• Title/Summary/Keyword: Population changes

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Analysis on Spatial Pattern Changes of Aging Phenomenon and Relation between Aging Population and Regional Characteristics (고령화 현상의 공간적 패턴 변화와 지역특성과의 관계 분석)

  • Lee, Jimin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.139-146
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    • 2016
  • Aging phenomenon is an important issue in Korea national policy. This aging phenomenon depends on the social and environmental characteristics of regions. Also aging phenomenon and regional characteristics have spatial dependency. The purpose of this study is to discover the spatial changes in aging population rate and to find local factors of regional aging phenomenon considering spatial autocorrelation. For spatial analysis of ageing phenomenon, local Moran's I and Geographically Weighted Regression (GWR) were applied. As the results, the most significant changes of aging phenomenon appeared between 2000 and 2005, and most of hot-spot regions (aged regions) were distributed in Jullanam-do and Jullabuk-do. The results of GWR (R-square: 0.681) shows that total fertility rate, the number of doctor per 1,000 people and forest area rate have positive relation with aging population rate, but the number of private academy per 1,000 people has negative relation.

The Effect of Changes of the Housing Type on Long-Term Load Forecasting (가족구성형태의 변화가 주택용 부하의 장기 전력수요예측에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Kim, Sung-Yul
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.64 no.9
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    • pp.1276-1280
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    • 2015
  • Among the various statistical factors for South Korea, the population has been steadily decreased by lower birthrate. Nevertheless, the number of household is constantly increasing amid population aging and single life style. In general, residential electricity use is more the result of the number of household than the population. Therefore, residential electricity consumption is expected to be far higher for decades to come. The existing long-term load forecasting, however, do not necessarily reflect the growth of single and two-member households. In this respect, this paper proposes the long-term load forecasting for residential users considering the effect of changes of the housing type, and in the case study the changes of the residential load pattern is analyzed for accurate long-term load forecasting.

A study on mathematical models describing population changes of biological species (생물 종의 개체 수 변화를 기술하는 수학적 모델에 대한 고찰)

  • Shim, Seong-A
    • Journal for History of Mathematics
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.47-59
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    • 2011
  • Various mathematical models have been widely studied recently in both fields of mathematics and ecology since they help us understand the dynamical process of population changes in biological species living in a certain habitat and give useful predictions. The world population model proposed by Malthus, a British economist, in his work 'An Essay on the Principle of Population' published in the period of 1789~1826 is one of the early mathematical models on population changes. Malthus' models and the carrying capacity models of Verhulst in 1845 were based on exponential type functions. The independent research field of mathematical ecology has been started from Lotka's works in 1920's. Since then various different mathematical models has been proposed and examined. This article mainly deals with single species population change models expressed in terms of ordinary differential equations.

A Study on the Changes of the Suburban Rural Houses. - focusing on the Houses in Samga 3 Ri, YongIn-Gun, KyungKi-Do - (도시근교 농촌주택의 변화에 관한 연구 -경기도 용인군 삼가3리를 중심으로 -)

  • 윤정숙;전영미
    • Korean Journal of Rural Living Science
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 1997
  • The Purpose of this research was to investigate the physical changes of village, the architectural changes of houses and to find out the resident's needs of housing in suburban rural houses. Samga 3 Ri, Yong-In, KyungKi-Do was chosen for this study. The previous research, conducted in 1987 by using a field survey method, was compared with this study. 1) The study showed that the physical changes of village include an increase in the number of rooms and nonagricultural population, and variety of house types. Therefore, social intimacy, reallocation of houses according to residents' occupations, and apartments for non-agricultural population should be considered in planning village. 2) It is found that the resident's needs were to increase the number of rooms, expansion of space, and to modernize kitchin systems. The investigation on newly constructed houses indicated that residents' needs were two-story houses, changes of spaces - the number of bathrooms, private bedroom adjacent to An-bang.

