• 제목/요약/키워드: Population models

검색결과 959건 처리시간 0.033초

인구밀도의 변화로 본 도시내부의 성장과 공간패턴 - 서울의 예 (Intra-Urban Growth and Spatial Patterns in variation of Poupulation Density-The case of Seoul-)

  • 이진환
    • 대한지리학회지
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    • 제38권
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    • pp.61-74
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    • 1988
  • Changing patterns of population densities in urban centers are different between Western countries and non-Western countries. Although Seoul is located in a non-Western country, the result of this study shows that its pattern of population density falls into the category of Western cities. Through the examination of three population density gradient models, it is clear that no model can precisely explain the population distribution of Seoul over time. Some of the models partly indicate the actual population distrisbution. The Clark model is appropriate to denote population distribution in the center of Seoul at an early stage in development. The Sherratt model cannot adequately explain the population distribution of Seoul.

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Modeling Growth Kinetics of Lactic Acid Bacteria for Food Fermentation

  • Chung, Dong-Hwa;Kim, Myoung-Dong;Kim, Dae-Ok;Koh, Young-Ho;Seo, Jin-Ho
    • Food Science and Biotechnology
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    • 제15권5호
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    • pp.664-671
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    • 2006
  • Modeling the growth kinetics of lactic acid bacteria (LAB), one of the most valuable microbial groups in the food industry, has been actively pursued in order to understand, control, and optimize the relevant fermentation processes. Most modeling approaches have focused on the development of single population models. Primary single population models provide fundamental kinetic information on the proliferation of a primary LAB species, the effects of biological factors on cell inhibition, and the metabolic reactions associated with cell growth. Secondary single population models can evaluate the dependence of primary model parameters, such as the maximum specific growth rate of LAB, on the initial external environmental conditions. This review elucidates some of the most important single population models that are conveniently applicable to the LAB fermentation analyses. Also, a well-defined mixed population model is presented as a valuable tool for assessing potential microbial interactions during fermentation with multiple LAB species.

개체 수 변화에 대한 이산적 모델의 역사적 개요와 컴퓨터 소프트웨어를 이용하는 시각적 분석 방법 (A Historical Review on Discrete Models of Population Changes and Illustrative Analysis Methods Using Computer Softwares)

  • 심성아
    • 한국수학사학회지
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.197-210
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    • 2014
  • Species like insects and fishes have, in many cases, non-overlapping time intervals of one generation and their descendant one. So the population dynamics of such species can be formulated as discrete models. In this paper various discrete population models are introduced in chronological order. The author's investigation starts with the Malthusian model suggested in 1798, and continues through Verhulst model(the discrete logistic model), Ricker model, the Beverton-Holt stock-recruitment model, Shep-herd model, Hassell model and Sigmoid type Beverton-Holt model. We discuss the mathematical and practical significance of each model and analyze its properties. Also the stability properties of stationary solutions of the models are studied analytically and illustratively using GSP, a computer software. The visual outputs generated by GSP are compared with the analytical stability results.

산業社會의 人口移動推定을 위한 數理模型의 適용: 특히 1975년도 Census人口에 立脚한 將來人口推計 (On Two Mathematical Models and Their Appli-cations for the Estmation of Population)

  • J.H.Koo;C.K.Im;B.M.Jun;K.W.Jong
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.131-142
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    • 1978
  • This study aims to find out a suitable mathematical models for the estimation of population size and improve it for the estimation of social increase of population at urban areas. This study shows that Model (I) is obtained by the generalization of Kabak's Wild Life Management Model together with some other useful results as follows: a) By the transition matrix P, it is known that the interregional migrations have shown greater rise than those of five years ago. b) The invariant population vector $\alpha$ predicts that the Kyonggi area will have a share of 48%, the Choongcheong area of 10%, the Honam area of 12%, and the Youngnam area of 17% of the total population of Korea. c) The estimated population of the Special City of Seoul (Metropolitan) will be above ten millon in 1983. d) The estimated optmum population of Korea will be 53,850,000 in 2000 A.D.

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해충발생동태 및 예찰모델 개발: 수원에서의 이화명나방 발생 사례 (Development of Insect Population Dynamics and Forecast Models: A Case of Chilo suppressalis(Walker) Occurrence in Suwan)

  • 이준호
    • 한국응용곤충학회지
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    • 제38권3호
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    • pp.231-240
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    • 1999
  • 수원 지역에서의 이화명나방 발생의 장기적 경시적 변화 패턴을 분석하고 수원 지역에서의 이화명나방 봄나방(I화기) 발생시기 예찰 모델을 개발하였다.수원에서의 이화명나방의 개체군동태는 1965년부터 1996년까지 한 번의 큰 피크와 한 번의 작은 피크를 보인 주기적 변동을 보였으며 발생 변동의 큰 주기는 대략 36세대 (18년)로 분석되었다. 수원 지역에서의 이화명나방 발생동태는 l세대를 작은 주기로 하는 내적 유발성 주기성을 보였으며 전세대의 밀도의존성이 높은 제 l차 부의 피이드백 작용에 의해 지배되는 내적 동태성이 기본이었다. 이화명나방 개체군 변동 메카니즘은 밀도의 급격한 감소에도 불구하고 변화가 없었다.수원 지역의 이화명나방 발생 자료를 바탕으로 봄나방 발생시기 예찰 모델들(온도발육모델 및 온일도 모델)을 개발하였다.또한, 이화명나방 개체군 동태와 관련한 봄나방 성충 예찰 문제를 고찰하였다.

