• 제목/요약/키워드: Poisson process.

검색결과 484건 처리시간 0.025초

가산자료모형을 이용한 송정 해수욕장의 경제적 가치추정: - 비수기 해수욕장의 가치추정 - (Estimating the Economic Value of the Songieong Beach Using A Count Data Model: - Off-season Estimating Value of the Beach -)

  • 허윤정;이승래
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.79-101
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the economic value of the Songieong Beach in Off-season, using a Individual Travel Cost Model(ITCM). Songieong Beach is located in Busan but far away from city. These days, however, the increased rate of traffic inflow to the Songieong beach and the five-day working week are reflected in the trend analysis. Moreover, people have changed psychological value. For that reason, visitors are on the increase on the beach in off-season. The ITCM is applied to estimate non-market value or environmental Good like a Contingent Valuation Method and Hedonic Price Model etc. The ITCM was derived from the Count Data Model(i.e. Poisson and Negative Binomial model). So this paper compares Poisson and negative binomial count data models to measure the tourism demands. The data for the study were collected from the Songjeong Beach on visitors over the a week from November 1 through November 23, 2006. Interviewers were instructed to interview only individuals. So the sample was taken in 113. A dependent variable that is defined on the non-negative integers and subject to sampling truncation is the result of a truncated count data process. This paper analyzes the effects of determinants on visitors' demand for exhibition using a class of maximum-likelihood regression estimators for count data from truncated samples, The count data and truncated models are used primarily to explain non-negative integer and truncation properties of tourist trips as suggested by the economic valuation literature. The results suggest that the truncated negative binomial model is improved overdispersion problem and more preferred than the other models in the study. This paper is not the same as the others. One thing is that Estimating Value of the Beach in off-season. The other thing is this study emphasizes in particular 'travel cost' that is not only monetary cost but also including opportunity cost of 'travel time'. According to the truncated negative binomial model, estimates the Consumer Surplus(CS) values per trip of about 199,754 Korean won and the total economic value was estimated to be 1,288,680 Korean won.

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무선 에너지 하비스팅 인지 무선 네트워크에서 최적화 제어 정책을 이용한 선택적 스펙트럼 접근 (Opportunistic Spectrum Access Using Optimal Control Policy in RF Energy Harvesting Cognitive Radio Networks)

  • 정준희;황유민;차경현;김진영
    • 한국위성정보통신학회논문지
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.6-10
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    • 2015
  • 무선 에너지 하비스팅 기술은 주로 무선 통신 네트워크에서 전력소모가 적은 무선 통신 장치들을 동작시키기 위해 주변 환경으로부터 RF 신호를 수집, 에너지로 변환하는 기술로 최근 각광을 받고 있다. 이와 같은 기술과 기존의 인지무선(Cognitive Radio) 네트워크 모델을 기반으로, 본 논문에서는 적은 파워 소비를 하는 2차 유저(Secondary User)가 근처에서 동작 중인 1차 유저(Primary User)의 특정 거리 안에 존재할 때 1차 유저가 전송한 통신 신호로부터 무선에너지 하비스팅을 하고 특정 거리 밖에 존재할 때 우선 사용자에게 할당되어 있는 허가대역을 주기적으로 센싱, 선택적으로 접근하는 무선에너지 하비스팅 인지무선 네트워크 모델을 제시한다. 이 때 1차 유저와 2차 유저는 Poisson pont process로 분포되어있고 통신을 하고 있는 수신자들과 일정한 거리로 떨어져있다. 위와 같은 네트워크 모델에서 주어진 여러 가지 조건하에 2차 유저 네트워크 처리량을 최대화할 수 있는 최적의 프레임 주기, 전송파워, 2차 유저 밀도 제안하고 앞으로의 연구방향을 제시한다.

멀티미디어 무선 IP 망에서 핸드오프 호의 자원예측을 위한 LMS-위너 모델 (LMS-Wiener Model for Resources Prediction of Handoff Calls in Multimedia Wireless IP Networks)