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Relationship between Change of Demographic Composition and Crime : Comparing Areas with Growth in Population to Areas with Decline

  • Lee, Soochang;Kim, Daechan
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2022
  • This study is to investigate that population change as a result of the decline in population has a correlation with a decrease in crime, with the change in the demographic composition by comparing with two models: model with growth in population and one with the decline in population. We collected demographic data for all cities in Korea from the 2010 Census to 2020 offered by the Korean Statistical Information Service, with crime data comprising serious reported crime events from the Korean Nation Police Agency through requesting data related to the total number of crimes at the same as the period of demographic data. This study can identify the impacts of demographic changes as a result of population change on crime change through a comparative analysis between areas with population growth and ones with population decline. We can confirm that there are differences in determinants of crime between areas with population increase and one with population decrease from the analysis of the impact of demographic change as a result of population change on crime change.

Effects of Climate-Changes on Patterns of Seasonal Changes in Bird Population in Rice Fields using a Prey-Predator Model (포식자-피식자 모델을 이용하여 기후변화가 논습지를 이용하는 조류 개체군 동태에 미치는 영향 예측)

  • Lee, Who-Seung
    • Korean Journal of Environmental Agriculture
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.294-303
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    • 2013
  • BACKGROUND: It is well known that rice-fields can provide excellent foraging places for birds including seasonal migrants, wintering, and breeding and hence the high biodiversity of rice-fields may be expected. However, how environmental change including climate-changes on life-history and population dynamics in birds on rice-fields has not been fully understood. In order to investigate how climate-change affects population migratory patterns and migration timing, I modeled a population dynamics of birds in rice-fields over a whole year. METHODS AND RESULTS: I applied the Lotka-Volterra equation to model the population dynamics of birds that have been foraging/visiting rice-fields in Korea. The simple model involves the number of interspecific individuals and temperature, and the model parameters are periodic in time as the biological activities related to the migration, wintering and reproduction are seasonal. As results, firstly there was a positive relationship between the variation of seasonal population sizes and temperature change. Secondly, the reduced lengths of season were negatively related to the population size. Overall, the effects of the difference of lengths of season on seasonal population dynamics were higher than the effects of seasonal temperature change. CONCLUSION(S): Climate change can alter population dynamics of birds in rice-fields and hence the variation may affect the fitness, such as reproduction, survival and migration. The unstable balances of population dynamics in birds using paddy rice field as affected by climate change can reduce the population growth and species diversity in rice fields. The results suggest that the agricultural production is partly affected by the unstable balance of population in birds using rice-fields.

Population Trends of Wintering Whooper Swans(Cygnus cygnus) in South Korea: Data from the Winter Waterbird Census Program

  • Choi, Jieun;Kim, Ji Yoon;Do, Yuno;Joo, Gea-Jae
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.51 no.4
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    • pp.365-372
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    • 2018
  • The Wintering Waterbird Census of Korea was started in 1999 and monitors 200 major migratory sites in South Korea. Waterfowl counts have been undertaken for more than 20 years since; however, a limited number of studies have analyzed the temporal patterns of waterfowl population. In this study, we analyzed population size changes of wintering whooper swan (Cygnus cygnus) at 112 monitoring sites from 2001 to 2018. The average number of whooper swans was $4,296{\pm}42.66$ and there was a trend for an increase in population size across the survey period. We found that the population in the Nakdong River Estuary, one of the major wintering sites over 18 years (26.22% of the national population), had rapidly decreased (-0.77% per year). Conversely, the whooper swan population in the Junam Reservoir and Sihwa Lake increased (+1.64%, +0.54% per year, respectively). Estuaries showed the highest dominance of whooper swans among the five different habitat types, accounting for 32.13% of the population. Reservoir/lakes had 30.60% of the total population and reclaimed lakes(18.24%), river (13.11%), and coast (5.93%) followed. The annual distribution of the whooper swan population in South Korea has been affected by various habitat conditions resulting from human activities and urbanization. To better understand the complex factors that can cause rapid changes in wintering waterfowl populations, it is necessary to integrate the data from the bird census program with environmental conditions to conduct in-depth pattern analyses over longer time periods.

