• Title/Summary/Keyword: Over-estimation

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Parametric nonparametric methods for estimating extreme value distribution (극단값 분포 추정을 위한 모수적 비모수적 방법)

  • Woo, Seunghyun;Kang, Kee-Hoon
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.531-536
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    • 2022
  • This paper compared the performance of the parametric method and the nonparametric method when estimating the distribution for the tail of the distribution with heavy tails. For the parametric method, the generalized extreme value distribution and the generalized Pareto distribution were used, and for the nonparametric method, the kernel density estimation method was applied. For comparison of the two approaches, the results of function estimation by applying the block maximum value model and the threshold excess model using daily fine dust public data for each observatory in Seoul from 2014 to 2018 are shown together. In addition, the area where high concentrations of fine dust will occur was predicted through the return level.

Cluster Sampling in Sampling Inspection: Bayes Estimation

  • Juyoung Lee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.107-116
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    • 1999
  • We propose a sample design which minimize Bayes risk for cluster smpling in sampling inspection. We treat a pilot sample and an additional sample size as random variable. In addition we compute an appropriate cluster size for handling over-dispersion.

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Estimation of Electric Properties of Insulating Silicone Rubbers Added Reinforcing Fillers (보강성 충전제를 첨가한 절연용 실리콘 고무의 전기 특성 평가)

  • Lee, Sung-Ill
    • Elastomers and Composites
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    • v.32 no.5
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    • pp.309-317
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    • 1997
  • Estimation of the dielectric properties of insulating silicone rubbers added reinforcing fillers $(SiO_2,\;0{\sim}140phr)$ are very important to investigate the polymer structure. The characteristies of the dielectric absorption in insulating silicone rubbers were studied in the frequency range from 30Hz to 1MHz at the temperature range from $0{\sim}170^{\circ}C$. In the case of non-filled specimen, the dielectric loss is due to the syloxane which is the main chain of silicone rubber at the low temperature below $50^{\circ}C$ and the frequency at 330Hz, and is due to methyl and vinyl radical over the frequency of 1MHz. It is confirmed that the methyl radical or the vinyl radical becomes thermal oxidation at the high temperature over $100^{\circ}C$ and then the dielectric disperssing owing to the carboxyl radical Is appeared. In the case of filled specimen, the dielectric constant is in creased with the additives of reinforcing fillers due to the effect of interfacial polarization explained by MWS(Maxwell-Wagner-Sillars)'s law. The dielectric loss is decreased by the disturbance of reinforcing fillers that is permeated between networks.

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A Distance Approach for Open Information Extraction Based on Word Vector

  • Liu, Peiqian;Wang, Xiaojie
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.12 no.6
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    • pp.2470-2491
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    • 2018
  • Web-scale open information extraction (Open IE) plays an important role in NLP tasks like acquiring common-sense knowledge, learning selectional preferences and automatic text understanding. A large number of Open IE approaches have been proposed in the last decade, and the majority of these approaches are based on supervised learning or dependency parsing. In this paper, we present a novel method for web scale open information extraction, which employs cosine distance based on Google word vector as the confidence score of the extraction. The proposed method is a purely unsupervised learning algorithm without requiring any hand-labeled training data or dependency parse features. We also present the mathematically rigorous proof for the new method with Bayes Inference and Artificial Neural Network theory. It turns out that the proposed algorithm is equivalent to Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the joint probability distribution over the elements of the candidate extraction. The proof itself also theoretically suggests a typical usage of word vector for other NLP tasks. Experiments show that the distance-based method leads to further improvements over the newly presented Open IE systems on three benchmark datasets, in terms of effectiveness and efficiency.

Identification of Age Threshold for Driving Performance (운전능력에 연관된 인적특성의 연령 임계점 연구)

  • Kim, Tae-Ho;Ko, Joon-Ho;Won, Jai-Mu;Hu, Ec
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.71-78
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    • 2008
  • This study aims to identity the age group where driving performance significantly decreases based on the data collected from the Korea Transportation Safety Authority's driver aptitude tests in 2006. The test includes following six driving simulator-based tests: estimation of moving objects' speed, estimation of stopping distance, three tests for drivers' multi-task ability, and kinetic depth perception. These six test results were utilized for the identification of the age threshold applying the CART technique, suggesting driving ability significantly be decreased over 50s. This finding was confirmed by two analyses using the accident history data containing the information of accident and non-accident drivers and the degree of accident severity. The results of this study imply that accident prevention efforts should be enhanced over a wider range of age group than the current practice where the age of 65 is generally applied for the threshold dividing senior and non-senior driver groups.

Natural Balancing of the Neutral Point Potential of a Three-Level Inverter with Improved Firefly Algorithm

  • Gnanasundari, M.;Rajaram, M.;Balaraman, Sujatha
    • Journal of Power Electronics
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.1306-1315
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    • 2016
  • Modern power systems driven by high-power converters have become inevitable in view of the ever increasing demand for electric power. The total power loss can be reduced by limiting the switching losses in such power converters; increased power efficiency can thus be achieved. A reduced switching frequency that is less than a few hundreds of hertz is applied to power converters that produce output waveforms with high distortion. Selective harmonic elimination pulse width modulation (SHEPWM) is an optimized low switching frequency pulse width modulation method that is based on offline estimation. This method can pre-program the harmonic profile of the output waveform over a range of modulation indices to eliminate low-order harmonics. In this paper, a SHEPWM scheme for three-phase three-leg neutral point clamped inverter is proposed. Aside from eliminating the selected harmonics, the DC capacitor voltages at the DC bus are also balanced because of the symmetrical pulse pattern over a quarter cycle of the period. The technique utilized in the estimation of switching angles involves the firefly algorithm (FA). Compared with other techniques, FA is more robust and entails less computation time. Simulation in the MATLAB/SIMULINK environment and experimental verification in the very large scale integration platform with Spartan 6A DSP are performed to prove the validity of the proposed technique.

