• Title/Summary/Keyword: PRIMARY PRODUCERS

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Comparison of forecasting performance of time series models for the wholesale price of dried red peppers: focused on ARX and EGARCH

  • Lee, Hyungyoug;Hong, Seungjee;Yeo, Minsu
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.859-870
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    • 2018
  • Dried red peppers are a staple agricultural product used in Korean cuisine and as such, are an important aspect of agricultural producers' income. Correctly forecasting both their supply and demand situations and price is very important in terms of the producers' income and consumer price stability. The primary objective of this study was to compare the performance of time series forecasting models for dried red peppers in Korea. In this study, three models (an autoregressive model with exogenous variables [ARX], AR-exponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity [EGARCH], and ARX-EGARCH) are presented for forecasting the wholesale price of dried red peppers. As a result of the analysis, it was shown that the ARX model and ARX-EGARCH model, each of which adopt both the rolling window and the adding approach and use the agricultural cooperatives price as the exogenous variable, showed a better forecasting performance compared to the autoregressive model (AR)-EGARCH model. Based on the estimation methods and results, there was no significant difference in the accuracy of the estimation between the rolling window and adding approach. In the case of dried red peppers, there is limitation in building the price forecasting models with a market-structured approach. In this regard, estimating a forecasting model using only price data and identifying the forecast performance can be expected to complement the current pricing forecast model which relies on market shipments.

Effect of Salinity Change on Biological Structure between Primary Producers and Herbivores in Water Column (해수층의 염분 변화가 일차생산자와 상위소비자의 크기구조에 미치는 영향)

  • SIN, YONGSIK;SOH, HOYOUNG;HYUN, BONGKIL
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.113-123
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    • 2005
  • Samples were collected to investigate the effect of salinity change on biological interaction between primary producers and herbivores in water column of the Youngsan estuary (Mokpo Harbor) at 8 stations from October 2003 to September 2004. The highest river freshwater inputs were introduced into the estuary from the Youngsan dike during summer (June and July 2004). Ranges of salinity were between 6 and 28.9 psu when the gates of dike were open whereas the ranges were between 24.4 and 30.3 psu when the gates were closed. Algal bloom occurred in February and July when the gates were not open at the upper region of the Youngsan estuary and the bloom was dominated $(70\%)$ by large cells of phytoplankton $(micro-sized;>20{\mu}m).\;Nano-sized (2-20{\mu}m)$ and pico-sized phytoplankton $(<2{\mu}m)$ were dominant in October, November 2003, June, August and September 2004 when the gates were open suggesting that size structure was affected by river discharge from the dike. Micro-and meso-zooplankton (herbivores) displayed the similar pattern to that of phytoplankton. The biomass of zooplankton was higher when the gates were closed than when the gates open and also the biomass was higher at the upper region of the harbor system. This results suggest that freshwater inputs affect size structure and biomass of phytoplankton by changing salinity, nutrient inputs, turbidity or light level In water column resulting in the change of the interaction between primary producters and herbivores in the Youngsan estuary.

SUCCESS FACTORS FOR JIT MANAGEMENT OF PRIMARY COMMODITY SUPPLY CHAINS IN AUSTRALIA

  • Kim Tae Ho;Wegener Malcolm
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.141-152
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    • 2004
  • Supply chains for agricultural commodities with their various constraints such as production lead time, seasonal production, and methods of storage are limited in the extent to which techniques like Just-in-Time (JIT) inventory management can be applied. It is beyond the ability of producers to control harvest time and many agricultural products are perishable so that they can incur exceptional losses in storage if they are not handled correctly. This is a source of additional costs and inefficiency in supply chain management. The purpose of this study is to reduce or eliminate such sources of loss and inefficiency and to identify success factors for the JIT inventory management system where it can be applied for agricultural products. Where JIT techniques can be applied in supply chain management for agricultural products, costs such as transportation, inventory, and storage losses can be reduced with concurrent increases in efficiency. In the paper, some of the problems associated with applying JIT inventory control methods in supply chain management for agricultural commodities will be reported through a series of case studies.

