• Title/Summary/Keyword: Potential scenarios

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Geographical Analysis on Network Reliability of Public Transportation Systems:A Case Study of Subway Network System in Seoul (대중 교통망의 네트워크 신뢰도에 관한 지리학적 분석 -서울시 지하철망을 대상으로-)

  • Kim, Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.187-205
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    • 2009
  • Failures on network components of a public transportation system can give rise to the severe degradation of entire system functionality. This paper aims at exploring how potential failures can affect the system flows and reliability of subway network systems in Metropolitan Seoul. To evaluate the range of impacts of disruptions, this research employs a probabilistic approach, network reliability. Network reliability measures the network resiliency and probability of flow loss under a variety of simulated disruptions of critical network components, transfer stations in subway system. By identifying the best and worst scenarios associated with geographical impact, as well as evaluating the criticality of transfer stations, this research presents some insights for protecting current subways systems.

Estimation of Wave Parameters for Probabilistic Tsunami Hazard Analysis Considering the Fault Sources in the Western Part of Japan (일본 서부 단층 지진원을 고려한 확률론적 지진해일 재해도 분석의 파고 변수 도출)

  • Rhee, Hyun-Me;Kim, Min Kyu;Sheen, Dong-Hoon;Choi, In-Kil
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.151-160
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    • 2014
  • Probabilistic tsunami hazard analysis (PTHA) is based on the approach of probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) which is performed using various seismotectonic models and ground-motion prediction equations. The major difference between PTHA and PSHA is that PTHA requires the wave parameters of tsunami. The wave parameters can be estimated from tsunami propagation analysis. Therefore, a tsunami simulation analysis was conducted for the purpose of evaluating the wave parameters required for the PTHA of Uljin nuclear power plant (NPP) site. The tsunamigenic fault sources in the western part of Japan were chosen for the analysis. The wave heights for 80 rupture scenarios were numerically simulated. The synthetic tsunami waveforms were obtained around the Uljin NPP site. The results show that the wave heights are closely related with the location of the fault sources and the associated potential earthquake magnitudes. These wave parameters can be used as input data for the future PTHA study of the Uljin NPP site.

Safely Evaluation on Common Grounding System for Electric Railway (전기철도의 공용접지 시스템에 대한 안정성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Jin-Ho;Hwang, Yu-Mo
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers B
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    • v.51 no.6
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    • pp.298-306
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    • 2002
  • We performed an safety evaluation on constructing of a common grounding system for electrical railway in view of its efficacy and technical fit. In order to compare the conventional grounding method, which has been individually conducted, with the common grounding with all ground wires connected in common to the counterpoise buried below the surface of the earth in parallel with rail, we set up scenarios with several cases of fault and load conditions in Chungbuk railway sections with the common grounding system. Based on models for railway conductors including the grounded system, line Parameters of railway power system are computed. The circuit model for power system with up and down lines, auto-transformers and railway substations is used to compute impedances of counterpoise and substation ground net. For each scenario with faults and operation conditions of railway, the induced potentials on signal and communication lines are also computed. It is shown that the common grounding for Chungbuk railway is superior experimentally to the conventional method in three respects: (1) the lower rail potentials during operation of railway in line, (2) the lower rail potentials for short-circuit faults between catenary and rail, and (3) the lower stress voltages on signal and communication lines for short-circuit or ground faults. The analysis results confirm that the grounding system for electric railway is required to be built by the common grounding and be evaluated on its safety in design.

