• 제목/요약/키워드: Peace Index

검색결과 10건 처리시간 0.025초

비정형자료로부터의 평화지수 분석을 통한 한반도 정세 파악 방법 (Interpretation and Prediction of Situations on the Korean Peninsula by Peace Index Analysis from Unstructured Data)

  • 권오병;박다솔;최지혜;이재윤
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.423-434
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    • 2013
  • Since acquiring intelligence about political situations around the Korea Peninsular in a direct manner is nearly impossible, it is inevitable for the individuals or companies to rely on open and indirect data such as newspapers. However, since the contents in the newspapers are substantially unstructured and very large, conventional content analysis is time-consuming and hence very costly. Hence, this paper aims to propose a sentimental analysis method which computes daily 'peace index' from unstructured data in the newspapers. From the content analysis, words and phrases which represent the sentiment of a nation are carefully identified. To show the feasibility of the idea proposed in this paper, a prototype system with vocabulary repository about political situations was developed for estimating peace index automatically.

Gene Silencing of β-catenin by RNAi Inhibits Proliferation of Human Esophageal Cancer Cells by Inducing G0/G1 Cell Cycle Arrest

  • Wang, Jin-Sheng;Ji, Ai-Fang;Wan, Hong-Jun;Lu, Ya-Li;Yang, Jian-Zhou;Ma, Li-Li;Wang, Yong-Jin;Wei, Wu
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제13권6호
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    • pp.2527-2532
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    • 2012
  • Objectives: The aim of the present study was to explore mechanisms underlying the effects of down-regulating ${\beta}$-catenin expression on esophageal carcinoma (EC) cells. Methods: Cell cycle distribution and apoptosis were determined using flow cytometry and annexin V apoptosis assay, respectively. Transmission electron microscopy (TEM) was used to examine changes in ultrastructure, while expression of cyclin D1 protein and mRNA was detected by western blot and real-time PCR. Proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA) and extracellular signal-regulated kinase (ERK) 1-2 were evaluated by Western blot analysis. PCNA labeling index (LI) was determined by immunocytochemistry. Results: Compared with pGen-3-con transfected and Eca-109 cells, the percentage of G0/G1-phase pGen-3-CTNNB1 transfected cells was obviously increased (P<0.05), with no significant difference among the three groups with regard to apoptosis (P>0.05). pGen-3-CTNNB1 transfected cells exhibited obvious decrease in cyclin D1 mRNA and protein expression (P<0.05) and the ultrastructure of Eca-109 cells underwent a significant change after being transfected with pGen-3-CTNNB1, suggesting that down-regulating ${\beta}$-catenin expression can promote the differentiation and maturation. The expression of PCNA and the ERKI/2 phosphorylation state were also down-regulated in pGen-3-CTNNB1 transfected cells (P<0.05). At the same time, the PCNA labeling index was decreased accordingly (P<0.05). Conclusion: Inhibition of EC Eca-109 cellproliferation by down-regulating ${\beta}$-catenin expression could improve cell ultrastructure by mediating blockade in G0/G1 through inhibiting cyclin D1, PCNA and the MAPK pathway (p-ERK1/2).

프로슈밍지표를 통한 접경지역 기반 남북한 그린데탕트 실천 잠재력 분석 (Measuring the Potential of the Korean Border Area for Green Détente Practice using Prosuming-index)

