• Title/Summary/Keyword: Population models

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A Study on Spatial and Temporal Distribution of a Pest via Generalized Linear Mixed Models (일반화선형혼합모형을 통한 해충밀도의 시공간분포 연구)

  • 박흥선;조기종
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.185-196
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    • 2004
  • It is an important research area in Integrated Pest Management System to estimate the pest density within plants, because the artificial controls such as spraying pesticides or biological enemies depend on the information of pest density. This paper studies the population density distribution of two-spotted spider mite in glasshouse roses. As the data were collected repeatedly on the same subject, Subject-Specific and Population Averaged approaches are used and compared.

Numerical Analysis on Passenger Flow for the Model of Railway Station (철도 역사 모델에 대한 여객 유동 해석)

  • Kwon, Hyeok-Bin;Cha, Chang-Hwan;Nam, Seong-Won
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2006.11b
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    • pp.387-391
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    • 2006
  • Insight into behaviour of pedestrians as well as tools to assess passenger flow conditions are important in for instance planning and geometric design of railway station under regular and safety-critical circumstances. Algorithm for passenger flow analysis based on DEM(Discrete Element Method) is newly developed. There are lots of similarity between particle-laden two phase flow and passenger flow. The velocity component of 1st phase corresponds to the unit vector of calculation cell, each particle to passenger, volume fraction to population density and the particle velocity to the walking velocity, etc. And, the walking velocity of passenger is also represented by the function of population density. Key algorithms are developed to determine the position of passenger, population density and numbering to each passenger. To verify the effectiveness of new algorithm, passenger flow analysis for the basic models of railway station is conducted.

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New implications on the analysis of stellar populations based on the close link between globular clusters and their host galaxies

  • Chung, Chul;Yoon, Suk-Jin;Lee, Young-Wook
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.47.4-47.4
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    • 2019
  • Recent observations on the double red clumps in the bulge validate the close connection in stellar populations between Galactic globular clusters (GCs) and the Milky Way (MW) bulge. Intriguingly, diverse phenomena observed in early-type galaxies (ETGs) and their GC systems are also indicating the similarities with Galactic GCs with multiple populations. Here, we present the population synthesis for the Galactic bulge and ETGs using stellar populations observed in the Galactic GCs with multiple populations. Our new models well explain observations of both the MW bulge and ETGs. Also, the inclusion of GC-originated population to the population synthesis model shows substantial impacts on the age-dating of stellar populations. The implication of this result for the interpretation of the formation history and the age-dating of ETGs will be discussed in detail.

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Evaluation of Crossbreeding Effects for Wool Traits in Sheep

  • Malik, B.S.;Singh, R.P.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.19 no.11
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    • pp.1536-1540
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    • 2006
  • Crossbreeding effects for wool quality traits viz. greasy fleece weight (kg), staple length (cm), average fibre diameter (${\mu}$) and medulation percentage were estimated using the Dickerson's and Kinghorn's models. The data analyzed involved 15 genetic groups including Nali purebred, $F_1$'s of two and three breeds, $F_2$'s and reciprocal crossbred obtained from the crossing of Nali (N), Merino (M) and Corriedale (C) breeds during 1980-96. Nali and Corriedale breeds had non-significant negative additive genetic effects (Dickerson's model) on greasy fleece weight, while effects of Corriedale were negative for staple length only from both models. In general additive genetic effects of all three breeds were non-significant for all the wool traits except medulation percentage. Non significant heterotic and recombination effects (epistatic loss) were estimated from both models. However, the estimates of crossbreeding effects varied between the models both in magnitude as well as in direction barring few exceptions. Undesirable positive heterosis was found on medulation percentage for all types of combinations involving three breeds. Comparison of least squares means of various genetic groups revealed that both two breed and three breed crosses were superior to the Nali breed for all wool quality traits. Fibre diameter of MN crossbreds was significantly less than CN crossbreds. Results also indicated that as the inheritance of Nali breed in a cross is decreased, the medulation percentage decreases which is desirable. Inter se mating of crossbreds (two breed, three breed) has not resulted in a decline in the wool quality traits. These results indicate that the synthetic population derived from three breeds can be stabilized easily for wool traits as there may not be epistatic loss on subsequent inter se mating of crossbreds.

