적합도 검정을 거쳐야 한다. 지금까지 일반적으로 적용된 적합도 검정 방법은 분포형의 전체적인 적합정도를 판별하여 최근의 기상이변으로 인한 극치 사상에 대하여는 충분히 고려하지 못하고 있다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 분포형의 극치 사상에 가중치를 주는 modified Anderson-Darling(AD) 검정 방법을 3변수 Weibull 분포형에 적용하여 검정통계량 한계값과 기각력을 살펴보았으며 이를 실제자료에 적용한 결과, modified AD 검정 방법이 다른 기존의 적합도 검정보다 더 우수한 기각력을 가지고 있음을 확인하였다. 이는 앞으로 3변수 Weibull 분포형을 이용한 극치 수문량 선정에 있어 modified AD 방법이 하나의 기준으로 작용할 수 있을 것이라 판단된다.

터빈설치를 위한 한국 연안 해상풍력발전 부존량 평가 (Assessment of Offshore Wind Power Potential for Turbine Installation in Coastal Areas of Korea)

  • 강금석;오남선;고동휘;정신택;황재동
    • 한국해안·해양공학회논문집
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.191-199
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    • 2018
  • 본 연구에서는 한국 연안의 해상풍력 발전을 위한 적지를 검토하기 위해 기상청에서 제공하는 20개 지점의 풍속 자료를 수집하고 이를 분석하였다. 관측된 풍속 자료의 분석을 위하여 Rayleigh 모델과 Weibull 모델을 이용하였으며, 풍속 출현빈도에 따라 연간 부존량을 추정하였다. 풍력발전기 모델로는 출력 1.5~5 MW의 7종류를 선정하여 각각의 성능곡선을 이용하였다. 그 결과, 풍속이 7.15 m/s 이상인 지점에서는 Repower-5 MW의 터빈이 높은 에너지 생산이 가능한 것으로 나타났으나 그 이하의 풍속에서는 G128-4.5 MW의 터빈이 유리한 것으로 나타났다. 10 m/s 이상의 풍속 출현율이 높은 마라도, 거제도 및 포항의 경우 REpower사의 5 MW급 해상풍력발전기 설치 시 설비이용률이 56.49%, 50.92%, 50.08%로 높게 나타났다.