• Title/Summary/Keyword: Poisson sampling

Search Result 58, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

Approximation on the Distribution of the Overshoot by the Property of Erlang Distribution in the M/En/1 Queue (M/En/1 대기모형에서 얼랑분포의 성질을 이용한 오버슛의 분포에 대한 근사)

  • Lee, Sang-Gi;Bae, Jongho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.28 no.1
    • /
    • pp.33-47
    • /
    • 2015
  • We consider an $M/E_n/1$ queueing model where customers arrive at a facility with a single server according to a Poisson process with customer service times assumed to be independent and identically distributed with Erlang distribution. We concentrate on the overshoot of the workload process in the queue. The overshoot means the excess over a threshold at the moment where the workload process exceeds the threshold. The approximation of the distribution of the overshoot was proposed by Bae et al. (2011); however, but the accuracy of the approximation was unsatisfactory. We derive an advanced approximation using the property of the Erlang distribution. Finally the newly proposed approximation is compared with the results of the previous study.

Prevalence and Predictors of Complementary Feeding Practices Among Children Aged 6-23 Months in Indonesia

  • Siti, Nurokhmah;Lucinda, Middleton;Aryono, Hendarto
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
    • /
    • v.55 no.6
    • /
    • pp.549-558
    • /
    • 2022
  • Objectives: Poor complementary feeding practices have consistently contributed to the burden of child undernutrition in Indonesia. This study aimed to estimate the prevalence and predictors of the time of the introduction of solid, semi-solid, and soft foods (ISSSF), minimum dietary diversity (MDD), minimum meal frequency (MMF), and minimum acceptable diet (MAD). Methods: We analyzed 4804 last-born infants aged 6-23 months from the 2017 Indonesia Demographic and Health Survey, which employed multistage cluster random sampling. The outcomes were calculated based on the 2021 World Health Organization/United Nations Children's Fund guidelines. The predictors of the 4 complementary feeding indicators were assessed using multivariate Poisson regression with robust variance adjusting for potential confounders and study design. Results: The prevalence of ISSSF, MDD, MMF, and MAD was 86.1%, 54.3%, 71.8%, and 37.6%, respectively, with younger children less likely to meet 3 out of the 4 outcomes. Parental education, the presence of a birth attendant, and maternal media consumption were among the predictors of MDD and MAD. Children from families with higher income were more likely to meet MDD than those from low-income households (adjusted prevalence ratio [aPR], 1.16; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05 to 1.28). Living in an urban area was positively associated with MMF (aPR, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.04 to 1.15) and MAD (aPR, 1.12; 95% CI 1.02 to 1.24). In eastern regions, the prevalence of children achieving MDD and MAD was lower than in those living in Java and Bali. Conclusions: It is crucial that more attention and efforts are made to improve the recommended practices throughout Indonesia, since the prevalence of adequate complementary feeding practices remains low.

The Forced Motion Analyses by Using Two Dimensional 6-Node and Three Dimensional 16-Node Isoparametric Elements with Modification of Gauss Sampling Point (6절점 2차원 및 16절점 3차원 등매개변수 요소의 가우스 적분점 수정을 이용한 강제진동 해석)

  • 김정운;권영두
    • Computational Structural Engineering
    • /
    • v.8 no.4
    • /
    • pp.87-97
    • /
    • 1995
  • For the same configuration of two-dimensional finite element models, 6-node element exhibits stiffer bending stiffness than 8-node element. This is true in the relation between 16-node element and 20-node element for three-dimensional model. This stiffening phenomenon comes from the elimination of several mid nodes from full-node elements. Therefore, this may be called 'relative stiffness stiffening phenomenon'. It seems that there are a couple of ways to correct the stiffening effect, however, we could find only one effective method-the method of modification of Gauss sampling points-which passes the patch test and does not alter other kinds of stiffness, such as extensional stiffness. The quantity of modification is a function of Poisson's ratios of the constituent materials. We could obtain two modification equations, one for plane stress case and the other for plane strain case. This method can be extended to 3-dimensional solid elements. Except the exact plane strain cases, most 3-dimensional plates could be modeled successfully with 16-node element modified by the equation for the plane stress case. The effectiveness of the modification method is checked by applying it to several examples with excellent improvements. In numerical examples, beams with various boundary conditions are subjected to static and time-dependent loads. Free and forced motion analyses of beams and plates are also tested. The beam and plate may be composed of isotropic multilayers as well as a single layer.

