• 제목/요약/키워드: Policy Experiment

검색결과 452건 처리시간 0.031초

Public Policy and The Imbalance of The Systems: A System Dynamics Approach for The Shock of Lowered Retirement Age of Teachers on Education System

  • Yi, Mi-Sook;Choi, Nam-Hee;Kim, Doa-Hoon
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.149-174
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    • 2004
  • Since the economic crisis in 1997, the Korean government has implemented a number of reforms in order to eliminate inefficiencies in both private and public sectors. One of the reforms made in the public sector was to lower the retirement age of teachers from the original age of 65 to that age 62. The ultimate aim of this compulsory policy was to improve the quality level of education by hiring many young teachers instead of senior teachers. It was made based on the calculation that by lowering the retirement age by three years, the government can hire three young teachers with the saved wages. However, this policy has brought an unexpected result; the imbalance between the supply and demand for teachers has become a much more serious problem in Korea's elementary education system The purpose of this study is largely twofold; First of all, it aims to identify the scope of imbalances occurred in the supply-demand system of elementary school teachers in a region of the nation, and also to find out why such imbalance occurred. Secondly, the purpose of this study is to experiment with feasible policy alternatives and their effects on the system and to suggest some resolutions on the imbalance.

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만능물성시험기[UTM]에 있어서 새로운 영상기반의 비접촉식 신룰측정방법 (Vision Based Non Contact Elongation Measurement in Universal Testing Machine [UTM])

  • 노재영;박혜원;김호철;김용대;이왕헌;박용수
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2008년도 학술대회 논문집 정보 및 제어부문
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    • pp.298-299
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    • 2008
  • The materials are measured and analyzed by the UTM combined with a contact type extensometer so as to analyze the characteristics such as strain-stress curve. However, the JIG and Fixture utilized in the UTM according to the standard [ASTM] can not only scratch the specimens but also have a serious distort on test result by the weight of the ZIG itself. In this paper we propose a moncular vision based visual extensometer [VE] securing the measuring accuracy using a new cross correlation in detecting the two feature points previously marked on the specimen from two successive images, and verify the usefulness of this VE through a real experiment on the UTM.

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일제시대 농촌지도사업의 성격과 의의 (The Characteristics and meanings of the Agricultural Extension Work during the Period of Japanese Rule)

  • 이한기
    • 농촌지도와개발
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.231-243
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    • 1997
  • Objective of the study was to investigate characteristics and meanings of the agricultural extension work during the period of Japanese $rule(1906{\sim}1945)$ through historical review on the work. The agricultural extension work during the period of Japanese rule was categorized into six patterns such as agricultural extension work by (1) government agricultural administration system, (2) agricultural experiment/research institute, (3) public school, (4) through the movement of rural development(Nong-chon-Jinheung Undong), (5) pro-government private organization, and (6) pure private organization. In conclusion, the characteristics of the extension work were defined; 1) a tool and/or method for colonial rule, 2) non-democratic and top-down extension work by administration, 3) authoritative and coercive work initiated by governmental system, 4) nation wide work of cooperation with public and private organization, 5) extension work focused on production increasing food and industrial materials, and 6) extension work initiated by government system without participation of pure private organization. The meanings of the extension work were reviewed in two ways. Firstly, in macro point of view, the work has negative meaning that was utilized as a tool and/or method for Japanese colonial rule, since the extension work was implemented under the direction of agricultural policy and was also directly related to the policy of Japanese colonial government. Secondly, in micro point of view, the work has significant meaning either negative or positive such as 1) beginning of modernized extension work based on experiment and research, 2) introduction of forcible agricultural extension work, 3) inducement of distrust tendency to agricultural policy and agricultural extension work, 4) establishment of basis in hardware of agricultural extension work, 5) production of experience in software of agricultural extension work, and 6) improvement of recognition toward scientific farming and improvement of level in agricultural techniques.

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선택실험법을 이용한 의약품 급여결정기준에 대한 선호분석 (Eliciting stated preferences for drugs reimbursement decision criteria in South Korea)

