• Title/Summary/Keyword: Optimal Life Time

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Time-series Analysis and Prediction of Future Trends of Groundwater Level in Water Curtain Cultivation Areas Using the ARIMA Model (ARIMA 모델을 이용한 수막재배지역 지하수위 시계열 분석 및 미래추세 예측)

  • Baek, Mi Kyung;Kim, Sang Min
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.65 no.2
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2023
  • This study analyzed the impact of greenhouse cultivation area and groundwater level changes due to the water curtain cultivation in the greenhouse complexes. The groundwater observation data in the Miryang study area were used and classified into greenhouse and field cultivation areas to compare the groundwater impact of water curtain cultivation in the greenhouse complex. We identified the characteristics of the groundwater time series data by the terrain of the study area and selected the optimal model through time series analysis. We analyzed the time series data for each terrain's two representative groundwater observation wells. The Seasonal ARIMA model was chosen as the optimal model for riverside well, and for plain and mountain well, the ARIMA model and Seasonal ARIMA model were selected as the optimal model. A suitable prediction model is not limited to one model due to a change in a groundwater level fluctuation pattern caused by a surrounding environment change but may change over time. Therefore, it is necessary to periodically check and revise the optimal model rather than continuously applying one selected ARIMA model. Groundwater forecasting results through time series analysis can be used for sustainable groundwater resource management.

An Economic Life Test Sampling Plan for Repairable Products with Exponential Interfailure Time Distribution

  • Kwon, Young Il
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.108-120
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    • 1993
  • In this article an economic life test sampling plan is considered for repairable products when the products in each lot have the same interfailure time distribution, but the mean time between failure (MTBF) of a lot varies from lot to lot according to a known prior distribution. A cost model is constructed which consists of test cost, accept cost, and reject cost. Determination of the optimal plan which minimizes the expected average cost per lot is discussed. Numerical examples are presented to illustrate the use of the proposed sampling plans and sensitivity analyses for parameters of the prior distribution are performed.

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An Estimation of the Economic Life Expectancy of the Building Service Equipment with LCC Analysis (LCC 분석을 통한 공조설비 내구연한 산정)

  • Kang, Sung-Ju;Kim, Yong-Ki;Lee, Tae-Won
    • Proceedings of the SAREK Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.316-321
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    • 2007
  • It is difficult for a superintendent or an operator of building service systems and equipment to decide the reasonable time for management of himself due to the shortage of his specialty for repair or replacement of a part of or whole equipment. But The reliable life expectancies for various building service equipment have not been prepared yet. This study shows the difference of optimal economic life and the decrease of running cost and energy consumption according to management level of the building equipment by the LCC analysis. The numerical model for building HVAC system was composed and analyses were performed for several parameters with management.

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Optimal design for face milling cutter by simulation

  • Kim, J.H.;Lee, B.C.;Kim, H.S.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.76-85
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    • 1993
  • Based on the cutting force model, three-dimensional optimal design model was developed and optimal designed tool which is minimized cutting force is developed by computer simulation technique. In this model the objective function which is minimized resultant cutting force was used and the variables are radial rake angle, axial rake angle, lead angle of the tool. The cutting forces using conventional and optimal tools by simulation, are compared and analyzed in time and frequency domains. In time domain the cutting force of optimal tool in feed direction was more reduced and less fluctuated than that of conventional tool. Cutting forces of optimal tool in X-and Z-directions are shown a little increased than those of conventional tool. In frequency domain amplitude of insert frequency components of optimal tool in feed direction was more reduced than that of convent- ional tool. The amplitudes of insert frequency components of optimal tool in X-and Z-direction are a little increased than those of conventional tool. As the reduction of amplitude and fluctuations of the cutting force, Optimal tool is considered that tool life and surface roughness would be improved, and stable cutting would be expected.

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Optimal Life Cycle Cost Design of a Bridge (교량의 생애주기비용 최적설계)

  • Park, Jang-Ho;Shin, Yung-Seok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.115-122
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    • 2010
  • The importance of the life cycle cost (LCC) analysis for bridges has been recognized over the last decade. However, it is difficult to predict LCC precisely since the costs occurring throughout the service life of the bridge depend on various parameters such as design, construction, maintenance, and environmental conditions. This paper presents a methodology for the optimal life cycle cost design of a bridge. Total LCC for the service life is calculated as the sum of initial cost, damage cost, maintenance cost, repair and rehabilitation cost, user cost, and disposal cost. The optimization method is applied to design of a bridge structure with minimal cost, in which the objective function is set to LCC and constraints are formulated on the basis of Korean Bridge Design Code. