• 제목/요약/키워드: Optimal Life Time

검색결과 580건 처리시간 0.031초

ARIMA 모델을 이용한 수막재배지역 지하수위 시계열 분석 및 미래추세 예측 (Time-series Analysis and Prediction of Future Trends of Groundwater Level in Water Curtain Cultivation Areas Using the ARIMA Model)

  • 백미경;김상민
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제65권2호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzed the impact of greenhouse cultivation area and groundwater level changes due to the water curtain cultivation in the greenhouse complexes. The groundwater observation data in the Miryang study area were used and classified into greenhouse and field cultivation areas to compare the groundwater impact of water curtain cultivation in the greenhouse complex. We identified the characteristics of the groundwater time series data by the terrain of the study area and selected the optimal model through time series analysis. We analyzed the time series data for each terrain's two representative groundwater observation wells. The Seasonal ARIMA model was chosen as the optimal model for riverside well, and for plain and mountain well, the ARIMA model and Seasonal ARIMA model were selected as the optimal model. A suitable prediction model is not limited to one model due to a change in a groundwater level fluctuation pattern caused by a surrounding environment change but may change over time. Therefore, it is necessary to periodically check and revise the optimal model rather than continuously applying one selected ARIMA model. Groundwater forecasting results through time series analysis can be used for sustainable groundwater resource management.

An Economic Life Test Sampling Plan for Repairable Products with Exponential Interfailure Time Distribution

  • Kwon, Young Il
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.108-120
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    • 1993
  • In this article an economic life test sampling plan is considered for repairable products when the products in each lot have the same interfailure time distribution, but the mean time between failure (MTBF) of a lot varies from lot to lot according to a known prior distribution. A cost model is constructed which consists of test cost, accept cost, and reject cost. Determination of the optimal plan which minimizes the expected average cost per lot is discussed. Numerical examples are presented to illustrate the use of the proposed sampling plans and sensitivity analyses for parameters of the prior distribution are performed.

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LCC 분석을 통한 공조설비 내구연한 산정 (An Estimation of the Economic Life Expectancy of the Building Service Equipment with LCC Analysis)

  • 강성주;김용기;이태원
    • 대한설비공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한설비공학회 2007년도 동계학술발표대회 논문집
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    • pp.316-321
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    • 2007
  • It is difficult for a superintendent or an operator of building service systems and equipment to decide the reasonable time for management of himself due to the shortage of his specialty for repair or replacement of a part of or whole equipment. But The reliable life expectancies for various building service equipment have not been prepared yet. This study shows the difference of optimal economic life and the decrease of running cost and energy consumption according to management level of the building equipment by the LCC analysis. The numerical model for building HVAC system was composed and analyses were performed for several parameters with management.

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Optimal design for face milling cutter by simulation

  • Kim, J.H.;Lee, B.C.;Kim, H.S.
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.76-85
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    • 1993
  • Based on the cutting force model, three-dimensional optimal design model was developed and optimal designed tool which is minimized cutting force is developed by computer simulation technique. In this model the objective function which is minimized resultant cutting force was used and the variables are radial rake angle, axial rake angle, lead angle of the tool. The cutting forces using conventional and optimal tools by simulation, are compared and analyzed in time and frequency domains. In time domain the cutting force of optimal tool in feed direction was more reduced and less fluctuated than that of conventional tool. Cutting forces of optimal tool in X-and Z-directions are shown a little increased than those of conventional tool. In frequency domain amplitude of insert frequency components of optimal tool in feed direction was more reduced than that of convent- ional tool. The amplitudes of insert frequency components of optimal tool in X-and Z-direction are a little increased than those of conventional tool. As the reduction of amplitude and fluctuations of the cutting force, Optimal tool is considered that tool life and surface roughness would be improved, and stable cutting would be expected.

