• Title/Summary/Keyword: Population Density Model

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Intra-Urban Growth and Spatial Patterns in variation of Poupulation Density-The case of Seoul- (인구밀도의 변화로 본 도시내부의 성장과 공간패턴 - 서울의 예)

  • 이진환
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.38
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    • pp.61-74
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    • 1988
  • Changing patterns of population densities in urban centers are different between Western countries and non-Western countries. Although Seoul is located in a non-Western country, the result of this study shows that its pattern of population density falls into the category of Western cities. Through the examination of three population density gradient models, it is clear that no model can precisely explain the population distribution of Seoul over time. Some of the models partly indicate the actual population distrisbution. The Clark model is appropriate to denote population distribution in the center of Seoul at an early stage in development. The Sherratt model cannot adequately explain the population distribution of Seoul.

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Establishment of the Measurement Model about the Adequate Urban Development Density using System Dynamics (시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 도시개발밀도의 적정성 평가 모델 구축 연구)

  • 전유신;문태훈
    • Proceedings of the Korean System Dynamics Society
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    • 2003.08a
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this paper was developing a development density control model for urban growth management, using system dynamics modeling. The density control model was developed to see how urban growth, transition, and decay occur depending on the interaction among population, houses, industry structure, land and urban infrastructure such as road, water supply, and sewage treatment facilities. Suggesting adequate level of development density control using the model was another purpose of this paper. The model was applied to An'yang city to estimate the maximum number of population, industry structures, houses, and cars that can be adequately sustained with the current An'yang city's infrastructur capacity. The computer simulation results shows that the city is overpopulated by some 90,000 people. To reduce the population to the adequate level that the current urban infrastructure can sustain, the current city regulation on floor area ratio are needed to be strengthened at least 20 to 35%.

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A Comparative Study on the Spatial Statistical Models for the Estimation of Population Distribution

  • Oh, Doo-Ri;Hwang, Chul Sue
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.145-153
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    • 2015
  • This study aims to accurately estimate population distribution more specifically than administrative unites using a RK (Regression-Kriging) model. The RK model is the areal interpolation technique that involves linear regression and the Kriging model. In order to estimate a population’s distribution using a sample region, four different models were used, namely; a regression model, RK model, OK (Ordinary Kriging) model and CK (Co-Kriging) model. The results were then compared with each other. Evaluation of the accuracy and validity of evaluation analysis results were the basis RMSE (Root Mean Square Error), MAE (Mean Absolute Error), G statistic and correlation coefficient (ρ). In the sample regions, every statistic value of the RK model showed better results than other models. The results of this comparative study will be useful to estimate a population distribution of the metropolitan areas with high population density

Establishment of the Measurement Model about the Adequate Urban Development Density using System Dynamics (시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 도시개발밀도의 적정성 평가 모델 구축 연구)

  • 전유신;문태훈
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.71-94
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    • 2003
  • The purpose of this dissertation is to build a development density control model and estimate optimum developmental density level for a sustainable urban growth management. To develop the model, system dynamics modeling approach was used. The model was developed to analyze how urban growth, transition, and decay occur depending on the interaction among population, houses, industry structure, land and urban infrastructure such as road, water supply, and sewage treatment facilities. The model was applied to Anyang city to estimate optimum density level. Extensive computer simulation was conducted to find out the maximum numbers of population, industry structure, houses, and cars that can be adequately sustained with the current Anyang city's infrastructure capacity. The computer simulation result shows that the city is overpopulated by some 90,000 people. It nab analyzed that 20% increase of existing capacity of urban infrastructure is necessary to support current population of Anyang city. To reduce the population to the adequate level whereby the current urban infrastructure can sustain, the current city regulation on floor area ratio needs be strengthened at least 20% to 35%.

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A Generalization of the Matrix Model of Rice Weevil Population (Coeloptera: Curculionidae) and its Applicability (쌀바구미 개체군(딱정벌레목: 바구미과)의 행렬모형의 일반화와 그의 적용 가능성)

  • 윤태중;류문일;조혜원
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.215-223
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    • 1997
  • A matrix model of rice weevil population based on degree day (DD) was constructed. The basic matrix model predicted on exponential jncrcase of the adult weevil density and the finite rate of increase(h) of the population was estimated to be 2.155/100DD. Adult density simulated by the matrix model including intraspecific competition showed a damped oscillation over time and reached at the stationary level of 530 at 69, 300DD. The experimental population showed similar features to that of the model. But there were some differences in the highest density and period of adult oscillation. The differences could largely be caused by the assumption of the model; resource constancy.