  • PDF

A Study on the Estimation of the Stock Density and Biomass of Perinereis aibuhitensis at the Tidal Zone in Sosan, Korea (서산 연안간석지에서 두토막눈썹참갯지렁이(청충), Perinereis aibuhitensis의 분포밀도와 현존자원량의 추정)

  • KIM Chong-Kawn;ZHANG Chang-Ik
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
    • /
    • v.24 no.4
    • /
    • pp.229-236
    • /
    • 1991
  • A study on the estimation of the stock density and biomass of Perinereis aibuhitensis in the tidal zone in Sosan, Chungchongnam-do, Korea was carried out from June to July 1988. A preliminary survey was conducted to determine the distribution pattern of the species and the optimum sample size for setting up the sampling design. The stock densities of the species by stratum and by subarea were estimated using the stratified random sampling method, based upon the results of preliminary survey. The differences in density between strata as well as among subareas were tested to decide whether they can be combined together for estimating the overall stock biomass or not. The results of the survey showed that p. aibuhitensis were randomly distributed(Poisson distribution) and the number of quadrats which satisfies a reasonable level of precision was determined to be five by stratum. The densities between strata were not significantly different, while densities among subareas were different. Subarea C showed the highest density with the mean of $53.9g/m^2$ and followed by subarea B. The density of subarea A was the lowest with the mean of $18.2g/m^2$. The overall mean density from the study area was $32.4g/m^2$ with the coefficient of variance(CV) of $6.8\%$ The overall stock biomass was estimated to be 147.5mt in this area.

  • PDF

Within Field Distribution Pattern and Design of a Sampling Plan for Damaged Onions by the Onion maggot, Hylemya antiqua Meigen(Diptera: Anthomyiidae) (고자리파리에 의한 양파피해(被害)의 포장내(圃場內) 분포양식(分布樣式)과 피해량(被害量) 추정(推定)을 위한 표본추출(標本抽出) 계획(計劃))

  • Park, C.G.;Hyun, J.S.;Cho, D.J.;Lee, K.S.;Hah, J.K.
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
    • /
    • v.24 no.1 s.62
    • /
    • pp.29-33
    • /
    • 1985
  • Every plant in $990m^2$ onion field was inspected for damages by the onion maggot. Maps were constructed every ten days to show which plants were infested and which were not from April 11 to May 21, 1984. The maps were sectioned into squares one of which contains 80 onion plants and the counts of damaged onions in each square were fitted to poisson and negative binomial distribution and tested by chi-square. We argue that the satisfactory fitness of the expected negative binomial $[P(x^2)>0.05]$ provided a useful description of the spatial distribution patterns of the damaged onions. Edge effect was tested by the differences of damage ratio and variance/mean ratio (${\sigma}^2/m$) between edge and center part. The result showed that the damage ratioes and variances of all the periods, ${\sigma}^2/m$ values after May 1 were greater in edge part than in center part. Again, the maps were sectioned into four blocks and the squares (sample units) were sectioned into quadrants. By application of the variance component technique, it was suggested that $2{\sim}8$ sample units for 5% sampling error and $1{\sim}2$ sample units for 10% error should be sampled randomly to estimate the damage ratio when $2{\sim}3$ quadrants were inspected.

