• Title/Summary/Keyword: Political Analysis Model

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Assessment Models of Political Risk and the Sensitivity Analysis (정치적 위험의 평가모형과 민감도분석)

  • Moon, Chang-Kuen;Yim, Chun-Ho
    • Korean Business Review
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.105-122
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    • 2007
  • This paper identifies the dimensions of political risk on the basis of the classification between risk and uncertainties to implement the precise identification and assessment of the various types of political risk and develop the sound assessment model to accomplish their practical applications. This paper shows the concrete and detailed processes of deriving the assessment models and applying them with the microsoft excel spreadsheet, confirms the result of Butler and Joaquin(1998), and presents the methods of identifying the various combination effects of the political risk impact and the covariance relationship with the market portfolio return through the sensitivity analysis.

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The Impact of Energy Crisis and Political Instability on Outsourcing: An Analysis of the Textile Industry of Pakistan

  • ARSLAN, Aniqa;QAYYUM, Arslan;AYUBI, Sharique;KHAN, Sohail Ahmed;ASAD ULLAH, Muhammad
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.235-243
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    • 2022
  • To help the industry, outsourcing was found to be the most efficient method. An extensive literature analysis was done to assess the macroeconomic factors associated with outsourcing to supplement the anxious parties' decision-making process with evidence-based comprehensive tools. As a theoretical framework for evaluating these issues, transaction cost economies and resource-based perspective theories are investigated. Outsourcing is proven to be a result of energy crises and political instability. The advantages of outsourcing assist major industries in the economy. To discover the key drivers behind outsourcing, we used the vector autoregressive (VAR model) and step-wise regression techniques for the period 1992 to 2016. This research adds to the literature in that it not only explains the energy issue but also discusses the dilemma of political instability in the country in the context of outsourcing. The findings indicate that labor cost and export tendency have a positive impact on outsourcing strategy, which confirms the study's third and fourth hypotheses. Customs tax, inflation, and the unemployment rate, on the other hand, have a negative impact on textile outsourcing in Pakistan, according to the study's fifth, sixth, and seventh hypotheses.

Impact of Digital Divide on Online Political Participation: With Focus on the Gap of Operational Skills of Digital Device Users (온라인 정치참여에서 디지털 정보격차의 영향: 디지털 기기 이용자의 기기 운용 기술 격차를 중심으로)

  • Jang, Changki;Sung, WookJoon
    • Informatization Policy
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.36-54
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    • 2020
  • This study empirically analyzes the impact of digital divide between digital device usage motivation and operational skills on online political participation. The analysis was performed using the National Information Society Agency's 2018 digital divide survey data from September to December 2018 and applying the Heckman selection model to control the sample selection bias that may occur between internet users and non-users. The result shows the gap in motivation and device operational skills of individual citizens using digital devices has significant impact on online political participation. In socio-economic terms, it shows the age, education level and regional factors also have significant impact on online political participation, while gender and income levels do not. This study holds significance in that there are different patterns of digital divide between digital devices, identifying the motivation to use a digital device as an important factor for mobile device users, and the device operational skills, for personal computer users.

A Study on Political Attitude Estimation of Korean OSN Users (온라인 소셜네트워크를 통한 한국인의 정치성향 예측 기법의 연구)

  • Wijaya, Muhammad Eka;Ahn, Heejune
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2016
  • Recently numerous studies are conducted to estimate the human personality from the online social activities. This paper develops a comprehensive model for political attitude estimation leveraging the Facebook Like information of the users. We designed a Facebook Crawler that efficiently collects data overcoming the difficulties in crawling Ajax enabled Facebook pages. We show that the category level selection can reduce the data analysis complexity utilizing the sparsity of the huge like-attitude matrix. In the Korean Facebook users' context, only 28 criteria (3% of the total) can estimate the political polarity of the user with high accuracy (AUC of 0.82).

Online-Based Local Government Image Typology: A Case Study on Jakarta Provincial Government Official YouTube Videos

  • Pratama, Arif Budy
    • Journal of Contemporary Eastern Asia
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.1-21
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    • 2017
  • The Jakarta Provincial Government utilizes the YouTube channel to interact with citizens and enhance transparency. The purpose of this study is to explore online perceptions of local government image perceived by online audiences through the YouTube platform. The concepts of organizational image and credibility in the political image are adapted to analyze online public perceptions on the Jakarta Provincial Government image. Using the video summarization approach on Three hundred and forty-six official YouTube videos, which were uploaded from 1 March 2016 to 31 May 2016, and content analysis of Eight thousand two hundred and thirty-seven comments, this study shows both political and bureaucratic image emerge concurrently in the Jakarta Provincial Government case. The typology model is proposed to describe and explain the four image variations that occurred in the case study. Practical recommendations are suggested to manage YouTube channel as one of the social media used in the local government context.

Analysis of Correlation between the Budget Allocation to the Busan-Gwangyang Port and the Political Variables (부산.광양항의 예산배분과 정치적 변수에 대한 상관관계 분석)

  • Lee, Dong-Hyon
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.203-224
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this paper is to analyze the relationship between the budget allocation of Busan-Gwangyang port and political variables such as general election, presidential election, local election and political regimes. To do this, this study did correlation analyses using budget data of all ports in Korea, Busan, and Gwangyang during 1985-2007. The main results of the correlation analyses are as follow: First, there was a positive correlation between budget of Busan and local election. Also, there was a positive correlation between budget of Gwangyang and presidential election. This results suggest that public choice model and political business cycle model seem to apply to the port development policy. Second, there was no correlation between the regionalism of the political regime and budget of Busan-Gwangyang ports. Third, it can be inferred that the national agenda of the hub strategy can be positively related to the implementation of port development budget. Further studies are needed to analyse the relationship between the political variables and establishment of port plan, decision making about port development and ground-breaking of port construction.