  • 안진희;고경택;김영석
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제43권5호
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    • pp.675-687
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    • 2023
  • 한반도 비무장지대에 인접한 접경지역은 DMZ(DemilitarizedZone) 그린평화 지대화를 위한 그린데탕트(GreenDétent) 실천무대로 주목 받고있다. 본논문은 접경지역에 계획된 생태·환경 분야 산업·인프라 사업의 복합적 성격을 판단 할 수있는 항목으로 구성된 프로슈밍지표(Prosuming-index)를 제안하고, 이 를 통해 그린데탕트 실천 대상지로서의 잠재력과 방향성을 시각화 하였다. 그 결과, 접경 지역중 인천·강화 지역은 '물류·인적 네트워크 중심 권역이자 특화 농수산물 생산지' 로서, 경기 북부지역은 '스마트기술 활용 산업을 기반으로하는 교류 네트워크 중심권역' 으로서, 강원 서부지역과 경기 연천 지역은 '탄소 감축 기술을 골자로 하는 생산-소비 복합권역' 으로서, 강원 동부지역은 '재생에너지 산업을 통한 유휴·노후 인프라의 그린 인프라 전환권역' 으로서, 크게 4가지 권역으로 그린데탕트 실천 잠재력을 유형화 할 수 있었다.

해양력 변화와 한반도 해양분쟁 발생의 상관관계 연구 - 해양국력과 동맹전이이론의 타당성 검증을 중심으로 - (A Study of Relationship between Changing of Sea Power and Maritime Conflicts of the Korean Peninsula)

  • 김용식
    • Strategy21
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    • 통권36호
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    • pp.180-214
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    • 2015
  • The Republic of Korea navy challenged from the unexpected surprise attacks by the North Korea navy, albeit, the developments of up-to-date naval forces' technology, and the ceaseless efforts for war preparedness. My study divided into two categories. Qualitative methods used for literature review of international relations theory related to the war onset and for investigating events occurred on the Peninsula and its surrounding seas from 1968 to 2007. Quantitative method used such as the analyses of national power index of the two Koreas, the United States, and China, the uses of equation model to calculate power index of alliance, COPDAB(Conflict and Peace Data Bank) index analysis. Like Choi's study on East Asia maritime conflict, as a conclusion, considering both AT theory and maritime national power as a tool for predicting maritime conflict in the Peninsula proved significant. Based on the study, ROK navy need to prepare for the maritime conflict because the results showed North Korea would initiate maritime disputes sooner or later using fatal asymmetric forces and methods. As a policy suggestion, we are required to maintain a concrete ROK-US alliance ties and to construct naval forces due to the deterring functions of maritime national power.

명상프로그램(α version) 시행 전후의 사상체질별 심리척도 및 HRV 변화 연구 (Research on Change of Heart Rate Variability and Psychological Scale by Sasang Constitution according to before and after of the Meditation Programs (α version))

  • 김근우;배효상;손한범;이필원;김병수;박성식
    • 동의신경정신과학회지
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.1-12
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    • 2014
  • Objectives: In this study, the meditation programs (${\alpha}$ version), which are properly coordinated according to the motion, breathing, and relaxation, are evaluated and researched upon to have positive effects on stress and in the area of psychology. Methods: Approved by the Clinical Trials Deliberation Committee in Oriental Medicine, Dongguk University, Ilsan Hospital, this study collected data according to the applicant's consents, demographic information and anthropometry for the Sasang Constitutional diagnosis. Sasang Constitutional diagnosis measured the beta tools by Institute of Oriental Medicine and a decision tree was made for the Sasang Constitutional questionnaires. The STAI, STAXI, BDI, and HRV were measured before and after the meditation in order to compare the effects of meditation according to Sasang Constitution. The HRV was used as a ProComP KM Tech (co). Results: 1) The positive changes available in the Time-domain analysis of heart rate variability assessment showed that the peace of mind is increased. By analyzing the Sasang constitution, So-eum In's peace of mind included a physical stability of the autonomic nervous system. 2) According to the psychological scale evaluation, each depression scale, trait anger, anger-in, state anxiety and trait anxiety index proved significantly positive effects. By analyzing the Sasang constitution, Eun-In which involved So-eum In and Tae-eum In, had positive effects. 3) The psychological scale changed the group of diagnosed depression or anxiety, it did not mean that the psychological scale changes in the depression group, but the index of the anxiety group had been significantly reduced. This program had clinical effects for anxious patients and Eum-In which involved Tae-eum In and So-eum In according to the analysis of Sasang constitution. 4) Correlations between the gender of each psychological scale showed that women have overall low correlations, but, there were no significant changes. Conclusions: The meditation program developed by adequately mixing Action, relaxation and breathing shows that it is effective for overall Eum-in physical and mental relaxation and concentration. In the future, It will have to be developed Meditation program to show the same effect for all people.