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교량의 생애주기비용 최적설계 (Optimal Life Cycle Cost Design of a Bridge)

  • 박장호;신영석
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.115-122
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    • 2010
  • 최근 들어 교량과 같은 구조물에 대한 생애주기비용(Life Cycle Cost, LCC) 분석의 중요성이 점차 커지고 있다. 그러나 교량의 공용수명 동안 발생할 수 있는 생애주기비용은 설계 및 시공조건 그리고 사용환경에 따라 많은 불확실성을 내포하고 있기 때문에 정확히 예측하기 힘들다. 본 논문에서는 교량의 생애주기비용 최적설계를 위한 설계방법을 제시하였다. 교량의 총생애주기비용은 초기비용, 손상비용 유지관리비용, 보수/보강비용, 사용자비용, 해제/폐기비용의 합으로 산정하였다. 생애주기비용을 목적함수로 하고 도로교설계기준을 제약조건으로 최적화를 수행하였다. 초기비용은 종합불가정보 및 참고자료를 근거로 산출하였으며, 하중 및 부재에 대한 불확실성을 고려하기 위해 손상확률의 개념을 도입하여 손상비용을 산출하였다. 교량의 내하율곡선을 이용하여 교량의 보수/보강 비용을 추정하였으며, 차량운행비용과 시간지연비용으로부터 사용자비용을 산정하였다. 이로부터 교량에 대한 생애주기비용 최적설계를 수행하고 주요인자들에 대한 영향을 살펴보았다.

생장조정제 처리가 상동나무 열매의 비대와 수확시기에 미치는 영향 (Effect of Plant Growth Regulators on Fruit Enlargement and Optimal Harvest Time in Sageretia thea (Osback) M. C. Johnst)

  • 송상철;송창길;김주성
    • 한국약용작물학회지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.311-318
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    • 2015
  • This study had been conducted to investigate the effect of some plant growth regulators inducing fruit enlargement and optimal harvest time in Sageretia thea. Two hundred fifty $mg/{\ell}$ mepiquat chloride treatment, $1mg/{\ell}$ thidiazuron treatment on full bloom, and $200mg/{\ell}$ gibberellic acid treatment on 7 days before full bloom resulted in the increase of 21.7% in weight, and $200mg/{\ell}$ gibberellic acid treatment 7 days before full bloom, 10$mg/{\ell}$ forchlorfenuron treatment 14 days after full bloom, and $1mg/{\ell}$ thidiazuron treatment on full bloom also brought about positive effects on the enlargement of the fruit, increasing 6.3%, 6.3% and 8.1% in its transverse diameter, respectively. Furthermore, the effects of the plant growth regulator treatments on the harvest time of Sageretia thea were determined as follows: the increase in the optimal harvest time of 57.2 - 75.4%, shorter maturation period, by the treatments with $500mg/{\ell}$ mepiquat chloride 7 days after full bloom, $100mg/{\ell}$ gibberellic acid treatment on full bloom, $2.5mg/{\ell}$ forchlorofenuron 7 days after full bloom and $2mg/{\ell}$ thidiazuron treatment 7 days before full bloom; and the greater effects of plant growth regulator treatments on the fruit maturation in the following order, gibberellic acid > thidiazuron > forchlorofenuron > mepiquat chloride. The results of this study are expected to be used as a reference data to develop Sageretia thea as a new local specific crop for Jeju island.

레스토랑 수익 관리를 위한 적정 식사 시간 측정에 관한 연구 (Measuring Expected Meal Duration for Restaurant Revenue Management)

