• Title/Summary/Keyword: Performance Prediction

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Neuro-Fuzzy Approaches to Ozone Prediction System (뉴로-퍼지 기법에 의한 오존농도 예측모델)

  • 김태헌;김성신;김인택;이종범;김신도;김용국
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.616-628
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we present the modeling of the ozone prediction system using Neuro-Fuzzy approaches. The mechanism of ozone concentration is highly complex, nonlinear, and nonstationary, the modeling of ozone prediction system has many problems and the results of prediction is not a good performance so far. The Dynamic Polynomial Neural Network(DPNN) which employs a typical algorithm of GMDH(Group Method of Data Handling) is a useful method for data analysis, identification of nonlinear complex system, and prediction of a dynamical system. The structure of the final model is compact and the computation speed to produce an output is faster than other modeling methods. In addition to DPNN, this paper also includes a Fuzzy Logic Method for modeling of ozone prediction system. The results of each modeling method and the performance of ozone prediction are presented. The proposed method shows that the prediction to the ozone concentration based upon Neuro-Fuzzy approaches gives us a good performance for ozone prediction in high and low ozone concentration with the ability of superior data approximation and self organization.

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Performance Prediction of Side Channel Type Fuel Pump (사이드채널형 연료펌프의 성능예측)

  • Choi, Young-Seok;Lee, Kyoung-Yong;Kang, Shin-Hyoung
    • The KSFM Journal of Fluid Machinery
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    • v.6 no.2 s.19
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    • pp.29-33
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    • 2003
  • The periphery pump (or regenerative pump) has been generally applied in the automotive fuel pump due to their low specific speed (high heads and small flow rate) with stable performance curves. In this study, the performance prediction of side channel type periphery pumps has been developed. The prediction of the circulatory flow rate is based on the consideration of the centrifugal force field in the side-channel and in the impeller vane grooves. For the determination of performance curve (head-flow rate), momentum exchange theory is used. The effects of various geometric parameters and loss coefficients used in the performance prediction method on the head and efficiency are discussed, and the results were compared with experimental data.

Performance Prediction of Side Channel Type Fuel Pump (사이드채널형 연료펌프의 성능예측)

  • Choi Y. S.;Lee K. Y.;Kang S. H.
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2002.08a
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    • pp.581-584
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    • 2002
  • The periphery pump(or regenerative pump) has been generally applied in the automotive fuel pump due to their low specific speed(high heads and small flow rate) with stable performance curves. In this study, the performance prediction of side channel type periphery pumps has been developed. The prediction of the circulatory flow rate is based on the consideration of the centrifugal force field in the side-channel and in the impeller vane grooves. For the determination of performance curve(head-flow rate), momentum exchange theory is used. The effects of various geometric parameters and loss coefficients used in the performance prediction method on the head and efficiency are discussed and the results were compared with experimental data.

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Corporate Innovation and Business Performance Prediction Using Ensemble Learning (앙상블 학습을 이용한 기업혁신과 경영성과 예측)

  • An, Kyung Min;Lee, Young Chan
    • The Journal of Information Systems
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    • v.30 no.4
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    • pp.247-275
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    • 2021
  • Purpose This study attempted to predict corporate innovation and business performance using ensemble learning. Design/methodology/approach The ensemble techniques uses weak learning to create robust learning, which combines several weak models to derive improved performance. In this study, XGboost, LightGBM, and Catboost were used among ensemble techniques. It was compared and evaluated with traditional machine learning methods. Findings The summary of the research results is as follows. First, the type of innovation is expanding from technical innovation to non-technical areas. Second, it was confirmed that LightGBM performed best for radical innovation prediction, and XGboost performed best for incremental innovation prediction. Third, Catboost performed best for firm performance prediction. Although there was no significant difference in predictive power between ensemble techniques, we found that comparative analysis was necessary to confirm better prediction performance.

Performance Evaluation of Side Channel Type Regenerative Blower (사이드채널형 재생블로워의 성능평가)

  • Lee, Kyoung-Yong;Choi, Young-Seok
    • 유체기계공업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2005.12a
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    • pp.378-383
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    • 2005
  • The performances of side channel type regenerative blowers were evaluated by the blower performance test, 1-D performance prediction and CFD. The performance prediction method was modified using the results of the performance test and CFD and applied to the design of the new regenerative blowers. The major geometric parameters such as channel height, channel area and expansion angle were decided from the performance prediction method for the improved models and the predicted results were compared with CFD and experimental data. Both of the modified models showed improved efficiency at the operating condition. Especially, model3 could be possible to reduce operating rotating speed, that is benefit to noise performance, because of the high head performance at the design point. The CFD results showed that the performance of the regenerative blower was influenced by the secondary circulatory flow in the channel.

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Analysis of Forecast Performance by Altered Conventional Observation Set (종관 관측 자료 변화에 따른 예보 성능 분석)

  • Han, Hyun-Jun;Kwon, In-Hyuk;Kang, Jeon-Ho;Chun, Hyoung-Wook;Lee, Sihye;Lim, Sujeong;Kim, Taehun
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.21-39
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    • 2019
  • The conventional observations of the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) are compared in the numerical weather forecast system at the Korea Institute of Atmospheric Prediction Systems (KIAPS). The weather forecasting system used in this study is consists of Korea Integrated Model (KIM) as a global numerical weather prediction model, three-dimensional variational method as a data assimilation system, and KIAPS Package for Observation Processing (KPOP) as an observation pre-processing system. As a result, the forecast performance of NCEP observation was better while the number of observation is similar to the KMA observation. In addition, the sensitivity of forecast performance was investigated for each SONDE, SURFACE and AIRCRAFT observations. The differences in AIRCRAFT observation were not sensitive to forecast, but the use of NCEP SONDE and SURFACE observations have shown better forecast performance. It is found that the NCEP observations have more wind observations of the SONDE in the upper atmosphere and more surface pressure observations of the SURFACE in the ocean. The results suggest that evenly distributed observations can lead to improved forecast performance.

