• Title/Summary/Keyword: PRMS model

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Development of Combination Runoff Model Applied by Genetic Algorithm (유전자 알고리즘을 적용한 혼합유출모형의 개발)

  • Shim, Seok-Ku;Koo, Bo-Young;Ahn, Tae-Jin
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.3
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    • pp.201-212
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    • 2009
  • The Tank model and the PRMS(Precipitation Runoff Modeling-modular System) model have been adopted to simulate runoff data from 1981 to 2001 year in the Seomgin-dam basin. However, the simulated runoff by each single model showed some deviations compared with the observed runoff, respectively. In this study a genetic algorithm combination runoff model has been proposed to minimize deviations between simulated runoff and observed runoff that should yield from single model such as Tank model or PRMS model. The proposed combination runoff model combining the simulated respective output of the Tank model and the PRMS model is to produce the optimum combination ratio of each single model applying to the genetic algorithm which may yield the minimum deviations between simulated runoff and observed one. The proposed combination runoff model has been applied to the Seomgin-dam basin. It has also been shown that the combination model by introducing optimal combination ratio should yield less deviations than single model such as the Tank model or the PRMS model.

A Study on PRMS Applicability for Korean River Basin (국내무역에서의 PRMS 모형의 적용성에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Il-Won;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.9 s.158
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    • pp.713-725
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    • 2005
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate the applicability and simulation capability of PRMS, developed by U.S. Geological Survey, over the seven multi-purpose dam watersheds in Korea. The basic concepts of model components and their parameters are investigated for the evaluation of model applicability and the possibility of model parameter estimation is suggested based on the data availibility. For model parameter estimation, some parameters are directly estimated from measurable basin characteristics, but the others are estimated by Rosenbrock's automatic optimization scheme. The results show that the simulated flows from the model were very close to the observed ones. Although the default values for snowmelt model parameter are used, the results from snowmelt simulation is also acceptable. The model shows that the simulation capability is not sensitive to the basin size, however, according to increasing basin area, simulation characteristics are close to those for lumped model rather than semi-distributed model.

Application of the Developed Pre- and Post-Processing System to Yongdamdam Watershed using PRMS Hydrological Model (수문학적 유역특성자료 자동화 추출 및 분석시스템 적용 (II) -PRMS 모형을 이용한 용담댐 유역을 대상으로-)

  • Kwon, Hyung-Joong;Hwang, Eui-Ho;Lee, Geun-Sang;Yu, Byeong-Hyeok;Koh, Deuk-Koo
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2008
  • The objective of this study is to evaluate the applicability of extracted PRMS input parameters by KGIS-Hydrology over Yongdam-Dam watershed. KGIS-Hydrology is a system for automatic extraction and analysis of watershed characteristic data. Input parameters of PRMS were generated from GIS data (DEM, soil, forest type, etc.) using KGIS-Hydrology. Multi-temporal meteorological data from Jangsu station of KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) were used for all simulation periods. Input parameters of PRMS were optimized using observed runoff data of Yongdam-Dam station (1966-2001) and validated using observed runoff data of Yongdam-Dam station (2002-2006, Yongdam-Dam watershed). The results showed that the simulated flows were much closed to the observed flows of Yongdam-Dam (2002-2006) and Donghyang (2001-2004) station by 0.49~0.83 and 0.57~0.75 model efficiencies, respectively.

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A Review of Baseflow Analysis Techniques of Watershed-Scale Runoff Models (유역단위 유출 모형 별 기저유출 분석 기법 검토)

  • Han, Jeong Ho;Ryu, Tae Sang;Lim, Kyoung Jae;Jung, Young Hun
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.58 no.4
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    • pp.75-83
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    • 2016
  • Streamflow is composed of baseflow and direct runoff. However, most of streamflow during dry seasons depends on baseflow. Thus, baseflow analysis is very important to simulate streamflow of dry seasons. Generally, baseflow analysis is conducted using watershed-scale runoff models due to diffilculty of measuring baseflow. However, it is needed to understand and review how the model simulates baseflow because each model uses inherent baseflow analysis techniques. In this study, SWAT, HSPF, PRMS-IV were reviewed focusing on baseflow and soil water. HSPF and PRMS-IV calculate baseflow using the variables which depends on user, so the baseflow analysis results of HSPF and PRMS-IV are not consistent. Moreover, soil structures which were assumed from HSPF and PRMS-IV, since these two models assume soil structure as two soil zones and three conceptual reservoirs, were not enough to describe real soil structure. On the other hand, baseflow in SWAT is calculated using baseflow recession constant which can consider the characteristics of aquifer and also, soil structure in SWAT is similar to real soil structures. Thus, baseflow analysis result from SWAT was concluded as the most suitable and reliable model because SWAT can reflect the characteristics and soil structure which is close to reality.

