• Title/Summary/Keyword: Population decline

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Quantitative Study on Sustainability of Building Construction in Japan from Perspective of Recent Changes in Building Status and Trends

  • Atushi TAMURA;Koya UTSUMI;Akinori KONNO
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2024.07a
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 2024
  • After increasing to 84 trillion yen in FY1992 following the burst of Japan's economic bubble, construction investment in Japan fell to 42 trillion yen in FY2010 in the wake of the global financial crisis. It subsequently recovered to 67 trillion yen in FY2022, driven largely by demand for reconstruction after the Great East Japan Earthquake and Abenomics. On the other hand, the sustainability of Japanese construction is under threat due to a declining population and a decrease in the number of construction workers. A breakdown in sustainability is not only detrimental to the population, but also leads to delays in disaster recovery for Japan, which is a disaster-prone country. It is therefore necessary to analyze the status and trends in building construction in recent years to clarify the future sustainability of building construction in Japan. This study reviews basic information on buildings constructed in recent decades using raw data from the Statistical Survey of Building Starts, a statistical survey undertaken by the Japanese government, and analyzes statistical data such as number of buildings, location, building type, total floor area, construction cost, and construction duration. Finally, the sustainability of building construction in Japan is discussed.

Current Status and Future Challenges of the National Population Projection in South Korea Concerning Super-Low Fertility Patterns (국제비교를 통해 바라본 한국의 장래인구추계 현황과 전망)

  • Jun, Kwang-Hee;Choi, Seul-Ki
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.85-111
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    • 2010
  • South Korea has experienced a rapid fertility decline and notable mortality improvement. As the drop in TFR was quicker and greater in terms of tempo and magnitude, it cast a new challenge of population projection - how to improve the forecasting accuracy in the country with a super-low fertility pattern. This study begin with the current status of the national population projection as implemented by Statistics Korea by comparing the 2009 interim projection with the 2006 official national population projection. Secondly, this study compare the population projection system including projection agencies, projection horizons, projection intervals, the number of projection scenarios, and the number of assumptions on fertility, mortality and international migration among super-low fertility countries. Thirdly we illustrate a stochastic population projection for Korea by transforming the population rates into one parameter series. Finally we describe the future challenges of the national population projection, and propose the projection scenarios for the 2011 official population projection. To enhance the accuracy, we suggest that Statistics Korea should update population projections more frequently or distinguish them into short-term and long-term projections. Adding more than four projection scenarios including additional types of "low-variant"fertility could show a variety of future changes. We also expect Statistics Korea topay more attention to the determination of a base population that should include both national and non-national populations. Finally we hope that Statistics Korea will find a wise way to incorporate the ideas underlying the system of stochastic population projection as part of the official national population projection.

Estimation of Employment Creation Center considering Spatial Autocorrelation: A Case of Changwon City (공간자기상관을 고려한 고용창출중심지 추정: 창원시 사례를 중심으로)

  • JEONG, Ha-Yeong;LEE, Tai-Hun;HWANG, In-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.77-100
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    • 2022
  • In the era of low growth, many provincial cities are experiencing population decline and aging. Population decline phenomena such as reduction of productive manpower, reduction of finances, deterioration of quality of life, and collapse of the community base are occurring in a chain and are being pushed to the brink of extinction of the cities. This study aims to propose a methodology to objectively estimate the employment creation centers and setting the basic unit of industrial-centered zoning by applying spatial statistical techniques and GIS for the application of the compact city plan as an efficient spatial management policy in a city with a declining population. In details, based on reviewing previous studies on compact city, 'employment complex index(ECI)' were defined considering the number of workers, the number of settlers, and the area of development land, the employment creation center was estimated by applying the 'Local Moran's I' and 'Getis-Ord's Hot-Spot Analysis'. As a case study, changes in the four years of 2013, 2015, 2017, and 2019 were compared and analyzed for Changwon City. As a result, it was confirmed that the employment creation center is becoming compacted and polycentric, which is a significant result that reflects the actual situation well. This results provide the basic data for functional and institutional territorial governance for the regional revitalization platform, and provide meaningful information necessary for spatial policy decision-making, such as population reduction, regional gross domestic product, and public facility arrangement that can respond to energy savings, transportation plans, and medical and health plans.

