• Title/Summary/Keyword: Parameter Estimations

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Landing Dynamic and Key Parameter Estimations of a Landing Mechanism to Asteroid with Soft Surface

  • Zhao, Zhijun;Zhao, JingDong;Liu, Hong
    • International Journal of Aeronautical and Space Sciences
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.237-246
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    • 2013
  • It is of great significance to utilize a landing mechanism to explore an asteroid. A landing mechanism named ALISE (Asteroid Landing and In Situ Exploring) for asteroid with soft surface is presented. The landing dynamic in the first turning stage, which represents the landing performance of the landing mechanism, is built by a Lagrange equation. Three key parameters can be found influencing the landing performance: the retro-rocket thrust T, damping element damping $c_1$, and cardan element damping $c_2$. In this paper, the retro-rocket thrust T is solved with considering that the landing mechanism has no overturning in extreme landing conditions. The damping element damping c1 is solved by a simplified dynamic model. After solving the parameters T and $c_1$, the cardan element damping $c_2$ is calculated using the landing dynamic model, which is built by Lagrange equation. The validities of these three key parameters are tested by simulation. The results show a stable landing, when landing with the three estimated parameters T, $c_1$, and $c_2$. Therefore, the landing dynamic model and methods to estimate key parameters are reasonable, and are useful for guiding the design of the landing mechanism.

The Influence of Moisture on the Interface Shear Strength Between Geosynthetics (토목섬유의 접촉 전단강도에 대한 함수비의 영향)

  • Seo, Min-Woo;Park, In-Joon;Park, Jun-Boum
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.75-85
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    • 2004
  • Various geosynthetics are widely installed as a liner or a protective layer of waste landfills. The interface shear strength between the layers of geosynthetics in waste landfills is an important parameter to ensure the safety of bottom and cover system design. In this study, estimations of interface shear strength between geomembrane and geotextile or Geosynthetic Clay Liners (GCL) are performed by large direct shear tests. Especially, this research is focused on the effect of moisture within the interface shear strength between geosynthetics, because most interfaces are vulnerable to rain, leachate and groundwater beneath the liners.

Estimation of Cut-off Stratum in the Highly Skewed Population (왜도가 심한 모집단의 절사층 추정)

  • 한근식
    • Survey Research
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.93-101
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    • 2004
  • In business survey, cut-off sampling is usual, The contribution from cut-off part of the population is at least small in comparison with the remaining population. In this case, part of the target population is excluded from the selection and parameter estimations are only based on Take-all and Take-some stratum. It may be tempting not to use resources on enterprises that contribute little to the overall results of the survey. And this reduces the response burden for these small enterprises. But, the size of cut-off stratum has been increased as a way to manage reduced budgets. This leads to additional bias. In this study, the population have been separated as three stratum, cut -off, take-some, take-all, and we will estimate cut-off part using auxiliary variable.

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State Estimation Technique for VRLA Batteries for Automotive Applications

  • Duong, Van Huan;Tran, Ngoc Tham;Choi, Woojin;Kim, Dae-Wook
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.238-248
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    • 2016
  • The state-of-charge (SOC) and state-of-health (SOH) estimation of batteries play important roles in managing batteries for automotive applications. However, an accurate state estimation of a battery is difficult to achieve because of certain factors, such as measurement noise, highly nonlinear characteristics, strong hysteresis phenomenon, and diffusion effect of batteries. In certain vehicular applications, such as idle stop-start systems (ISSs), significant errors in SOC/SOH estimation may lead to a failure in restarting a combustion engine after the shut-off period of the engine when the vehicle is at rest, such as at a traffic light. In this paper, a dual extended Kalman filter algorithm with a dynamic equivalent circuit model of a lead-acid battery is proposed to deal with this problem. The proposed algorithm adopts a battery model by taking into account the hysteresis phenomenon, diffusion effect, and parameter variations for accurate state estimations of the battery. The validity of the proposed algorithm is verified through experiments by using an absorbed glass mat valve-regulated lead-acid battery and a battery sensor cable for commercial ISS vehicles.

Analysis of Business Cycle Factors and Occupational Accidents in Construction Industry (건설업 산업재해 발생의 경기적 요인 분석 연구)

  • Myungjoong, Kim;Sunyoung, Park
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.37 no.6
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    • pp.32-39
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    • 2022
  • This study analyzed the relationship between occupational accidents in the construction industry and business cycle factors. Multiple regression analyses were conducted to achieve the research purpose; additionally, time-varying parameter estimations were performed to interpret the results. The results obtained for the construction industry revealed a statistically significant relationship between occupational accidents and wage increase rate, unemployment, construction starts, and other factors. The wage increase rate plays a role in reducing occupational accidents because efforts are made to prevent accidents owing to the increase in income loss due to accidents and the demand for increased safety levels. The number of construction starts affects occupational accidents with a time lag of 1 to 2 or 4 months; therefore, it is likely to be used as a leading indicator for estimating fatal accidents in the construction industry. This study highlighted the importance of monitoring socioeconomic changes that could affect the working conditions of workers and workplaces, and production activities in the workplace for the effective prevention of occupational accidents. This study also reveals the necessity of developing a method to operate prevention projects flexibly and the seasonality of industrial characteristics, particularly those of the construction industry where the highest number of fatal occupational injuries occur.

