• Title/Summary/Keyword: Policy Effect Analysis

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The Effects of Export Diversification on Macroeconomic Stabilization: Evidence from Korea

  • LEE, JINSOO;YU, BOK-KEUN
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.41 no.1
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    • pp.1-14
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    • 2019
  • This paper studies whether export diversification mitigated the negative effect of the global financial crisis on exports using the Korean case. Specifically, we use annual data on the exports of 24 Korean manufacturing industries from 2000 to 2016 and examine whether the negative effect of the crisis on exports was less prevalent in industries that were more diversified in terms of country and product. We also examine whether export competitiveness, as measured by the revealed comparative advantage index by industry, had a mitigating effect on trade during the crisis. In order to study these issues, we use panel regression with a fixed-effect model for 24 Korean manufacturing industries. From our empirical analysis, we find that country diversification weakened the negative impact of the global financial crisis on Korea's exports, whereas neither product diversification nor export competitiveness did so.

Greenhouse Gas Reduction by Air Quality Management Policy in Gyeonggi-do and Its Co-benefit Analysis (경기도 대기질 개선 정책의 온실가스 동시 저감 및 그에 따른 공편익 효과 분석)

  • Kim, Dong Young;Choi, Min-Ae
    • Journal of Korean Society for Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.570-582
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    • 2017
  • In recent years, national and local government's air quality management and climate change adaptation policy has been significantly strengthened. The measures in the two policies may be in a relationship of trade-off or synergy to each other. Greenhouse gases and air pollutants are mostly emitted from the same sources of using considerable amounts of fossil fuels. Co-benefits, in which either measure has a positive effect on the other, may be maximized by reducing the social costs and by consolidating the objectives of the various policies. In this study, the co-benefits were examined by empirically analyzing the effects of air pollutants and greenhouse gas emission reduction, social cost, and cost effectiveness between the two policies. Of the total 80 projects, the next 12 projects generated co-benefits. They are 1) extend restriction area of solid fuel use, 2) expand subsidy of low-$NO_x$ burner, 3) supply hybrid-vehicles, 4) supply electric-vehicles, 5) supply hydrogen fuel cell vehicles, 6) engine retrofit, 7) scrappage of old car, 8) low emission zone, 9) transportation demand management, 10) supply land-based electric of ship, 11) switching anthracite to clean fuel in private sector, 12) expand regional combined-energy supply. The benefits of air pollutants and greenhouse gas-related measures were an annual average of KRW 2,705.4 billion. The social benefits of the transportation demand management were the highest at an annual average of KRW 890.7 billion, and followed by scrappage of old cars and expand regional combined-energy supply. When the social benefits and the annual investment budgets are compared, the cost effectiveness ratio is estimated to be about 3.8. Overall, the reduction of air pollutants caused by the air quality management policy of Gyeonggi-do resulted in an annual average of KRW 4,790.2 billion. In the point sources management sector, the added value of $CO_2$ reduction increased by 4.8% to KRW 1,062.8 billion, while the mobile sources management sector increased by 3.6% to KRW 3,414.1 billion. If social benefits from $CO_2$ reduction are added, the annual average will increase by 7.2% to KRW 5,135.4 billion. The urban and energy management sectors have shown that social benefits increase more than twice as much as the benefits of $CO_2$ reduction. This result implies that more intensive promotion of these measures are needed. This study has significance in that it presents the results of the empirical analysis of the co-benefits generated between the similar policies in the air quality management and the climate change policy which are currently being promoted in Gyeonggi-do. This study suggested that the method of analyzing the policy effect among the main policies in the climate atmospheric policy is established and the effectiveness and priority of the major policies can be evaluated through the policy correlation analysis based on the co-benefits. It is expected that it could be a basis for evaluation the efficiency of the climate change adaptation and air quality management policies implemented by the national and local governments in the future.

Analysis of Shadows Effect in Seoul Area for the Estimation of Roof-type PV Power Calculation (지붕형 태양광 발전량 산정을 위한 서울지역 그림자 효과 분석)

  • Yun, ChangYeol;Jung, BoRin;Kim, ShinYoung;Kim, ChangKi;Kim, JinYoung;Kim, HyunGoo;Kang, YongHeack;Kim, YongIl
    • Journal of the Korean Solar Energy Society
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.45-53
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    • 2018
  • For the preliminary step for estimating the performance of roof-type photovoltaic system in urban areas, we analyzed the solar radiation reduction ratio by shadow effect by buildings using DSM (Digital Surface Model) and GIS (Geographical Information System) tools. An average loss by the shadow is about 19% in Seoul. The result was related to the building density and distribution. Monthly results show that the winter season (December and January) was more affected by the shading than during the summer season (June and July). It is expected that useful empirical formulas can be made if more detailed correlation studies are performed.