A Study on Calculation of Urban Compactness Index Considering Space Syntax: Focusing on the Declining Local Cities (공간구문론을 활용한 도시 압축지수 산정에 관한 연구: 소멸위험도시를 중심으로)

  • HA, Ji-Hye;KANG, Jung-Eun
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.29-58
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    • 2022
  • Recently, Korea has been experiencing a problem of population decline, therefore the transition to a compact spatial structure is being urged. However, what is required is not just physical compression, but a compact city that also considers connectivity, in view of the changes in today's demographic and industrial structure. From this point of view, this study measures the compressibility of domestic cities suffering from extinction risk due to low birth rates, aging population, and population decline, and examined the spatial structure characteristics. In addition to the compressibility evaluation index used in previous studies, the compressibility of six indicators (population, land use, service accessibility, transport accessibility, connectivity, and concentration) was compared and analyzed, and a comprehensive compression index was calculated. The analysis results, based on the comprehensive compression index, classified 2.3% cities in the first grade, 4.6% in the second grade, 16.09% in the third grade, 43.68% in the fourth grade, and 33.33% in the fifth grade areas. Currently, the urban characteristics affecting the compactness index differ from region to region. Therefore, it is necessary to establish measures and policies for extinction risk considering the influence of each region's compactness index. This study is meaningful in that connectivity was considered using spatial syntax, and the compactness of cities at risk of extinction was compared and analyzed quantitatively. It is expected that this study will be used as basic data to establish the direction and action strategy for extinction risk cities.

A Study on the Native Environment and Cutting Propagation for the Black-berry Magnolia Vine [Schisandra repanda (Siebold & Zucc.) Radlk] in Halla Mountain (한라산 흑오미자의 자생환경 및 삽목증식 연구)

  • Boo, Jae Yoon;Kim, Ju Sung
    • Korean Journal of Medicinal Crop Science
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.354-359
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    • 2020
  • Background: The recent, decline in Black-berry Magnolia Vine (Schisandra repanda; BMV) native to Jeju Island, Korea, has raised concerns about the causes of this decline. We investigated the native environment of S. repanda and evaluated its propagation through cuttings to provide preliminary data for its restoration in Jeju Island. Methods and Results: The native environment of the BMV in the Hallasan National Park was surveyed and the climatic variables (temperature and humidity) were analyzed. The effects of the sex of the donor plant (male/female) type of cutting (softwood/hardwood), and treatment with a plant growth regulator (indole-3-butylic acid/rootone) on the rooting of BMV were investigated. Additinallly, the rooting rate, root count, and root length, as well as temperature and humidity were measured in the vinyl moist chambers. BMV was observed in 63 plants distributed from 567 m to 1,364 m above sea level of the Hallasan National Park. In the cutting experiment, the rooting rate was 71.9%, and it was higer in female plants (75.0%) than in male plants (68.8%). Conclusions: The mass propagation of BMV through cuttings valuable for its restoration as without such safeguard measures, the population could face extinction within a few decades.

A study on residents' awareness of functions and facilities of the rural centers - Myeon locations in Hwasun-gun, Jeollanam-do Province- (농촌지역 중심지 기능 및 시설에 대한 주민 인식도 조사 - 전라남도 화순군 면소재지를 중심으로 -)

  • Park, Sung-Jin;Kim, Jeong-Gyu
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Rural Architecture
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2016
  • This study typified the rural centers with myeon locations in Hwasun-gun which showed comprehensive and various class types through settlement class structure analysis. It is also for establishing the awareness of strengthening functions and facilities of the centers and the directions of strengthening it. Subjects of the study could be classified into three types including base type (Neungju-myeon), general type (Nam-myeon) and decline type (Dongbok-myeon) through the analysis of settlement class structure. Neungju-myeon location as the base type could function as the myeon location by itself and tended to serve education, health and welfare functions through the strengthening of central living functions. Nam-myeon location as the general type required sports facilities management based on the vicinity and accessibility to the senior's welfare functions. Dongbok-myeon location as the decline type required the accessibility to public health facilities and the security of vicinity to the facilities because of its high population of the aged.

The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Batik Industry: An Empirical Study in Indonesia

  • PANJAITAN, Feliks Anggia B.K.;SAYYID, Mokhtar;MAQSUDI, Achmad;ANDJARWATI, Tri
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.5
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    • pp.923-930
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    • 2021
  • The COVID-19 pandemic weakened the small- and medium-sized enterprise (SME) sector. The decline in turnover is one that is felt by the batik industry in East Java, and the decline in turnover in the batik industry is very drastic. This research was conducted to prove the influence of the COVID-19 pandemic on SMEs in the batik industry. One model is proposed to prove the existence of an increase in the performance of the batik industry's SMEs by implementing a customer relationship management strategy, business strategy, and market orientation. The study population was the batik industry entrepreneurs in East Java, Indonesia, using SEM analysis based on Amos, purposive sampling method, and a sample of 180 respondents. The results showed that the model was accepted. The results also show that customer relationship management and business strategy contributed to the performance of SMEs, while market orientation did not contribute to the performance of SMEs during the COVID-19 pandemic. To be able to maintain the sustainability of the company, the steps taken by the company are to lay off some of the employees, and during the production period the production stops, and focus on selling goods that have been previously produced.