Value at Risk with Peaks over Threshold: Comparison Study of Parameter Estimation (Peacks over threshold를 이용한 Value at Risk: 모수추정 방법론의 비교)

  • Kang, Minjung;Kim, Jiyeon;Song, Jongwoo;Song, Seongjoo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.483-494
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    • 2013
  • The importance of financial risk management has been highlighted after several recent incidences of global financial crisis. One of the issues in financial risk management is how to measure the risk; currently, the most widely used risk measure is the Value at Risk(VaR). We can consider to estimate VaR using extreme value theory if the financial data have heavy tails as the recent market trend. In this paper, we study estimations of VaR using Peaks over Threshold(POT), which is a common method of modeling fat-tailed data using extreme value theory. To use POT, we first estimate parameters of the Generalized Pareto Distribution(GPD). Here, we compare three different methods of estimating parameters of GPD by comparing the performance of the estimated VaR based on KOSPI 5 minute-data. In addition, we simulate data from normal inverse Gaussian distributions and examine two parameter estimation methods of GPD. We find that the recent methods of parameter estimation of GPD work better than the maximum likelihood estimation when the kurtosis of the return distribution of KOSPI is very high and the simulation experiment shows similar results.

Development of Design Formula for Predicting Post-Buckling Behaviour and Ultimate Strength of Cylindrical Shell

  • Lee, Jung-Ho;Oh, Young-Cheol;Seo, Kwang-Cheol
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.313-319
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    • 2017
  • Cylindrical shells are often used in ship structures at deck plating with a camber, side shell plating at fore and aft parts, and bilge structure part. It has been believed that such curved shells can be modelled fundamentally by a part of a cylinder under axial compression. From the estimations with the usage of cylinder models, it is known that, in general, curvature increases the buckling strength of a curved shell subjected to axial compression, and that curvature is also expected to increase the ultimate strength. We conduct series of elasto-plastic large deflection analyses in order to clarify the fundamentals in buckling and plastic collapse behaviour of cylindrical shells under axial compression. From the numerical results, we derive design formula for predicting the ultimate strength of cylindrical shell, based on a series of the nonlinear finite element calculations for all edges, simply supporting plating, varying the slenderness ratio, curvature and aspect ratio, as well as the following design formulae for predicting the ultimate strength of cylindrical shell. From a number of analysis results, fitting curve can be developed to use parameter of slenderness ratio with implementation of the method of least squares. The accuracy of design formulae for evaluating ultimate strength has been confirmed by comparing the calculated results with the FE-analysis results and it has a good agreement to predict their ultimate strength.

Analysis of Traffic Flow on Weaving Sections Using Stochastic Models (확률모형을 이용한 엇갈림 구간의 교통류분석)

  • 이승준;이정도;최재성
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.137-149
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    • 1999
  • For decades, many traffic flow studies on the analysis and determination of level of service (LOS) for the weaving sections have been made to Provide several regression equations. Weaving and non-weaving speeds were dependent variables for the equations, with independent variables being weaving length, number of lanes, and weaving ratios. One of the difficulties in developing the equations was that the weaving areas were rare in Korea, so the statistical analyses for calibrating the equation parameter could not be performed in a desirable manner. In this regard, a new and stochastic methodology for predicting the weaving and non-weaving speeds within the weaving sections was required. In this study the following design variables were developed; influence area of the weaving section. headway distribution within the weaving section, maximum weaving volume of the weaving section, length of the ideal weaving section, and speed estimations for the weaving and non-weaving flows. The evaluation of the new model was made comparing the delay in the weaving section with the one in the freeway basic section.

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Matched-target Model Inversion for the Position Estimation of Moving Targets (정합-표적모델 역산을 이용한 기동 표적의 위치 추정)

  • 장덕홍;박홍배;김성일;류존하;김광태
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.22 no.7
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    • pp.562-572
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    • 2003
  • A matched-target model inversion method was developed for a passive sonar to estimate the position of moving targets. Based on the well known matched-field processing in underwater acoustics, the method finds target position by matching the measured target directions and frequencies with the corresponding values of the proposed target model. For the efficient and accurate estimations, the parameter searching was accomplished using a hybrid optimizing method, which first starts with a global optimization such as generic algorithm or simulated annealing then applies a local optimization of a simple down hill algorithm. The suggested method was testified using simulations for three different moving scenarios. The simulation results showed that the method is robust in convergence, even under the situation of over 5 times standard deviation of Gaussian distribution of measured error, and is practical in calculation time as well.

Formulation Of Some Mathematical Models For The Estimations Of The Most Probable Salts Derived From The Major Mineral Constituents In Natural Water

  • Miah, Raisuddin
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.759-770
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    • 1995
  • By extensive studies with the quantitative status of the mineral constituents of thousands of water samples, it was found that almost in all natural waters irrespective of the surface or sub-surface sources, minimum 99.5% of the total amount of the cationic constituents are generally the contributions of 3 commonly present parameters viz. Ca, Mg and Na and that of the anionic species are same and contributed by $HCO_3$, Cl and $SO_4$ only. In the field of water works, all these major mineral substances are conventionally measured as their individual ions. But till now, no reliable and generalised methods or rules have been developed for the determination of the exact kinds of the individual salt components and their amounts from these ionic constituents normally present in water. As salt content, only the TDS (Total Dissolved Solids) parameter is frequently measured by evaporation of the water sample. But TDS can tell nothing about the kinds and amounts of the individual salts present in it. Considering the analytical importance of the estimation of the mineral substances as their individual salts, some generalised mathematical models have been developed by this research which are based on the 'hypothetical order of chemical combinations' as may occur among the ionic constituents. With the help of these models, one can easily assume the most probable salts with approximate quantities derived from the ionic constituents. In addition, approximate amount of Na content can also be estimated mathematically with simultaneous verification of the correctness of the water analysis results. The models are stated in this paper with practical illustrations and descriptions of the method of applications.

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