• Title/Summary/Keyword: Parametric Model

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평률 회귀분석을 위한 추정 방법의 비교 (Comparison of estimation methods for expectile regression)

  • 김종민;강기훈
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.343-352
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    • 2018
  • 설명변수가 주어졌을 때 반응변수의 평균적인 추세뿐만 아니라 극단적인 지역에서의 추세에 대해서 추정하고 싶거나 반응변수 분포의 일반적인 탐색을 위해서는 분위수 회귀분석과 평률 회귀분석을 사용할 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 평률 회귀모형의 추정을 위한 모수적 방법과 비모수적 방법의 성능을 비교하고자 한다. 이를 위해 각 추정 방법을 소개하고 여러 상황의 모의실험 및 실제자료에의 적용을 통해 비교 분석을 실시하였다. 모형에 따라 성능 차이가 있는데 자료의 형태가 복잡하여 변수 간의 관계를 유추하기 힘들 경우 비모수적으로 추정한 평률 회귀분석모형이 더욱 좋은 결과를 보였다. 일반적인 회귀분석의 경우와 달리 평률의 경우 후보가 되는 모수 모형을 상정하기 어렵다는 측면에서 볼 때, 비모수적 방법의 사용이 추천될 수 있다.

모수적 생존모형을 이용한 유기농산물의 지불의향 가격 분석 (Analysis of Consumers' Willingness to Pay for Organic Agricultural Products Using Parametric Survival Model)

  • 김창길;구자춘;정학균
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.169-188
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze willingness to pay (WTP) for organic agricultural products. To accomplish the objective of the study, a consumer survey was conducted. Based on the pilot survey results, parametric survival model was used to analyze the WTP for organic products. The estimation results showed that the WTP for organic agricultural products is 1.4-fold when compared with the conventional products, which is lower than the current price by about 30 percent. The analytical results also showed that such variables as gender, recognitions for organic agricultural products, and consumers' income have very significant effects on the WTP, and that there are no differences among WTPs by consumption goals. Based on major findings, the most effective countermeasure was suggested for expanding of organic food consumption through the premium reduction of organic products. Reducing the costs of production and distribution, supporting farmers' income by direct payment system were presented. Furthermore, it is needed to allocate more budget for promoting the consumption and distribution of organic agricultural products, and for enhancing conservation of agricultural environment.

PID 제어 기술을 이용한 비선형 유압 시스템의 강인 제어 (Robust Control of the Nonlinear Hydraulic Servo System Using a PID Control Technique)

  • 유삼현;이종원
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제25권5호
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    • pp.850-856
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    • 2001
  • Even though the hydraulic servo system has been widely used in industrial and military equipments since it has a lot of advantages, it is not easy to design controller due to the high nonlinearities and the parametric uncertainties. The dynamic behavior of the real process in the hydraulic servo system differs from that described by its model because the model is linearized. Another reason of the difference is caused by the variety of parameters, since the system parameters of the dynamic equation are affected by the operating conditions such as temperature and pressure. In this study, the designing process of the MRNC with a PID compensator is introduced and applied to the load sensing hydraulic servo system. The results show that the designed controller guarantees the robust control performance despite of both the nonlinearities and the parametric uncertainties.