  • 임민경;배은영
    • 보건행정학회지
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    • 제19권4호
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    • pp.98-120
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this study is to elicit preference for drug listing decision criteria and to estimate the ICER threshold in South Korea using the discrete choice experiment (DCE) method. To collect the data, a DCE survey was administered to a subject sample either educated in the principle concepts of pharmacoeconomics or were decision makers within that field. Subjects chose between alternative drug profiles differing in four attributes: ICER, uncertainty, budget impact and severity of disease. The orthogonal and balanced designs were determined through computer algorithm to take the optimal set of drug profiles. The survey employed 15 hypothetical choice sets. A random effect probit model was used to analyze the relative importance of attributes and the probabilities of a recommendation response. Parameter estimates from the models indicated that three attributes (ICER, Impact, Severity of disease) influenced respondents' choice significantly(p${\pm}$0.001). In addition, each parameter displayed an expected sign. The Lower the ICER, the higher the probability of choosing that alternative. Respondents also preferred low levels of uncertainty and smaller impact on health service budget. They were also more likely to choose drugs for serious diseases rather than mild or moderate ones. Uncertainty however is not statistically significant. The ICER threshold, at which the probability of a recommendation was 0.5, was 29,000,000 KW/QALY in expert group and 46,500,000 KW/QALY in industry group. We also found that those in our sample were willing to accept high ICER to get medication for severe diseases. This study demonstrates that the cost-effectiveness, budget impact and severity of disease are the main reimbursement decision criteria in South Korea, and that DCE can be a useful tool in analyzing the decision making process where a variety of factors are considered and prioritized.

Linkage Disequilibrium and Effective Population Size in Hanwoo Korean Cattle

  • Lee, S.H.;Cho, Y.M.;Lim, D.;Kim, H.C.;Choi, B.H.;Park, H.S.;Kim, O.H.;Kim, S.;Kim, T.H.;Yoon, D.;Hong, S.K.
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제24권12호
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    • pp.1660-1665
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    • 2011
  • This study presents a linkage disequilibrium (LD) analysis and effective population size ($N_e$) for the entire Hanwoo Korean cattle genome, which is the first LD map and effective population size estimate ever calculated for this breed. A panel of 4,525 markers was used in the final LD analysis. The pairwise $r^2$ statistic of SNPs up to 50 Mb apart across the genome was estimated. A mean value of $r^2$ = 0.23 was observed in pairwise distances of <25 kb and dropped to 0.1 at 40 to 60 kb, which is similar to the average intermarker distance used in this study. The proportion of SNPs in useful LD ($r^2{\geq}0.25$) was 20% for the distance of 10 and 20 kb between SNPs. Analyses of past effective population size estimates based on direct estimates of recombination rates from SNP data demonstrated that a decline in effective population size to $N_e$ = 98.1 occurred up to three generations ago.

학교 환경교육 강화를 통한 가정의 에너지 절감 효과 (The Effect of Environmental Education on Household Energy-Saving Behaviour)

  • 이진권
    • 환경정책연구
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.95-118
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    • 2014
  • 환경교육은 기후변화에 대처하는 가장 근본적이고 중요한 방안이라고 할 수 있다. 환경부가 지정하고 재정적으로 지원하는 환경교육시범학교 제도의 운영은 환경교육 강화의 효과를 검증하기 위한 자연실험(natural experiment) 환경을 제공한다. 2011년 14차 환경교육시범학교로 지정된 학교 학생들의 가구와 인근 지역의 비시범 학교 학생들의 가구에 대한 수도요금, 전기요금, 가스요금의 제 요금 설문자료를 활용하여, 환경교육시범학교 지정을 통한 학교 환경 교육의 강화가 학생들 가정에서의 에너지 절감에 단기적으로 어떠한 영향을 미치는지를 difference-in-difference 추정을 통해 분석한다. 환경교육시범학교 지정을 통한 환경교육의 강화는 대상 가구의 전기요금과 가스요금을 비시범학교 대상 가구에 비해 유의한 수준으로 절감시키는 것으로 나타나, 학교 환경교육의 강화가 대상 가구에 파급효과를 가지고 있으며 이를 통해 단기적으로도 에너지 절감 행위를 강화시켜 줄 수 있는 것으로 분석되었다.

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종량제봉투 가격이 생활폐기물 배출량에 미치는 영향: 부산광역시 자연실험 사례 (Effect of Pay-as-you-throw Bag Prices on Domestic Waste: Evidence from a Natural Experiment of Busan)

  • 구남규
    • 자원ㆍ환경경제연구
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.319-342
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    • 2022
  • 본 연구는 2019년 부산광역시 일부 자치구의 종량제봉투 가격 인하 사례를 이용하여 자연실험 합성집단통제 이중차분법을 통해 종량제봉투 가격이 생활폐기물 배출량에 미치는 영향을 분석했다. 수요 및 가격탄력도를 추정할 때 흔히 발생할 수 있는 내생성 문제를 고려하기 위해 가격 동결 자치구를 합성통제집단으로, 가격 인하 자치구를 처치집단으로 설정하여 분석했다. 분석 결과, 수요의 가격탄력도는 0.05~0.11 수준으로 종량제봉투 가격은 판매량에 거의 영향을 미치지 못했다. 종량제봉투는 필수재적 성격이 강하고 가구 소득에서 차지하는 비중이 매우 작기 때문으로 보인다. 이는 종량제봉투의 수요곡선이 거의 수직에 가까우므로 폐기물 감소 목표 달성을 위해서는 가격정책 보다 수요곡선 자체를 이동시킬 수 있는 정책이 더욱 효과적일 수 있음을 시사한다.

