• 제목/요약/키워드: Population Density

검색결과 1,564건 처리시간 0.024초

On the Bayes risk of a sequential design for estimating a mean difference

  • Sangbeak Ye;Kamel Rekab
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.427-440
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    • 2024
  • The problem addressed is that of sequentially estimating the difference between the means of two populations with respect to the squared error loss, where each population distribution is a member of the one-parameter exponential family. A Bayesian approach is adopted in which the population means are estimated by the posterior means at each stage of the sampling process and the prior distributions are not specified but have twice continuously differentiable density functions. The main result determines an asymptotic second-order lower bound, as t → ∞, for the Bayes risk of a sequential procedure that takes M observations from the first population and t - M from the second population, where M is determined according to a sequential design, and t denotes the total number of observations sampled from both populations.

한국인 연령에 따른 하악 치조골 골밀도 (The bone density of mandible as the aging process in Koreans)

  • 이철원;김철환
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Oral and Maxillofacial Surgeons
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    • 제37권6호
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    • pp.496-504
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    • 2011
  • Introduction: This study compared the alveolar bone density of the mandible according to gender, age and position using Cone-beam computed tomography (CT). Materials and Methods: The maxillofacial CT scan data was obtained from 60 Korean patients. In addition, the alveloar bone density of 5 males and 5 females with normal occlusion aged from 10 to 70 years was measured at the buccal cortical bone, cancellous bone and lingual cortical bone, as well as at the position of the incisors, canines, premolars and molars. Results: The age-specific mean bone density was highest in patients in their third decade. The buccal cortical bone of the molars showed the highest bone density. Males in their fifties and sixties had a higher bone density in the cancellous bone in the region of the premolars and the buccal cortical bone of the molars, respectively, than females but there was no significant difference between males and females in the other parts. The cancellous bone density was highest in those in their twenties and thirties, and tended to decline up to their seventh decade. Conclusion: These results revealed a significantly different bone density according to gender, age and position in the Korean population. In addition, it is possible to predict the bone density based on these results.

Posterior density estimation for structural parameters using improved differential evolution adaptive Metropolis algorithm

  • Zhou, Jin;Mita, Akira;Mei, Liu
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.735-749
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    • 2015
  • The major difficulty of using Bayesian probabilistic inference for system identification is to obtain the posterior probability density of parameters conditioned by the measured response. The posterior density of structural parameters indicates how plausible each model is when considering the uncertainty of prediction errors. The Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method is a widespread medium for posterior inference but its convergence is often slow. The differential evolution adaptive Metropolis-Hasting (DREAM) algorithm boasts a population-based mechanism, which nms multiple different Markov chains simultaneously, and a global optimum exploration ability. This paper proposes an improved differential evolution adaptive Metropolis-Hasting algorithm (IDREAM) strategy to estimate the posterior density of structural parameters. The main benefit of IDREAM is its efficient MCMC simulation through its use of the adaptive Metropolis (AM) method with a mutation strategy for ensuring quick convergence and robust solutions. Its effectiveness was demonstrated in simulations on identifying the structural parameters with limited output data and noise polluted measurements.

대시메트릭 매핑 기법을 이용한 서울시 건축물별 주거인구밀도의 재현 (Representation of Population Distribution based on Residential Building Types by using the Dasymetric Mapping in Seoul)

  • 이석준;이상욱;홍보영;엄홍민;신휴석;김경민
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.89-99
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    • 2014
  • 도시 내 거주하는 인구의 분포는 다양한 연구에 활용될 수 있는 기초자료로서 중요한 의미를 지닌다. 그러나 이와 관련한 데이터는 정보기밀성 등을 이유로 일정한 공간단위로 집계되어 제공된다. 때문에 제공되는 것과 다른 공간단위나, 더 세밀한 공간분석을 요하는 연구와 활용이 제한된다. 이에 본 연구는 인구분포 데이터가 가지는 한계를 극복하여, 행정구역을 기준으로 한 인구데이터 제공단위보다 세밀한 인구분포를 현실적으로 재현하고자 대시매트릭 매핑 기법을 활용하였다. 대시메트릭 매핑은 주 데이터와 연관된 공간적 보조 데이터를 사용하여 주 데이터의 공간적 분포를 세밀하게 나타내는 지도화 방법이다. 본 연구에서는 서울시 집계구별 인구센서스 자료를 주 데이터로, 건축물 대장을 보조 데이터로 사용하였으며, 모든 인구가 주거용 건축물에 거주한다고 가정하여 주거용 건축물 단위에서 인구분포를 재현하였다. 주거용 건축물을 공간적으로 추출하기 위해 바이너리기법이 활용되었으며. 이후 회귀분석 기법을 활용하여 건물 용도와 층수를 고려한 가중치를 부여해 입체적인 거주인구밀도를 재현하는데 성공하였다. 이를 통해 전체 토지 및 용도구역을 기반으로 한 기존의 방법론보다 현실적용오차를 줄였다. 또한 주거가능 건축물의 주택유형과 층수가 반영된 3차원적 공간자료를 활용하여 주거용 건축물에 거주하는 인구를 추정하는 모델을 도출하여, 정확도가 높고 세밀화 된 인구분포지도를 제작하였다. 본 연구를 통해 도출된 개별 건물 단위의 인구 데이터는 일정한 공간단위로 집계를 재가공한 것으로 정보기밀성의 문제가 없는 세밀한 단위의 인구분포 정보를 제공한다. 따라서 이후 도시 내 재난재해 발생에 따른 영향 인구 파악과 같은, 지역인구를 활용한 다양한 연구에 활용될 수 있는 중요한 자료로써 의미를 지닌다.

