• Title/Summary/Keyword: Population Dynamics

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전력산업 인력수급 예측모형 개발 연구

  • Lee, Yong-Seok;Lee, Geun-Jun;Gwak, Sang-Man
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.101-122
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    • 2006
  • A series of system dynamics model was developed for forecasting demand and supply of human resource in the electricity industry. To forecast demand of human resource in the electric power industry, BLS (Bureau of Labor Statistics) methodology was used. To forecast supply of human resource in the electric power industry, forecasting on the population of our country and the number of students in the department of electrical engineering were performed. After performing computer simulation with developed system dynamics model, it is discovered that the shortage of human resource in the electric power industry will be 3,000 persons per year from 2006 to 2015, and more than a double of current budget is required to overcome this shortage of human resource.

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Incorporating Social & Economic Factors for the Pasture Project in Kum River (금강 참게목장화 사업의 사회-경제 통합모델링)

  • Jeon, Dae-Uk
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.59-74
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    • 2011
  • This article deals with an economic evalutation of the 'Pasture Project of Kum River', which is the farming plan of mitten crabs in a stream of it. An augmented model of social capital is based on the past ecological-economic system dynamics model and elaborated further with suggestions of social capital literature. During the modeling process a chain diagram of causal relations and its relevant mathematical equations are presented for simulating the project performance, and the simulation results are provided to contrast the dynamic behaviors of the former ecological-economic model with ones of the new model incorporating social capital. The results indicate that an increase in the economic benefit of the project could happen in case of considering the process of social capital accumulation around the case area, which can be regarded as a remarkable trial to approve the common confidence in the role of social capital to enhance an economic achievement.

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Finding Policy Leverages with Analysis of Dynamic Growth Behaviors of Cyberspace and Electronic Commerce (전자공간과 전자상거래 성장의 동태성 분석을 통한 Policy Leverage 탐색)

  • 하원규;김도훈;문태훈;최남희;홍민기
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.29-56
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    • 2000
  • During the past few years, cyberspace and electronic commerce has been expanding throughout the world rapidly. The purpose of this paper is to find out policy leverages for boosting up cyberspace and electronic commerce using system dynamics simulation modeling approach. The system dynamics simulation model developed in this paper allows analysis of both the effect of factors on dynamic growth pattern of cyberspace as well as the effect of time delay in information processing, money transfer and delivery on model behavior. Finding of this study is that capacity of information infrastructure and size of cyberspace population are key factors of cyberspace growth. Also, reducing time delay in information flow, money flow, and delivery flow is an important policy leverages for growth of electronic commerce.

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FINDING THE ACCELERATION PARAMETER IN MODIFIED NEWTONIAN DYNAMICS WITH ELLIPTICAL GALAXIES

  • TIAN, YONG;KO, CHUNG-MING
    • Publications of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.381-383
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    • 2015
  • MOdified Newtonian Dynamics (MOND) is an alternative to the dark matter paradigm. MOND asserts that when the magnitude of acceleration is smaller than the acceleration parameter $a_0$, the response of the system to gravity is stronger (larger acceleration) than the one given by Newtonian dynamics. The current value of $a_0$ is obtained mostly by observations of spiral galaxies (rotation curves and the Tully-Fisher relation). We attempt to estimate $a_0$ from the dynamics of elliptical galaxies. We seek elliptical galaxies that act as the lens of gravitational lensing systems and have velocity dispersion data available. We analysed 65 Einstein rings from the Sloan Len ACS survey (SLACS). The mass estimates from gravitation lensing and velocity dispersion agree well with each other, and are consistent with the estimates from population synthesis with a Salpeter IMF. The value of $a_0$ obtained from this analysis agrees with the current value.

