• Title/Summary/Keyword: Population estimation

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Issues in Developing Statistics for the Handicapped Population (장애자통계의 개선방안)

  • 최봉호;이승욱
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.73-86
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    • 1994
  • In order for handicapped people to maintain better humane life, it is necessary to get statistics of them in developing appropriate national policy. However, it is very difficult to obtain baseline statistics on regular or occasional basis. It's reason is mainly attributed to attitudes of their family's tendency to conceal any existence of such memeber in the household. As a result, the statis-tics on the handicapped population is very inaccurate and under satisfaction. We must produce such statistics periodically in time and with accuracy. Thus, this study porposes five methods which, we believe, can produce reliable statistics of thehandcapped population : 1) vitalization through enforcement of handicapped information into the registration system, 2) inclusion in population census of items related to handicapped information, 3) improvement of the physically handicapped population survey scheme, 4) utilization of hospital patients' records for development of the statistics, and 5) an estimation through the labor force survey.

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A Study on the Influx of Population by Rural Tourism in Rural Village (농촌마을의 농촌관광 시행에 따른 인구유입효과에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Se-Hee;Jung, Nam-Su;Um, Dae-Ho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2008
  • Settlement problems in rural area are gradually becoming more intense due to decreasing agricultural income led by market globalization. Rural tourism is considered as one of alternatives for complementing agricultural income. In this study, we analyzed the relation of rural development project and the influx of population on green tourism villages. Results show that the influx of population in rural area is related with project cost, tourism income, visiting numbers, and ratio of labor population. With these results, we modified rural population model for estimating future rural population. Adapted result to Buraemi village by modified model showed that estimation error can be decreased from 7.23% to 0.95%.

Estimation of Population Growth Rate using Jolly-Seber Method and Robust Design

  • Kim, Jihye;Hong, Taekyong;Choi, JinSik;Namkung, Pyong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.919-930
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    • 2003
  • Mark-Recapture method for open population commonly use Jolly-Seber method. This method assumes that all animals are equally likely to be caught in each sample (the equal catchability). This objects are making introduction of Mark-Recapture method for open population and using the robust design that combine a open population method with close population method to solve upper problems. Then population growth rate estimators that are derived Pollock's Jolly-Seber parameters and Kendall's Jolly-Seber parameters are estimated.

Interval Estimation of the Difference of two Population Proportions using Pooled Estimator

  • Hong, Chong-Sun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.389-399
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    • 2002
  • In order to examine whether the difference between two point estimates of population proportions is statistically significant, data analysts use two techniques. The first is to explore the overlap between two associated confidence intervals. Second method is to test the significance which is introduced at most statistical textbooks under the common assumptions of consistency, asymptotic normality, and asymptotic independence of the estimates. Under the null hypothesis which is two population proportions are equal, the pooled estimator of population proportion is preferred as a point estimator since two independent random samples are considered to be collected from one population. Hence as an alternative method, we could obtain another confidence interval of the difference of the population proportions with using the pooled estimate. We conclude that, among three methods, the overlapped method is under-estimated, and the difference of the population proportions method is over-estimated on the basis of the proposed method.

Genetic Structure of the Mulberry Silkworm Population in Sri Lanka: I. Estimation of Combining Ability and Heritability

  • Lea, Ho-Zoo;Alwis, Siriani-M.de
    • Journal of Sericultural and Entomological Science
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.10-15
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    • 1995
  • Genetic characterization of Sri Lankan silkworm bivoltine population has not been at-tempted so far, since its sporadic introduction of bivoltine strains into the island, starting from the 1950's. Genetic structure of Sri Lankan population of mulberry silkworm Bombyx mori was investigated through estimation of general (GCA) and specific combining ability(SCA) and heritability(${h^2}_B$), on the economic quantitative characters from leading 8 inbreds and their 28 F1's in a half diallel cross, in an attempt to utilize the estimates in determination of future breeding methods and to predict the breeding value over the phenotypic value. It was found that the breeding population of the bivoltine silkworm in Sri Lanka has still maintained considerable amounts of additive gene action as well as nonadditive. For some time in the future, both breeding strategies of "selection without inbreeding" and also "inbreeding followed by crossing" should therefore be effective in genetic improvement of economic characters investigated. In addition, superior combiners in general and in specific F1′s were identified for each of 6 economic characters, to be immediately utilized in selection and also in cross breeding programs in Sri Lanka.

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An Application of the Genetic Algorithm on Population Estimation Using Urban Environmental Factors (도시환경변수를 이용한 격자 인구추정에 있어서의 유전적 알고리즘기법 활용 연구)

  • Choei, Nae-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.119-130
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    • 2010
  • The Genetic Algorithm has been frequently applied by many researchers as one of the population surface modelling tool in estimating the regional population based on the gridded spatial system. Taking the East-Hwasung area as the case, this study first builds a gridded population data based on the KLIS and eAIS databases as well as municipal population survey data, and then constructs the attribute values of the explanatory variables by way of GIS tools. The GA model is run to maximize its fitness function measuring the correlation coefficient between the observed and predicted values of the 70 population cells. It is shown that the GA output predicted reasonably consistent and meaningful coefficient estimates for the explanatory variables of the model.