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Bayesian estimation for finite population proportions in multinomial data

  • Kwak, Sang-Gyu;Kim, Dal-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.587-593
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    • 2012
  • We study Bayesian estimates for finite population proportions in multinomial problems. To do this, we consider a three-stage hierarchical Bayesian model. For prior, we use Dirichlet density to model each cell probability in each cluster. Our method does not require complicated computation such as Metropolis-Hastings algorithm to draw samples from each density of parameters. We draw samples using Gibbs sampler with grid method. We apply this algorithm to a couple of simulation data under three scenarios and we estimate the finite population proportions using two kinds of approaches We compare results with the point estimates of finite population proportions and their standard deviations. Finally, we check the consistency of computation using differen samples drawn from distinct iterates.

Development of Accident Density Model in Korea (국내 교통사고 밀도 모형 개발)

  • Park, Na Young;Kim, Tae Yang;Park, Byung Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.130-135
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    • 2017
  • This study deal with the traffic accident. The purpose of this study is to develop the accident density models reflecting the transportation and socioeconomic characteristics based on 230 zones of Korea. In this study, The models which are tested to be statistically significant are developed through multiple linear regression analysis. The main research results are as follows. First, in the transportation-based model, road length, avenue ratio, number of intersections and tunnels are analyzed to be positive to the model, however, school zone is analyzed to be negative to the model. Second, in the socioeconomic-based model, population density, transportation vulnerable ratio, children and truck ratio are analyzed to be positive to the model. Finally, in the integrated models, road ratio, population density, transportation vulnerable ratio, children ratio, truck ratio and number of companies are analyzed to be positive, however, school zone is analyzed to be negative to the model. This results could be expected to give good implications to accident-reduction policy-making.

Development of Algorithm for Passenger Flow Analysis based on DEM (DEM에 기초한 여객 유동 해석 알고리즘 개발)

  • Nam Seong-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.337-341
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    • 2005
  • Algorithm for passenger flow analysis based on DEM(Discrete Element Method) is newly developed. In the new algorithm, there are many similarity between multi phase flow and passenger flow. The velocity component of 1st phase corresponds to the direction vector of cell, each particle to each passenger, volume fraction to population density and the momentum equation of particle to the walking velocity equation of passenger, etc. And, the walking velocity of passenger is also represented by the function of population density. Key algorithms are developed to determine the position of passenger, population density and numbering to each passenger, To verify the effectiveness of new algorithm, passenger flow analysis for simple railway station model is conducted. The results for passenger flow in the model station are satisfying qualitatively and quantitatively.

Characteristics of Backscattering of Harmful Algae Using Underwater Ultrasound (수중 초음파를 이용한 적조 플랑크톤의 후방산란 특성)

  • Kim Eunhye;Bok Tae-hoon;Na Jungyul;Paeng Dong-Guk
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.24 no.8
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    • pp.447-453
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    • 2005
  • Laboratory measurements were performed in a uni-algae medium Cochlodinium polykrikoides (Phytoplankton, dinoflagellates) using an Underwater Ultrasound $(5\~15\;MHz)$ to study Characteristics of Acoustic Backscattering of Harmful algae. In an effort to detect the harmful algal scatterers with population density of less than 300 cells/ml that corresponds to the precaution stage of red tide, backscattered signals from various scatterer-density samples were obtained and analyzed. Correlations between volume backscattering strength (Sv) and population density (cells/ml) of scatterers in the medium have been investigated. Comparison of Volume Backscattering Strengths calculated with the fluid-sphere model [1] and the measured values showed an agreement.

Estimating Population Density of Leopard Cat (Prionailurus bengalensis) from Camera Traps in Maekdo Riparian Park, South Korea

  • Park, Heebok;Lim, Anya;Choi, Tae-Young;Lim, Sang-Jin;Park, Yung-Chul
    • Journal of Forest and Environmental Science
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    • v.33 no.3
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    • pp.239-242
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    • 2017
  • Although camera traps have been widely used to understand the abundance of wildlife in recent decades, the effort has been restricted to small sub-set of wildlife which can mark-and-recapture. The Random Encounter Model shows an alternative approach to estimate the absolute abundance from camera trap detection rate for any animals without the need for individual recognition. Our study aims to examine the feasibility and validity of the Random Encounter Model for the density estimation of endangered leopard cats (Prionailurus bengalensis) in Maekdo riparian park, Busan, South Korea. According to the model, the estimated leopard cat density was $1.76km^{-2}$ (CI 95%, 0.74-3.49), which indicated 2.46 leopard cats in $1.4km^2$ of our study area. This estimate was not statistically different from the previous leopard cat population count ($2.33{\pm}0.58$) in the same area. As follows, our research demonstrated the application and usefulness of the Random Encounter Model in density estimation of unmarked wildlife which helps to manage and protect the target species with a better understanding of their status.