Development of a Model for Physiological Safe Work Load from a Model of Metabolic Energy for Manual Materials Handling Tasks (에너지 대사량을 고려한 인력물자취급시의 생리적 안전 작업하중 모델 개발)

  • Kim Hong-Ki
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.90-96
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    • 2004
  • The objective of this study was to develop a model for safe work load based on a physiological model of metabolic energy of manual material handling tasks. Fifteen male subjects voluntarily participated in this study. Lifting activities with four different weights, 0, 8, 16, 24kg, and four different working frequencies (2, 5, 8, 11 lifts/min) for a lifting range from floor to the knuckle height of 76cm were considered. Oxygen consumption rates and heart rates were measured during the performance of sixteen different lifting activities. Simplified predictive equations for estimating the oxygen consumption rate and the heart rate were developed. The oxygen consumption rate and the heart rate could be expressed as a function of task variables; frequency and the weight of the load, and a personal variable, body weight, and their interactions. The coefficients of determination ($r^2$) of the model were 0.9777 and 0.9784, respectively, for the oxygen consumption rate and the heart rate. The model of oxygen consumption rate was modified to estimate the work load for the given oxygen consumption rate. The overall absolute percent errors of the validation of this equation for work load with the original data set was 39.03%. The overall absolute percent errors were much larger than this for the two models based on the US population. The models for the oxygen consumption rate and for the work load developed in this study work better than the two models based on the US population. However, without considering the biomechanical approach, the developed model for the work load and the two US models are not recommended to estimate the work loads for low frequent lifting activities.

Plant breeding in the 21st century: Molecular breeding and high throughput phenotyping

  • Sorrells, Mark E.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Crop Science Conference
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    • 2017.06a
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    • pp.14-14
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    • 2017
  • The discipline of plant breeding is experiencing a renaissance impacting crop improvement as a result of new technologies, however fundamental questions remain for predicting the phenotype and how the environment and genetics shape it. Inexpensive DNA sequencing, genotyping, new statistical methods, high throughput phenotyping and gene-editing are revolutionizing breeding methods and strategies for improving both quantitative and qualitative traits. Genomic selection (GS) models use genome-wide markers to predict performance for both phenotyped and non-phenotyped individuals. Aerial and ground imaging systems generate data on correlated traits such as canopy temperature and normalized difference vegetative index that can be combined with genotypes in multivariate models to further increase prediction accuracy and reduce the cost of advanced trials with limited replication in time and space. Design of a GS training population is crucial to the accuracy of prediction models and can be affected by many factors including population structure and composition. Prediction models can incorporate performance over multiple environments and assess GxE effects to identify a highly predictive subset of environments. We have developed a methodology for analyzing unbalanced datasets using genome-wide marker effects to group environments and identify outlier environments. Environmental covariates can be identified using a crop model and used in a GS model to predict GxE in unobserved environments and to predict performance in climate change scenarios. These new tools and knowledge challenge the plant breeder to ask the right questions and choose the tools that are appropriate for their crop and target traits. Contemporary plant breeding requires teams of people with expertise in genetics, phenotyping and statistics to improve efficiency and increase prediction accuracy in terms of genotypes, experimental design and environment sampling.

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A Study on the Socio-economic Characteristics of the Angler Population and the Estimation of A Fishing Frequency Function (유어낚시인구의 사회경제학적 특성과 출조빈도함수의 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Park Cheol-Hyung
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.36 no.1 s.67
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    • pp.81-101
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    • 2005
  • This article is to estimate the fishing frequency function in Korean recreational fishery with respect to socio-economic characteristics of anglers. First, the study described the characteristics of the entire angler population on the view points of 9 socio-economic variables. And then, the study divided the total angler population into three groups of in-land, sea, and mixed angler populations in order to investigate the differences in their characteristics. The study could confirm the existence of differences in regions, size of regions, and educational levels between the in - land and the sea angler populations by testing heterogeneity in the frequency table. The fishing frequency function is estimated using Poisson regression model in order to accomodate the count data(non-negative discrete random variable) aspects of the fishing frequency. However, the model specification error is found due to overdispersion of data. The model exhibits the lack of goodness of fit. The negative binomial regression model is adopted to cure the overdispersion of the data as an alternative estimation methodology. Finally, the study can confirm overdispersion does not exist in the model any more and the goodness of fit improved significantly to the reasonable level. The results of estimation of fishing frequency population modeled by the negative binomial regression models are following. The three variables of region, sex, and education have effects on the decision making process of fishing frequency in the case of in-land recreation fishery. On the other hand, the three variables of sex, age, and marriage status do the same job in the case of sea angler population. Among the left-over variables, both income and use of Internet variables now affect on the process in mixed angler population. Finally, the results of whole angler population show that all of the previous variables are proven to be statistically significant due to the summation of data with all three sub-groups of angler population.