Efficient Prediction in the Semi-parametric Non-linear Mixed effect Model

  • So, Beong-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제28권2호
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    • pp.225-234
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    • 1999
  • We consider the following semi-parametric non-linear mixed effect regression model : y\ulcorner=f($\chi$\ulcorner;$\beta$)+$\sigma$$\mu$($\chi$\ulcorner)+$\sigma$$\varepsilon$\ulcorner,i=1,…,n,y*=f($\chi$;$\beta$)+$\sigma$$\mu$($\chi$) where y'=(y\ulcorner,…,y\ulcorner) is a vector of n observations, y* is an unobserved new random variable of interest, f($\chi$;$\beta$) represents fixed effect of known functional form containing unknown parameter vector $\beta$\ulcorner=($\beta$$_1$,…,$\beta$\ulcorner), $\mu$($\chi$) is a random function of mean zero and the known covariance function r(.,.), $\varepsilon$'=($\varepsilon$$_1$,…,$\varepsilon$\ulcorner) is the set of uncorrelated measurement errors with zero mean and unit variance and $\sigma$ is an unknown dispersion(scale) parameter. On the basis of finite-sample, small-dispersion asymptotic framework, we derive an absolute lower bound for the asymptotic mean squared errors of prediction(AMSEP) of the regular-consistent non-linear predictors of the new random variable of interest y*. Then we construct an optimal predictor of y* which attains the lower bound irrespective of types of distributions of random effect $\mu$(.) and measurement errors $\varepsilon$.

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자동차용 워터펌프의 스퀼소음 저감을 위한 영향도분석 (Parametric Study for the Squeal Noise Reduction of an Automobile Water Pump)

  • 김보형;정원영;백홍길;강동진;정진태
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2013년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.492-497
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    • 2013
  • In this study, a parametric study is performed to investigate the squeal noise of an automobile water pump. The squeal noise studied in this paper is generated by the self-excited torsional resonance of the rotating shaft, and this noise is related to the stick-slip phenomenon of the mechanical seal in the water pump. The mechanical seal friction has the characteristics of the negative velocity-gradient. The equations of motion of multiple-degree-of-freedom torsional vibration model is constructed by the Holzer's method and then the equation is transformed to an equivalent single-degree-of-freedom torsional resonance simulation model. A squeal noise criteria is determined by the simulation model to perform the parametric study. The design parameters(the mass moment of inertia of the pulley, the mass moment of inertia of the impeller, the length of the shafts, the radius of the shafts, spinning speed of the shafts, the position of the mechanical seal, radius of the mechanical seal, and normal load of the mechanical seal) are investigated to confirm the stability for the squeal noise.

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파라메트릭 기법을 고속 단동선의 NURBS 모델링 (Construction of NURBS Model for Preliminary High-Speed Monohull Design Based on Parametric Approach)

  • 남종호
    • 한국해양공학회지
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.82-87
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    • 2006
  • An approach to model a high-speed monohull vessel is introduced. The high-speed monohull form belonging to the category of multihull is drawing new attention, due to the rapidly growing trend of fast passenger ships and military purpose. Multihull forms are much thinner in their overall shape, compared to those of the conventional commercial vessels. Moreover, the parent hull forms are not readily obtainable when a new design is intended, which makes it hard to perform various technical calculations in terms of hull optimization, hydrodynamic computation, structural design, and so forth. In this paper, a parametric technique is used to design a high-speed hull form. To model a hull form, NURBS (Non Uniform Rational B-Spline) representation is used. The goal of research is to provide a fast and convenient tool to design an initial hull form with fewer parameters available in the early design stage. The technique employed in this paper will be applied to the design of multihull forms, such as catamaran, trimaran, and semi-swath.

다품목(多品目) 생산체제(生産體制)의 생산계획(生産計劃)을 위한 모델 (A Model for Production Planning in a Multi-item Production System -Multi-item Parametric Decision Rule-)

  • 최병규
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제1권2호
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 1975
  • This paper explores a quantitative decision-making system for planning production, inventories and work-force in a multi-item production system. The Multi-item Parametric Decision Rule (MPDR) model, which assumes the existence of two types of linear feed-back rules, one for work-force level and one for production rates, is basically an extension of the existing method of Parametric Production Planning (PPP) proposed by C.H. Jones. The MPDR model, however, explicitly considers the effect of manufacturing progress and other factors such as employee turn-over, difference in work-days between month etc., and it also provides decision rules for production rates of individual items. First, the cost relations of the production system are estimated in terms of mathematical functions, and then decision rules for work-force level and production rates of individual items are establised based upon the estimated objective cost function. Finally, a direct search technique is used to find a set of parameters which minimizes the total cost of the objective function over a specified planning horizon, given estimates of future demands and initial values of inventories and work-force level. As a case problem, a hypothetical decision rule is developed for a particular firm (truck assembly factory).

