• 제목/요약/키워드: Population estimates

검색결과 392건 처리시간 0.139초

Unreliability of Official Population in Korea (우리나라 공식인구의 신뢰성 및 문제점에 대한 고찰)

  • Park, You-Sung;Kim, Kee-Whan;Kim, Seong-Yong
    • Survey Research
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.71-95
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    • 2010
  • Base population, intercensal and postcensal population estimates, and population projections have been regularly published as official populations. Base population is usually made out based on census conducted every 5 or 10 years, and is most important from which intercensal, postcensal estimates, and population projections are derived. We investigate how base population in Korea is made out and then compare it with those of other countries. We also present problems arising from making out base population in Korea.

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Dental utilization and expenditures in Korea Health Panel Survey, 2008-2011 (한국의료패널의 치과외래 이용 및 의료비 지출에 대한 4년간(2008-2011)의 변화추이)

  • Jung, Se-Hwan
    • The Journal of the Korean dental association
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    • 제52권5호
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    • pp.291-301
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    • 2014
  • Korea Health Panel Survey (KHPS) has been conducted to provide nationally representative estimates of health care use and expenditures for non-institutionalized population in Korea since 2008. The aim of this study was to present estimates from KHPS on dental utilization and expenditures from 2008 to 2011. While weighted estimates were presented for each year from 2008 to 2011, the focus of this study was on the 2011 estimates and changes in dental utilization and expenditures between 2008 and 2011. Weighted estimates were obtained using population weights and statistical significances were analysed by independent t-test or ANOVA test using SPSS version 20 for Windows. In 2011, 21.1% of Korean population obtained outpatient dental services from dentists. From 2008 to 2011, the percent of people with a dental visit in each year increased slightly. In 2011, the mean number of dental visits was 4.46. While the mean number of dental visits remained stable by 2010, it increased slightly in 2011. The total annual dental expense in 2011 for people with a visit was about 460,000 Korean Won and 10% higher in 2008. In summary, this study results highlight low rates of dental utilization and high dental expenses in Korean population.

Interval Estimation of the Difference of two Population Proportions using Pooled Estimator

  • Hong, Chong-Sun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.389-399
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    • 2002
  • In order to examine whether the difference between two point estimates of population proportions is statistically significant, data analysts use two techniques. The first is to explore the overlap between two associated confidence intervals. Second method is to test the significance which is introduced at most statistical textbooks under the common assumptions of consistency, asymptotic normality, and asymptotic independence of the estimates. Under the null hypothesis which is two population proportions are equal, the pooled estimator of population proportion is preferred as a point estimator since two independent random samples are considered to be collected from one population. Hence as an alternative method, we could obtain another confidence interval of the difference of the population proportions with using the pooled estimate. We conclude that, among three methods, the overlapped method is under-estimated, and the difference of the population proportions method is over-estimated on the basis of the proposed method.

Estimation of Effective Population Size in the Sapsaree: A Korean Native Dog (Canis familiaris)

  • Alam, M.;Han, K.I.;Lee, D.H.;Ha, J.H.;Kim, J.J.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제25권8호
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    • pp.1063-1072
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    • 2012
  • Effective population size ($N_e$) is an important measure to understand population structure and genetic variability in animal species. The objective of this study was to estimate $N_e$ in Sapsaree dogs using the information of rate of inbreeding and genomic data that were obtained from pedigree and the Illumina CanineSNP20 (20K) and CanineHD (170K) beadchips, respectively. Three SNP panels, i.e. Sap134 (20K), Sap60 (170K), and Sap183 (the combined panel from the 20K and 170K), were used to genotype 134, 60, and 183 animal samples, respectively. The $N_e$ estimates based on inbreeding rate ranged from 16 to 51 about five to 13 generations ago. With the use of SNP genotypes, two methods were applied for $N_e$ estimation, i.e. pair-wise $r^2$ values using a simple expectation of distance and $r^2$ values under a non-linear regression with respective distances assuming a finite population size. The average pair-wise $N_e$ estimates across generations using the pairs of SNPs that were located within 5 Mb in the Sap134, Sap60, and Sap183 panels, were 1,486, 1,025 and 1,293, respectively. Under the non-linear regression method, the average $N_e$ estimates were 1,601, 528, and 1,129 for the respective panels. Also, the point estimates of past $N_e$ at 5, 20, and 50 generations ago ranged between 64 to 75, 245 to 286, and 573 to 646, respectively, indicating a significant $N_e$ reduction in the last several generations. These results suggest a strong necessity for minimizing inbreeding through the application of genomic selection or other breeding strategies to increase $N_e$, so as to maintain genetic variation and to avoid future bottlenecks in the Sapsaree population.

Exposure Assessment in Risk Assessment

  • Herrick Robert F.
    • 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한예방의학회 1994년도 교수 연수회(환경)
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    • pp.426-430
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    • 1994
  • The assessment of exposure is an important component of the risk assessment process. Exposure information is used in risk assessment in at least two ways: 1) in the identification of hazards and the epidemiologic research investigating exposure-response relationships and 2) in the development of population exposure estimates. In both of these cases, the value of a chemical risk assessment is enhanced by improvements in the quality of exposure assessments. The optimum exposure assessment is the direct measurement of population exposure; however, such measurements are rarely available. Recent developments in methods for exposure assessment allow estimates to be made that are valid representations of actual exposure. The use of these exposure estimates to classify exposures correctly enhances the likelihood that causal associations between exposure and response will be correctly identified and that population risks will be accurately assessed.