  • 이진이;이광형
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제30권2A호
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    • pp.26-33
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    • 2005
  • 무선 IP 망의 자원 예약 방식에서는 미래의 호가 요구하는 무선자원의 양을 정확히 예측함으로써 제한된 무선자원의 이용률을 높일 수 있다. 본 연구에서는 멀티미디어 무선 IP 망에서 미래의 핸드오프 호가 요구하는 무선자원(대역폭)의 양을 예측하는 LMS-Wiener 예측방법을 제안하고, 자원의 예측 오차양의 크기에 관해서 기존외 위너 모델링에 기초한 예측방법과 성능을 비교한다. 성능비교를 위한 트래픽 환경은 피코셀 구조의 무선 IP 망에서 장시간 호의 도착패턴이 일반적인 포아송 분포보다는 비포아송 분포를 보이므로, 핸드오프 호의 도착과정을 비 포아송 분포, 핸드오프 호의 채널 점유 시간도 비 지수 분포로 모델링 하였다. 시뮬레이션 결과 기존의 위너모델에 의한 방법에서는 예측시점이 경과함에 따라 예측 오차량의 크기가 증가하는 반면에 제안한 방법에서는 예측 오차량의 크기가 감소하는 수렴성을 보였다. 따라서 제안한 자원의 예측 방법이 기존의 방법보다 미래의 핸드오프 호가 필요로 하는 무선자원의 양을 상대적으로 정확히 예측함으로써, 필요이상의 과도한 자원의 예약으로 발생되는 무선자원의 낭비를 줄일 수 있음을 알 수 있다.

Poisson 수요과정을 갖는 두 품목 콘윕시스템의 성능평가 (Performance Evaluation of a Two-Product CONWIP System with Poisson Demand Processes)

  • 박찬우;김수민;방우형;이효성
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.172-182
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    • 2013
  • In this study we consider a flow line CONWIP system in which two types of product are produced. The processing times of each product type at each station follow an independent exponential distribution and the demands for the finished products of each type arrive according to a Poisson process. The demands that are not satisfied instantaneously are either backordered or lost according to the number of unsatisfied demands that exist at their arrival instants. For this system we develop an approximation method to obtain the performance measures such as steady state probabilities of the number of parts of each product type at each station, mean waiting times of backordered demands and the proportion of backordered demands. For the analysis of the proposed CONWIP system, we model the CONWIP system as a two class closed queueing network with a synchronization station and analyze the closed queueing network using a product-form approximation method for multiple classes developed by Baynat and Dallery. In the approximation method, each subsystem is analyzed using a matrix geometric method. Comparisons with simulation show that the approximation method provides fairly good results for all performance measures.

TDMA 방식에서 포아송 입력과 MMPP 입력 모델에 따른 ATM 전송의 셀 지연 변이 해석 (Analysis of Cell Variation of ATM Transmission for the Poisson and MMPP Input Model in the TDMA Method)

  • 김정호;최경수
    • 한국정보처리학회논문지
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.512-522
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    • 1996
  • 산발적인 지역의 가입자들에 대한 광대역 ISDN(B-ISDN) 서비스를 위하여 위성 회선을 적용하는 것이 검토 되고 있다. 위성 회선의 효율적인 ATM 셀 전송으로 TDMA 방식을 적용하는 것이 유효하지만, TDMA와 ATM의 동기/비동기성의 차이로 인한 셀 지연 변이를 보상하는 방법이 필요하게 된다. 본 논문에서는 지금까지 제안되어 왔던 셀 지연 변이의 보상 방식 중에서 많은 이점을 갖는 셀 계수 방식의 지연 특성을 응용 함으로써 트래픽이 포아송 입력, 마르코프 변조 포아송 과정 입력인 경우에 대하여 셀 제어 시간(Tc)의 적화를 유도하였다. 그리고 셀 클럼핑 현상을 억제하기 위하여 이산 타임 스탬프 방식을 제안 하여 ATM 전송에 따른 CDV 분포의요구 품질의 범위를 해석 하고 검증하였다. 본 방식의 적용에 따라 CDV 분포폭은 약1.2$\times$Tc 정도로 억제가 가능 하여이산 타임 스탬스방식에 따른 전체적인 셀 지연 변이가 감소됨을 알 수 있었다.