도시의 지속가능한 발전을 위한 유형분류 및 관리방안 (The Classification and Management Plan of City for Sustainable Development)

  • 이우성;정성관;박경훈;유주한;김경태
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제17권6호
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    • pp.335-348
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study is to classify the cities on sustainability assessment score studied in advance using cluster analysis, to present efficient management and policy direction based on analysis of sustainability index in 45 cities of all over Gyeongsangnam and Gyeongsangbuk-do. According to the results of cluster analysis, 45 cities were classed into 4 clusters by "livable-welfare city", "environmental -ecological city", "scientific-technological city", and "industrial-economic city". The livable-welfare cities must keep superior environmental sustainability, promote small and medium sized business on regional characteristic. The environmental-ecological cities have to change agriculture into future environmental industry such as ecotourism, bio-industry and landscape agriculture. The scientific-technological cities are going to need support of government scale such as income enlargement of citizen and stable job security. Finally, the industrial-economic cities must increase environmental management plants and improve quality of life through securing green spaces, maintaining public peace and applying UIS because of low quality of environment and life.

The Infectivity of Pulmonary Tuberculosis in Korean Army Units: Evidence from Outbreak Investigations

  • Yoon, Chang-gyo;Kang, Dong Yoon;Jung, Jaehun;Oh, Soo Yon;Lee, Jin Beom;Kim, Mi-Hyun;Seo, Younsuk;Kim, Hee-Jin
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • 제82권4호
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    • pp.298-305
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    • 2019
  • Background: Tuberculosis (TB) causes substantial health burden to the Korean military. This study aims to assess the impact of infectious TB cases on close and casual contacts in the Korean Army settings based on contact investigation data. Methods: Six Army units with infectious TB cases from September 2012 to May 2013 were enrolled in the study. We analyzed the clinical data from close and casual contacts screened using the tuberculin skin test (TST) and QuantiFERON-TB Gold In-Tube to identify latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) cases. For the control group, 286 military conscripts with no reported TB exposure were tested by TST only. Results: Of the 667 contacts of index cases, LTBI cases identified were as follows: 21.8% of close contacts of smearpositive cases (71/326), 8.5% of casual contacts of smear-positive cases (26/305), and 2.8% of close contacts of smearnegative cases (1/36). In the control group, 16.8% showed positivity in TST. In a multivariate analysis, having stayed in the same room or next room with TB patients was identified as a risk factor of LTBI. Conclusion: Using the data from TB contact investigations in the Korean Army units, we found an overall LTBI rate of 14.7% among the contacts screened. This study demonstrates that contacts living in the same building, especially the same room or next room, with TB patients are at a high risk of acquiring LTBI, serving as additional evidence for defining close and casual contacts of a TB patient with regard to Army barrack settings.

호텔 기업의 고객경험관리(CEM)는 기꺼이 더 지불하게 하는가? (How Customer Experience Management in the Hotel Industry can Lead to a Willingness to Pay More)

