• Title/Summary/Keyword: Performance prediction model

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Method of Analyzing Important Variables using Machine Learning-based Golf Putting Direction Prediction Model (머신러닝 기반 골프 퍼팅 방향 예측 모델을 활용한 중요 변수 분석 방법론)

  • Kim, Yeon Ho;Cho, Seung Hyun;Jung, Hae Ryun;Lee, Ki Kwang
    • Korean Journal of Applied Biomechanics
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2022
  • Objective: This study proposes a methodology to analyze important variables that have a significant impact on the putting direction prediction using a machine learning-based putting direction prediction model trained with IMU sensor data. Method: Putting data were collected using an IMU sensor measuring 12 variables from 6 adult males in their 20s at K University who had no golf experience. The data was preprocessed so that it could be applied to machine learning, and a model was built using five machine learning algorithms. Finally, by comparing the performance of the built models, the model with the highest performance was selected as the proposed model, and then 12 variables of the IMU sensor were applied one by one to analyze important variables affecting the learning performance. Results: As a result of comparing the performance of five machine learning algorithms (K-NN, Naive Bayes, Decision Tree, Random Forest, and Light GBM), the prediction accuracy of the Light GBM-based prediction model was higher than that of other algorithms. Using the Light GBM algorithm, which had excellent performance, an experiment was performed to rank the importance of variables that affect the direction prediction of the model. Conclusion: Among the five machine learning algorithms, the algorithm that best predicts the putting direction was the Light GBM algorithm. When the model predicted the putting direction, the variable that had the greatest influence was the left-right inclination (Roll).

Context-Adaptive Intra Prediction Model Training and Its Coding Performance Analysis (문맥적응적 화면내 예측 모델 학습 및 부호화 성능분석)

  • Moon, Gihwa;Park, Dohyeon;Kim, Jae-Gon
    • Journal of Broadcast Engineering
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.332-340
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    • 2022
  • Recently, with the development of deep learning and artificial neural network technologies, research on the application of neural network has been actively conducted in the field of video coding. In particular, deep learning-based intra prediction is being studied as a way to overcome the performance limitations of the existing intra prediction techniques. This paper presents a method of context-adaptive neural network-based intra prediction model training and its coding performance analysis. In other words, in this paper, we implement and train a known intra prediction model based on convolutional neural network (CNN) that predicts a current block using contextual information from reference blocks. Then, we integrate the trained model into HM16.19 as an additional intra prediction mode and evaluate the coding performance of the trained model. Experimental results show that the trained model gives 0.28% BD-rate bit saving over HEVC in All Intra (AI) coding mode. In addition, the coding performance change of training considering block partition is also presented.

Radar rainfall prediction based on deep learning considering temporal consistency (시간 연속성을 고려한 딥러닝 기반 레이더 강우예측)

  • Shin, Hongjoon;Yoon, Seongsim;Choi, Jaemin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.301-309
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    • 2021
  • In this study, we tried to improve the performance of the existing U-net-based deep learning rainfall prediction model, which can weaken the meaning of time series order. For this, ConvLSTM2D U-Net structure model considering temporal consistency of data was applied, and we evaluated accuracy of the ConvLSTM2D U-Net model using a RainNet model and an extrapolation-based advection model. In addition, we tried to improve the uncertainty in the model training process by performing learning not only with a single model but also with 10 ensemble models. The trained neural network rainfall prediction model was optimized to generate 10-minute advance prediction data using four consecutive data of the past 30 minutes from the present. The results of deep learning rainfall prediction models are difficult to identify schematically distinct differences, but with ConvLSTM2D U-Net, the magnitude of the prediction error is the smallest and the location of rainfall is relatively accurate. In particular, the ensemble ConvLSTM2D U-Net showed high CSI, low MAE, and a narrow error range, and predicted rainfall more accurately and stable prediction performance than other models. However, the prediction performance for a specific point was very low compared to the prediction performance for the entire area, and the deep learning rainfall prediction model also had limitations. Through this study, it was confirmed that the ConvLSTM2D U-Net neural network structure to account for the change of time could increase the prediction accuracy, but there is still a limitation of the convolution deep neural network model due to spatial smoothing in the strong rainfall region or detailed rainfall prediction.

Definition of Digital Twin Models for Prediction of Future Performance of Bridges (교량의 장기성능 예측을 위한 디지털 트윈모델 정의)

  • Shim, Chang-Su;Jeon, Chi Ho;Kang, Hwi Rang;Dang, Ngoc Son;Lon, Sokanya
    • Journal of KIBIM
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2018
  • Future performance prediction of bridges is challenging task for structural engineers. Well-organized information from design, construction and operation stages is essential for the assessment of structures. Digital twin model is a new concept to realize more reliable data platform for management of infrastructures. Damage history including degradation of material, cracking, corrosion, etc. needs to be accumulated in the digital model. The digital model is linked to the analysis model for the assessment of structural performance considering changed mechanical properties of structural components. In this paper, initial definition digital twin model of a PSC-I girder bridge is proposed.