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A Review of Healthcare Provider Payment System in Korea (한국의 진료비 지불제도 현황과 혁신 과제)

  • Eun-won Seo;Seol-hee Chung
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.379-388
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    • 2023
  • This study aims to propose the implementation of innovative payment models in Korea in order to promote the financial sustainability of the national health insurance system by reviewing the current status of the payment system in Korea and examining other countries' experiences with various innovative payment models. Korea primarily uses a fee-for-service payment system and additionally uses various payment systems such as case payment, per diem, and pay-for-performance. However, each payment system has its limitations. Many OECD (Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development) countries have pointed out the limitations of existing payment systems and have been attempting various innovative payment models (e.g., add-on payment, bundled payment, and population-based payment). Therefore, it is essential for Korea to consider innovative payment models, such as a mixed payment model that takes into account the strengths and weaknesses of each payment system, and to design and pilot these models. This process requires stakeholders to work together to build a social consensus on the implementation of innovative payment systems and to refine legal and systematic aspects, develop an integrated health information system, and establish dedicated organizations and committees. These efforts towards innovative payment models will contribute to developing a sustainable health insurance system that ensures the public's health and well-being in Korea.

STOCK ASSESSMENT OF YELLOW CROAKER IN THE YELLOW SEA AND EAST CHINA SEA (황해및 동지나해의 참조기자원량 해석 -주로 한국기선저인망, 안강망, 유자망, 일본기선저인망 어장을 중심으로-)

  • SHIN Sang Taek
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.11-19
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    • 1975
  • Yellow croaker, Pseudosciaena manchurica Jordan et Thompson, in the Yellow Sea and the East China Sea are subjected to be caught by trawl nets, stow nets and gill nets throughout the year. Monthly indices of population size are calculated. Mathematic models (I) were used in order to determine catchability coefficient, natural mortality, fishing mortality, coefficient coefficient of the fishing ground and dispersion coefficient from the fishing ground. The results are summarized as follows: 1971 1972 1973 $$Catchability\;coefficient\;(C)=1.9369\times10^{-5}\;7.5459\times10^{-6}\;1.2670\times10^{-5}$$ Natural mortality (M) = 0.1645 0.6152 0.4367 Population for the first half season (February 1 to May 31) 1971 1972 1973 Initial\;population=\;107,100M/T 209,100M/T 214,400M/T Dispersion=83,000' 159,700' 133,400' Natural mortailty= 4,700' 32.700' 19,100' Final population= 2,800' 4,500' 49,000' Population for the latter half season (June 1st to the following January 31st) 1971 1972 1973 Initial population= 44,500M/T 67,500M/T 83,800MT Recruitment= 19,000' 183,900' 67,100' Natural mortality= 5,900' 67,900' 38,500' Final population= 37,000' 168,300' 92,400'.

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Evaluation of selection program by assessing the genetic diversity and inbreeding effects on Nellore sheep growth through pedigree analysis

  • Illa, Satish Kumar;Gollamoori, Gangaraju;Nath, Sapna
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.33 no.9
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    • pp.1369-1377
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    • 2020
  • Objective: The main objectives of the present study were to assess the genetic diversity, population structure and to appraise the efficiency of ongoing selective breeding program in the closed nucleus herd of Nellore sheep through pedigree analysis. Methods: Information utilized in the study was collected from the pedigree records of Livestock Research Station, Palamaner during the period from 1989 to 2016. Genealogical parameters like generation interval, pedigree completeness, inbreeding level, average relatedness among the animals and genetic conservation index were estimated based on gene origin probabilities. Lambs born during 2012 and 2016 were considered as reference population. Two animal models either with the use of Fi or ΔFi as linear co-variables were evaluated to know the effects of inbreeding on the growth traits of Nellore sheep. Results: Average generation interval and realized effective population size for the reference cohort were estimated as 3.38±0.10 and 91.56±1.58, respectively and the average inbreeding coefficient for reference population was 3.32%. Similarly, the effective number of founders, ancestors and founder genome equivalent of the reference population were observed as 47, 37, and 22.48, respectively. Fifty per cent of the genetic variability was explained by 14 influential ancestors in the reference cohort. The ratio fe/fa obtained in the study was 1.21, which is an indicator of bottlenecks in the population. The number of equivalent generations obtained in the study was 4.23 and this estimate suggested the fair depth of the pedigree. Conclusion: Study suggested that the population had decent levels of genetic diversity and a non-significant influence of inbreeding coefficient on growth traits of Nellore lambs. However, small portion of genetic diversity was lost due to a disproportionate contribution of founders and bottlenecks. Hence, breeding strategies which improve the genetic gain, widens the selection process and with optimum levels of inbreeding are recommended for the herd.