  • 최욱희
    • 한국조리학회지
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    • 제22권7호
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    • pp.267-280
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구는 기존의 고객관계관리(CRM)의 보완책으로서 총체적인 고객경험관리(CEM)가 중요하다는 문제제기에 따라 고객의 경험관리가 만족에 긍정적 영향을 미치는지와 더 나아가 충분히 만족한 고객이라면 기꺼이 더 지불하게 될 것인가 즉 가치 있는 고객으로 발전하게 될 것인지를 검증해 보고자 하였다. 본 연구의 구체적인 목표는 첫째, 고객의 경험을 보다 광범위하면서도 간명한 척도로 측정할 수 있는 방법으로 제시된 Maklan & Klaus(2011)의 경험품질척도와 호텔기업에 맞는 측정항목으로 재추출하여 검증된 최욱희(2014)의 호텔고객경험품질척도(Experience Quality; EXQ)를 활용하여 고객경험관리의 중요한 차원을 검증하고자 하였다. 둘째, 고객경험관리가 고객만족에 긍정적 영향을 미치는지 검증하고자 하였다. 셋째, 만족한 고객은 프리미엄 지불의사를 증가시키는지 확인하고자 하였다. 최종적으로 본 연구의 결과를 바탕으로 이론적으로는 고객경험관리의 간명한 모델 재검증 결과를 제시하며, 호텔기업의 고객경험관리와 가치 있는 고객 증진을 위한 실무적 시사점을 제공하고자 하였다. 본 연구는 최근 6개월 이내 국내 특급호텔을 이용한 경험이 있는 고객들을 대상으로 선정하여 설문조사를 실시하였으며, 설문시작 전에 스크리닝을 통해 최근 6개월 이내 이용한 국내 특급호텔을 사용한 적이 있는지와 그 중 가장 많이 이용하고 기억에 남는 호텔을 명기하게 하여 연구대상에 적합하지 않은 대상자를 제외시켜 최종적으로 225부의 표본을 본 연구에 사용하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 다음과 같다. 첫째, 고객경험 관리의 3가지 차원 중 '마음의 평안(POM)'과 '진실의 순간'은 각각 만족에 유의한 정(+)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 반면, '상품경험(PRO)'은 만족에 유의한 영향을 미치지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 고객의 경험관리를 통해 만족한 고객은 프리미엄 지불의사에 유의한 정(+)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구는 환대산업에 맞는 고객경험관리(CEM)의 차원을 재검증함으로써 경험품질척도의 새로운 체계를 제시하고, 만족 후 고객행동변수로서 프리미엄 지불의사라는 변수를 적용하여 수익성 있는 고객으로의 발전 가능성을 예측해볼 수 있었다는 면에서 학문적 시사점을 제공한다. 또한 실무적으로는 본 연구에서 검증된 고객경험의 차원은 호텔 기업이 고객의 경험품질을 측정하고 관리할 수 있는 방법으로서 유용한 정보가 될 것이다.

맹사성 <강호사시가>의 짜임새 (A Study on the )