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Estimating the Population Variability Distribution Using Dependent Estimates From Generic Sources (종속적 문헌 추정치를 이용한 모집단 변이 분포의 추정)

  • 임태진
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.43-59
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    • 1995
  • This paper presents a method for estimating the population variability distribution of the failure parameter (failure rate or failure probability) for each failure mode considered in PSA (Probabilistic Safety Assessment). We focus on the utilization of generic estimates from various industry compendia for the estimation. The estimates are complicated statistics of failure data from plants. When the failure data referred in two or more sources are overlapped, dependency occurs among the estimates provided by the sources. This type of problem is first addressed in this paper. We propose methods based on ML-II estimation in Bayesian framework and discuss the characteristics of the proposed estimators. The proposed methods are easy to apply in real field. Numerical examples are also provided.

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Application of Sampling Theories to Data from Bottom Trawl Surveys Along the Korean Coastal Areas for Inferring the Relative Size of a Fish Population (한반도 연근해 저층 트롤 조사 자료에 표본론을 적용한 개체군의 상대적 크기 추정)

  • Lee, Hyotae;Hyun, Saang-Yoon
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • 제50권5호
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    • pp.594-604
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    • 2017
  • The Korean National Institute of Fisheries Science (NIFS) has biannually (spring and fall, respectively) deployed a bottom trawl survey along the coastal areas for last decade, taking samples on a regular basis (i.e., a systematic sampling). Despite the availability of the survey data, NIFS has not yet officially reported the estimates of the groundfish population sizes as well as has not evaluated uncertainty of the estimates. The objectives of our study were to infer the relative size of a fish population, applying two different sampling techniques (namely simple and stratified sampling) with different observation units to the NIFS survey data, and to compare those two techniques in bias and precision. For demonstration purposes, we used data on Pacific cod (Gadus macrocephalus) collected by the 2011-2015 surveys, and the results of simple and stratified sampling showed that the point estimates and precision varied by observation unit as well as the sampling technique.

Bayesian estimation for finite population proportions in multinomial data

  • Kwak, Sang-Gyu;Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.587-593
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    • 2012
  • We study Bayesian estimates for finite population proportions in multinomial problems. To do this, we consider a three-stage hierarchical Bayesian model. For prior, we use Dirichlet density to model each cell probability in each cluster. Our method does not require complicated computation such as Metropolis-Hastings algorithm to draw samples from each density of parameters. We draw samples using Gibbs sampler with grid method. We apply this algorithm to a couple of simulation data under three scenarios and we estimate the finite population proportions using two kinds of approaches We compare results with the point estimates of finite population proportions and their standard deviations. Finally, we check the consistency of computation using differen samples drawn from distinct iterates.

A Study on the Method for Establishment of Quantitative Target of the Urban Greenspace - in the case of suwon city (도시녹지공간의 양적 목표치 설정방법에 관한 연구 - 수원시를 사례로 -)

  • 이동근;성현찬;윤소원
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.158-170
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    • 1998
  • In this study, we divide greenspace in Suwon city into three parts, that is, the conservation part, the maintenance part and the creation part by considering the quantitative aspect of greenspace and the present targets. To do it, two steps are taken. Firstly, assuming that the target year is 2007, the final target of greenspace area is established by combining targets presented in present state survey, the evaluation of resident perception and the future population estimates. The target of greenspace area in present state survey is 7,887,062$m^2$+$\alpha$ and that of greenspace area demanded in the evaluation of resident perception is 8,242,419$m^2$. Demand of greenspace area based on population estimates is 4,227,513$m^2$. When the greenspace needed in the city is added, the target may be more than 8,242,419$m^2$ which is demanded in the evaluation of resident perception. Outcome of the present state survey, 7,887,062$m^2$ + $\alpha$, is considered to be enough to accomodate the greenspace area demanded in the evaluation of resident perception and the population estimates. Therefore, targets of greenspace in Suwon City was established based on the area of greenspace analyzed in the present state survey. Secondly, the target of greenspace is divided into three parts, that is, the conservation part, the maintenance part and creation part. And the methods to attain the target are presented. In order to set desirable targets of urban greenspace, it is necessary to combine the outcome of present state survey, the resident perception, the population estimates and the various urban conditions. If the results of this study are applied to the urban planning or other related planning, the urban ecosystem will be protected and the biotope will be created.

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ANALYSIS ON POTENTIALITY AND ERTILITY OF THE KOREAN POPULATION IN JAPAN (재일한국인 인구의 Potentiality와 출산력에 관한 고찰)

  • 김윤신
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • 제2권1호
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    • pp.5-16
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    • 1978
  • The main purpose of this study is to examine the recent level of fertility and potentiality of the Korean population in Japan and to investigate some forces which influence the fertility of them using survey data. Some estimates of the level of fertility for the Korean population in Japan in 1974 are presented in Table 1. Comparing the some estimates for 1974 with those for 1969, the level of fertility in 1974 was realistically declined. It also indicated that potentiality of Koreans in Japan showed decreasing population. For investigating some factors affecting fertility, total births is selected which regressed on some variables believed in general to be influential in determiaing fertility. It was used a step-wise multiple regression to determine the independent as well as the combined effects of each of the variables. The SPSS computer program was used to perform the anlysis. Result from this data reveals that wife's family size preference as relevant predictor does influence the fertility of Koreans in Japan at this point considering that the age group of 20-29 is very much related. By employing multiple classification analysis, the analysis is concluded by nothing that the wi 3 family size preference has an even stronger relationship with economic factors than any other facto 3.

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