Simulation-Based Determination of Hydrodynamic Derivatives and 6DOF Motion Analysis for Underwater Vehicle (시뮬레이션 기반 수중 운동체의 유체력 미계수 결정 및 6자유도 운동해석)

  • Go, Gwangsoo;Ahn, Hyung Taek;Ahn, Jin-Hyeong
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.371-377
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    • 2017
  • This paper introduces a simulation-based determination method for hydrodynamic derivatives and 6DOF (degrees-offreedom) motion analysis for an underwater vehicle. Hydrodynamic derivatives were derived from second-order modulus expansion and composed of the added mass, and linear and nonlinear damping coefficients. The added mass coefficients were analytically obtained using the potential theory. All of the linear and nonlinear damping coefficients were determined using CFD simulation, which were performed for various cases based on the actual operating condition. Then, the linear and nonlinear damping coefficients were determined by fitting the CFD results, which referred to 6DOF forces and moments acting on an underwater vehicle, with the least square method. To demonstrate the applicability of the current study, 6DOF simulations for three different scenarios (L-, U-, and S-turn) were carried out, and the results were validated on the basis of physical plausibility.

Economic Analysis of a Residential Ground-Source Heat Pump System (단독주택용 지열원 열펌프 시스템의 경제성 분석)

  • Sohn, Byong-Hu;Kang, Shin-Hyung;Lim, Hyo-Jae
    • New & Renewable Energy
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    • v.3 no.4
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    • pp.31-37
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    • 2007
  • Because of their low operating and maintaining costs, ground-source heat pump(GSHP) systems are an increasingly popular choice for providing heating, cooling and water heating to public and commercial buildings. Despite these advantages and the growing awareness, GSHP systems to residential sectors have not been adopted in Korea until recently. A feasibility study of a residential GSHP system was therefore conducted using the traditional life cycle cost(LCC) analysis within the current electricity price framework and potential scenarios of that framework. As a result, when the current residential electricity costs for running the GSHP system are applied, the GSHP system has weak competitiveness to conventional HV AC systems considered. However, when the operating costs are calculated in the modified price frameworks of electricity, the residential GSHP system has the lower LCC than the existing cooling and heating equipments. The calculation results also show that the residential GSHP system has lower annual prime energy consumption and total pollutant emissions than the alternative HVAC systems considered in this work.

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Acceleration-based neural networks algorithm for damage detection in structures

  • Kim, Jeong-Tae;Park, Jae-Hyung;Koo, Ki-Young;Lee, Jong-Jae
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • v.4 no.5
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    • pp.583-603
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    • 2008
  • In this study, a real-time damage detection method using output-only acceleration signals and artificial neural networks (ANN) is developed to monitor the occurrence of damage and the location of damage in structures. A theoretical approach of an ANN algorithm that uses acceleration signals to detect changes in structural parameters in real-time is newly designed. Cross-covariance functions of two acceleration responses measured before and after damage at two different sensor locations are selected as the features representing the structural conditions. By means of the acceleration features, multiple neural networks are trained for a series of potential loading patterns and damage scenarios of the target structure for which its actual loading history and structural conditions are unknown. The feasibility of the proposed method is evaluated using a numerical beam model under the effect of model uncertainty due to the variability of impulse excitation patterns used for training neural networks. The practicality of the method is also evaluated from laboratory-model tests on free-free beams for which acceleration responses were measured for several damage cases.

Potential Release of Environmental Flow through Irrigation Reservoir (농업용 저수지에서의 환경용수 방류 능력 평가)

  • Kim, Sang-Min;Kim, Sung-Jae;Kim, Yong-Wan;Park, Tae-Yang;Kim, Sung-Min;Park, Ki-Wook;Jang, Min-Won
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.53 no.6
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    • pp.101-109
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study was to establish the methodology for providing the environmental flows from irrigation reservoir. Reservoir water budget for study area was analyzed to simulate the water supply scenarios for environmental flows. Bonghyun and Hi reservoirs area, located in Gyeongnam, Gosung-gun, Hi-myeon, were selected for study watersheds and streams for this study. Reservoir operation was simulated to determine the envionmental flows supply amount from March to October with the constraint that environmental flow supply was restrained when the storage of reservoir were below the half or one-third of effective storage. The simulated results indicated that the supply of environmental flows with the amount of 200 ton/day and 600 ton/day resulted in up to 15 mm and 29 mm of runoff depth increase in the downstream, respectively. The effect of environmental flows supply from existing irrigation reservoir was not significant because the irrigation reservoir was not designed to supply the environmental flows. It is necessary to remodel the irrigation reservoir and develop the reservoir operation technique, to meet the need for the environmental flows.