An Estimation of the National Cancer Incidence in Korea for 2000-2002 Using the Databases of 8 Population-based Regional Cancer Registries (한국 8개 지역암등록본부 자료를 활용한 2000-2002년 한국인 국가 암통계 추정)

  • Bae, Jong-Myeon
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.41 no.6
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    • pp.380-386
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    • 2008
  • Objectives: Valid data on the national cancer incidence (NCI) is the data should be needed to plan, monitor and evaluate the national cancer control programs. The purpose of this study was to estimate the NCI for 2000-2002 from 8 population-based cancer registries database in Korea (KRCR DB). Methods: We defined the expected number of cancer cases in each registry as the number of observed cases and then adding to the weighted observed cases, according to sex, age groups, and the proportion of the population covered by each registry for the population of the eight regions and the population of all areas with excluding the 8 regions. From the expected number of total cancer incidents, he estimated NCI was calculated by dividing the expected number of cancer cases by he umber of the total population. The standard error (SE) of the estimated incidence was also taken from the expected number of total cancer incidents. Results: The overall estimated crude rates in 2000-2002 ere 267.1 and 219.0 per 100,000 for men and women, respectively. The overall age-standardized rates (ASR) were 290.1 and 180.7 per 100,000, respectively. Compared with the ASRs obtained from Korea National Cancer Incidence database (KNCI DB), the estimated ASRs from the KRCR DB did not show statistically significant differences except for some cancers in women. For the aspect of the SE, index of DCO(death certificate only) and of MV(microscopically verified), the estimated ASRs from the KRCR DB are more accurate and they have higher quality rather than the calculated ASRs from the KNCI DB. Conclusions: We found that this developed method using the KRCR DB is valid and it could be another strategy for estimating the NCI in Korea.

Estimation of Surface Spectral Reflectance using A Population with Similar Colors (유사색 모집단을 이용한 물체의 분광 반사율 추정)

  • 이철희;서봉우;안석출
    • Journal of Korea Multimedia Society
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    • v.4 no.1
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    • pp.37-45
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    • 2001
  • The studies to estimate the surface spectral reflectance of an object have received widespread attention using the multi-spectral camera system. However, the multi-spectral camera system requires the additional color filter according to increment of the channel and system complexity is increased by multiple capture. Thus, this paper proposes an algorithm to reduce the estimation error of surface spectral reflectance with the conventional 3-band RGB camera. In the proposed method, adaptive principal components for each pixel are calculated by renewing the population of surface reflectances and the adaptive principal components can reduce estimation error of surface spectral reflectance of current pixel. To evaluate performance of the proposed estimation method, 3-band principal component analysis, 5-band wiener estimation method, and the proposed method are compared in the estimation experiment with the Macbeth Color Checker. As a result, the proposed method showed a lower mean square error between the estimated and the measured spectra compared to the conventional 3-band principal component analysis method and represented a similar or advanced estimation performance compared to the 5-band wiener method.

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A Comparative Study on Misconception about Statistical Estimation that Future Math Teachers and High School Students have (통계적 추정에 관한 예비 수학교사들과 고등학생들의 오개념 비교 분석)

  • Han, Ga-Hee;Jeon, Youngju
    • Journal of the Korean School Mathematics Society
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.247-266
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, three main concepts are chosen for this statistical estimation study, based on previous studies: confidence interval and reliability, sampling distribution of mean and population mean estimation, and relationships between elements of confidence interval. The main objectives of this study are as follows: 1. How are the attitudes that future math teachers and high school students have to ward the statistical estimation? 2. Is there some difference in the awareness of misconceptions about the statistical estimation that future math teachers and high school students have? A study result shows that both groups have difficulties in understanding statistical concepts and their meaning used in Unit Statistical Estimation. They tend to wrongly think that the meaning of reliability is the same as that of probability. They also have difficulties in understanding sample variance in the sampling distribution of mean, which makes it impossible to connect with population mean estimation. It is shown that relationships between elements consisting of confidence interval are not consistent.

Cut off Sampling and Estimation (절사법과 추정)

  • 한근식
    • Proceedings of the Korean Association for Survey Research Conference
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    • 2003.06a
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    • pp.29-33
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    • 2003
  • In business survey. cut off sampling is usual. The contribution from cut off part of the population is at least small in comparison with the remaining population. In this study. the population have been separated as three stratum, cut-off. take-some, take-all, and we will estimate cut-off part.

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