A Study on the Effect of Real Estate Policy on Real Estate Price: Focusing on Tax Policy and Financial Policy (부동산정책이 부동산가격에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구: 조세정책과 금융정책 중심으로)

  • Jin-O Jung;Jae-Ho Chung
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.55-75
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    • 2023
  • Based on prior studies on real estate policy, tax policy, and financial policy, this study examined how tax policy and financial policy affected real estate prices using monthly data from January 2014 to December 2021. We performed a VAR model using unit root tests, cointegration tests, as well as conducted impulse response analysis and variance decomposition analysis. The results are as follows. First, the tax regulation index and the financial regulation index had no discernible impact on housing prices. Specifically, a one-sided stabilizing regulatory policy was ineffective and, instead, led to unintended side effects, such as price increases resulting from reduced transaction volume. Secondly, mortgage rates had a negative impact on the housing sale price index. In other words, an increase in interest rates might led to a decrease in housing prices. Thirdly, an increase in the transfer difference, which involves capital gains tax, has a positive effect on housing prices. This led to rising housing prices because the transfer taxes were shifted to buyers, causing them to hesitate to make purchases due to the increased tax burden. Fourthly, both acquisition taxes and mortgage loans had relatively little impact on housing prices.

An Economic Ripple Effect Analysis of National Scientific Data Center Construction (국가 과학데이터센터 구축의 경제적 파급효과 분석)

  • Park, Sung-Uk;Hahn, Sun-Hwa
    • Journal of Information Management
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.55-69
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    • 2011
  • In the modern scientific R&D, the efficient acquisition, curation, analysis and visualization are core elements of the science development. The value of scientific data is very important in data intensive research. An output of scientific data is drastically increasing. However we have only each individual system of scientific data in now. Therefore We feel a lack of efficiency of scientific data. In this paper, We analyze an economic ripple effects in terms of production inducement effect, added value inducement effect, labor inducement effect and forward backward linkage effect of national scientific data center construction using an input-out analysis of the bank of Korea(2009). We also examine an economic propriety of national scientific data center construction.

The Effect of Population Ageing on Healthcare Expenditure in Korea: From the Perspective of 'Healthy Ageing' Using Age-Period-Cohort Analysis (인구고령화가 의료비 지출에 미치는 영향: Age-Period-Cohort 분석을 이용한 '건강한 고령화'의 관점)

  • Cho, Jae Young;Jeong, Hyoung-Sun
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.378-391
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    • 2018
  • Background: People who were born in different years, that is, different birth cohorts, grow in varying socio-historical and dynamic contexts, which result in differences in social dispositions and physical abilities. Methods: This study used age-period-cohort analysis method to establish explanatory models on healthcare expenditure in Korea reflecting birth cohort factor using intrinsic estimator. Based on these models, we tried to investigate the effects of ageing population on future healthcare expenditure through simulation by scenarios. Results: Coefficient of cohort effect was not as high as that of age effect, but greater than that of period effect. The cohort effect can be interpreted to show 'healthy ageing' phenomenon. Healthy ageing effect shows annual average decrease of -1.74% to 1.57% in healthcare expenditure. Controlling age, period, and birth cohort effects, pure demographic effect of population ageing due to increase in life expectancy shows annual average increase of 1.61%-1.80% in healthcare expenditure. Conclusion: First, since the influence of population factor itself on healthcare expenditure increase is not as big as expected. Second, 'healthy ageing effect' suggests that there is a need of paradigm shift to prevention centered-healthcare services. Third, forecasting of health expenditure needs to reflect social change factors by considering birth cohort effect.

A Study on the Relationship between Nursing Officer's Leadership Style and Knowledge Transfer - Focused on Moderating Effect of Job Characteristics - (간호장교 리더십 유형과 지식이전의 관계 - 직무특성의 조절효과를 중심으로 -)

  • Roh, Myoung Hwa;Lee, Jung Ok
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.628-653
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    • 2012
  • Purpose : This study attempted to find out the relationship between leadership style, knowledge transfer in nursing officers' job, considering the task characteristics. Methods : The data were collected from the military hospital during November 1st to November 17th, 2008 using a structured questionnaire and analyzed with the statistical method of frequency, correlation, and regression analysis, in SPSS 12.0 program package. Results/Conclusion : The results of empirical analysis shows that the levels of job tension and job focused task domain affect the job characteristics of the nursing officers' organization. The job characteristics have a moderating effect on the relationship between leadership style and knowledge transfer. The research is very useful in finding out the job characteristics which well depict military nursing organizations. This research suggests that a desirable leadership styles affect the knowledge transfer in the job characteristics type.