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재하-제하과정에서 발생하는 흙의 변형계수 및 포아송비의 특성 (Characteristics of Deformation Modulus and Poisson's Ratio of Soil by Unconfined Loading-Reloading Axial Compression Process)

  • 송창섭;김명환;김기범;박오현
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제64권3호
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    • pp.45-52
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    • 2022
  • Prediction of soil behavior should be interpreted based on the level of axial strain in the actual ground. Recently numerical methods have been carried out focus on the state of soil failure. However considered the deformation of soil the prior to failure, mostly the small strain occurring in the elastic range is considered. As a result of calculating the deformation modulus to 50% of the maximum unconfined compression strength, Deformation modulus (E50) showed a tendency to increase according to the degree of compaction by region. The Poisson's ratio during loading-unloading was 0.63, which was higher than the literature value of 0.5. For the unconfined compression test under cyclic loading for the measurement of permanent strain, the maximum compression strength was divided into four step and the test was performed by load step. Changes in permanent strain and deformation modulus were checked by the loading-unloading test for each stage. At 90% compaction, the permanent deformation of the SM sample was 0.21 mm, 0.37 mm, 0.6 mm, and 1.35 mm. The SC samples were 0.1 mm, 0.17 mm, 0.42 mm, and 1.66 mm, and the ML samples were 0.48 mm, 0.95 mm, 1.30 mm, and 1.68 mm.

Experimental assessment on flexural behavior of demountable steel-UHPC composite slabs with a novel NPR steel plate

  • Jin-Ben Gu;Jun-Yan Wang;Yi Tao;Qing-Xuan Shi
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • 제49권4호
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    • pp.381-392
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    • 2023
  • This study experimentally investigates the flexural behavior of steel-UHPC composite slabs composed of an innovative negative Poisson's ratio (NPR) steel plate and Ultra High Performance Concrete (UHPC) slab connected via demountable high-strength bolt shear connectors. Eight demountable composite slab specimens were fabricated and tested under traditional four-point bending method. The effects of loading histories (positive and negative bending moment), types of steel plate (NPR steel plate and Q355 steel plate) and spacings of high-strength bolts (150 mm, 200 mm and 250 mm) on the flexural behavior of demountable composite slab, including failure mode, load-deflection curve, interface relative slip, crack width and sectional strain distribution, were evaluated. The results revealed that under positive bending moment, the failure mode of composite slabs employing NPR steel plate was distinct from that with Q355 steel plate, which exhibited that part of high-strength bolts was cut off, part of pre-embedded padded extension nuts was pulled out, and UHPC collapsed due to instantaneous instability and etc. Besides, under the same spacing of high-strength bolts, NPR steel plate availably delayed and restrained the relative slip between steel plate and UHPC plate, thus significantly enhanced the cooperative deformation capacity, flexural stiffness and load capacity for composite slabs further. While under negative bending moment, NPR steel plate effectively improved the flexural capacity and deformation characteristics of composite slabs, but it has no obvious effect on the initial flexural stiffness of composite slabs. Meanwhile, the excellent crack-width control ability for UHPC endowed composite members with better durability. Furthermore, according to the sectional strain distribution analysis, due to the negative Poisson's ratio effect and high yield strength of NPR steel plate, the tensile strain between NPR steel plate and UHPC layer held strain compatibility during the whole loading process, and the magnitude of upward movement for sectional plastic neutral axis could be ignored with the increase of positive bending moment.

An Adaptive Failure Rate Change-Point Model for Software Reliability

  • Jeong, Kwang-Mo
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.199-207
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    • 2001
  • The failure rate functions between successive failures are of concatenated form. We allow the parameters of failure rate function change after a certain failure and its fixing. We confine out attention to a model wherein the interfailure times are described by its failure rate function. We suggest an adaptive failure rate function with a change-point under the assumption that interfailure times are record value statistics from a Weibull distribution. The proposed model will be applied through a practical example of software failure data.

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Probabilistic Model and Analysis of a Conventional Preinstalled Mine Field Defense

  • Lee, Young-Uhn
    • 한국국방경영분석학회지
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.151-184
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    • 1980
  • Simple models for a defense consisting of a preinstalled mine field possibly defended by an anti-tank weapon are derived and analyzed. This paper uses a special Poisson process to model the one or two positions of mines in the mine field. The duel between the anti-tank weapon and offensive tanks crossing the field is modeled with a continuous time Markov chain. Some algebraic solutions and numerical results are obtained for specific scenarios.

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Computer Program Development for Probability Distribution

  • Choi, Hyun-Seok;Song, Gyu-Moon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.581-589
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this thesis is to develop and introduce Add-in program which we can systematically, visually and dynamically study discrete probability distribution of binomial distribution, poisson distribution and hypergeometric distribution, and continuous probability distribution of normal distribution, exponential distribution, and the definition and characteristics of t distribution, F distribution and ${\chi}^2$ distribution to be driven from normal distribution, and graphs, the computation process of probability by using VBA which is the device of Excel.

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