Estimation and Validation of Collection 6 Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer Aerosol Products for East Asia

  • Lee, Kwon-Ho
    • Asian Journal of Atmospheric Environment
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.193-203
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    • 2018
  • The operational aerosol retrieval algorithm for the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) measurements was recently updated and named collection 6 (C6). The C6 MODIS aerosol algorithm, a substantially improved version of the collection 5 (C5) algorithm, uses an enhanced aerosol optical thickness(AOT) retrieval process consisting of new surface reflection and aerosol models. This study reports on the estimation and validation of the two latest versions, the C5 and C6 MODIS aerosol products over the East Asian region covering $20^{\circ}N$ to $56^{\circ}N$ and $80^{\circ}E$ to $150^{\circ}E$. This study also presents a comparative validation of the two versions(C5 and C6) of algorithms with different methods(Dark Target(DT) and Deep Blue (DB) retrieval methods) from the Terra and Aqua platforms to make use of the Aerosol Robotic Network (AERONET) sites for the years 2000-2016. Over the study region, the spatially averaged annual mean AOT retrieved from C6 AOT is about 0.035 (5%) less than the C5 counterparts. The linear correlations between MODIS and AERONET AOT are R = 0.89 (slope = 0.86) for C5 and R = 0.95 (slope = 1.00) for C6. Moreover, the magnitude of the mean error in C6 AOT-the difference between MODIS AOT and AERONET AOT-is 40% less than that in C5 AOT.

Efficiency Optimization Control of IPMSM Drive using SPI Controller (SPI 제어기를 이용한 IPMSM 드라이브의 효율최적화 제어)

  • Ko, Jae-Sub;Chung, Dong-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Illuminating and Electrical Installation Engineers
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    • v.25 no.7
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    • pp.15-25
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    • 2011
  • This proposes an online loss minimization algorithm for series PI(SPI) based interior permanent magnet synchronous motor(IPMSM) drive to yield high efficiency and high dynamic performance over wide speed range. The loss minimization algorithm is developed based on the motor model. In order to minimize the controllable electrical losses of the motor and thereby maximize the operating efficiency, the d-axis armature current is controlled optimally according to the operating speed and load conditions. For vector control purpose, a SPI is used as a speed controller which enables the utilization of the reluctance torque to achieve high dynamic performance as well as to operate the motor over a wide speed range. Also, this paper proposes current control of model reference adaptive fuzzy controller(MFC), and estimation of speed using artificial neural network(ANN) controller. The proposed efficiency optimization control, SPI, MFC, ANN in this paper is applied to IPMSM drive system, the validity of this paper is proved by analyzing response characteristics in variety operating conditions.

A DSP Implementation of Subband Sound Localization System

  • Park, Kyusik
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.20 no.4E
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    • pp.52-60
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    • 2001
  • This paper describes real time implementation of subband sound localization system on a floating-point DSP TI TMS320C31. The system determines two dimensional location of an active speaker in a closed room environment with real noise presents. The system consists of an two microphone array connected to TI DSP hosted by PC. The implemented sound localization algorithm is Subband CPSP which is an improved version of traditional CPSP (Cross-Power Spectrum Phase) method. The algorithm first split the input speech signal into arbitrary number of subband using subband filter banks and calculate the CPSP in each subband. It then averages out the CPSP results on each subband and compute a source location estimate. The proposed algorithm has an advantage over CPSP such that it minimize the overall estimation error in source location by limiting the specific band dominant noise to that subband. As a result, it makes possible to set up a robust real time sound localization system. For real time simulation, the input speech is captured using two microphone and digitized by the DSP at sampling rate 8192 hz, 16 bit/sample. The source location is then estimated at once per second to satisfy real-time computational constraints. The performance of the proposed system is confirmed by several real time simulation of the speech at a distance of 1m, 2m, 3m with various speech source locations and it shows over 5% accuracy improvement for the source location estimation.

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Process of Cost Estimation in Feasibility Analysis Considering ratio of Renewable Portfolio Standard (신·재생에너지 공급의무화제도(RPS) 비율을 고려한 타당성 분석의 공사비 산정 프로세스)

  • Yang, Hyun-Ju;Kim, Jong-Hyeob;Han, Sangwon;Hyun, Chang-Taek
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2014.05a
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    • pp.44-45
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    • 2014
  • Recently the Korean government also has strictly restricted a law such as GBCC(Green Building Certification Criteria)and RPS(Renewable Portfolio Standard) on the construction. Especially the government announced a obligation of renewable energy consumption over 12% for all the public buildings of total area over 1,000㎡ since 2014. Regarding to the policy, this study presented the economics of energy analysis of the public office buildings that supplies 12% renewable energy output in the early stage of construction project. This paper calculated on CO2 emission by the geothermal, solar heat, and solar photovoltaic system and estimated the saving cost. Reduced cost through the energy saving are predicted to influence on the total construction cost. As a result air pollution and energy saving cost are expected that renewable energy system would be saving total initial cost of construction on planning phase.

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