• Title/Summary/Keyword: Policy Analysis

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A Study on the Volatility of Global Stock Markets using Markov Regime Switching model (마코브국면전환모형을 이용한 글로벌 주식시장의 변동성에 대한 연구)

  • Lee, Kyung-Hee;Kim, Kyung-Soo
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.17-39
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    • 2015
  • This study examined the structural changes and volatility in the global stock markets using a Markov Regime Switching ARCH model developed by the Hamilton and Susmel (1994). Firstly, the US, Italy and Ireland showed that variance in the high volatility regime was more than five times that in the low volatility, while Korea, Russia, India, and Greece exhibited that variance in the high volatility regime was increased more than eight times that in the low. On average, a jump from regime 1 to regime 2 implied roughly three times increased in risk, while the risk during regime 3 was up to almost thirteen times than during regime 1 over the study period. And Korea, the US, India, Italy showed ARCH(1) and ARCH(2) effects, leverage and asymmetric effects. Secondly, 278 days were estimated in the persistence of low volatility regime, indicating that the mean transition probability between volatilities exhibited the highest long-term persistence in Korea. Thirdly, the coefficients appeared to be unstable structural changes and volatility for the stock markets in Chow tests during the Asian, Global and European financial crisis. In addition, 1-Step prediction error tests showed that stock markets were unstable during the Asian crisis of 1997-1998 except for Russia, and the Global crisis of 2007-2008 except for Korea and the European crisis of 2010-2011 except for Korea, the US, Russia and India. N-Step tests exhibited that most of stock markets were unstable during the Asian and Global crisis. There was little change in the Asian crisis in CUSUM tests, while stock markets were stable until the late 2000s except for some countries. Also there were stable and unstable stock markets mixed across countries in CUSUMSQ test during the crises. Fourthly, I confirmed a close relevance of the volatility between Korea and other countries in the stock markets through the likelihood ratio tests. Accordingly, I have identified the episode or events that generated the high volatility in the stock markets for the financial crisis, and for all seven stock markets the significant switch between the volatility regimes implied a considerable change in the market risk. It appeared that the high stock market volatility was related with business recession at the beginning in 1990s. By closely examining the history of political and economical events in the global countries, I found that the results of Lamoureux and Lastrapes (1990) were consistent with those of this paper, indicating there were the structural changes and volatility during the crises and specificly every high volatility regime in SWARCH-L(3,2) student t-model was accompanied by some important policy changes or financial crises in countries or other critical events in the international economy. The sophisticated nonlinear models are needed to further analysis.

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A Survey on the Perceptions of Consumer Organizations to Promote Risk Communication for Food Additives (식품첨가물의 리스크 커뮤니케이션 촉진을 위한 소비자단체의 인식조사)

  • So, Yun-Ji;Kim, Suna;Lee, Jee-Hyeon;Park, Eun-Young;Kim, Hee-Jung;Kim, Ji-Sun;Kim, Jeong-Weon
    • Korean journal of food and cookery science
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.105-113
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    • 2013
  • Consumer organizations usually lead the opinions of the consumers. This study was performed to investigate the perceptions and information needs of consumer organizations on food additives for the promotion of risk communication. A survey was conducted for 4 weeks in March 2012 by using a self-administered questionnaire consisting of 32 questions. Total 111 responses were collected for analysis. 'Safety (91.0%)' was the most important factor influencing the purchase of processed food, and both 'food additives (24.3%)' and 'environmental pollution (23.4%)' were considered as main risk factors. The longer the career of the members had, the higher negative perceptions on food additives (p<0.01). About 70% of the respondents who had known KFDA's researches on evaluating safety of food additives answered that researches were not enough to make sure the safety. Although lectures and other domestic organization were the main channels for getting information, 'TV' was considered as the most suitable way for it. 'Poor risk communication (32.4%)' was pointed out as the serious problem of government's food safety policy. Based on these results, consumer organizations' low level of trust on government should be overcome by continuous supply of information what they need to facilitate risk communication on food additives.