  • 양희찬
    • 한국시조학회지:시조학논총
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    • 제21집
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    • pp.143-164
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    • 2004
  • 이 논문은 <강호사시가>가 한 주제를 형상화하는 데 네 계절의 특징을 담고 있는 서로 다른 글감들을 사용하였지만, 내용의 일관된 통일성을 유지한 연시조이며, 이 통일성 유지는 하나의 일정한 틀을 사용한 데 근거하였음을 해명하려고 한 것이다. 그 일정한 틀은 겉틀과 속틀로 나누었다. 겉틀은 네 작품에 공통된 표현 부분이다. 그 내용은 '화자의 거처(강호)'-'화자(이 몸)'$\cdot$'화자와 임금의 관계(군은)' 및 '강호의 상태(강호에 (가)이 드니)', '화자의 상태(이 몸이 (라)히옴)'를 제시한 것이다. 그리고 초장의 '강호에 (가)이 드니'를 구문의 생성 조건의 측면에서 분석하여 표현의 압축과 간결함을 지적하고, 종장의 '역군은이샷다'를 구문의 생성 의도의 측면에서 분석하여 화자 개인 차원의 삶에 대한 만족을 표출한 것임을 설명하고, 이 삶의 만족을 사회적 차원의 태평성대로 확장할 수 있는지에 대하여 문제제기를 하였다. 속틀은 작품 내용의 세부 짜임이다. 이에 대해서는 네 작품을 초$\cdot$$\cdot$종장 각각으로 묶어 분석한 다음, 네 작품의 공유된 짜임을 설명하고, 각각의 내용 분석을 통하여 곁틀에서 다룬 <강호사시가>의 내용이 갖는 특성을 해명하였다. 네 작품의 초$\cdot$$\cdot$종장을 각각 하나로 묶어 종합 분석하기 위하여 지표기능과 제시기능을 설정하여 그 내용의 짜임을 설명하였다. 초장은 공통으로 네 계절의 흥취를 표현한 것이며, 중장은 지표기능 어휘인 '화자'가 생략되어 제시기능 구절만으로 이루어졌으며, 초장의 흥취를 행위나 상태로 구체적으로 제시하였다. 종장은 중장과 연결하여 함축적 표현이며,사적인 삶과 공적인 가치관(군신유의)의 관계에서 공적인 가치관으로 사적인 삶을 보장받으려는 의도를 내포한 것이다. 이를 종합하면, <강호사시가>의 속틀의 짜임은 '계절의 제시'$\to$'계절에 대한 발흥'$\to$'계절의 즐김 행위'$\to$'(심적$\cdot$신체적) 평안'으로 전개된다. 문맥의 흐름에서 초장은 중장의 단서가 되며, 중장은 초장에 대한 반응이며, 종장은 중장의 응축으로서 평가라는 성격을 가지고 있다. 그리고 속틀의 짜임에 '감군은'이 포함되면 곁틀의 짜임을 확인할 수 있다. 끝으로, 작자가 작품의 본지를 개인의 평안에 둔 것처럼 꾸몄으나, 본래의 발상은 임금의 치적(태평성대)을 송축하려는 것이라고 결론하였다.

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한국전쟁의 교훈과 대비 -병력수(兵力數) 및 부대수(部隊數)를 중심으로- (The lesson From Korean War)