Sensitivity Analysis of PRMS Model Parameters (PRMS 모형의 매개변수 민감도 분석)

  • Kim, Kwang-Cheon;Jeong, Il-Won;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.623-627
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    • 2005
  • 유역의 유출특성을 정확히 분석하기 위해서는 모형에 내재된 매개변수의 적정한 추정이 필수적이나 정확한 측정이 불가능한 변수들의 최적해를 결정하는 것은 어려운 일이다. 본 연구에서는 괴산댐유역을 적용대상 유역으로 PRMS 모형의 최적 매개변수를 평가하고, 추정난해 매개변수 9개에 대한 민감도 분석을 수행함으로서 각 매개변수에 따른 결과의 불확실성과 유출특성에 미치는 영향을 분석하여 향후 정도 높은 매개변수 추정에 활용하고자 하였다. 연구결과 지표면유출 관련인자는 지표면-지표하유출량을 변화시키므로 유출특성에 큰 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 지표하유출 관련 매개변수들은 비선형계수가 작아져 유출이 선형적으로 고려될 때 수문곡선에 영향을 주는 것으로 판명되었다. 한편 지하수유출 관련 계수는 지하수유출이 발생하는 경우 영향을 미치지 않는 것으로 나타났고, 지표하저수지에서 지하수유출을 발생시키는 매개변수는 크게 민감하지 않은 것으로 판명되었다. 그리고 토양대에서 지하수저수지로의 유입 관련 매개변수는 유출을 지연시키는 효과를 보였고 증발산을 조절하는 매개변수는 유출용적에만 영향을 미치는 것으로 판명되었다.

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Generation of High Resolution Scenarios for Climate Change Impacts on Water Resources (II): Runoff Scenarios on Each Sub-basins (수자원에 대한 기후변화 영향평가를 위한 고해상도 시나리오 생산(II): 유역별 유출시나리오 구축)

  • Jung, Il-Won;Bae, Deg-Hyo;Im, Eun-Soon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.205-214
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    • 2007
  • The objective of this study is to generate the regional scale runoff scenarios by using IPCC SRES A2 climate change scenario for analyzing the spatial variation of water resources in Korea. The PRMS model was adopted to simulate long-term stream discharge. To estimate the PRMS model parameters on each sub-basin, the streamflow data at 6 dam sites and Rosenbrock's scheme are used for model parameter calibration and those parameters are translated to ungauged catchments by regionalization method. The other 3 dam sites are selected for the verification of the adequateness of regionalized model parameters in ungagued catchments. The statistical results show that the simulated flows by using regionalized parameters well agree with observed ones. The generated runoff scenarios by climate change are compared with observed data on 4 dam sites for the reference period. The consequences show that the selection of climate station for generating climate scenario affects the reliability of climate scenario at sub-basin. The comparison results of the stream flows between the 30-year baseline period (1971-2000) and future 90-year (2001-2030, 2031-2060, 2061-2090) show that the long-term mean annual runoff in the Han River has increasing trend, while the Nakdong, the Gum, the Youngsan and the Sumjin Rivers have decreasing trend.

Uncertainty assessment caused by GCMs selection on hydrologic studies

  • Ghafouri-Azar, Mona;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.151-151
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    • 2018
  • The present study is aimed to quantifying the uncertainty in the general circulation model (GCM) selection and its impacts on hydrology studies in the basins. For this reason, 13 GCMs was selected among the 26 GCM models of the Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) scenarios. Then, the climate data and hydrologic data with two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) of the best model (INMCM4) and worst model (HadGEM2-AO) were compared to understand the uncertainty associated with GCM models. In order to project the runoff, the Precipitation-Runoff Modelling System (PRMS) was driven to simulate daily river discharge by using daily precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature as inputs of this model. For simulating the discharge, the model has been calibrated and validated for daily data. Root mean square error (RMSE) and Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) were applied as evaluation criteria. Then parameters of the model were applied for the periods 2011-2040, and 2070-2099 to project the future discharge the five large basins of South Korea. Then, uncertainty caused by projected temperature, precipitation and runoff changes were compared in seasonal and annual time scale for two future periods and RCPs compared to the reference period (1976-2005). The findings of this study indicated that more caution will be needed for selecting the GCMs and using the results of the climate change analysis.