Evaluation of Sustainability for Olive Flounder Production by the Systems Ecology I. EMERGY Analysis of Olive Flounder Production (시스템 생태학적 접근법에 의한 넙치생산의 지속성 평가 I. 넙치생산에 대한 EMERGY 분석)

  • KIM Nam Kook;SON Ji Ho;KIM Jin Lee;LEE Suk Mo
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.218-224
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    • 2001
  • Olive flounder is one of the most important aquaculture species in Korea. Interest in the aquaculture of olive flounder has increased recently because of its good growth characteristics and high market price, However, the productivity of olive flounder aquaculture depends on economic inputs such as fuels, facilities, and labor, In this study, EMERGY concepts was used to compare the environment and economy of two olive flounder production methods, fishing fisheries and aquaculture, and to evaluate the sustainability of olive flounder production, EMERGY spelled with an 'm' is a universal measure of real wealth of the work of nature and society made on a common basis. Calculations of EMERGY production and storage provide a basis for making choices about environment and economy following. the general public policy to maximize real wealth, production and use. EMERGY flows from environment were $94.13\%$ for olive flounder fishing fisheries, and $2.20\%$ for aquaculture. EMERGY yield ratio, environmental loading ratio and sustainability index were 17.05, 1.02 and 274 for fishing fisheries and 0.06, 44.41 and 0.023 for aquaculture, respectively. These ratios indicate that the fishing fisheries will yield more net EMERGY, while the aquaculture requires a lower investment of EMERGY.

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Studies on the Separation and Discrimination of the Natural Yellow Pigment on Croaker (참조기 천연색소의 분리 및 판별법에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Hee-Yun;Hong, Ki-Hyung;Hong, Jin-Hwan;Kim, Dong-Sul;Han, Sang-Bae;Lee, Eun-Ju;Lee, Jeung-Seung;Kang, Kil-Jin;Chung, Hyung-Wook;Song, Kyung-Hee;Park, Jong-Seok;Kwon, Yong-Kwan;Jang, Young-Mi;Shin, Il-Shik;Lee, Chang-Kook;Park, Hee-Yul;Ha, Sang-Chul;Jo, Jae-Sun;Park, Hye-Kyung
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.762-769
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    • 2002
  • As a preliminary test for defining intact yellow croaker pigment, the pigment was analyzed by column chromatography and UV-vis spectrophotometry. All maximum absorbance wavelengths commonly showed three maximum absorbance ranges, similar to those of carotenoid, suggesting that the tested pigment may be carotenoid. We detected total six peak RT values in the chromatogram through PDA-HPLC under gradient mode (behavior A at 10% for initial 2 min and changed to behavior B for 60 min). Most pigments were detected at the peak with 3.27 RT value. Because seven peaks were detected under gradient mode and three under isocratic mode [methanol : methylene chloride (90 : 10, v/v)], gradient mode was determined to be more appropriate for quantitative analysis. By the comparison test of RT values among yellow pigment in croakers and reference pigments, such as zeaxanthine, ${\beta}-cryptoxanthine$, ${\beta}-carotene$, and astaxanthin, only ${\beta}-cryptoxanthine$ was detected in the white croaker, whereas such pigment of yellow croaker having RT value of 31.02 was not detected. Therefore, RT value was found to be applicable for detecting adulterated croaker.