SUCCESS FACTORS FOR JIT MANAGEMENT OF PRIMARY COMMODITY SUPPLY CHAINS IN AUSTRALIA

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Malcolm Wegener
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.191-201
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    • 2004
  • Supply chains for agricultural commodities with their various constraints such as production lead time, seasonal production, and methods of storage are limited in the extent to which techniques like Just-in-Time (JIT) inventory management can be applied. It is beyond the ability of producers to control harvest time and many agricultural products are perishable so that they can incur exceptional losses in storage if they are not handled correctly. This is a source of additional costs and inefficiency in supply chain management. The purpose of this study is to reduce or eliminate such sources of loss and inefficiency and to identify success factors for the JIT inventory management system where it can be applied for agricultural products. Where ]IT techniques can be applied in supply chain management for agricultural products, costs such as transportation, inventory, and storage losses can be reduced with concurrent increases in efficiency. In the paper, some of the problems associated with applying ]IT inventory control methods in supply chain management for agricultural commodities will be reported through a series of case studies.

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Natural Rubber Economics between China and Southeast Asia: The Impact of China's Economic Slowdown

  • OKTORA, Siskarossa Ika;FIRDANI, Alfada Maghfiri
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.55-62
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    • 2019
  • China has become the second largest economy since 2010. China's economy is supported by the rapid growth of its automobile industry. The rapid growth of the automobile and tire industry will increase the natural rubber (NR) demand as its primary raw materials. Although as a significant producer, China cannot fulfill the consumption by its domestic production. Thus China relies heavily on import from Southeast Asia countries as the primary producers of natural rubber in the world. China and Southeast Asia are dependent on their economy in terms of the availability of natural rubber as raw materials. But the economic slowdown in China since 2008 is expected to affect the international trading between China and Southeast Asia countries. This research aims to analyze the determinants of NR export from Southeast Asia to China using panel data analysis. The results show NR price, exchange rate, and China's economic slowdown significantly affect NR export to China, while Southeast Asian NR production has no significant effect. China as the main importer of NR from Southeast Asia has a big role in growing NR export in Southeast Asia. If China's economy doesn't improve soon, it will affect the economy in Southeast Asia.

Vertical Distribution of Dissolved Silica in the East Sea (동해 용존 규소의 연직분포)

  • JEONG, SEONGHEE;LEE, TONGSUP
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.226-235
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    • 2019
  • Soluble silica profiles of the East Sea were described by comparing the 1970 Japanese data with the 1999-2000 ONR-JES data set, which is the most extensive collection of data currently available. Considering the ventilation mode change happened/ongoing and the features of the soluble silica to phosphate ratio we suggest a hypothesis that a utilization of soluble silica by the primary production might be exacerbated in the future. According to the silica limitation hypothesis composition of primary producers will be altered and followed by a weaker contribution of ballast against aggregates in the export production. Since the silicate cycle is deeply intertwined with the carbon cycle whether the warmed future ocean would behave like the East Sea appears to a potentially promising study theme.

Differences in Zooplankton Community Structure between Surface Water and Vertical Integrated Water in Middle and Down Stream of Nakdong River (낙동강 중⋅하류에서 표층 시료와 수직 예망 시료의 동물플랑크톤 군집 구조 차이 비교)

  • Min-Seok Kim;Hae-Kyung Park
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.215-222
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    • 2023
  • Zooplankton are primary consumers in the food web connecting primary producers and predators such as small fish, playing an important role in energy transfer in aquatic ecosystems. Therefore, it is essential to understand the zooplankton community structure in material cycle and energy flow in aquatic ecosystems. Zooplankton in large rivers with a low flow rate would distribute vertically as in lakes. In this study, we collected zooplankton by surface water filtration and vertical haul method with 64 ㎛-mesh plankton net at three stations (ND-1, ND-2, ND-3) in Nakdong River fortnightly from June 2018 to December 2019. Species composition and individual densities were analyzed. All three stations showed differences in relative abundance of zooplankton groups between surface water and vertical integrated water, with the largest difference shown in the deepest station, ND-2. In vertically integrated water at ND-2, the relative abundance of rotifera was low by a maximum of 25% and that of cladocera was high by a maximum of 22% compared to surface water samples. These results indicate that surface water filtration method is not enough to represent the community structure of zooplankton compared to the vertical haul method in large rivers.