The Effects of Government R&D Support on Private R&D Investment: Evidence from Innovative Growth Engine Policies (정부 R&D 지원이 민간 R&D 투자에 미치는 영향: 혁신성장동력 정책을 중심으로)

  • Koo, Bon-Jin;Lee, Jong-Seon
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.281-294
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    • 2021
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study was verifying the policy effects by field of innovative growth engines, focusing on the discussion of the relationship between government support and corporate R&D activities (substitute/complementary goods), and based on the results, policy recommendations for promoting private R&D were carried out. Design/methodology/approach - Through literature research, academic/theoretical discussions about relationship between government support and corporate R&D activities were synthesized. Next, survey data were collected for companies engaged in the field of innovative growth engines and empirical analysis was conducted on the relationship between government support and R&D activities in 13 major sectors. Findings - First, as a result of analyzing all companies regardless of sector, government R&D subsidies had a positive (+) relationship with R&D activities of companies engaged in innovative growth engines, that is, a complementary relationship. Next, as a result of performing empirical analysis by dividing the 13 fields, it was found that 9 fields were complementary goods in which government support had a positive (+) effect on the R&D activities of companies. On the other hand, in the remaining four fields, the effect of government support on corporate R&D activities was not statistically significant. Research implications or Originality - In order to promote R&D activities of companies in the 9 fields where government support acts as a complementary product, it is necessary to establish policies centered on direct government support. On the other hand, it would be more desirable to seek indirect support rather than direct support in the 4 fields where government support did not have a statistically significant effect on corporate R&D activities.

Analysis of Drug Utilization after the Mandatory Application of the DRG Payment System in Korea (포괄수가제 당연적용 후 의약품 사용현황 분석)

  • Kang, Hee-Jeong;Kim, Ji Man;Lim, Jae-Young;Lee, Sang Gyu;Shin, Euichul
    • Korea Journal of Hospital Management
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.18-27
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    • 2018
  • Purposes: This study aims to investigate the policy effect of mandatory application of DRG for 7 disease groups in general and tertiary hospitals. Methodology: As DRG was fully implemented in July 2013, this study compares two periods before and after the change(from July 2012 to June 2013, and from July 2013 to June 2014). The benefit claim data of the National Health Insurance Service was used for the comparison. Target patients were those who visited general or tertiary hospitals between July 2012 to June 2014. For pharmaceutical consumption, Interrupted Time Series (ITS) analysis was used to see the effect of DRG mandatory application. Findings: The number of drugs prescribed per patient and pharmaceutical expenditure both showed significant reduction compared to before the DRG implementation. Practical Implications: This study used 2 sets of 1 year period data from before and after the full implementation of DRG to analyze pharmaceutical consumption. When the comparison data accumulates further, it would be possible to conduct more diverse analysis to assess policy effect and to provide way forward for the future.

Cost Benefit Analysis on the Economic Effect of the Water Fluoridation Program in Some Area of Cheong-Ju City (청주시 일부지역의 수돗물불소화사업 비용-편익 분석)

  • 정희웅;안형식;박형근;문혁수;조수헌;이희영;윤석준
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.23-45
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    • 2003
  • This study was performed to evaluate economic effect of the water fluoridation program in Cheong-Ju City from 1982 to 2010. To study this economic effect, this study used cost-benefit analysis methodology from eight years old to fourteen years old in Cheong-Ju City. Major findings were as follows; First, total cost of fluoridation program in Cheong-Ju City was 1,384,164,734 korean won and total benefit was 15,057,426,621 Korean won from 1982 to 2010. Second, total cost which was converted by present value 2000 year was 1,687,412,718 won and total benefit which was converted by present value 2000 year was 14,582,548,519 Korean won. Cost-benefit ratio was 8.64. Net present value which happened from 1982 to 2000 was 7,990,710,155 Korean won and cost benefit ratio was 7.47. In conclusion, by the above result, economic impact of the water fluoridation program was very effective for children in some area of Cheong-Ju city.