• Title/Summary/Keyword: Performance prediction method

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Adaptive Two Dimensional Linear Prediction Algorithm For Estimating Incident Angles of Multiple Broadbamd Signals. (다수의 광대역 신호의 입사각 추정을 위한 이차원의 정응선형예측 알고리즘)

  • 김태원
    • Proceedings of the Acoustical Society of Korea Conference
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    • 1987.11a
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    • pp.61-65
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    • 1987
  • An algorithm for estimating incident angles of multiple broaband signals is proposed. The method adopts semicausal model for two dimensional linear prediction filter coefficients such that the arithmatic averag of the mean squared values of the forward and reverse prediction arrors is minimized. Preliminary results demonstrating the performance of the proposed method are presented. Simulation results indicate that the performance depends on signal-to-noise ratio and prediction order in spatial demension.

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A Study on the Performance Prediction of Marine System using Approximation Model (근사모델을 이용한 해양시스템 성능예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jae-chul;Shin, Sung-chul;Lee, Soon-Sub;Kang, Dong-hoon;Lee, Jong-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.286-294
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    • 2016
  • In the initial design stage, the geometry of systems needs to be optimized regarding its performance. However, performance analysis is very time-consuming. Therefore, optimization becomes difficult/impossible problems because we need to evaluate the system performance for alternative design cases. To overcome this problem, many researchers perform prediction of system performance using the approximation model. The response surface method (RSM) is typically used to predict the system performance in the various research fields, but it presents prediction errors for highly nonlinear systems. The major objective of this paper is to propose a proper prediction method for marine system problems. Case studies of marine systems (the substructure of a floating offshore wind turbine considering hydrodynamic performance and bulk carrier bottom stiffened panels considering structure performance) verify that the proposed method is applicable to performance prediction in marine systems.

Study on Performance Prediction of Electric Propulsion System for Multirotor UAVs (멀티로터 무인항공기의 전기추진계통 성능예측에 대한 연구)

  • Jeong, Jinseok;Byun, Youngseop;Song, Woojin;Kang, Beomsoo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.33 no.6
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    • pp.499-508
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    • 2016
  • This paper describes a study of performance prediction of an electric propulsion system for multirotor UAVs. The electric propulsion system consists of motors, propellers, batteries and speed controllers, and significantly affects performance characteristics of the platform. The performance of the electric propulsion system for multirotor UAVs was predicted using an analytical model derived from the characteristics of each component, operation experiments and statistical analyses. Ground performance tests and endurance flights were performed to verify the reliability of the proposed performance prediction method. A quadrotor platform was designed to demonstrate the parcel delivery service used in the endurance flight. From the result of verification tests, it was confirmed that the proposed method has a good agreement.

Development of Prediction Method for Highway Pavement Condition (포장상태 예측방법 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Sang-Wook;Suh, Young-Chan;Chung, Chul-Gi
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.199-208
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    • 2008
  • Prediction the performance of pavement provides proper information to an agency on decision-making process; especially evaluating the pavement performance and prioritizing the work plan. To date, there are a number of approaches to predict the future deterioration of pavements. However, there are some limitation to proper prediction of the pavement service life. In this paper, pavement performance model and pavement condition prediction model are developed in order to improve pavement condition prediction method. The prediction model of pavement condition through the regression analysis of real pavement condition is based on the probability distribution of pavement condition, which set to 5%, 15%, 25% and 50%, by condition of the pavement and traffic volume. The pavement prediction model presented from the behavior of individual pavement condition which are set to 5%, 15%, 25% and 50% of probability distribution. The performance of the prediction model is evaluated from analyzing the average, standard deviation of HPCI, and the percentage of HPCI which is lower than 3.0 of comparable section. In this paper, we will suggest the more rational method to determine the future pavement conditions, including the probabilistic duration and deterministic modeling methods regarding the impact of traffic volume, age, and the type of the pavement.

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Development of Comparative Verification System for Reliability Evaluation of Distribution Line Load Prediction Model (배전 선로 부하예측 모델의 신뢰성 평가를 위한 비교 검증 시스템)

  • Lee, Haesung;Lee, Byung-Sung;Moon, Sang-Keun;Kim, Junhyuk;Lee, Hyeseon
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.115-123
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    • 2021
  • Through machine learning-based load prediction, it is possible to prevent excessive power generation or unnecessary economic investment by estimating the appropriate amount of facility investment in consideration of the load that will increase in the future or providing basic data for policy establishment to distribute the maximum load. However, in order to secure the reliability of the developed load prediction model in the field, the performance comparison verification between the distribution line load prediction models must be preceded, but a comparative performance verification system between the distribution line load prediction models has not yet been established. As a result, it is not possible to accurately determine the performance excellence of the load prediction model because it is not possible to easily determine the likelihood between the load prediction models. In this paper, we developed a reliability verification system for load prediction models including a method of comparing and verifying the performance reliability between machine learning-based load prediction models that were not previously considered, verification process, and verification result visualization methods. Through the developed load prediction model reliability verification system, the objectivity of the load prediction model performance verification can be improved, and the field application utilization of an excellent load prediction model can be increased.