Variation of Primary Productivity and Phytoplankton Community in the Weirs of Mid and Downstream of the Nakdong River during Fall and Early Winter: Application of Phytoplankton Pigments and CHEMTAX (추계-동계 낙동강 중 하류 보 구간 일차생산력 및 식물플랑크톤 군집조성 변화: 식물플랑크톤 색소와 CHEMTAX 활용)

  • Choi, Jisoo;Min, Jun Oh;Choi, Bohyung;Kang, Jae Joong;Choi, Kwangsoon;Lee, Sang Heon;Shin, Kyung Hoon
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.52 no.2
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    • pp.81-93
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    • 2019
  • Phytoplankton is one of the important primary producers providing organic matter through photosynthesis in aquatic environments. In order to determine a temporal and spatial variation in primary productivity after weir construction in the Nakdong River, we investigated carbon uptake rates using in-situ $^{13}C$ labeling experiments and identified algal communities contributing to primary productivity using HPLC-CHEMTAX analysis from October to December, 2017. The primary productivity gradually decreased from fall to early winter season ($249{\sim}933mgC\;m^{-2}d^{-1}$ in October, $64{\sim}536mgC\;m^{-2}d^{-1}$ in November and $60{\sim}274mgC\;m^{-2}d^{-1}$ in December, respectively). This is attributed to the temporally declining light intensity and the decreasing biomass and physiological activity of phytoplankton in winter. The contribution of diatoms to the phytoplankton community in the Nakdong River was approximately 63% at all the sampling sites and seasons, while the contribution of cryptophytes increased from 9% in October to 32% in November and December. The temporal changes in the primary productivity and the dominant phytoplankton species in the mid and downstream weirs of the Nakdong River was investigated for the first time, after construction of the weirs, and major environmental factors controlling the temporal variation in primary productivity and phytoplankton communities were identified in this study. We suggest that seasonal field investigations will provide further information on the major environmental factors which affect the annual variation of primary productivity and phytoplankton communities.

An Exploratory Study on Success Factors of User-led Innovation : Grounded Theory Approach (기업 수준의 사용자 주도 혁신 성공요인에 관한 탐색적 연구)

  • Cho, Namjae;Oh, SeungHee;Choi, JoungIn
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • v.20 no.3_spc
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    • pp.279-293
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    • 2013
  • In general, researchers, policymakers, and practitioners consider innovation by producers as a primary mode in a market economy. However, the recent research has shown that some of the most important, novel products and processes have been developed by users-both user firms and individual end-users. According to von Hippel [1988], he found that they were the developers who made about 80 percent of the most important scientific instrument innovations as well as the major innovations in semiconductor processing. In this research, we conducted grounded research on user-led innovation at the corporate-level. Also, we analyzed the train development project (SR000) of Seoul Metropolitan Rapid Transit Corporation (SMRT). We focused on identifying the success factors of user-led innovation, and development process.

Isolation and Physiological Characterization of a Novel Algicidal Virus Infecting the Marine Diatom Skeletonema costatum

  • Kim, JinJoo;Kim, Chang-Hoon;Youn, Seok-Hyun;Choi, Tae-Jin
    • The Plant Pathology Journal
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    • v.31 no.2
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    • pp.186-191
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    • 2015
  • Diatoms are a major component of the biological community, serving as the principal primary producers in the food web and sustaining oxygen levels in aquatic environments. Among marine planktonic diatoms, the cosmopolitan Skeletonema costatum is one of the most abundant and widespread species in the world's oceans. Here, we report the basic characteristics of a new diatom-infecting S. costatum virus (ScosV) isolated from Jaran Bay, Korea, in June 2008. ScosV is a polyhedral virus (45-50 nm in diameter) that propagates in the cytoplasm of host cells and causes lysis of S. costatum cultures. The infectivity of ScosV was determined to be strain- rather than species-specific, similar to other algal viruses. The burst size and latent period were roughly estimated at 90-250 infectious units/cell and <48 h, respectively.