• Title/Summary/Keyword: Portfolio analysis

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A Study on the Relations among Stock Return, Risk, and Book-to-Market Ratio (주식수익률, 위험, 장부가치 / 시장가치 비율의 관계에 관한 연구)

  • Kam, Hyung-Kyu;Shin, Yong-Jae
    • Journal of Industrial Convergence
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.127-147
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    • 2004
  • This paper examines the time-series relations among expected return, risk, and book-to-market(B/M) at the portfolio level. The time-series analysis is a natural alternative to cross-sectional regressions. An alternative feature of the time-series regressions is that they focus on changes in expected returns, not on average returns. Using the time-series analysis, we can directly test whether the three-factor model explains time-varying expected returns better than the characteristic-based model. These results should help distinguish between the risk and mispricing stories. We find that B/M is strongly associated with changes in risk, as measured by the Fama and French(1993) three-factor model. After controlling for changes in risk, B/M contains little additional information about expected returns. The evidence suggests that the three-factor model explains time-varying expected returns better than the characteristic-based model.

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Estimation and Performance Analysis of Risk Measures using Copula and Extreme Value Theory (코퓰러과 극단치이론을 이용한 위험척도의 추정 및 성과분석)

  • Yeo, Sung-Chil
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.481-504
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    • 2006
  • VaR, a tail-related risk measure is now widely used as a tool for a measurement and a management of financial risks. For more accurate measurement of VaR, recently we are particularly concerned about the approach based on extreme value theory rather than the traditional method based on the assumption of normal distribution. However, many studies about the approaches using extreme value theory was done only for the univariate case. In this paper, we discuss portfolio risk measurements with modelling multivariate extreme value distributions by combining copulas and extreme value theory. We also discuss the estimation of ES together with VaR as portfolio risk measures. Finally, we investigate the relative superiority of EVT-copula approach than variance-covariance method through the back-testing of an empirical data.

Contrarian Strategy Based on Past Stock Return and Volatility (변동성을 이용한 반대투자전략에 대한 실증분석)

  • Park, Kyeong-In;Jee, Chang
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.1-25
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    • 2006
  • This paper studied the performance of momentum strategy and contrarian strategy based or past stock return ratio of Korean stock market. The comparative study shows that the volatility of stock markets that can be found the performance of momentum strategy is smaller than that of emerging stock market. Accordingly, This paper examines that the performances of momentum strategy and contrarian strategy are affected by the larger volatility in Korean stock market. Further analysis using the 6 years sub-portfolios reveals that the momentum strategy is significant only during 1980 to 1986 time period when it had the least market volatility. Additionally, we investigate whether firm-level volatility as well as market volatility influence on the performance of contrarian strategy, and figure out that the momentum strategy is significant for the portfolio composed of firms with smaller volatility for previous period, while not significant for the portfolio composed of firms with larger volatility.

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Problem Analysis and Study of Solution Device in Relation with Middle School Mathematics Performance Assessment (중학교 수학과 수행평가의 문제점 분석 및 그 해결 방안 연구)

  • 박재용
    • Journal of the Korean School Mathematics Society
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.149-163
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    • 2000
  • The Ministry of Education have had us practice the performance test as a substitute proposal, however, all the more for the idealistic purport, our education front does not have such a sufficient condition as to practice the performance test for many classes and miscellaneous duties and over-populated class, and that practice has been enforced so abruptly without any drastic preparation and has caused much confusion from the beginning of that enforcement. Thus, these problematic concerns are remained as the tasks of the teachers to be solved by themselves in the front of education, and herein I came to do this research. The followings are the conclusions that I got as the results of the research (1) Performance test style should be applied in consideration of the students' achievement level and the gap of the teachers' recognition; descriptive test, portfolio assignment and formative test styles were proper for the students lacking basic study ability. (2) Descriptive test should have its beginning with the question items to which students can write the problem solving procedure logically rather than those to evaluate the creation ability and thinking ability: and putting down specifically the assessment standard could prevent students' confusion and scheme the impartiality of the assessment. (3) Portfolio assignment evaluation should be given with as interesting and suitable amounts as possible so that the students can do by themselves. (4) Utilizing the performance test table enabled easy management of documentary evidence. And it is needless to say that the success of the performance test should have preceding conditions like the teachers' understanding and their positive participation. Therefore, I'd like to give suggestions herein like the followings; (1) The performance test should not always be made into grades, and there is a need to develop the test gradually in the condition that the education surroundings permit by checking time, frequency, ratio and contents of the test while practicing the multiple choice writing test. (2) As long as the performance test has the aims of improving the studying and learning activities, any performance test only for the sake of making numerals with the thought that assessment is the disposal of the grades should be avoided, and the change of the lecturing styles and development of various assessing types and studying materials should be endeavored to confirm with the aims.