Molecular Identification of Trichogramma (Hymenoptera: Trichogrammatidae) Egg Parasitoids of the Asian Corn Borer Ostrinia furnacalis, Based on ITS2 rDNA Sequence Analysis (ITS2 rDNA 염기서열 분석을 통한 Trichogramma 속(벌목: 알벌과)의 조명나방 알기생벌에 대한 종 추정)

  • Seo, Bo Yoon;Jung, Jin Kyo;Park, Ki Jin;Cho, Jum Rae;Lee, Gwan-Seok;Jung, Chung Ryul
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
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    • v.53 no.3
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    • pp.247-260
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    • 2014
  • To identify the species of Trichogramma occurring in the corn fields of Korea as egg parasitoids of Ostrinia furnacalis, we sequenced the full-length of ITS2 nuclear rDNA from 112 parasitoids collected during this study. As a reference to distinguish species, we also retrieved full-length ITS2 sequences of 60 Trichogramma species from the NCBI GenBank database. On the basis of the size and 3'terminal sequence pattern of the ITS2 sequences, the Trichogramma samples collected in this study were divided into three groups (K-1, -2, and -3). Evolutionary distances (d) within and between groups based on ITS2 sequences were estimated to be ${\leq}0.005$ and ${\geq}0.080$, respectively. In the net average distance between groups or species, the d value between K-1 and T. ostriniae, K-2 and T. dendrolimi, and K-3 and T. confusum was the lowest, with values of 0.016, 0.001, and 0.002, respectively. In the phylogenetic tree, K-1 and K-2 were clustered with T. ostriniae and T. dendrolimi, respectively. However, K-3 was clustered with three different species, namely, T. confusum, T. chilonis, and T. bilingensis. NCBI BLAST results revealed that parasitoids belonging to K-1 and K-2 showed 99% identity with T. ostriniae and T. dendrolimi, respectively. Parasitoids in K-3 collected from Hongcheon showed 99-100% identity with T. confusum and T. chilonis, and one parasitoid in K-3 collected from Gochang had 98% identity with T. bilingensis, T. confusum, and T. chilonis. On the basis of these results, we infer that the species of Trichogramma collected in this study are closely related to T. ostriniae (K-1) and T. dendrolimi (K-2). However, it was not possible to distinguish species of K-3 using the ITS2 sequence alone.

The Impact of BIS Regulation on Bank Behavior in Asset Management (신 BIS 자기자본규제가 은행자산운용행태에 미치는 영향)

  • Oh, Hyun-Tak;Choi, Seok-Gyu
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.171-198
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    • 2009
  • The primary purpose of this study is to examine the impact of new BIS regulation, which is the preparations to incorporate not only credit risk but also market and operation risk, on the bank behaviors. As methodology, SUR(seemingly unrelated regression) and pool unit test are used in the empirical analysis of banks survived in Korea. It is employed that quarterly data of BIS capital ratio, ratio of standard and below loans to total loans, ratio of liquid assets to liquid liabilities, allowances for credit losses, real GDP, yields of corporate bonds(3years, AA) covering the period of 2000Q1~2009Q1. As a result, it could be indicated that effectiveness and promoting improvements of BIS capital regulation policy as follows; First, it is explicitly seen that weight of lending had decreased and specific gravity of international investment had increased until before BIS regulation is built up a step for revised agreement in late 2001. Second, after more strengthening of BIS standard in late 2002, banks had a tendency to decrease the adjustment of assets weighted risk through issuing of national loan that is comparatively low profitability. Also, it is implicitly sought that BIS regulation is a bit of a factor to bring about credit crunch and then has become a bit of a factor of economic stagnation. Third, as the BIS regulation became hard, it let have a effort to raise the soundness of a credit loan because of selecting good debtor based on its credit ratings. Fourth, it should be arranged that the market disciplines, the effective superintendence system and the sound environment to be able to raise enormous bank capital easily, against the credit stringency and reinforce the soundness of banks etc. in Korea capital market.