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자동차용 워터펌프의 스퀼소음 저감을 위한 영향도 분석 (Parametric Study for the Squeal Noise Reduction of an Automobile Water Pump)

  • 김보형;정원영;백홍길;강동진;정진태
    • 한국소음진동공학회논문집
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    • 제23권7호
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    • pp.624-630
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    • 2013
  • In this study, a parametric study is performed to investigate the squeal noise of an automobile water pump. The squeal noise studied in this paper is generated by the self-excited torsional resonance of the rotating shaft, and this noise is related to the stick-slip phenomenon of the mechanical seal in the water pump. The mechanical seal friction has the characteristics of the negative velocity-gradient. The equations of motion of multiple-degree-of-freedom torsional vibration model is constructed by the Holzer's method and then the equation is transformed to an equivalent single-degree-of-freedom torsional resonance simulation model. A squeal noise criteria is determined by the simulation model to perform the parametric study. The design parameters(the mass moment of inertia of the pulley, the mass moment of inertia of the impeller, the length of the shafts, the radius of the shafts, spinning speed of the shafts, the position of the mechanical seal, radius of the mechanical seal, and normal load of the mechanical seal) are investigated to confirm the stability for the squeal noise.

Round robin analysis to investigate sensitivity of analysis results to finite element elastic-plastic analysis variables for nuclear safety class 1 components under severe seismic load

  • Kim, Jun-Young;Lee, Jong Min;Park, Jun Geun;Kim, Jong-Sung;Cho, Min Ki;Ahn, Sang Won;Koo, Gyeong-Hoi;Lee, Bong Hee;Huh, Nam-Su;Kim, Yun-Jae;Kim, Jong-In;Nam, Il-Kwun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권1호
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    • pp.343-356
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    • 2022
  • As a part of round robin analysis to develop a finite element elastic-plastic seismic analysis procedure for nuclear safety class 1 components, a series of parametric analyses was carried out on the simulated pressurizer surge line system model to investigate sensitivity of the analysis results to finite element analysis variables. The analysis on the surge line system model considered dynamic effect due to the seismic load corresponding to PGA 0.6 g and elastic-plastic material behavior based on the Chaboche combined hardening model. From the parametric analysis results, it was found that strains such as accumulated equivalent plastic strain and equivalent plastic strain are more sensitive to the analysis variables than von Mises effect stress. The parametric analysis results also identified that finite element density and ovalization option in the elbow elements have more significant effect on the analysis results than the other variables.

Nonlinear finite element analysis of ultra-high performance fiber reinforced concrete beams subjected to impact loads

  • Demirtas, Gamze;Caglar, Naci;Sumer, Yusuf
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제82권1호
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    • pp.81-92
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    • 2022
  • Ultra-high performance fiber reinforced concrete (UHPFRC) is a composite building material with high ductility, fatigue resistance, fracture toughness, durability, and energy absorption capacity. The aim of this study is to develop a nonlinear finite element model that can simulate the response of the UHPFRC beam exposed to impact loads. A nonlinear finite element model was developed in ABAQUS to simulate the real response of UHPFRC beams. The numerical results showed that the model was highly successful to capture the experimental results of selected beams from the literature. A parametric study was carried out to investigate the effects of reinforcement ratio and impact velocity on the response of the UHPFRC beam in terms of midpoint displacement, impact load value, and residual load-carrying capacity. In the parametric study, the nonlinear analysis was performed in two steps for 12 different finite element models. In the first step, dynamic analysis was performed to monitor the response of the UHPFRC beam under impact loads. In the second step, static analysis was conducted to determine the residual load-carrying capacity of the beams. The parametric study has shown that the reinforcement ratio and the impact velocity affect maximum and residual displacement value substantially.