Pharmacotherapy for dementia (치매의 약물요법)

  • Youn, HyunChul;Jeong, Hyun-Ghang
    • Journal of the Korean Medical Association
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    • v.61 no.12
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    • pp.758-764
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    • 2018
  • Dementia is a clinical syndrome characterized by a cluster of symptoms and signs that manifest as difficulties in cognitive functions such as memory, psychological and psychiatric changes, and impairments in activities of daily living. As a result of worldwide trends of population aging, dementia has had a huge impact on public health in almost all countries. Disease modification therapies for dementia have not yet been developed. However, pharmacotherapy is essential in patients with dementia to combat delays in their cognitive and functional decline. In this article, we review the current pharmacotherapy for dementia. Three acetylcholinesterase inhibitors-donepezil, rivastigmine, galantamine-and memantine are the only medications that have been approved for the treatment of dementia. We present the indications, dose recommendations, side effects, and criteria for National Health Insurance coverage in Korea of these medications for dementia treatment. Although the Ministry of Food and Drug Safety in Korea has not approved any medications for managing the behavioral and psychological symptoms of dementia, some antipsychotics and antidepressants have been studied and used clinically for those purposes. Clinicians may consider vitamin E, Ginkgo biloba extract, choline alfoscerate, or omega-3 fatty acids as additional treatment options. Non-steroid anti-inflammatory drugs, estrogen hormone therapy, and statins are not generally recommended for dementia treatment. We believe that our findings will aid clinicians in the treatment of patients with cognitive decline.

The Relationship Between Firm Diversification and Firm Performance: Empirical Evidence from Indonesia

  • CAHYO, Heru;KUSUMA, Hadri;HARJITO, D. Agus;ARIFIN, Zaenal
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.497-504
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    • 2021
  • This extended study aims to analyze empirically the influence of firm diversification on firm performance moderated by the stages of the firm life cycle, which consists of introduction, growth, maturity, and decline. The target population of this study is the firms listed on the Indonesian Stock Exchange. The sampling method uses purposive sampling in the multi-business firm in Indonesia; it includes as many as 127 firms over the period from 2011 to 2017, totaling 889 firm-year observations. The firm performance is measured using a return of equity while the level of firm diversification with the minimum number of two operating segments is proxied by the Herfindahl index. The analysis method used in this study is the estimator model of the Generalized Method of Moment (GMM). The main findings show that the firm life cycle at the stage of growth and maturity significantly strengthens the influence of firm diversification on firm performance. On the other hand, the stage of decline fails to moderate the relationship between firm diversification and firm performance. This study discusses the implications and contributions of the findings theoretically, and provide some policy justifications for potential investors before they invest their money in the capital market.

A Study on Policy Alternatives to the Development of Urban Regeneration Project Using AHP Analysis (AHP분석을 이용한 도시재생사업의 발전에 대한 정책적 대안에 관한 연구)

  • Chung, Sam-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.25 no.6_3
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    • pp.1303-1313
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    • 2022
  • Modern cities need to revitalize the downtown area, which is declining due to population decline, economic recession, and deterioration of the residential environment, economically, socially, and physically by introducing and creating new functions. In addition, the hollowing out of the existing city center is getting worse due to the development of the outskirts of the city. Therefore, the discussion for the development of urban regeneration is the core task of modern cities. This study analyzed based on a basic understanding of urban regeneration projects, and through this, the problems of domestic urban regeneration projects were derived. In addition, the problem factors and major improvement plans of the urban regeneration project were analyzed from the expert's point of view using the AHP analysis technique. Based on this, the purpose is to present policy alternatives for the future development of urban regeneration projects. The problems derived to present the policy alternatives and improvement directions of the urban regeneration project were classified into problems related to goal achievement, problems related to the business itself, and problems related to project results. It was subdivided into sub-categories. This study analyzed the problem factors and major improvements from the expert's point of view by using the AHP analysis technique for the problems of the urban regeneration project. Based on the AHP analysis results and experts' opinions, five policy alternatives for the development of urban regeneration projects were presented.