• Title/Summary/Keyword: Poisson process.

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Estimating the Economic Value of the Songieong Beach Using A Count Data Model: - Off-season Estimating Value of the Beach - (가산자료모형을 이용한 송정 해수욕장의 경제적 가치추정: - 비수기 해수욕장의 가치추정 -)

  • Heo, Yun-Jeong;Lee, Seung-Lae
    • The Journal of Fisheries Business Administration
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    • v.38 no.2
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    • pp.79-101
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the economic value of the Songieong Beach in Off-season, using a Individual Travel Cost Model(ITCM). Songieong Beach is located in Busan but far away from city. These days, however, the increased rate of traffic inflow to the Songieong beach and the five-day working week are reflected in the trend analysis. Moreover, people have changed psychological value. For that reason, visitors are on the increase on the beach in off-season. The ITCM is applied to estimate non-market value or environmental Good like a Contingent Valuation Method and Hedonic Price Model etc. The ITCM was derived from the Count Data Model(i.e. Poisson and Negative Binomial model). So this paper compares Poisson and negative binomial count data models to measure the tourism demands. The data for the study were collected from the Songjeong Beach on visitors over the a week from November 1 through November 23, 2006. Interviewers were instructed to interview only individuals. So the sample was taken in 113. A dependent variable that is defined on the non-negative integers and subject to sampling truncation is the result of a truncated count data process. This paper analyzes the effects of determinants on visitors' demand for exhibition using a class of maximum-likelihood regression estimators for count data from truncated samples, The count data and truncated models are used primarily to explain non-negative integer and truncation properties of tourist trips as suggested by the economic valuation literature. The results suggest that the truncated negative binomial model is improved overdispersion problem and more preferred than the other models in the study. This paper is not the same as the others. One thing is that Estimating Value of the Beach in off-season. The other thing is this study emphasizes in particular 'travel cost' that is not only monetary cost but also including opportunity cost of 'travel time'. According to the truncated negative binomial model, estimates the Consumer Surplus(CS) values per trip of about 199,754 Korean won and the total economic value was estimated to be 1,288,680 Korean won.

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Opportunistic Spectrum Access Using Optimal Control Policy in RF Energy Harvesting Cognitive Radio Networks (무선 에너지 하비스팅 인지 무선 네트워크에서 최적화 제어 정책을 이용한 선택적 스펙트럼 접근)

  • Jung, Jun Hee;Hwang, Yu Min;Cha, Gyeong Hyeon;Kim, Jin Young
    • Journal of Satellite, Information and Communications
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.6-10
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    • 2015
  • RF energy harvesting technology is a promising technology for generating the electrical power from ambient RF signal to operate low-power consumption devices(eg. sensor) in wireless communication networks. This paper, motivated by this and building upon existing CR(Cognitive Radio) network model, proposes a optimal control policy for RF energy harvesting CR networks model where secondary users that have low power consumption harvest ambient RF energy from transmission by nearby active primary users, while periodically sensing and opportunistically accessing the licensed spectrum to the primary user's network. We consider that primary users and secondary users are distributed as Poisson point processes and contact with their intended receivers at fixed distances. Finally we can derive the optimal frame duration, transmission power and density of secondary user from the proposed model that can maximize the secondary users's throughput under the given several conditions and suggest future directions of research.

LMS-Wiener Model for Resources Prediction of Handoff Calls in Multimedia Wireless IP Networks (멀티미디어 무선 IP 망에서 핸드오프 호의 자원예측을 위한 LMS-위너 모델)

  • Lee, Jin-Yi;Lee, Kwang-Hyung
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.30 no.2A
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    • pp.26-33
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    • 2005
  • Exact prediction of resource demands for future calls enhances the efficiency of the limited resource utilization in resource reservation methods for potential calls in wireless IP networks. In this paper, we propose a LMS-Wiener resource(bandwidth) prediction for future handoff calls, and then an the proposed method is compared with an existing Wiener-based method in terms of prediction error through our simulations. In our simulations, we assume that handoff call arrivals follow a non-Poisson process and each handoff call has an non-exponentially distributed channel holdingtime in the cell, considering that handoff call arrival pattern is not Poisson distribution but non-Poisson for long periods of time in wireless picocellular IP networks. Simulation results show that the prediction error in the proposed method converges to the lower value while in an existing method increase as time is passed. Therefore we may conclude that the proposed method improves the efficiency of resource utilization by more exactly predicting resource demands for future handoff calls than an existing method.