  • 윤일영
    • 안보군사학연구
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    • 통권8호
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    • pp.49-168
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    • 2010
  • Just before the Korean War, the total number of the North Korean troops was 198,380, while that of the ROK(Republic of Korea) army troops 105,752. That is, the total number of the ROK army troops at that time was 53.3% of the total number of the North Korean army. As of December 2008, the total number of the North Korean troops is estimated to be 1,190,000, while that of the ROK troops is 655,000, so the ROK army maintains 55.04% of the total number of the North Korean troops. If the ROK army continues to reduce its troops according to [Military Reform Plan 2020], the total number of its troops will be 517,000 m 2020. If North Korea maintains the current status(l,190,000 troops), the number of the ROK troops will be 43.4% of the North Korean army. In terms of units, just before the Korean War, the number of the ROK army divisions and regiments was 80% and 44.8% of North Korean army. As of December 2008, North Korea maintains 86 divisions and 69 regiments. Compared to the North Korean army, the ROK army maintains 46 Divisions (53.4% of North Korean army) and 15 regiments (21.3% of North Korean army). If the ROK army continue to reduce the military units according to [Military Reform Plan 2020], the number of ROK army divisions will be 28(13 Active Division, 4 Mobilization Divisions and 11 Local Reserve Divisions), while that of the North Korean army will be 86 in 2020. In that case, the number of divisions of the ROK army will be 32.5% of North Korean army. During the Korean war, North Korea suddenly invaded the Republic of Korea and occupied its capital 3 days after the war began. At that time, the ROK army maintained 80% of army divisions, compared to the North Korean army. The lesson to be learned from this is that, if the ROK army is forced to disperse its divisions because of the simultaneous invasion of North Korea and attack of guerrillas in home front areas, the Republic of Korea can be in a serious military danger, even though it maintains 80% of military divisions of North Korea. If the ROK army promotes the plans in [Military Reform Plan 2020], the number of military units of the ROK army will be 32.5% of that of the North Korean army. This ratio is 2.4 times lower than that of the time when the Korean war began, and in this case, 90% of total military power should be placed in the DMZ area. If 90% of military power is placed in the DMZ area, few troops will be left for the defense of home front. In addition, if the ROK army continues to reduce the troops, it can allow North Korea to have asymmetrical superiority in military force and it will eventually exert negative influence on the stability and peace of the Korean peninsular. On the other hand, it should be reminded that, during the Korean War, the Republic of Korea was attacked by North Korea, though it kept 53.3% of troops, compared to North Korea. It should also be reminded that, as of 2008, the ROK army is defending its territory with the troops 55.04% of North Korea. Moreover, the national defense is assisted by 25,120 troops of the US Forces in Korea. In case the total number of the ROK troops falls below 43.4% of the North Korean army, it may cause social unrest about the national security and may lead North Korea's misjudgement. Besides, according to Lanchester strategy, the party with weaker military power (60% compared to the party with stronger military power) has the 4.1% of winning possibility. Therefore, if we consider the fact that the total number of the ROK army troops is 55.04% of that of the North Korean army, the winning possibility of the ROK army is not higher than 4.1%. If the total number of ROK troops is reduced to 43.4% of that of North Korea, the winning possibility will be lower and the military operations will be in critically difficult situation. [Military Reform Plan 2020] rums at the reduction of troops and units of the ground forces under the policy of 'select few'. However, the problem is that the financial support to achieve this goal is not secured. Therefore, the promotion of [Military Reform Plan 2020] may cause the weakening of military defence power in 2020. Some advanced countries such as Japan, UK, Germany, and France have promoted the policy of 'select few'. However, what is to be noted is that the national security situation of those countries is much different from that of Korea. With the collapse of the Soviet Unions and European communist countries, the military threat of those European advanced countries has almost disappeared. In addition, the threats those advanced countries are facing are not wars in national level, but terrorism in international level. To cope with the threats like terrorism, large scaled army trops would not be necessary. So those advanced European countries can promote the policy of 'select few'. In line with this, those European countries put their focuses on the development of military sections that deal with non-military operations and protection from unspecified enemies. That is, those countries are promoting the policy of 'select few', because they found that the policy is suitable for their national security environment. Moreover, since they are pursuing common interest under the European Union(EU) and they can form an allied force under NATO, it is natural that they are pursing the 'select few' policy. At present, NATO maintains the larger number of troops(2,446,000) than Russia(l,027,000) to prepare for the potential threat of Russia. The situation of japan is also much different from that of Korea. As a country composed of islands, its prime military focus is put on the maritime defense. Accordingly, the development of ground force is given secondary focus. The japanese government promotes the policy to develop technology-concentrated small size navy and air-forces, instead of maintaining large-scaled ground force. In addition, because of the 'Peace Constitution' that was enacted just after the end of World War II, japan cannot maintain troops more than 240,000. With the limited number of troops (240,000), japan has no choice but to promote the policy of 'select few'. However, the situation of Korea is much different from the situations of those countries. The Republic of Korea is facing the threat of the North Korean Army that aims at keeping a large-scale military