생활인구를 고려한 대피시설 접근성 분석: 서울 중구지역 지진 옥외 대피장소를 사례로 (Analyzing Accessibility of Emergency Shelters Based on Service Population: The Case of Outdoor Evacuation Places for Earthquake in Jung-gu, Seoul)

  • 김상균;신상영;남현정
    • 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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    • 제18권1호
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    • pp.51-62
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    • 2022
  • 연구목적: 이 연구는 지진 옥외 대피장소를 대상으로 생활인구(유동인구)를 측면에서 공간적 접근성을 분석한 후, 접근성 취약지역에 추가 신규 대피장소를 확충할 경우의 모의분석을 하여 개선효과를 비교함으로써 시사점을 도출하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 연구방법: GIS 네트워크분석 기반의 최적화 모형인 입지배분모형을 적용하여 접근성을 분석하고 취약지역을 식별하였다. 입지배분방법은 일정한 시간 내에 신속한 이동이 중요한 대피시설의 성격에 비추어 'Maximize Coverage(수요영역 최대화)' 방법을 적용하였고, 대피를 위한 한계 거리 및 시간기준은 보행속도를 고려하여 500m(7.5분), 1,000m(15분), 1,500m(22.5분)의 세 가지로 구분하여 분석하였다. 사례분석 대상지역은 지진 발생 시 신속한 대피와 일시적인 체류를 위한 옥외 대피장소의 기능을 고려하여 거주인구에 비해 생활인구가 월등히 많고 대피장소로 활용할 수 있는 가용공간이 크게 부족한 고밀 도심지역으로서 서울 중구지역을 선정하였다. 연구결과: 분석 결과, 전반적으로 거주 인구에 비해 생활인구 기준으로 볼 때 접근성이 취약한 집계구 수와 인구 수가 훨씬 많고 비율도 높았으며, 접근성 취약지역에 가용한 신규 대피장소를 확충할 경우의 모의분석에서 접근성이 크게 개선됨을 확인할 수 있었다. 다만, 고밀 도심지역으로서 가용지가 절대적으로 부족한 대상지역의 특성상 잠재적인 대피인구 전체의 접근성을 완전히 해소하지는 못하였다. 결론: 유동인구로 인해 주·야간 인구 차이가 심한 서울 도심의 지역 특성을 반영하기 위하여 생활인구 첨두시간대를 적용하여 실제 대피수요를 고려할 필요가 있으며, 입지배분모형을 이용하여 접근성이 불리한 취약지역을 식별하고 신규 대피장소 설치의 우선순위를 부여함으로써 과학적 근거 기반의 의사결정이 필요하다.

Estimating the Population Size from a Truncated Sample

  • Yeo, Sung-Chil
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.169-185
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    • 2000
  • Given a random sample of size N (unknown) with density f(x│$\theta$), suppose that only n observations which lie outside a region r are recorded. On the basis of n observation, the Bayes estimators of $\theta$ and N are considered and their asymptotic expansions are developed to find the third order asymptotic properties with those of the maximum likelihood estimators and the Bayes modal estimators. The asymptotic m.s.e.'s of these estimators are expressed. An example is given to illustrate the results obtained.

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More Reliable Length Composition And Biomass Of EEL Population In The Lagoons Of Arcachon Bay

  • Lee, Tae-Won
    • 한국해양학회지
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    • 제15권2호
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    • pp.108-111
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    • 1980
  • The sampling was made by a kind of trap nets and an electric fishing apparatus in the lagoons of Arcachon Bay. Length frequency distributions obtained by two gears are combined to propose more reliable length composition of the population. The biomass was estimated by the capture and recapture method in a limited area with electric fishing apparatus, and it was redressed based on the corrected length composition. It showed approximately 638kg/ha in the deeper parts of the lagoons. It suggests that the lagoons of Arcachon Bay contain relatively high density of eels.