Performance Evaluation of a Two-Product CONWIP System with Poisson Demand Processes (Poisson 수요과정을 갖는 두 품목 콘윕시스템의 성능평가)

  • Park, Chan-Woo;Kim, Su-Min;Bang, Woo-Hyung;Lee, Hyo-Seong
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.172-182
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    • 2013
  • In this study we consider a flow line CONWIP system in which two types of product are produced. The processing times of each product type at each station follow an independent exponential distribution and the demands for the finished products of each type arrive according to a Poisson process. The demands that are not satisfied instantaneously are either backordered or lost according to the number of unsatisfied demands that exist at their arrival instants. For this system we develop an approximation method to obtain the performance measures such as steady state probabilities of the number of parts of each product type at each station, mean waiting times of backordered demands and the proportion of backordered demands. For the analysis of the proposed CONWIP system, we model the CONWIP system as a two class closed queueing network with a synchronization station and analyze the closed queueing network using a product-form approximation method for multiple classes developed by Baynat and Dallery. In the approximation method, each subsystem is analyzed using a matrix geometric method. Comparisons with simulation show that the approximation method provides fairly good results for all performance measures.

Analysis of Cell Variation of ATM Transmission for the Poisson and MMPP Input Model in the TDMA Method (TDMA 방식에서 포아송 입력과 MMPP 입력 모델에 따른 ATM 전송의 셀 지연 변이 해석)

  • Kim, Jeong-Ho;Choe, Gyeong-Su
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.512-522
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    • 1996
  • To provide broadband ISDN service for the users in scattered locations, the application of satellite communications network is seriously considered. To trans mit ATM cells efficiently in satellite communications, it is effective to use TDM A method. However, it is necessary to have a method to compensate the cell delayvari-ation caused by the difference between TDMA and ATM. This paper optimized the cell control time(Tc) when traffic inputs have poisson or markov modulated poisson process by applying cell delay variation characteristics of time stamp method, which has the most advantages among compensation methods or cell delay variation. This paper also intorduces a method of reducing the cell clumping phenomena by adapting discrete time stamp method, including the analysis and evalutation of the range of required quality of CDV distribution by ATM transmission.The result of the experiment shows that CDV distribution-range can be controlled to 1.2$\times$Tc which reduces overall cell delay variation by discrrete time stamp method.

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Characteristics of Deformation Modulus and Poisson's Ratio of Soil by Unconfined Loading-Reloading Axial Compression Process (재하-제하과정에서 발생하는 흙의 변형계수 및 포아송비의 특성)

  • Song, Chang-Seob;Kim, Myeong-Hwan;Kim, Gi-Beom;Park, Oh-Hyun
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.64 no.3
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    • pp.45-52
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    • 2022
  • Prediction of soil behavior should be interpreted based on the level of axial strain in the actual ground. Recently numerical methods have been carried out focus on the state of soil failure. However considered the deformation of soil the prior to failure, mostly the small strain occurring in the elastic range is considered. As a result of calculating the deformation modulus to 50% of the maximum unconfined compression strength, Deformation modulus (E50) showed a tendency to increase according to the degree of compaction by region. The Poisson's ratio during loading-unloading was 0.63, which was higher than the literature value of 0.5. For the unconfined compression test under cyclic loading for the measurement of permanent strain, the maximum compression strength was divided into four step and the test was performed by load step. Changes in permanent strain and deformation modulus were checked by the loading-unloading test for each stage. At 90% compaction, the permanent deformation of the SM sample was 0.21 mm, 0.37 mm, 0.6 mm, and 1.35 mm. The SC samples were 0.1 mm, 0.17 mm, 0.42 mm, and 1.66 mm, and the ML samples were 0.48 mm, 0.95 mm, 1.30 mm, and 1.68 mm.