  • 조미희;이경희
    • 동아시아식생활학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.278-286
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    • 2009
  • Restaurants have two strategic levers for revenue management: duration control and demand-based pricing. Reducing dining times, especially during peak periods, can add considerable revenue for restaurants. Managing meal duration, however, can be far more complex than manipulating the price. This paper examines dining duration expectations for restaurants types(Family, Korean, Quick service restaurant), customers characteristics(gender, age, occupation, meal period, visiting frequency, dining occasion, dining companions) using an a adaptation of a price sensitivity measurement tool, naming it 'Time Sensitivity measurement tool' or TSM. The TSM is then used to derive the optimal time points, and the range of acceptable times. The results demonstrate that there is a relatively wide spread of acceptable dining duration times in family restaurant. Furthermore, the optimal time points was shorter than the mean expected dining times, which suggests that many restaurants may be able to shorten dining duration without compromising customer satisfaction. The paper explores whether demographic and dining variables have an impact on time preferences, and finds whether gender, age, meal periods, visiting frequency, and dining companion effects are significant. Specifically, women in their thirties tended to prefer a significantly longer dining times for dinner.

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A Bayesian approach to maintenance strategy for non-renewing free replacement-repair warranty

  • Jung, K.M.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2011
  • This paper considers the maintenance model suggested by Jung and Park (2010) to adopt the Bayesian approach and obtain an optimal replacement policy following the expiration of NFRRW. As the criteria to determine the optimal maintenance period, we use the expected cost during the life cycle of the system. When the failure times are assumed to follow a Weibull distribution with unknown parameters, we propose an optimal maintenance policy based on the Bayesian approach. Also, we describe the revision of uncertainty about parameters in the light of data observed. Some numerical examples are presented for illustrative purpose.

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확률론적 생애주기비용-이익분석 기반 수명관리 최적화 기법 (Optimum Service Life Management Based on Probabilistic Life-Cycle Cost-Benefit Analysis)

  • 김선용
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2016
  • 사회기반시설물을 포함한 구조물은 수명유지 또는 연장을 위하여 적절한 점검과 유지보수가 필수적이다. 이러한 점검과 유지보수는 일반적으로 생애주기비용 평가를 통해 관련 계획이 수립된다. 본 논문에서는 구조물의 생애주기비용과 그 사용으로 인해 발생되는 이익을 고려하는 확률론적 비용-이익분석과 이를 통한 구조물 최적수명 결정 방법을 다루고자 한다. 생애주기비용은 구조물 초기 제작/건설비용, 유지보수 비용과 구조물 파괴로 인한 예상손실을 고려하게 된다. 일반적으로 구조물의 수명연장은 생애주기비용의 증가를 유발하나 사용기간 증가로 인해 발생되는 이익 또한 증가하여, 이를 최적화하는 수명관리에 관심을 가질 필요가 있다. 생애주기 평가에 있어서 유지보수 적용이 구조성능, 구조물 파괴확률 그리고 수명에 미치는 영향을 확률론적 방법을 적용하여 평가하며, 이를 통해 생애주기비용과 이익의 차이를 목적함수로 구성하게 된다. 이 목적함수가 최대가 되는 지점이 설계변수인 구조물 최적수명이 되는데, 최적화문제 구성에 있어서 제한조건의 변화에 따라 유지보수 계획수립도 가능하다. 본 논문에서 다루어지는 구조물 수명관리 최적화기법이 안전성과 효율성을 동시에 고려하는 사회기반시설물 수명관리에 기여할 것으로 기대한다.

교체-수리보증 하에서 연장된 보증이 종료된 이후의 예방보전정책 (Preventive Maintenance Policy Following the Expiration of Extended Warranty Under Replacement-Repair Warranty)

  • 정기문
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.122-128
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we consider the periodic preventive maintenance model for a repairable system following the expiration of extended warranty under replacement-repair warranty. Under the replacement-repair warranty, the failed system is replaced or minimally repaired by the manufacturer at no cost to the user. Also, under extended warranty, the failed system is minimally repaired by the manufacturer at no cost to the user during the original extended warranty period. As a criterion of the optimality, we utilize the expected cost rate per unit time during the life cycle from the user's perspective. And then we determine the optimal preventive maintenance period and the optimal preventive maintenance number by minimizing the expected cost rate per unit time. Finally, the optimal periodic preventive maintenance policy is given for Weibull distribution case.