Spatial Simulation of Urban Expansion Area using GIS and CA Technologies (GIS-CA 기법을 이용한 도시확산 지역의 공간적 모의)

  • Kim, Dae-Sik;Chung, Ha-Woo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.10 no.4 s.25
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2004
  • The purpose or this study is to simulate spatially the urban expansion phenomena with a cellular automata (CA) technique using GIS. A study area, Suwon city, was selected for test of model verification and application with the classified land-use maps of three data years: 1986, 1996, and 2000. The urbanized potential maps were generated with seven criteria of one geographic factor (slope of land), and six accessibility factors (time distances from city, national road, Seoul, station, and built-up boundary), considering their weighting values, which were optimized by WSM (weighted scenario method for intensity order) combined a ranking method and a AHP technique. The optimized weighting values at the urban expansion between 1986 and 1996 were applied to verify the CA model for the other expansion between 1996 and 2000. The results of model application showed that urban sprawl phenomena of the urban expansion toward rural area can be simulated spatially and temporally with several boundary conditions considering various scenarios for the criteria and parameters of the model. Ultimately, this study can contribute to reference data for land-use planning of urban fringe areas.

Tensile response of steel/CFRP adhesive bonds for the rehabilitation of civil structures

  • Matta, F.;Karbhari, Vistasp M.;Vitaliani, Renato
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.589-608
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    • 2005
  • There is a growing need for the development and implementation of new methods for the rapid and cost-effective rehabilitation of deteriorating steel structural components to offset the drawbacks related to welding and/or bolting in the field. Carbon fiber reinforced polymer (CFRP) composites provide a potential alternative as externally bonded patches for strengthening and repair of metallic structural members for building and bridge systems. This paper describes results of an investigation of tensile and fatigue response of steel/CFRP joints simulating scenarios of strengthening and crack-patching. It is shown that appropriately designed schemes, even when fabricated with levels of inaccuracy as could be expected in the field, can provide significant strain relief and load transfer capability. A simplified elasto-plastic closed form solution for stress analysis is presented, and validated experimentally. It is shown that the bond development length remains constant in the linear range, whereas it increases as the adhesive is deformed plastically. Fatigue resistance is shown to be at least comparable with the requirements for welded cover plates without attendant decreases in stiffness and strength.

A Study on the Development of Decision Support System for Tanker Scheduling (유조선 운항일정계획 의사결정지원 시스템의 개발에 관한 연구)

  • 김시화;이희용
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
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    • 1996.04a
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    • pp.59-76
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    • 1996
  • Vessels in the world merchant fleet generally operate in either liner or bulk trade. The supply and the demand trend of general cargo ship are both on the ebb however those trend of tankers and containers are ins light ascension. Oil tankers are so far the largest single vessel type in the world fleet and the tanker market is often cited as a texbook example of perfect competition. Some shipping statistics in recent years show that there has been a radical fluctuation in spot charter rate under easy charter's market. This implies that the proper scheduling of tankers under spot market fluctuation has the great potential of improving the owner's profit and economic performance of shipping. This paper aims at developing the TS-DSS(Decision Support System for Tanker Scheduling) in the context of the importance of scheduling decisions. TS-DSS is defined as a DSS based on the optimization models for tanker scheduling. The system has been developed through the life cycle of systems analysis design and implementation to be user-friendly system. The performance of the system has been tested and examined by using the data edited under several tanker scheduling has been tested and examined by using the data edited under several tanker scheduling scenarios and thereby the effectiveness of TS-DSS is validated satisfactorily. The authors conclude the paper with the comments of the need of appropriate support environment such as data-based DSS and network system for successful implementatio of the TS-DSS.

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