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Anti-Inflammatory Effect of Ethanolic Extract from Polyopes affinis through Suppression of NF-κB and MAPK Activation in LPS-Stimulated RAW 264.7 Cells (LPS로 자극된 대식세포에서의 NF-κB와 MAPK 활성 조절을 통한 참까막살(Polyopes affinis) 에탄올 추출물의 항염증 효과)

  • Kim, Min-Ji;Kim, Koth-Bong-Woo-Ri;Park, Sun-Hee;Park, So-Young;Choi, Hyeun-Deok;Choi, Jung-Su;Jang, Mi-Ran;Im, Moo-Hyeog;Ahn, Dong-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Food Science and Nutrition
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    • v.46 no.5
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    • pp.537-544
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    • 2017
  • In this study, the anti-inflammatory effect of Polyopes affinis ethanol extract (PAEE) was investigated using LPS-stimulated RAW 264.7 cells and a croton oil-induced ICR mice model. Treatment with PAEE significantly reduced production of nitric oxide (NO) and pro-inflammatory cytokines [interleukin (IL)-6, tumor necrosis factor $(TNF)-{\alpha}$, and $IL-1{\beta}$] in lipopolysaccharide (LPS)-stimulated RAW 264.7 cells. PAEE treatment also reduced expression of inducible NO synthase, cyclooxygenase-2, nuclear $factor-{\kappa}B$, and mitogen-activated protein kinases in LPS-stimulated RAW 264.7 cells. In the croton oil-induced ear edema test, application of PAEE (10~250 mg/kg body weight) reduced ear edema in a dose-dependent manner, and PAEE treatment at 50 mg/kg body weight showed similar inhibitory effects compared with prednisolone (10 mg/kg body weight). Histological analysis revealed reduced dermal thickness and lower number of infiltrated mast cells. These results suggest that PAEE might be used as a promising anti-inflammatory agent for inhibition of LPS-induced inflammation and ear edema formation.

Effects of Usual Source of Care by Patients with Diabetes on Use of Medical Service and Medical Expenses (당뇨병 환자의 상용치료원 보유가 의료이용 및 의료비에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, So Dam;Shin, Euichul;Lim, Jae-Young;Lee, Sang Gyu;Kim, Ji Man
    • Korea Journal of Hospital Management
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.1-17
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    • 2017
  • Purposes: Diabetes is a metabolic disorder that requires continuous care in order to prevent complications, as it can impose a critical burden on families and society due to various complications, including terminal renal failure, non-traumatic lower extremity amputation, and adult blindness. The usual sources of care are "specified private clinics, public health centers, or other facilities to visit when ill or when health-related advice is needed". These usual sources of care offer preventative services, have a high overall satisfaction rate in terms of public health care, and decrease the inpatient rates and medical costs of medical aid recipients. This study analyzed the current status of diabetic patients over 20 years of age based on their possession of a usual source of care, and the effects of this possession on the frequency of their medical service usage and its costs. Methodology: Based on data from the 7th Korea Health Panel, a Tobit analysis was used to analyze the different factors that can affect the frequency of medical service usage and its costs for diabetic patients with and without a usual source of care. Findings: The medical costs of diabetic patients with a usual source of care decreased in terms of inpatient, and the outpatient visits and inpatient costs of the group with a usual source of care in the form of a mainly-visiting doctor decreased more than those of the group with a mainly-visiting medical institution only. Practical Implications: Having a usual source of care can increase the treatment continuity, leading to reduced inpatient, and having a mainly-visiting doctor as the usual source of care further increases the treatment continuity. Based on these results, a new policy is needed to increase and strengthen diabetic patients? possession of a usual source of care.

Ontology-based Course Mentoring System (온톨로지 기반의 수강지도 시스템)