Effects of Ground Vegetation and Pyrethroid Spray on the Population Dynamics of Panonychus citri (Acari: Tetranychidae) and Natural Enemies in Citrus Orchard: A Short-term Effect (감귤원에서 초생관리와 합성피레스로이드계 조합처리가 귤응애와 천적의 발생양상에 미치는 단기효과)

  • Hyun, Seung Young;Kim, Dong-Soon
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.61 no.1
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    • pp.255-266
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    • 2022
  • This study was conducted to examine the effects of grass vegetation (W: manual weeding, NW: herbicide sprays) and pyrethroid spray (P: pyrethroid spray, NP: no pyrethroid spray) on the population dynamics of Panonychus citri and natural enemies in citrus orchards. Two essential hypothesis were made to test the population dynamics: 1) weed planting promotes natural enemies by offering habitat and alternative food sources, resulting in the reduction of P. citri populations, and 2) pyrethroid spray removes natural enemies by its non-selective toxicity, resulting in the increasement of P. citri populations. The observed natural enemy populations (mainly Phytoseiids and Agistemus sp.) were not different largely from the expected values in the hypothesis, which assumes more abundant natural enemies in weeds and no pyrethroid plots. Although some discrepancy was occurred in NW+NP and W+NP plots in 2011, the observed values were almost same with expected values in 2012. In overall, pesticide effect was strongly significant and pyrthroids removed largely natural enemies. Although habitat (weeds) effect showed a conflict result, natural enemy population increased in plots allowing weed growth, when considering the increased autumn population relatively compared to that of spring-summer population. The decreased abnormal P. citri populations in pyrethroid plots could be explained under the assumption of a strong repellent behavior of P. citri to the pyrethroids.

Population Dynamics and Injuries by Liriomyza trifolii(Burgess) in Chrysanthemum Field (국화에서 아메리카잎굴파리(Liriomyza trifolii)의 발생소장, 가해특성과 품종에 따른 피해)

  • 박종대;이호범;김선곤;김도익;박인진;김상철;김규진
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.141-147
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    • 2000
  • This study was carried out to investigate the population changes of Liriomyza trijolii (Burgess) on chrysanthemum and its relationship to plant growth and damages. In spring culture of chrysanthemum, L. trifolii adults begun to be attracted by the yellow sticky trap from early May and maintained high population until the middle of July. Larval density increased gradually from late May and reached peak in early July. In autumn culture, the population density of adult was lower than that of spring culture but the number of adult was great in late September and the middle of October. This trend was similar to that of larval stage. Damaged leaves by larva could be found from 4 weeks after transplanting and its rate was low until 5 weeks but increased abruptly after 6 weeks and maintained 70% level until flowering stage in spring culture. Damaged leaves increased with plant growth in some varieties tested in this experiment.

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The Within-Host Population Dynamics of Normal Flora in the Presence of an Invading Pathogen and Antibiotic Treatments

  • Kim, Jung-Mo;Lee, Dong-Hwan;Song, Yoon-Seok;Kang, Seong-Woo;Kim, Seung-Wook
    • Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.146-153
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    • 2007
  • A mathematical competition model between normal flora and an invading pathogen was devised to allow analysis of bacterial infections in a host. The normal flora includes the various microorganisms that live on or within the host and act as a primary human immune system. Despite the important role of the normal flora, no mathematical study has been undertaken on models of the interaction between it and invading pathogens against a background of antibiotic treatment. To quantify key elements of bacterial behavior in a host, pairs of nonlinear differential equations were used to describe three categories of human health conditions, namely, healthy, latent infection, and active infection. In addition, a cutoff value was proposed to represent the minimum population level required for survival. The recovery of normal flora after antibiotic treatment was also included in the simulation because of its relation to human health recovery. The significance of each simulation parameter for the bacterial growth model was investigated. The devised simulation showed that bacterial proliferation rate, carrying capacity, initial population levels, and competition intensity have a significant effect on bacterial behavior. Consequently, a model was established to describe competition between normal flora and an infiltrating pathogen. Unlike other population models, the recovery process described by the devised model can describe the human health recovery mechanism.