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A study on regionalization of long-term runoff model parameters (장기유출모형의 매개변수 지역화에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Bok Hui;Bae, Deg Hyo;Kim, Moon Ju;Kim, Han Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2004.05b
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    • pp.1032-1036
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    • 2004
  • 수자원계획수립시 가장 큰 문제점 중의 하나는 관심대상유역의 관측자료가 없는 경우이다. 이와 같은 미계측유역의 경우 통상 단순히 인근관측소 자료를 면적비로 전이시켜 사용하거나, 인근 계측유역에서 유출모형의 매개변수를 추정하여 매개변수를 전이시키는 방법을 사용하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 계측유역에서 추정한 장기유출모형의 매개변수를 미계측유역으로 전이시킬 때 유역별 토양수분보유능을 이용하여 보다 객관적으로 매개변수를 전이하는 방법을 제시하였다. 방법으로는 정교한 토양수분모의가 가능한 PRMS 모형을 이용하여 자료의 정도가 높은 5개 댐지점에서 매개변수를 검${\cdot}$보정한 다음, 소양강댐과 충주댐유역을 미계측유역으로 가정하여 계측유역의 토양수분보유능과 가장 유사한 유역에 매개변수를 전이하여 결과를 분석하였다.

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A Study on Emotion Recognition Systems based on the Probabilistic Relational Model Between Facial Expressions and Physiological Responses (생리적 내재반응 및 얼굴표정 간 확률 관계 모델 기반의 감정인식 시스템에 관한 연구)

  • Ko, Kwang-Eun;Sim, Kwee-Bo
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.19 no.6
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    • pp.513-519
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    • 2013
  • The current vision-based approaches for emotion recognition, such as facial expression analysis, have many technical limitations in real circumstances, and are not suitable for applications that use them solely in practical environments. In this paper, we propose an approach for emotion recognition by combining extrinsic representations and intrinsic activities among the natural responses of humans which are given specific imuli for inducing emotional states. The intrinsic activities can be used to compensate the uncertainty of extrinsic representations of emotional states. This combination is done by using PRMs (Probabilistic Relational Models) which are extent version of bayesian networks and are learned by greedy-search algorithms and expectation-maximization algorithms. Previous research of facial expression-related extrinsic emotion features and physiological signal-based intrinsic emotion features are combined into the attributes of the PRMs in the emotion recognition domain. The maximum likelihood estimation with the given dependency structure and estimated parameter set is used to classify the label of the target emotional states.

Runoff assessment using radar rainfall and precipitation runoff modeling system model (레이더 강수량과 PRMS 모형을 이용한 유출량 평가)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Kim, Sung-Hoon;Lee, Sung-Ho;Kim, Chang-Sung;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.53 no.7
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    • pp.493-505
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    • 2020
  • The rainfall-runoff model has been generally adopted to obtain a consistent runoff sequence with the use of the long-term ground-gauged based precipitation data. The Thiessen polygon is a commonly applied approach for estimating the mean areal rainfall from the ground-gauged precipitation by assigning weight based on the relative areas delineated by a polygon. However, spatial bias is likely to increase due to a sparse network of the rain gauge. This study aims to generate continuous runoff sequences with the mean areal rainfall obtained from radar rainfall estimates through a PRMS rainfall-runoff model. Here, the systematic error of radar rainfall is corrected by applying the G/R Ratio. The results showed that the estimated runoff using the corrected radar rainfall estimates are largely similar and comparable to that of the Thiessen. More importantly, one can expect that the mean areal rainfall obtained from the radar rainfall estimates are more desirable than that of the ground in terms of representing rainfall patterns in space, which in turn leads to significant improvement in the estimation of runoff.