  • PDF

An Analysis of Factors Influencing on Temple Foods (사찰음식에 대한 수요영향요인 분석 - 템플스테이 참가자를 대상으로 -)

  • Kim, Yong-Moon;Park, Ki-Oh
    • Culinary science and hospitality research
    • /
    • v.22 no.3
    • /
    • pp.240-253
    • /
    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to predict factors influencing participant demand for the temple stays and to help find alternatives for temple stay marketing strategies. Specifically, the study sought to examine input variables on the visit frequency of temple visitors who partook in temple food. Research subjects were temple stay participants with experience with temple food. Through convenience sampling method, 300 self-administered questionnaires were distributed to participants at 4 temple stays in Seoul. Of the 278 questionnaires collected, 232 (83%) were used for research analysis. Given that the requirement that proper model for analysing the collected data be applied, the Truncated Negative Binomial(TNB) Poisson model, which is useful for analysing count data that are truncated at '0' and overcrowded with a certain value, was selected fort his study. Study results found that, for temple stay food revitalization, the most crucial item for temple food proponents to recognize is natural food ingredients. The degree of affection was higher among respondents over 40 years of groups and with incomes over 40 million won or more than others. In addition, unmarried and male were higher than married and female, and the Christian population in the temple food demand higher impact than Shamanism community. This match should be a priority to establish an in-depth public relations policy of targeted marketing of consumers according to various demographic characteristics. Active and aggressive efforts to expand food inspection are required to promote the healthy image of the temple food to the fragmentation of consumer marketing hierarchy.

Guaranteed Minimum Accumulated Benefit in Variable Annuities and Jump Risk (변액연금보험의 최저연금적립금보증과 점프리스크)

  • Kwon, Yongjae;Kim, So-Yeun
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.20 no.11
    • /
    • pp.281-291
    • /
    • 2020
  • This study used Gauss-Poisson jump diffusion process on standard assets to estimate the statutory reserves of Variable Annuity (VA) guarantees specified in Korean bylaw of insurance supervision and calculated guarantee fees and risks based on the model to see the effect of considering the jumps. Financial assets, except KOSPI 200, have fat-tailed return distributions, which is an indirect evidence of discontinuous jumps. In the case of a domestic stock index and foreign stock indexes(Korean Won), guarantee fees and risks decrease when jumps are considered in models of underlying assets. This is explained by decreases in standard deviations after the jump diffusion is considered. On the other hand, in the case of domestic bond indexes and a foreign bond index(Korean Won), guarantee fees and risks tend to increase when jumps are considered. Results from a foreign stock index(US Dollar) and a foreign bond index(US Dollar) were opposite to those from the same kinds of Korean Won indexes. We conclude that VA guarantee fees and risks may be under or over estimated when jumps are not considered in models of underlying assets.

Estimation of Time-dependent Damage Paths of Armors of Rubble-mound Breakwaters using Stochastic Processes (추계학적 확률과정을 이용한 경사제 피복재의 시간에 따른 피해 경로 추정)

  • Lee, Cheol-Eung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
    • /
    • v.27 no.4
    • /
    • pp.246-257
    • /
    • 2015
  • The progressive degradation paths of structures have quantitatively been tracked by using stochastic processes, such as Wiener process, gamma process and compound Poisson process, in order to consider both the sampling uncertainty due to the usual lack of damage data and the temporal uncertainty associated with the deterioration evolution. Several important features of stochastic processes which should carefully be considered in application of the stochastic processes to practical problems have been figured out through assessing cumulative damage and lifetime distribution as a function of time. Especially, the Wiener process and the gamma process have straightforwardly been applied to armors of rubble-mound breakwaters by the aid of a sample path method based on Melby's formula which can estimate cumulative damage levels of armors over time. The sample path method have been developed to calibrate the related-parameters required in the stochastic modelling of armors of rubble-mound breakwaters. From the analyses, it is found that cumulative damage levels of armors have surely been saturated with time. Also, the exponent of power law in time, that plays a significant role in predicting the cumulative damage levels over time, can easily be determined, which makes the stochastic models possible to track the cumulative damage levels of armors of rubble-mound breakwaters over time. Finally, failure probabilities with respect to various critical limits have been analyzed throughout its anticipated service life.