force. In addition, the countries surrounding Korea are also super powers containing strong military forces. Therefore, to cope with the actual threat of present and unspecified threat of future, the importance of maintaining a carefully calculated large-scale military force cannot be denied. Furthermore, when considering the fact that Korea is in a peninsular, the Republic of Korea must take it into consideration the tradition of continental countries' to maintain large-scale military powers. Since the Korean War, the ROK army has developed the technology-force combined military system, maintaining proper number of troops and units and pursuing 'select few' policy at the same time. This has been promoted with the consideration of military situation in the Koran peninsular and the cooperation of ROK-US combined forces. This kind of unique military system that cannot be found in other countries can be said to be an insightful one for the preparation for the actual threat of North Korea and the conflicts between continental countries and maritime countries. In addition, this kind of technology-force combined military system has enabled us to keep peace in Korea. Therefore, it would be desirable to maintain this technology-force combined military system until the reunification of the Korean peninsular. Furthermore, it is to be pointed out that blindly following the 'select few' policy of advanced countries is not a good option, because it is ignoring the military strategic situation of the Korean peninsular. If the Republic of Korea pursues the reduction of troops and units radically without consideration of the threat of North Korea and surrounding countries, it could be a significant strategic mistake. In addition, the ROK army should keep an eye on the fact the European advanced countries and Japan that are not facing direct military threats are spending more defense expenditures than Korea. If the ROK army reduces military power without proper alternatives, it would exert a negative effect on the stable economic development of Korea and peaceful reunification of the Korean peninsular. Therefore, the desirable option would be to focus on the development of quality of forces, maintaining proper size and number of troops and units under the technology-force combined military system. The tableau above shows that the advanced countries like the UK, Germany, Italy, and Austria spend more defense expenditure per person than the Republic of Korea, although they do not face actual military threats, and that they keep achieving better economic progress than the countries that spend less defense expenditure. Therefore, it would be necessary to adopt the merits of the defense systems of those advanced countries. As we have examined, it would be desirable to maintain the current size and number of troops and units, to promote 'select few' policy with increased defense expenditure, and to strengthen the technology-force combined military system. On the basis of firm national security, the Republic of Korea can develop efficient policies for reunification and prosperity, and jump into the status of advanced countries. Therefore, the plans to reduce troops and units in [Military Reform Plan 2020] should be reexamined. If it is difficult for the ROK army to maintain its size of 655,000 troops because of low birth rate, the plans to establish the prompt mobilization force or to adopt drafting system should be considered for the maintenance of proper number of troops and units. From now on, the Republic of Korean government should develop plans to keep peace as well as to prepare unexpected changes in the Korean peninsular. For the achievement of these missions, some options can be considered. The first one is to maintain the same size of military troops and units as North Korea. The second one is to maintain the same level of military power as North Korea in terms of military force index. The third one is to maintain the same level of military power as North Korea, with the combination of the prompt mobilization force and the troops in active service under the system of technology-force combined military system. At present, it would be not possible for the ROK army to maintain such a large-size military force as North Korea (1,190,000 troops and 86 units). So it would be rational to maintain almost the same level of military force as North Korea with the combination of the troops on the active list and the prompt mobilization forces. In other words, with the combination of the troops in active service (60%) and the prompt mobilization force (40%), the ROK army should develop the strategies to harmonize technology and forces. The Korean government should also be prepared for the strategic flexibility of USFK, the possibility of American policy change about the location of foreign army, radical unexpected changes in North Korea, the emergence of potential threat, surrounding countries' demand for Korean force for the maintenance of regional stability, and demand for international cooperation against terrorism. For this, it is necessary to develop new approaches toward the proper number and size of troops and units. For instance, to prepare for radical unexpected political or military changes in North Korea, the Republic of Korea should have plans to protect a large number of refugees, to control arms and people, to maintain social security, and to keep orders in North Korea. From the experiences of other countries, it is estimated that 115,000 to 230,000 troops, plus ten thousands of police are required to stabilize the North Korean society, in the case radical unexpected military or political change happens in North Korea. In addition, if the Republic of Korea should perform the release of hostages, control of mass destruction weapons, and suppress the internal wars in North Korea, it should send 460,000 troops to North Korea. Moreover, if the Republic of Korea wants to stop the attack of North Korea and flow of refugees in DMZ area, at least 600,000 troops would be required. In sum, even if the ROK army maintains 600,000 troops, it may need additional 460,000 troops to prepare for unexpected radical changes in North Korea. For this, it is necessary to establish the prompt mobilization force whose size and number are almost the same as the troops in active service. In case the ROK army keeps 650,000 troops, the proper number of the prompt mobilization force would be 460,000 to 500,000.

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