Changes on Urban Landscape by Incoming Foreign Residents - Focused on Alien Regions in Gwangju - (외국인 유입으로 인한 도시경관의 변화 분석 - 광주광역시의 외국인 거주지를 대상으로 -)

  • Jo, Mujin;Han, Seung-Hoon
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.29-36
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: Residential differentiation is often considered to be one of the social problems that intensify urban inequality. The purpose of the study was to analyze the changes in the Gwangju urban landscape due to foreign inflows after reviewing the different frameworks about the causes of residential segregation and verifying compliance through case analysis. Method: This study analyzed the increase of Gwangju Foreign Population based on the data of the Statistics Korea and derived the concentrated areas of foreign population using GIS program. Then through the field research around the target areas, the changes of urban landscape by the foreign residents was analyzed. The foreign population in Korea recently surpassed 1.5 million is expected to increase further, and has already raised numerous social issues especially in urban area. Result: Therefore, basic and systematic analyses on foreign population and its impacts on urban residential landscape are necessary to resolve the issues. Since Gwangju is also in a similar situation, this research is first, to address the current situation and identify the problem, and then to suggest the directions for resolving them. It is also expected to be helpful provide a basic reference for related further researches.

Recent Clanges in Contraceptive Use in Korea (최근의 가족계획실태와 전망)

  • 조남훈;이임전
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.118-138
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    • 1985
  • This paper is aimed to analyse the recent changes in family planning as a step in an evaluation of the results of the population control policy which has been strenuously pursued by the government since December 1981. The data used in this analysis comes from the 1985 national fertility and family planning survey conducted by the Korea Institute for Population and Health (KIPH) in May 1985. According to the 1985 survey data, there have been great changes in both the contraceptive practice and fertility rates since the strengthening of the government's population control policy in 1 981. The contraceptive practice rate for married women aged 15-44 has increased from 57.7% in 1982 to 70.3% in 1985, an increase of 12.6% points in the short span of only 3 years. During the same period, the total fertility rate has declined from 2.7 in 1982 to the population replacement level which was planned to achieve by 1 988. More than 80% of women aged over 30 or with two children or more are practicing contraception, while the practice rates of women with 0-1 children are 14.0% and 45.1% respectively. The survey has revealed that the increase of contraceptive practice rate during 1982-1985 has mainly attributed to the high acceptance of sterilization procedures which practice rate of the married women has increased from 28.1% to 40.3% for the period. Also, the survey data shows that 24.7% of those women with only one child is practicing contraception for thepurpose of fertility termination. The government, taking into account of rapid changes in contraceptive practice and fertility rates, is formulating a population plan during the sixth fiveyear economic and social development plan (1987-1991) to achieve 1% ofpopulation growth rate by 1993, which was planned to realize by 2000. In order to meet this demographic goal, the existing population control policy measures should be improved to be suited to the recent contraceptive use and fertility changes. From this standpoint, the following considerations should be put forth; 1) improvement of the current program management systems including target allocation and evaluation schems for recruiting new acceptors in the young 20s groups to use contraceptives for birth spacing and to increase high continuation rates through the strengthening of follow-up services for the acceptors, 2) increase of self-supporting contraceptive users by promoting commercial advertisements on contraceptives through mass media including T.V. and radio, 3) development of social support policies including incentive schems, and strengthening of IE & C activities for increasing the proportion of the one-child family, 4) strengthening of population and family planning education in and out school youth, and 5) strengthening of management capabilities at the provincial and local program managers.

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Spatial Heterogeneity and Long-term Changes in Bivalve Anadara broughtoni Population: Influence of River Run-off and Fishery

  • Silina, Alla V.
    • Ocean Science Journal
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.211-219
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    • 2006
  • A comparison was made of population of the economically important cockle Anadara (=Scapharca) broughtoni (Bivalvia, Arcidae) inhabiting different areas of the Razdolnaya River estuary at the head of Amurskii Bay (Peter the Great Gulf, East Sea). Also, changes in cockle population density and structure, as well as in cockle growth rates during the last 20 years were studied. In all years of investigation, the morphometrical parameters and growth rates of cockles were smaller at the sites located close to the River mouth than farther down-estuary. The differences can be attributed to higher concentration of suspended particulate matter, decreased salinity and water temperature, as well as a longer exposure to these unfavorable environmental factors at sites located close to the River mouth, compared to farther sites. For two decades, cockle population density had decreased by almost 30 times at some sites in the River estuary. The main reason for this population decline is commercial over-fishing of the cockle. Besides, for the last 20 years, linear parameters of the cockles in the population decreased approximately by 30% and weight parameters, almost two times. Cockle growth rates also decreased for this period. Evidently, these facts are due to the damaging effect of dredging.