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Yonsei Evolutionary Population Synthesis (YEPS) Model -III. Spectrophotometric Evolutions of Simple Stellar Population Models based on Empirical Spectra

  • Chung, Chul;Yoon, Suk-Jin;Lee, Young-Wook
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.38.1-38.1
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    • 2013
  • We present the Yonsei evolutionary population synthesis (YEPS) models based on the high-resolution empirical spectral energy distributions (SEDs). We have adopted the MILES library in the optical wavelength, and our new models based on the MILES library show good agreements with our previous models presented in the YEPS I. The effect of hot horizontal-branch (HB) stars on the integrated properties of simple stellar populations (SSPs) is again confirmed by our models based on empirical SEDs. In addition, we have extended our empirical models to the near-IR wavelength and predicted the strengths of the calcium II triplet (CaT) and the Paschen triplet (PaT) based on the INDO-US and the Cenarro library. We find that the effect of HB stars and the age of SSPs on the CaT is almost negligible. On the other hands, the PaT models are very sensitive to the existence of hot stars, e.g., HB stars and young turn-off stars, and show very similar results with Balmer lines. Interestingly, the CaT distribution of GCs in NGC 1407, which is at odds with the optical (B-I) color distribution, can be explained by the unique feature of the CaT-[Fe/H] relations that show almost the same equivalent widths in the metal-rich regime. We will also discuss the impact of the second-generation populations on the strength of the CaT.

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Sustainability of pensions in Asian countries

  • Hyunoo, Shim;Siok, Kim;Yang Ho, Choi
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제29권6호
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    • pp.679-694
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    • 2022
  • Mortality risk is a significant threat to individual life, and quantifying the risk is necessary for making a national population plan and is a traditionally fundamental task in the insurance and annuity businesses. Like other advanced countries, the sustainability of life pensions and the management of longevity risks are becoming important in Asian countries entering the era of aging society. In this study, mortality and pension value sustainability trends are compared and analyzed based on national population and mortality data, focusing on four Asian countries from 1990 to 2017. The result of analyzing the robustness and accuracy of generalized linear/nonlinear models reveals that the Cairns-Blake-Dowd model, the nonparametric Renshaw-Haberman model, and the Plat model show low stability. The Currie, CBD M5, M7, and M8 models have high stability against data periods. The M7 and M8 models demonstrate high accuracy. The longevity risk is found to be high in the order of Taiwan, Hong Kong, Korea, and Japan, which is in general inversely related to the population size.

집단 약동학 모형을 위한 모형 진단과 적합도 검정에 대한 고찰 (Model Validation Methods of Population Pharmacokinetic Models)

  • 이은경
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.139-152
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    • 2012
  • 집단 약동학 모형 추정의 결과는 환자에게 투약학 약물의 용량결정에 직접적 영향을 미치므로 추정 모형에 대한 타당도와 적합도의 검증이 중요하다. 본 논문에서는 다양한 집단 약동학 모형 적합도 검증을 위한 방법들을 비교, 분석하고 실제 임상자료를 이용하여 최적의 집단 약동학 모형을 찾고 이에 대하여 다양한 타당도, 적합도 검정을 실시하여 모형을 진단해 본다.

Population Synthesis Models for the Sextans and Carina Dwarf Spheroidal Galaxies

  • Joo, Seok-Joo;Lee, Young-Wook
    • 한국우주과학회:학술대회논문집(한국우주과학회보)
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    • 한국우주과학회 2003년도 한국우주과학회보 제12권2호
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    • pp.78-78
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    • 2003
  • Dwarf galaxies are the most common type of galaxy in the universe and believed to be basic building blocks of the large scale structures. In order to understand the formation history of these galaxies, we selected two well-observed galaxies in the Local Group and constructed the stellar population models including HB stars. We employed Y$^2$ Isochrones (Yi et al. 2001) and HB tracks (Yi et al. 1997) for stellar population synthesis. Our models show that (1) the Carina dSph has several distinct populations with age of ∼10.5, 5.8, 4.1, 2.8 and 1.0 Gyrs, and (2) stellar populations of the Sextans dSph are constructed in terms of the two populations with age of ∼ 11 and ∼2.5 Gyrs. Observational data were kindly provided by Lee et al. (2003, in preparation) and Monelli et al. (2003) for Sextans and Carina dsphs, respectively.

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Finite Population Prediction under Multiprocess Dynamic Generalized Linear Models

  • Kim, Dal-Ho;Cha, Young-Joon;Lee, Jae-Man
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.329-340
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    • 1999
  • We consider a Bayesian forcasting method for the analysis of repeated surveys. It is assumed that the parameters of the superpopulation model at each time follow a stochastic model. We propose Bayesian prediction procedures for the finite population total under multiprocess dynamic generalized linear models. The multiprocess dynamic model offers a powerful framework for the modelling and analysis of time series which are subject to a abrupt changes in pattern. Some numerical studies are provided to illustrate the behavior of the proposed predictors.

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