A Methodology for Performance Modeling and Prediction of Large-Scale Cluster Servers (대규모 클러스터 서버의 성능 모델링 및 예측 방법론)

  • Jang, Hye-Churn;Jin, Hyun-Wook;Kim, Hag-Young
    • Journal of KIISE:Computing Practices and Letters
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    • v.16 no.11
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    • pp.1041-1045
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    • 2010
  • Clusters can provide scalable and flexible architectures for parallel computing servers and data centers. Their performance prediction has been a very challenging issue. Existing performance measurement methodologies are able to measure the performance of servers already constructed. Thus they cannot provide a way to predict the overall system performance in advance when designing the system at the initial phase or adding more nodes for more capacity. Therefore, the performance modeling and prediction methodology for large-scale clusters is highly required. In this paper, we suggest a methodology to predict the performance of large-scale clusters, which consists of measurement, modeling and prediction steps. We apply the methodology to a real cluster server and show its usefulness.

Management Automation Technique for Maintaining Performance of Machine Learning-Based Power Grid Condition Prediction Model (기계학습 기반 전력망 상태예측 모델 성능 유지관리 자동화 기법)

  • Lee, Haesung;Lee, Byunsung;Moon, Sangun;Kim, Junhyuk;Lee, Heysun
    • KEPCO Journal on Electric Power and Energy
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.413-418
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    • 2020
  • It is necessary to manage the prediction accuracy of the machine learning model to prevent the decrease in the performance of the grid network condition prediction model due to overfitting of the initial training data and to continuously utilize the prediction model in the field by maintaining the prediction accuracy. In this paper, we propose an automation technique for maintaining the performance of the model, which increases the accuracy and reliability of the prediction model by considering the characteristics of the power grid state data that constantly changes due to various factors, and enables quality maintenance at a level applicable to the field. The proposed technique modeled a series of tasks for maintaining the performance of the power grid condition prediction model through the application of the workflow management technology in the form of a workflow, and then automated it to make the work more efficient. In addition, the reliability of the performance result is secured by evaluating the performance of the prediction model taking into account both the degree of change in the statistical characteristics of the data and the level of generalization of the prediction, which has not been attempted in the existing technology. Through this, the accuracy of the prediction model is maintained at a certain level, and further new development of predictive models with excellent performance is possible. As a result, the proposed technique not only solves the problem of performance degradation of the predictive model, but also improves the field utilization of the condition prediction model in a complex power grid system.

Compositional Feature Selection and Its Effects on Bandgap Prediction by Machine Learning (기계학습을 이용한 밴드갭 예측과 소재의 조성기반 특성인자의 효과)

  • Chunghee Nam
    • Korean Journal of Materials Research
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.164-174
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    • 2023
  • The bandgap characteristics of semiconductor materials are an important factor when utilizing semiconductor materials for various applications. In this study, based on data provided by AFLOW (Automatic-FLOW for Materials Discovery), the bandgap of a semiconductor material was predicted using only the material's compositional features. The compositional features were generated using the python module of 'Pymatgen' and 'Matminer'. Pearson's correlation coefficients (PCC) between the compositional features were calculated and those with a correlation coefficient value larger than 0.95 were removed in order to avoid overfitting. The bandgap prediction performance was compared using the metrics of R2 score and root-mean-squared error. By predicting the bandgap with randomforest and xgboost as representatives of the ensemble algorithm, it was found that xgboost gave better results after cross-validation and hyper-parameter tuning. To investigate the effect of compositional feature selection on the bandgap prediction of the machine learning model, the prediction performance was studied according to the number of features based on feature importance methods. It was found that there were no significant changes in prediction performance beyond the appropriate feature. Furthermore, artificial neural networks were employed to compare the prediction performance by adjusting the number of features guided by the PCC values, resulting in the best R2 score of 0.811. By comparing and analyzing the bandgap distribution and prediction performance according to the material group containing specific elements (F, N, Yb, Eu, Zn, B, Si, Ge, Fe Al), various information for material design was obtained.

Off-Design Performance Prediction of Multi-Stage Axial-Compressor by Stage-Stacking Method (단 축적법을 이용한 다단 축류 압축기 탈설계 성능예측)

  • Park, Tae-Jin;Baek, Je-Hyun;Yoon, Sung-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2001.06e
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    • pp.789-794
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    • 2001
  • In this study, a program for the off-design performance prediction of multi-stage axial-compressors is developed based on stage-stacking method. To account for the increased losses at off-design conditions, generalized performance curve is applied. The purpose of this study is to investigate the influence of the choice of generalized performance curve and stator exit angle. For this purpose, we tested various generalized performance curves and stator exit angles. In conclusion, Muir's pressure coefficient curve gives a good prediction results regardless of the efficiency curve for a low-stage compressors. On the other hand, for high-stage compressors, The combination of Muir's pressure coefficient curve and Stone's efficiency curve gives a optimistic results. Stator exit angle has a small effect on overall performance curve.

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