  • Oh, Kyeong-Jin;Yoon, Ui-Nyoung;Jo, Geun-Sik
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.149-162
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    • 2014
  • Course guidance is a mentoring process which is performed before students register for coming classes. The course guidance plays a very important role to students in checking degree audits of students and mentoring classes which will be taken in coming semester. Also, it is intimately involved with a graduation assessment or a completion of ABEEK certification. Currently, course guidance is manually performed by some advisers at most of universities in Korea because they have no electronic systems for the course guidance. By the lack of the systems, the advisers should analyze each degree audit of students and curriculum information of their own departments. This process often causes the human error during the course guidance process due to the complexity of the process. The electronic system thus is essential to avoid the human error for the course guidance. If the relation data model-based system is applied to the mentoring process, then the problems in manual way can be solved. However, the relational data model-based systems have some limitations. Curriculums of a department and certification systems can be changed depending on a new policy of a university or surrounding environments. If the curriculums and the systems are changed, a scheme of the existing system should be changed in accordance with the variations. It is also not sufficient to provide semantic search due to the difficulty of extracting semantic relationships between subjects. In this paper, we model a course mentoring ontology based on the analysis of a curriculum of computer science department, a structure of degree audit, and ABEEK certification. Ontology-based course guidance system is also proposed to overcome the limitation of the existing methods and to provide the effectiveness of course mentoring process for both of advisors and students. In the proposed system, all data of the system consists of ontology instances. To create ontology instances, ontology population module is developed by using JENA framework which is for building semantic web and linked data applications. In the ontology population module, the mapping rules to connect parts of degree audit to certain parts of course mentoring ontology are designed. All ontology instances are generated based on degree audits of students who participate in course mentoring test. The generated instances are saved to JENA TDB as a triple repository after an inference process using JENA inference engine. A user interface for course guidance is implemented by using Java and JENA framework. Once a advisor or a student input student's information such as student name and student number at an information request form in user interface, the proposed system provides mentoring results based on a degree audit of current student and rules to check scores for each part of a curriculum such as special cultural subject, major subject, and MSC subject containing math and basic science. Recall and precision are used to evaluate the performance of the proposed system. The recall is used to check that the proposed system retrieves all relevant subjects. The precision is used to check whether the retrieved subjects are relevant to the mentoring results. An officer of computer science department attends the verification on the results derived from the proposed system. Experimental results using real data of the participating students show that the proposed course guidance system based on course mentoring ontology provides correct course mentoring results to students at all times. Advisors can also reduce their time cost to analyze a degree audit of corresponding student and to calculate each score for the each part. As a result, the proposed system based on ontology techniques solves the difficulty of mentoring methods in manual way and the proposed system derive correct mentoring results as human conduct.

A Study of Analysis NCS-based Curriculum Organization of the Apprenticeship Program of Vocational Education and Training High Schools Participating in the Apprenticeship System (산학일체형 도제학교 도제프로그램의 NCS 기반 교육과정 편성 현황 분석 연구)

  • Ahn, Jae-Yeong
    • 대한공업교육학회지
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.1-23
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzes the status of the NCS (National Competency Standards) based curriculum in which the apprenticeship program of vocational education and training high schools (VET high schools) participating in the apprenticeship system is included to present suggestions for organizing and evaluating the apprenticeship curriculum. For this, data on the status of curricula of 141 courses (75.8%) in 116 VET high schools participating in the apprenticeship system were analyzed. The results of the study are as follows. First, the average time assigned for the apprenticeship program was 1,054.2 hours and the apprenticeship program was organized in 12.4 courses in the school curriculum. The degree of evaluation per NCS competency unit of courses was found to be 95.4% for evaluation per competency unit and 5.6% for evaluation regardless of competency unit. Second, the average number of courses including apprenticeship programs in time assigned for the courses in school curriculum (when appropriate) was 11.5 (93.1%) and the average number of courses including apprenticeship programs in the contents of the school curriculum courses (when appropriate) was 10.6 (85.5%). Third, it was found that courses organized only for 'common competency units' were 8.5 (68.5%) and the number of courses in which 'student option competency units' were included was found to be 3.9 (31.5%). In addition to these study results, policy suggestions such as applying suspension on the approval period for change of curriculum by metropolitan and provincial offices of education, inspection on curriculum and enhanced consulting by metropolitan and provincial offices of education, providing plans to evaluate 'student option competency units', newly establishing 'subjects specialized for companies' or 'student option subjects' in national level curriculum are proposed.