• Title/Summary/Keyword: Output index

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Prediction of Monthly Transition of the Composition Stock Price Index Using Error Back-propagation Method (신경회로망을 이용한 종합주가지수의 변화율 예측)

  • Roh, Jong-Lae;Lee, Jong-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1991.07a
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    • pp.896-899
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    • 1991
  • This paper presents the neural network method to predict the Korea composition stock price index. The error back-propagation method is used to train the multi-layer perceptron network. Ten of the various economic indices of the past 7 Nears are used as train data and the monthly transition of the composition stock price index is represented by five output neurons. Test results of this method using the data of the last 18 months are very encouraging.

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Two-Stage Forecasting Using Change-Point Detection and Artificial Neural Networks for Stock Price Index (주가지수예측에서의 변환시점을 반영한 이단계 신경망 예측모형)

  • Oh, Kyong-Joo;Kim, Kyoung-Jae;Han, In-Goo
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.99-111
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    • 2001
  • The prediction of stock price index is a very difficult problem because of the complexity of stock market data. It has been studied by a number of researchers since they strongly affect other economic and financial parameters. The movement of stock price index has a series of change points due to the strategies of institutional investors. This study presents a two-stage forecasting model of stock price index using change-point detection and artificial neural networks. The basic concept of this proposed model is to obtain intervals divided by change points, to identify them as change-point groups, and to use them in stock price index forecasting. First, the proposed model tries to detect successive change points in stock price index. Then, the model forecasts the change-point group with the backpropagation neural network(BPN). Finally, the model forecasts the output with BPN. This study then examines the predictability of the integrated neural network model for stock price index forecasting using change-point detection.

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Performance Improvement of Multilayer Perceptrons with Increased Output Nodes (다층퍼셉트론의 출력 노드 수 증가에 의한 성능 향상)

  • Oh, Sang-Hoon
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2009
  • When we apply MLPs(multilayer perceptrons) to pattern classification problems, we generally allocate one output node for each class and the index of output node denotes a class. On the contrary, in this paper, we propose to increase the number of output nodes per each class for performance improvement of MLPs. For theoretical backgrounds, we derive the misclassification probability in two class problems with additional outputs under the assumption that the two classes have equal probability and outputs are uniformly distributed in each class. Also, simulations of 50 isolated-word recognition show the effectiveness of our method.

System Identification of In-situ Vehicle Output Torque Measurement System (차량 출력 토크 측정 시스템의 시스템 식별)

  • Kim, Gi-Woo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Automotive Engineers
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.85-89
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    • 2012
  • This paper presents a study on the system identification of the in-situ output shaft torque measurement system using a non-contacting magneto-elastic torque transducer installed in a vehicle drivline. The frequency response (transfer) function (FRF) analysis is conducted to interpret the dynamic interaction between the output shaft torque and road side excitation due to the road roughness. In order to identify the frequency response function of vehicle driveline system, two power spectral density (PSD) functions of two random signals: the road roughness profile synthesized from the road roughness index equation and the stationary noise torque extracted from the original torque signal, are first estimated. System identification results show that the output torque signal can be affected by the dynamic characteristics of vehicle driveline systems, as well as the road roughness.

Improvement of Construction Cost Index against the Change of National Basic Statistic (국가 기초 통계자료 환경변화에 따른 건설공사비지수 개선)

  • Kang, Taikyung;Baek, Seung-Ho;Kim, Chang-Won;Cho, Hunhee
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.21-29
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    • 2015
  • Construction cost index (CCI) has been published for last 10 years, it's contributed to update the historical cost data, analysis cost fluctuation and evaluate the market price for construction works with direct or indirect manner. CCI is a secondary or processed statistics using the basic statistics of input output table (IO table) and producer price index (PPI) from the Bank of Korea (BOK). So once the basic statistics change, it is required to modify the calculating model of CCI. Recently the BOK changed some fundamental principles and the base year (from 2005 to 2010), that can be used in IO table and PPI. This research analyzed the recent revision of basic statistics and their impacts on CCI, and improved the previous CCI model in response to it. Also the validity of new CCI was verified by analyzing the items and weights utilized in CCI and comparing the related index.