Efficient Inter Prediction Mode Decision Method for Fast Motion Estimation in High Efficiency Video Coding

  • Lee, Alex;Jun, Dongsan;Kim, Jongho;Choi, Jin Soo;Kim, Jinwoong
    • ETRI Journal
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.528-536
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    • 2014
  • High Efficiency Video Coding (HEVC) is the most recent video coding standard to achieve a higher coding performance than the previous H.264/AVC. In order to accomplish this improved coding performance, HEVC adopted several advanced coding tools; however, these cause heavy computational complexity. Similar to previous video coding standards, motion estimation (ME) of HEVC requires the most computational complexity; this is because ME is conducted for three inter prediction modes - namely, uniprediction in list 0, uniprediction in list 1, and biprediction. In this paper, we propose an efficient inter prediction mode (EIPM) decision method to reduce the complexity of ME. The proposed EIPM method computes the priority of all inter prediction modes and performs ME only on a selected inter prediction mode. Experimental results show that the proposed method reduces computational complexity arising from ME by up to 51.76% and achieves near similar coding performance compared to HEVC test model version 10.1.

The prediction of Performance in Two-Stroke Large Marine Diesel Engine Using Double-Wiebc Combustion Model (2중 Wiebe 연소모델을 이용한 2행정 대형 선박용 디젤엔진의 성능예측)

  • 김태훈
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.23 no.5
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    • pp.637-653
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    • 1999
  • In this study well-known burned rate expressions of Weibe function and double Wiebe function have been adopted for the combustion analysis of large two stroke marine diesel engine. A cycle simulation program was also developed to predict the performance and pressure waves in pipes using validated burned rate function,. Levenberg-Marquardt iteration method was applied to cali-brate the shape coefficients included in double Wiebe function for the performance prediction of two-stroke marine diesel engine. As a result the performance prediction using double Wiebe func-tion is well correlated withexperimental dta with the accuracy of 5% and pressure waves in intake and transport pipe are well predicted. From the results of this study it can be confirmed that the shape coefficients of burned rate function should be modified using the numerical method suggested for the accurated prediction and double Wiebe function is more suitable than Wiebe func-tion for combustion analysis of large two stroke marine engine.

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Dam Sensor Outlier Detection using Mixed Prediction Model and Supervised Learning

  • Park, Chang-Mok
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.24-32
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    • 2018
  • An outlier detection method using mixed prediction model has been described in this paper. The mixed prediction model consists of time-series model and regression model. The parameter estimation of the prediction model was performed using supervised learning and a genetic algorithm is adopted for a learning method. The experiments were performed in artificial and real data set. The prediction performance is compared with the existing prediction methods using artificial data. Outlier detection is conducted using the real sensor measurements in a dam. The validity of the proposed method was shown in the experiments.

Severity-based Software Quality Prediction using Class Imbalanced Data

  • Hong, Euy-Seok;Park, Mi-Kyeong
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.73-80
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    • 2016
  • Most fault prediction models have class imbalance problems because training data usually contains much more non-fault class modules than fault class ones. This imbalanced distribution makes it difficult for the models to learn the minor class module data. Data imbalance is much higher when severity-based fault prediction is used. This is because high severity fault modules is a smaller subset of the fault modules. In this paper, we propose severity-based models to solve these problems using the three sampling methods, Resample, SpreadSubSample and SMOTE. Empirical results show that Resample method has typical over-fit problems, and SpreadSubSample method cannot enhance the prediction performance of the models. Unlike two methods, SMOTE method shows good performance in terms of AUC and FNR values. Especially J48 decision tree model using SMOTE outperforms other prediction models.

Prediction model of service life for tunnel structures in carbonation environments by genetic programming

  • Gao, Wei;Chen, Dongliang
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.18 no.4
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    • pp.373-389
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    • 2019
  • It is important to study the problem of durability for tunnel structures. As a main influence on the durability of tunnel structures, carbonation-induced corrosion is studied. For the complicated environment of tunnel structures, based on the data samples from real engineering examples, the intelligent method (genetic programming) is used to construct the service life prediction model of tunnel structures. Based on the model, the prediction of service life for tunnel structures in carbonation environments is studied. Using the data samples from some tunnel engineering examples in China under carbonation environment, the proposed method is verified. In addition, the performance of the proposed prediction model is compared with that of the artificial neural network method. Finally, the effect of two main controlling parameters, the population size and sample size, on the performance of the prediction model by genetic programming is analyzed in detail.