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Eco-System: REC Price Prediction Simulation in Cloud Computing Environment (Eco-System: 클라우드 컴퓨팅환경에서 REC 가격예측 시뮬레이션)

  • Cho, Kyucheol
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2014
  • Cloud computing helps big data processing to make various information using IT resources. The government has to start the RPS(Renewable Portfolio Standard) and induce the production of electricity using renewable energy equipment. And the government manages system to gather big data that is distributed geographically. The companies can purchase the REC(Renewable Energy Certificate) to other electricity generation companies to fill shortage among their duty from the system. Because of the RPS use voluntary competitive market in REC trade and the prices have the large variation, RPS is necessary to predict the equitable REC price using RPS big data. This paper proposed REC price prediction method base on fuzzy logic using the price trend and trading condition infra in REC market, that is modeled in cloud computing environment. Cloud computing helps to analyze correlation and variables that act on REC price within RPS big data and the analysis can be predict REC price by simulation. Fuzzy logic presents balanced REC average trading prices using the trading quantity and price. The model presents REC average trading price using the trading quantity and price and the method helps induce well-converged price in the long run in cloud computing environment.

Development Strategy of the Renewable Energy Industry through Improvement of Renewable Portfolio Standard : Focused on Photovoltaic and Wind (의무할당제도 개선을 통한 신재생에너지 산업의 발전 전략 : 태양광, 풍력에너지 중심)

  • Kim, Jongwoan;Park, Sangchul
    • Journal of Energy Engineering
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.110-123
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    • 2016
  • Since increase in energy consumption and environmental issues started to grab global attention, various countries have had their own supporting policy to promote supply of renewable energy which is a stable and eco-friendly energy source. This study analyses Korean Renewable Portfolio Standard by comparative analysis of current policies in major countries in respect of design components of a pragmatic industrial policy system, such as political leadership, policy coordination and consultative committee discussion, and policy enforcement with responsibility and transparency. This is to identify problems and to present political suggestions for successful management of the standard based on a fundamental concept of the pragmatism industrial policy. It is predicted that the strategic cooperation between a market and a government leads to industry development as the relationships of two parties are regarded not as antagonistic but as complementary.

A Study on the Successful Introduction of Renewable Portfolio Standards Using Linear Programming Models (선형계획법을 이용한 RPS 제도의 효과적 도입 방안)

  • Lee, Hyeong-Seok;Yang, Seung-Ryong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.159-198
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    • 2010
  • The Korean government is planning to introduce the Renewable Portfolio Standard (RPS) system to replace the currently used Feed-in-Tariff (FIT) system which is a subsidy-based mechanism to foster the renewable energy industry. The RPS system is a market-oriented system in which the power companies are obliged to use renewable energy sources to produce electricity by a certain ratio of their production level. They can either produce for themselves or simply purchase the REC (renewable energy certificate) in the market to implement. The objective of this article is to compare the RPS system with the current FIT system in terms of the implementing cost to achieve the policy goal to expand the share of renewable energy m the total power generation. The analysis is conducted using Linear Programming models. The results of this study imply several policy suggestions to successfully introduce the RPS system.

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Analysis of the Compensation Level and Portfolio for Advanced S&T Manpower (고급 과학기술인력의 보상 수준과 포트폴리오에 관한 분석)

  • Min, Chul-Koo
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.219-245
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to design the compensation model by analyzing the compensation level for advanced science and technology manpower. The result of this study can be summarized as follows. First, advanced S&T manpower has preferred not only economic rewards, but also non-economic rewards which comprises both social reputation, self-satisfaction for job and other aspects of life. Second, the way of what high grade human resources in S&T have preferred to be rewarded differs among agencies. While professors in universities prefer research environment, researchers working for GRIs(Government-funded research institutes) want to have job stabilization and researchers in companies want to have higher monetary reward. Third, two main factors to change their occupation have been turned out to be monetary reward and social reputation. It means that the compensation system should satisfy what advanced S&T manpower at GRIs and companies need upgrading their social reputation.

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Discussion about the Mission Construct of the National R&D Programs: Case Study (NTIS 데이터를 활용한 국가연구개발사업의 미션구성체의 탐색적 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-Keun
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.167-191
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    • 2014
  • This study emphasizes the importance of the mission concept in managing the public programs by the government rather than the existing quantitative output. To this end, a case study for 7 representative National R&D Programs in Korea is presented, based on the program portfolio model using the mission construct suggested by the prior researches, in order to give its empirical validity and strategic meaning. For the case analysis, the study devises the measures to evaluate the level of the mission in a program in the aspect of achievement and appropriateness. Real data collected from NTIS are analyzed in two ways: static and dynamic perspectives. The first is conducted by differences of mission values among programs and the latter by yearly differences. Finally, it concludes the implication and the shortcoming of the study.

nterdependence of China, Hong Kong, Taiwan and Singapore Stock Markets after Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect (후강퉁(Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect) 이후 중국, 홍콩, 대만 및 싱가폴 증권시장의 상호의존성)

  • Jung, Heonyong
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.113-118
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    • 2019
  • This study analyzed how interdependence between China, Hong Kong, Taiwan and Singapore stock markets changed after the implementation of Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect system using the EGARCH-GED model that allow simultaneous analysis of return and variability. Since the implementation of this system, the interdependence of Taiwan stock market with the Greater China stock markets has been weakened, and the interdependence of Singapore's stock market with the Greater China stock markets has not been exist. On the other hand, he interdependence between China and Hong Kong stock markets has been shown to be significantly enhanced since the implementation of this system. This is appears to be the result of improved conditions for Chinese and Hong Kong investors to invest in the two stock markets following the implementation of this system. Thus, considering the portfolio investment in the Greater China stock markets, the investors will need to develop their investment strategies in light of these facts that the weakening interdependence of the Taiwan and Singapore securities markets and the strengthening interdependence of the Chinese and Hong Kong securities markets.