Experimental assessment on flexural behavior of demountable steel-UHPC composite slabs with a novel NPR steel plate

  • Jin-Ben Gu;Jun-Yan Wang;Yi Tao;Qing-Xuan Shi
    • Steel and Composite Structures
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.381-392
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    • 2023
  • This study experimentally investigates the flexural behavior of steel-UHPC composite slabs composed of an innovative negative Poisson's ratio (NPR) steel plate and Ultra High Performance Concrete (UHPC) slab connected via demountable high-strength bolt shear connectors. Eight demountable composite slab specimens were fabricated and tested under traditional four-point bending method. The effects of loading histories (positive and negative bending moment), types of steel plate (NPR steel plate and Q355 steel plate) and spacings of high-strength bolts (150 mm, 200 mm and 250 mm) on the flexural behavior of demountable composite slab, including failure mode, load-deflection curve, interface relative slip, crack width and sectional strain distribution, were evaluated. The results revealed that under positive bending moment, the failure mode of composite slabs employing NPR steel plate was distinct from that with Q355 steel plate, which exhibited that part of high-strength bolts was cut off, part of pre-embedded padded extension nuts was pulled out, and UHPC collapsed due to instantaneous instability and etc. Besides, under the same spacing of high-strength bolts, NPR steel plate availably delayed and restrained the relative slip between steel plate and UHPC plate, thus significantly enhanced the cooperative deformation capacity, flexural stiffness and load capacity for composite slabs further. While under negative bending moment, NPR steel plate effectively improved the flexural capacity and deformation characteristics of composite slabs, but it has no obvious effect on the initial flexural stiffness of composite slabs. Meanwhile, the excellent crack-width control ability for UHPC endowed composite members with better durability. Furthermore, according to the sectional strain distribution analysis, due to the negative Poisson's ratio effect and high yield strength of NPR steel plate, the tensile strain between NPR steel plate and UHPC layer held strain compatibility during the whole loading process, and the magnitude of upward movement for sectional plastic neutral axis could be ignored with the increase of positive bending moment.

An Adaptive Failure Rate Change-Point Model for Software Reliability

  • Jeong, Kwang-Mo
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.199-207
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    • 2001
  • The failure rate functions between successive failures are of concatenated form. We allow the parameters of failure rate function change after a certain failure and its fixing. We confine out attention to a model wherein the interfailure times are described by its failure rate function. We suggest an adaptive failure rate function with a change-point under the assumption that interfailure times are record value statistics from a Weibull distribution. The proposed model will be applied through a practical example of software failure data.

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Probabilistic Model and Analysis of a Conventional Preinstalled Mine Field Defense

  • Lee, Young-Uhn
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.151-184
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    • 1980
  • Simple models for a defense consisting of a preinstalled mine field possibly defended by an anti-tank weapon are derived and analyzed. This paper uses a special Poisson process to model the one or two positions of mines in the mine field. The duel between the anti-tank weapon and offensive tanks crossing the field is modeled with a continuous time Markov chain. Some algebraic solutions and numerical results are obtained for specific scenarios.

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Computer Program Development for Probability Distribution

  • Choi, Hyun-Seok;Song, Gyu-Moon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.581-589
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this thesis is to develop and introduce Add-in program which we can systematically, visually and dynamically study discrete probability distribution of binomial distribution, poisson distribution and hypergeometric distribution, and continuous probability distribution of normal distribution, exponential distribution, and the definition and characteristics of t distribution, F distribution and ${\chi}^2$ distribution to be driven from normal distribution, and graphs, the computation process of probability by using VBA which is the device of Excel.

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