Population Dynamics of Five Anopheles Species of the Hyrcanus Group in Northern Gyeonggi-do, Korea

  • Jeong, Kyoung-Yong;Un, Sun-Jin;Lee, Jong-Weon;Lee, In-Yong;Yong, Tai-Soon;Ree, Han-Il
    • Parasites, Hosts and Diseases
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    • v.48 no.4
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    • pp.351-353
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    • 2010
  • To investigate the population densities of potential malaria vectors, Anopheles species were collected by light traps in malaria endemic areas, Paju and Gimpo, Gyeonggi-do of Korea. Five Anopheles Hyrcanus sibling species (An. sinensis, An. pullus, An. lesteri, An. kleini, and An. belenrae) were identified by PCR. The predominant species, An. pullus was collected during the late spring and mid-summer, while higher population consists of An. sinensis were collected from late summer to early autumn. These 2 species accounted for 92.1 % of all Anopheles mosquitoes collected, while the other 3 species accounted for 7.9%. Taking into account of these population densities, late seasonal prevalence, and long-term incubation period (9-13 months) of the Korean Plasmodium vivax strain, An. sinensis s.s is thought to play an important role in the transmission of vivax malaria in the study areas.

Variations in mitochondrial cytochrome b region among Ethiopian indigenous cattle populations assert Bos taurus maternal origin and historical dynamics

  • Tarekegn, Getinet Mekuriaw;Ji, Xiao-yang;Bai, Xue;Liu, Bin;Zhang, Wenguang;Birungi, Josephine;Djikeng, Appolinaire;Tesfaye, Kassahun
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • v.31 no.9
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    • pp.1393-1400
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    • 2018
  • Objective: This study was carried out to assess the haplotype diversity and population dynamics in cattle populations of Ethiopia. Methods: We sequenced the complete mitochondrial cytochrome b gene of 76 animals from five indigenous and one Holstein Friesian${\times}$Barka cross bred cattle populations. Results: In the sequence analysis, 18 haplotypes were generated from 18 segregating sites and the average haplotype and nucleotide diversities were $0.7540{\pm}0.043$ and $0.0010{\pm}0.000$, respectively. The population differentiation analysis shows a weak population structure (4.55%) among the populations studied. Majority of the variation (95.45%) is observed by within populations. The overall average pair-wise distance ($F_{ST}$) was 0.049539 with the highest ($F_{ST}=0.1245$) and the lowest ($F_{ST}=0.011$) $F_{ST}$ distances observed between Boran and Abigar, and Sheko and Abigar from the indigenous cattle, respectively. The phylogenetic network analysis revealed that all the haplotypes detected clustered together with the Bos taurus cattle and converged to a haplogroup. No haplotype in Ethiopian cattle was observed clustered with the reference Bos indicus group. The mismatch distribution analysis indicates a single population expansion event among the cattle populations. Conclusion: Overall, high haplotype variability was observed among Ethiopian cattle populations and they share a common ancestor with Bos taurus.

Population Dynamics of Jellyfish Aurelia aurita (s.l.) in Sihwa Lake (시화호에서 보름달물해파리 Aurelia aurita (s.l.)의 개체군변동)

  • Hong, Hyun-Pyo;Han, Chang-Hoon;Yoo, Jeong-Kyu
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • v.35 no.3
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    • pp.205-217
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    • 2013
  • We investigated the population dynamics of Aurelia aurita in Sihwa Lake from April to October in 2009. Salinity ranged from 5.9 to 30.7 psu at the surface. Abundance of mesozooplankton ranged from 3 to 111,874 indiv. $m^{-3}$. Ephyrae occurred from April to May with the peak in abundance occurring on 17 April. Maximum density of ephyrae was observed near the power transmission towers that are known to be habitats of polyps. Mortality of ephyrae was lower than in other areas because of the abundant prey concentration and the absence of predators. Young medusae occurred from April to July with the peak in abundance occurring on 8 May. Adult medusae occurred from May to July with the peak in abundance on 25 June and they disappeared before the rainy season. Planula occurred only in May and June with the peak in abundance on 25 June. Growth rates of Aurelia aurita ranged from -0.06 to 0.34 $d^{-1}$, and decreased rapidly after May. The period in which adult medusa occurred was restricted, compared with those in other area in Korea (e.g., Masan Bay) and Japan (e.g., Tokyo Bay). In the period of this study, the available food was limited in June and salinity decreased to ca. 20 psu in May because of the beginning of the wet season. We assumed that the exceptionally short period of occurrence of the medusa may be a response of adults to changes in temperature, salinity or food limitation which leads to the precocious maturation of young medusa and the release of planula and that the brief occurrence of medusa was caused by an abrupt decrease in activity after the release of planula.