통합 다중 시뮬레이션에 의한 신경망 기반 주식 거래 시스템의 성능 최적화 (Integrated Multiple Simulation for Optimizing Performance of Stock Trading Systems based on Neural Networks)

  • 이재원;오장민
    • 정보처리학회논문지B
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    • 제14B권2호
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    • pp.127-134
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    • 2007
  • 기계 학습 등 인공 지능 기법의 발전에 힘입어 지능형 주식 거래 시스템에 관한 많은 연구가 이루어져 왔다. 그러나 현실 주식 거래에서 적절한 거래 정책의 수립이 거래의 결과에 커다란 영향을 미치는 중요 요소로 작용하고 있음에도 불구하고, 기존의 연구에서는 예측 모듈의 예측 성능 향상에 주력하였거나, 거래 정책을 다룬 경우라도 예측 모듈에 종속적인 단순한 정책만을 제시하였다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 문제를 개선하기 위한 방안의 하나로, 신경망 기반 주식 거래 시스템의 구축을 위한 통합 개발 도고인 NXShell에서 채택하고 있는 ‘통합 다중 시뮬레이션‘ 기법을 제안한다. 통합 다중 시뮬레이션 기법에서는 신경망의 출력 값과 거래 정책 인자들 간의 모든 주어진 예측기의 특성에 맞는 고유의 최적 거래 정책을 수립한다. 제안된 기법의 효용성을 검증하기 위해, 한국 거래소 시장 및 코스닥 시장에서 수집한 데이터를 사용하여 수행한 거래 성능 비교 실험 결과를 제시한다.

Evaluation of the Policy Effects of Free Trade Agreements: New Evidence from the Korea-China FTA

  • Xiang Li;Hyukku Lee;Seung-Lin Hong
    • Journal of Korea Trade
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.41-60
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    • 2022
  • Purpose - The policy implications of free trade agreements have traditionally been a matter of debate among economists. The official signing of the Korea-China Free Trade Agreement provides economists with a quasi-natural experiment to analyze the FTA's policy effects. This article aims to more accurately understand the impact of Korea's FTA accession on the macro economy. Design/methodology - This study adopts the counterfactual method based on panel data to find common factors in the generation process of macro data to fit the counterfactual path, to accurately evaluate the effect of the macro policy. Findings - Our research results show that the signing of the Korea-China FTA has a relatively significant short-term positive effect on Korea's economic growth. On average, Korea's real GDP growth rate has increased by 2.1%. This study finds evidence in support of FTA signing not having a significant impact on Korea's GDP growth in the long run. Additionally, we evaluated the impact of the FTA on Korea's imports and exports and found that it had a significant positive impact in the short term, but the trade effect of the FTA is significantly affected by the external macro-environment. Originality/value - First, this study uses macro panel data at the national level to examine the impact of the Korea-China FTA on Korea, and more accurately describes the policy effect of the FTA. Second, our empirical results show that the Korea-China FTA policy impact is subject to occasional changes in the external environment, such as the geopolitical conflict (crisis) between Korea and China, and the US-China trade war. Finally, the analysis shows that the short-term effect of FTA is significant but the long-term is uncertain, which provides empirical evidence for the debate on whether joining FTA can promote national economic growth.

쌀의 품질평가 현황과 전망 (Trend and Prospect of Rice Quality Evaluation)

  • 김재현;이정일;윤영환;김제규;황흥구;문헌팔;손종록
    • 한국작물학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국작물학회 2002년도 춘계 학술대회지
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    • pp.53-57
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    • 2002
  • Quality evaluation must be more developed in order to offer the sufficient information for producer, distribution centers buyer, consumer. There are many parameters which influence the rice quality and cooked rice. It is difficult to evaluate the quality of rice and cooked rice by only some parameters. In the case of rice quality evaluation in Korea, physicochemical inspection is performed by examining the minimum and maximum limits of brown rice recovery, moisture content, damaged kernel, and colored kernel as inspection standard. Marketing standard of rice defines the limits of perfect, white core and belly, colored, damaged kernels, and broken rice, classifying into special, excellent, and normal grades. As a research direction for the development of rice quality evaluation, establishment as parts of technical field, must be further developed as follows : more detailed measure of characters, search of unknown taste-related components, creation and grade classification of quality evaluation factors at each management stages of treatment after harvesting, evaluation as food material as well as cooking rice, method development for simple evaluation and establishment of equation for palatability. In the side of policy, the following concerns must be conducted: price discrimination in conformity to rice cultivar and grade under the basis of qualify evaluation method developed, fixation of head rice branding, and introduction of low temperature circulation.

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