Analysis of Forecast Performance by Altered Conventional Observation Set (종관 관측 자료 변화에 따른 예보 성능 분석)

  • Han, Hyun-Jun;Kwon, In-Hyuk;Kang, Jeon-Ho;Chun, Hyoung-Wook;Lee, Sihye;Lim, Sujeong;Kim, Taehun
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.21-39
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    • 2019
  • The conventional observations of the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) are compared in the numerical weather forecast system at the Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems (KIAPS). The weather forecasting system used in this study is consists of Korea Integrated Model (KIM) as a global numerical weather prediction model, three-dimensional variational method as a data assimilation system, and KIAPS Package for Observation Processing (KPOP) as an observation pre-processing system. As a result, the forecast performance of NCEP observation was better while the number of observation is similar to the KMA observation. In addition, the sensitivity of forecast performance was investigated for each SONDE, SURFACE and AIRCRAFT observations. The differences in AIRCRAFT observation were not sensitive to forecast, but the use of NCEP SONDE and SURFACE observations have shown better forecast performance. It is found that the NCEP observations have more wind observations of the SONDE in the upper atmosphere and more surface pressure observations of the SURFACE in the ocean. The results suggest that evenly distributed observations can lead to improved forecast performance.

Crime amount prediction based on 2D convolution and long short-term memory neural network

  • Dong, Qifen;Ye, Ruihui;Li, Guojun
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.44 no.2
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    • pp.208-219
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    • 2022
  • Crime amount prediction is crucial for optimizing the police patrols' arrangement in each region of a city. First, we analyzed spatiotemporal correlations of the crime data and the relationships between crime and related auxiliary data, including points-of-interest (POI), public service complaints, and demographics. Then, we proposed a crime amount prediction model based on 2D convolution and long short-term memory neural network (2DCONV-LSTM). The proposed model captures the spatiotemporal correlations in the crime data, and the crime-related auxiliary data are used to enhance the regional spatial features. Extensive experiments on real-world datasets are conducted. Results demonstrated that capturing both temporal and spatial correlations in crime data and using auxiliary data to extract regional spatial features improve the prediction performance. In the best case scenario, the proposed model reduces the prediction error by at least 17.8% and 8.2% compared with support vector regression (SVR) and LSTM, respectively. Moreover, excessive auxiliary data reduce model performance because of the presence of redundant information.

Quantum Computing Impact on SCM and Hotel Performance

  • Adhikari, Binaya;Chang, Byeong-Yun
    • International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2021
  • For competitive hotel business, the hotel must have a sound prediction capability to balance the demand and supply of hospitality products. To have a sound prediction capability in the hotel, it should be prepared to be equipped with a new technology such as quantum computing. The quantum computing is a brand new cutting-edge technology. It will change hotel business and even the whole world too. Therefore, we study the impact of quantum computing on supply chain management (SCM) and hotel performance. Toward the goal we have developed the research model including six constructs: quantum (computing) prediction, communication, supplier relationship, service quality, non-financial performance, and financial performance. The result of the study shows a significant influence of quantum (computing) prediction on hotel performance through the mediating role of SCM in the hotel. Quantum prediction is highly significant in enhancing the SCM in the hotel. However, the direct effect between the quantum prediction and hotel performance is not significant. The finding indicates that hotels which would install the quantum computing technology and utilize the quantum prediction could hugely benefit from the performance improvement.

Off-design Performance Prediction of Centrifugal Pumps by Using TEIS model and Two-zone model (TEIS 모델과 두 영역 모델을 이용한 원심 펌프의 탈 설계 성능 예측)

  • Yoon, In-Ho;Baek, Je-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2000.04b
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    • pp.574-579
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    • 2000
  • In this study. an off-design performance prediction program for centrifugal pumps is developed. To estimate the losses in an impeller flow passage, two-zone model and two-element in series(TEIS) model are used. At impeller exit. the mixing process occurs with an increase in entropy. In two-zone model. there are both primary zone and secondary zone for an isentropic core flow and an average of all non-isentropic streamtubes respectively. The level of the core flow diffusion in an impeller was calculated by using TEIS model. While internal losses in an impeller an automatically estimated by using the above models, some empirical correlations far estimating external losses. far example, disk friction loss, recirculation loss and leakage loss are used. In order to analyze the vaneless diffuser flow. the momentum equations for the radial and tangential directions are used and solved together with continuity and energy equations.

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Service Life Prediction for Building Materials and Components with Stochastic Deterioration (추계적 열화모형에 의한 건설자재의 사용수명 예측)

  • Kwon, Young-Il
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.61-66
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    • 2007
  • The performance of a building material degrades as time goes by and the failure of the material is often defined as the point at which the performance of the material reaches a pre-specified degraded level. Based on a stochastic deterioration model, a performance based service life prediction method for building materials and components is developed. As a stochastic degradation model, a gamma process is considered and lifetime distribution and service life of a material are predicted using the degradation model. A numerical example is provided to illustrate the use of the proposed service life prediction method.

Review of Statistical Methods for Evaluating the Performance of Survival or Other Time-to-Event Prediction Models (from Conventional to Deep Learning Approaches)

  • Seo Young Park;Ji Eun Park;Hyungjin Kim;Seong Ho Park
    • Korean Journal of Radiology
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    • v.22 no.10
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    • pp.1697-1707
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    • 2021
  • The recent introduction of various high-dimensional modeling methods, such as radiomics and deep learning, has created a much greater diversity in modeling approaches for survival prediction (or, more generally, time-to-event prediction). The newness of the recent modeling approaches and unfamiliarity with the model outputs may confuse some researchers and practitioners about the evaluation of the performance of such models. Methodological literacy to critically appraise the performance evaluation of the models and, ideally, the ability to conduct such an evaluation would be needed for those who want to develop models or apply them in practice. This article intends to provide intuitive, conceptual, and practical explanations of the statistical methods for evaluating the performance of survival prediction models with minimal usage of mathematical descriptions. It covers from conventional to deep learning methods, and emphasis has been placed on recent modeling approaches. This review article includes straightforward explanations of C indices (Harrell's C index, etc.), time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, calibration plot, other methods for evaluating the calibration performance, and Brier score.