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Effects of Single Nucleotide Polymorphism Marker Density on Haplotype Block Partition

  • Kim, Sun Ah;Yoo, Yun Joo
    • Genomics & Informatics
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.196-204
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    • 2016
  • Many researchers have found that one of the most important characteristics of the structure of linkage disequilibrium is that the human genome can be divided into non-overlapping block partitions in which only a small number of haplotypes are observed. The location and distribution of haplotype blocks can be seen as a population property influenced by population genetic events such as selection, mutation, recombination and population structure. In this study, we investigate the effects of the density of markers relative to the full set of all polymorphisms in the region on the results of haplotype partitioning for five popular haplotype block partition methods: three methods in Haploview (confidence interval, four gamete test, and solid spine), MIG++ implemented in PLINK 1.9 and S-MIG++. We used several experimental datasets obtained by sampling subsets of single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) markers of chromosome 22 region in the 1000 Genomes Project data and also the HapMap phase 3 data to compare the results of haplotype block partitions by five methods. With decreasing sampling ratio down to 20% of the original SNP markers, the total number of haplotype blocks decreases and the length of haplotype blocks increases for all algorithms. When we examined the marker-independence of the haplotype block locations constructed from the datasets of different density, the results using below 50% of the entire SNP markers were very different from the results using the entire SNP markers. We conclude that the haplotype block construction results should be used and interpreted carefully depending on the selection of markers and the purpose of the study.

쌀 생산조정 휴경논에 발생하는 노린재 종류와 기주식물 (Stink Bug Species and Host Plants Occurred in Fallow Lands for Rice Product Regulation)

  • 박채훈;최만영;서홍렬;이건휘;김재덕
    • 한국응용곤충학회지
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    • 제46권2호
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    • pp.221-227
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    • 2007
  • 2004년부터 2005년까지 호남지방의 쌀 생산조정지를 중심으로 노린재류의 발생과 기주식물을 조사하였다. 노린재류는 총 8과 26종이 조사되었으며, 중산간지인 무안에서 시골가시허리노린재의 발생이 가장 많았고, 발생최성기는 7 월이었다. 평야지인 완주는 2004 년에는 전반적으로 노린재류의 발생량이 적었고, 2005 년에는 시골가시허리노린재 발생최성기는 7월과 8월이었다. 쌀 생산조정지에서 인근 벼 포장으로 이동하는 시기는 시골가시허리노린재 등 5종은 8월, 우리가시허리노린재 등 3종은 9월이었다. 또한, 쌀 생산조정지에서 잡초를 섭식하는 노린재 종류는 시골가시허리노린재, 우리가시허리노린재, 북쪽비 단노린재, 더듬이긴노린재, 빨강촉각장님노린재, 메추리노린재, 가시점둥글노린재, 풀색노린재였다.

미나리를 이용한 계면활성성분 및 합성세제 제거에 관한 연구 (The Removal of Surfactants and Commercial Detergents by Oenanthe javanica)

  • 김경민;최한영;신정식;나규환;이장훈
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.115-120
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    • 1997
  • The purpose of thesis was to investigate the removal efficiency of surfactants and commercial detergents by Oenanthe javanica that is one of aquatic plants in Korea. The experiment is concerned with measuring the concentrations of surfactants and commercial detergents in different media: 1) in pure water, 2) in water containing Oenanthe javanica, 3) in water containing Oenanthe javanica and commercial nutrients. The surfactants used in this research include linear alkylbenzene sulfonates (LAS), $\alpha$-sulfo fatty acid methyl esters(MES), and alkylbenzene sulfonates(ABS). Two commercial detergents designated as A and B were in the forms of power and liquid. The results showed that LAS and MES were more effectively removed by Oenanthe javanica probably because these have a chain of linear carbon than on ABS with a branched carbon structure. In the case of commercial detergents, when the except was performed on the basis of surfactants proportion, the removal trends were similar to LAS and MES. The 5-day cultivating test with initial concentration of 0.5-1.0 ppm surfactants showed that less than 10% was removed if no nutrients an Oenanthe javanica were added. When Oenanthe javanica was added into the sample solution containing surfactants, the removal efficiency was increased 100% for the solution containing 0.5-1.0 ppm 60-70% for 5-10 ppm. In addition, chlorisis on Oenanthe javanica was observed due to surfactants and commercial detergents for all three cases. To test the dependence of population density on nutrients, the initial population density was made 300 g/0.4 m$^2$. Throughout the 5-day experiment, the on Oenanthe javanica grew 20-25% with 0.5-1.0 ppm without the synthetic nutrients but by 5% with a high concentrations of 5-10 ppm. The population density was appeared to be independent of synthetic nutrients. The leaves were to be grown with synthetic nutrients, while roots were grown without synthetic nutrients. Based on this research, the fundamental data concerning cultivation and an adequate adjustment of the water condition can provide for the utilization of Oenanthe javanica in real water treatment system.

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