Structural Equation Model for Information Technologization Success Index(ITSI) of Small and Medium Enterprise (구조방정식 모델을 이용한 중소기업의 IT화 성공지수(ITSI) 개발 연구)

  • Kim, Jung-Geon;Moon, Tae-Hee;Sohn, So-Young
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.338-348
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    • 2004
  • OECD countries including Korea positively adopt performance-based budget systems which convert an input-centered system to an output-centered system to solve two baffling problems: public expense retrenchment and efficiency recovery of government management. Output management of IT project propelled in public sector becomes a prominent figure influenced by these keynote of policy. However, it is placed in difficult circumstances to develop a performance index and the methodology to cover characteristics of IT project, measuring the goal achievement of business and the customer contentment according to the phases of business progress. Existing studies of IT project accomplishment measurement have been fulfilled on the subject of business targeting on IT technology application, administrative information network business and national base of information network construction. Most of the studies have been executed using BSC or AHP to reflect synthetically business specifics of IT project from a methodological point of view. In this study, we propose a structural equation model (SEM) to develop a performance index which measures the outcome of IT project according to the phases of business progress, avoiding a simple presentation of project outcome or conceptual frame. The proposed SEM is applied to the survey results of "IT support project for Small and medium business". Based on the fitted model, we apply ACSI concept to develop an Information Technologization Success Index (ITSI). This index allows us comparison of several IT vendors as well as feedback information for further improvement.

An Efficiency Analysis of Fishery Output in Coastal Areas of China

  • Li, Chun-Jie;Jeon, Jun-Woo;Kim, Hyung-Ho
    • International journal of advanced smart convergence
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.127-136
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    • 2020
  • The purpose of this study is to measure the productivity of fisheries in China's coastal areas (including inland and marine fisheries) and to analyze the factors influencing the development of fishery economy in each province by comparing regional differences. The input indicators used for efficiency analysis are fish farms, ships and staff numbers, and the output indicators are fish catch and net income. In this paper, we used six years of data from 2013-2018 and DEA-Malmquist index was used to analyze the efficiency of coastal fisheries production in 11 areas of China's coast. According to the analysis from 2013 to 2018, the fishery output efficiency in China's coastal areas has improved to some extent, but most provinces and regions are characterized by technological progress, and the technological efficiency still needs to be further improved. The conclusion can provide reference for the development planning and policy measures of regional fishery industry in China's coastal areas.

Development of Dual-Window Phantom for Output Measurement of Medical Linacs (의료용 선형가속기 출력측정용 듀얼윈도우 팬텀 개발)

  • Jeong, Dong Hyeok;Kwak, Dong Won;Moon, Young Min;Kang, Yeong-Rok;Kim, Jeung Kee;Lee, Man Woo
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.229-233
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    • 2012
  • A small water phantom (dual-window phantom) was developed to improve the output measurement efficiency of medical linacs. This phantom is suitable for determining the quality index and output dose for high-energy photon beams. The phantom has two opposite windows and two independently rotating axes. The two axes measure the tissue phantom ratio (TPR) and the percentage depth dose (PDD) simply without requiring chamber movement by rotating the phantom around its axis. High-energy photon beams from a Co-60 irradiator and a medical linac were used to evaluate the phantom. The measured quality index is in good agreement with the reference values; the measured and reference values are within 0.2% of each other for the Co-60 gamma rays and within 1.4% for 6 and 10 MV X-rays. This phantom is more practical for routine output measurements, resulting in the prevention of potential human errors.

System Analysis and Power Amplifier Design for ILS Localizer (ILS 로컬라이저 시스템 분석 및 전력증폭기 설계)

  • Su kyung Kim;Kyung Heon Koo
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.116-122
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    • 2024
  • In this paper, course structure and course width were studied among the main performances of the system to derive the required performance of the modulation index, output power, and phase change specifications of the instrument landing system (ILS) localizer power amplifier. To satisfy the course structure's deviation standard (± 5 uA), the difference in depth of modulation (DDM) deviation standard of the carrier with sideband (CSB) amplifier was standardized to ± 1 uA(0.001 DDM). CSB 30 W power amplifier was designed, and through the modulation compensation circuit, sum in depth of modulation (SDM) is 40% ± 0.1% and DDM is ± 0.0005 DDM in the operating output range(45 dBm ~ 35 dBm). In addition, the course width and displacement sensitivity specifications were analyzed through simulation, and the ± 0.1° change applied during comissioning inspection, which is the most stringent standard, was applied. The output variation of the suppressed with sideband only ( SBO) amplifier was ± 2 mW or less, The phase was standardized to within ± 3 ° and the characteristics were satisfied. By applying a compensation circuit according to output power and temperature, stable modulation index, output, and phase characteristics were obtained.

The Identification of Industrial Clusters in the Chungbuk Region in Korea

  • Cho, Cheol-Joo
    • World Technopolis Review
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.130-147
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    • 2017
  • This paper aims to identify the spatial concentrations and linkage properties of industrial clusters in the Chungbuk Province region in Korea using a three-step approach, which is composed of the cluster index, Getis-Ord's $Gi^*$, and qualitative input-output analysis. The results of the study reveal: a) what industrial sectors are concentrated and where they are; b) where the spatially interdependent industries are; and c) how the industrial sectors of the identified clusters in different locations are vertically interconnected. In addition, the degree of strength of the interindustry linkages between industrial clusters are assessed. Based on the findings, some plausible industrial policies are suggested.