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Factors Impacting Tourism Demand: An Analysis of 10 ASEAN Countries

  • NGUYEN, Lien Phuong;NGUYEN, Ha Thu
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.385-393
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    • 2021
  • This study investigates the effect of infrastructure, economic sectors and its status, foreign direct investment and private investment, as well as the role of political stability in enhancing the tourism demand in the ASEAN region. The research collected the secondary data from the World Bank database and the UNWTO website of 10 ASEAN countries over 17 years from 2000 to 2016. Applying the generalized method of moments, this research found that, "private investment", "economic sectors", "exchange rate and infrastructure measured by "using of the internet" can increase the tourism demand of a country in the ASEAN region. This research provided evidence indicating that the "foreign direct investment" and "inflation" are two detrimental factors for tourist attraction. The major finding confirmed the positive role of "political stability" in increasing tourist arrivals. First, attracting tourists to a country always poses many challenges to its government. It has been observed in the past decades that though there were many documents, which confirmed that industry can help in promoting tourism, very few studies investigated the role of both agriculture and manufacturing sectors in tourism promotion. Secondly, there are only a few studies which verifies the stability of the political system to the tourism demand in the ASEAN region and that this variable (political stability) has the strongest impact.

A Longitudinal Study of the Effects of Media Use on the Evaluation of the Leading Candidate in the Korean 2007 Presidential Election -An Analysis of the Panel Data with Latent Growth Modeling- (미디어 이용이 후보자 평가에 미치는 영향에 대한 종단연구 -잠재성장모형을 통한 17대선 패널 데이터 분석을 중심으로-)

  • Kim, Joo-Han;Kim, Min-Gyu;Jin, Young-Jae
    • Korean journal of communication and information
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    • v.44
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    • pp.76-107
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    • 2008
  • The present study has explored the effects of media use on the evaluation of the presidential candidate's morality. We hypothesized that the perception of the candidates' morality during the 2007 Korean President Election would be influenced by the amount of the different types of media use. Using a set of panel data, a total of 1,199 citizens (584 females (48.7%), 615 males (51.3%), Mage=42.77, SDage=13.34) were assessed four times from August to December in 2007. The results indicated that (a) the level of TV use for political information, the level of newspaper use for political information, and the level of Internet use for political information increased during the five months; (b) the initial level of political involvement contributed differently to the initial levels of media use; (c) the initial level of political involvement negative influenced the initial level of TV use for political information; (d) the growth of political involvement positively influenced the growth of TV use for political information; (e) the intial level of TV use for political information increased both the initial levels of the perception of candidates' morality and the change of the perception of candidates' morality; (f) the change of TV use for political information negatively affected the perception of candidates' morality; and (g) the initial level of Internet use for political information negatively affected the initial level of the perception of candidates' morality, and the change of Internet use for political information negatively affected the perception of candidates' morality.

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The Potential and Efficiency of Aquatic Product Trade between China and South Korea

  • Le Cao
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.47-60
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    • 2023
  • Purpose - This paper assesses the trade potential and efficiency of Korea and China in the aquatic products trade. Trade efficiency and potential are the main factors that affect the growth of a country's trade. In this study, a time-varying stochastic frontier trade gravity model was constructed to analyze the trade potential and efficiency between Korea and China. By integrating the results of trade theory and empirical analysis, measures and suggestions were proposed to encourage the release of trade potential of fish exports between Korea and China. Design/methodology - In this paper, GDP per capita instead of economic size was chosen as an explanatory variable, and population size and relative distance were selected as explanatory variables to measure trade potential. For trade non-efficiency terms, regional organizations, political factors, and economic factors were mainly considered, and variables such as free trade agreements, political stability, regulatory quality, government efficiency, currency freedom, investment freedom, financial freedom, and trade freedom were selected. Panel data for South Korea and 14 aquatic products trading partners (including China) from 2002 to 2020 were used in the empirical analysis. Findings - In the past 19 years, South Korea's export trade potential of aquatic products to China has never been lower than 70%. It was above 90% from 2006 to 2018, and has been at a high level for a long time. This shows that China's aquatic product market has large potential for development. Originality/value - This study examines the effectiveness and potential of South Korea's exports of aquatic items to China in a methodical and comprehensive empirical manner. The evaluation of the export trade potential of South Korea's aquatic goods to China is more precise when the effects of regional organization, political, and economic variables are taken into account in the trade non-efficiency term of the stochastic frontier gravity model. At the same time, we propose to increase the scale of South Korea's aquatic products trade from the perspective of China's demand. This issue of trade studies is underexplored both empirically and in theory, although the issue has long been important to Korean and world trade.

An Empirical Study on the management Strategies of Korean Firms corresponding with the Political Environment in local Brazil : Focusing on the Analysis of Structural Equation Modeling (한국 기업의 브라질 현지 정치적 환경에 대응하는 경영전략에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Chul
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.131-154
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    • 2010
  • This study tries to analyze what the most significant factors are in Brazil, where the Korean investing firms have to overcome and adapt to various difficulties, especially in terms of political environment. This main purpose of this research is to test empirically some relations of between the managing strategy of Korean firms and the environment factors of politics in Brazil while this is conducted in two stages. First, the research model is designed by reviewing relevant theories, previous studies, and the current investment conditions in local Brazil. Second, the survey of Korean firms engaged in investment activities in there is done by collecting questionnaires from them. with this survey, the strategic method of multiple regression is used to testing some hypotheses. At the result of Analysis, It is proved there haven been negative affecting political factors of law/regulation system and administrative operation service, and Korean firms have implementing the responding management strategies with reasonable adaptation to risks and human network reinforcement.