• Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
• /
• v.39 no.4
• /
• pp.41-54
• /
• 2019

The proportion of solar photovoltaic power generation has steadily increased in the power trade market. Solar energy forecast is highly important for the stable trade of volatile solar energy in the existing power trade market, and it is necessary to identify accurately any forecast error according to the forecast lead time. This paper analyzes the latest study trend in solar energy forecast overseas and presents a consistent comparative assessment by adopting a single statistical variable (nRMSE) for forecast errors according to lead time and forecast technology.

• Journal of the Korean Society for Geothermal and Hydrothermal Energy
• /
• v.12 no.3
• /
• pp.9-16
• /
• 2016

This study had the purpose on feasibility judgment through performance forecast of wind power generation system using the cross flow vertical type wind power turbine for the situation of domestic small size wind power technology development. Wind power generation system uses the principle of venturi tube that gathers the wind through the first guide vane, and second guide vein changes the angle of the wind simultaneously by playing the role of venturi tube. After this, wind got out from the second guide vane spins the wind power turbine and has the meaning of judging on the aspect of numerical interpretation the feasibility for the small size wind power generation through wind power generation system that comes out from the back.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
• /
• 2000.07a
• /
• pp.337-340
• /
• 2000

In this paper, the effects of the uncertain hourly load demand are stochastically analyzed especially by the consideration of the average over generation of the Unit Commitment(UC) results. In order to minimize the effects of the actual load profile change, a new UC algorithm is proposed. The proposed algorithm calculates the UC results with the lower load level than the one generated by the conventional load forecast. In case of the worse load forecast, the deviation of the conventional UC solution can be overcome with the lower load level and the more hourly reserve requirements. The proposed method is tested with sample systems, which shows that the proposed method can be used as the basic guideline for selecting the potimal load forecast applying to UC problem.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
• /
• 2006.11a
• /
• pp.375-377
• /
• 2006

This paper presents a method to calculate generation power for integrating Sihwa tidal power into power systems. The sea levels of 1 minute interval using cubic interpolation based on the forecasted levels of high and low water offered from Nori(National Oceanographic Research Institute) are calculated. If the sea level is greater than the lake level and the difference between sea level and lake level at high tide is over the default value, it begins to calculate the tidal power. It is seen that tidal power can supply power to demand side stably and economically from assessment of effect for integrating tidal power into power systems.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
• /
• v.2 no.2
• /
• pp.152-156
• /
• 2007

This paper proposes a method for real-time control of both capacitors and ULTC in a distribution system to reduce the total power loss and to improve the voltage profile over the course of a day. The multi-stage consists of the off-line stage to determine dispatch schedule based on a load forecast and the on-line stage generates the time and control sequences at each sampling time. It is then determined whether one of the control actions in the control sequence is performed at the present sampling time. The proposed method is presented for a typical radial distribution system with a single ULTC and capacitors.

• 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 2006.06a
• /
• pp.323-324
• /
• 2006

In the present paper a forecasting system of wind power generation for Walryong Site, Jejudo is presented, which has been developed and evaluated as a first step toward establishing Korea Forecasting Model of Wind Power Generation. The forecasting model, KIER forecaster is constructed based on statistical models and is trained with wind speed data observed at Gosan Weather Station nearby Walryong Si to. Due to short period of measurements at Walryong Site for training statistical model, Gosan wind data were substituted and transplanted to Walryong Site by using Measure-Correlate-Predict technique. Three-hour advanced forecast ins shows good agreement with the measurement at Walryong site with the correlation factor 0.88 and MAE(mean absolute error) 15% under.

• Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
• /
• v.12 no.4
• /
• pp.1386-1396
• /
• 2017

In this paper, a new approach is proposed to select the optimal sitting and sizing of distributed solar photovoltaic generation (SPVG) in a radial electrical distribution systems (EDS) considering load/generation uncertainties. Here, distributed generations (DGs) allocation problem is modeled as optimization problem with network loss based objective function under various equality and inequality constrains in an uncertain environment. A boundary power flow is utilized to address the uncertainties in load/generation forecasts. This approach facilitates the consideration of random uncertainties in forecast having no statistical history. Uncertain solar irradiance is modeled by beta distribution function (BDF). The resulted optimization problem is solved by a new Dynamic Harmony Search Algorithm (DHSA). Dynamic band width (DBW) based DHSA is proposed to enhance the search space and dynamically adjust the exploitation near the optimal solution. Proposed approach is demonstrated for two standard IEEE radial distribution systems under different scenarios.

• Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
• /
• v.21 no.1
• /
• pp.157-163
• /
• 2007

This paper presents a method to calculate generation power for integrating Sihwa tidal power into power systems. The sea levels of 1 minute interval using cubic interpolation based on the forecasted levels of high and low water offered from Nori(National Oceanographic Research Institute) are calculated. If the sea level is greater than the lake level and the difference between sea level and lake level at high tide is over the default value, it begins to calculate the tidal power. It is seen that tidal power can supply power to demand side stably and economically from assessment of effect for integrating tidal power into power systems.

• Korean System Dynamics Review
• /
• v.7 no.2
• /
• pp.57-80
• /
• 2006

Nuclear technology made a great contribution to the national economy and society by localization of nuclear power plant design, and by stabilization of electricity price, etc. It is very important to conduct the retrospective analysis for the nuclear technology contribution to the national economy and society, but it is more important to conduct prospective analysis for the nuclear technology contribution. The term "technology value" is often used in the prospective analysis to value the result of technology development. There are various definitions of technology value, but generally it means the increment of future revenue or the reduction of future cost by technology development. These technology valuation methods are widely used in various fields (information technology or energy technology, etc). The main objective of this research is to develop valuation methodology that represents unique characteristics of nuclear power technology. The valuation methodology that incorporates market share changes of generation technologies was developed. The technology valuation model which consists of five modules (electricity demand forecast module, technology development module, market share module, electricity generation module, total cost module) to incorporate market share changes of generation technologies was developed. The nuclear power technology value assessed by this technology valuation model was 3 times more than the value assessed by the conventional method. So it was confirmed that it is very important to incorporates market share changes of generation technologies. The valuation results of nuclear power technology in this study can be used as policy data for ensuring the benefits of nuclear power R&D (Research and Development) investment.

• The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
• /
• v.15 no.2
• /
• pp.129-135
• /
• 2015

This study, in the operation of street lamp, suggests appropriate algorithm to extend the number of days of street lamp operation as much as possible if the number of sunless days continues and experimentally determines the value of Weather Factor necessary for this algorithm. This is conducted by reducing electricity consumption and securing battery remains through the use of standby power mode, in which maximum amount of light is maintained if there is a pedestrian, and constant brightness is maintained without utilizing maximum electric power if no pedestrians exist, with the application of WFactor value created by the algorithm considering weather forecast and amount of sunlight.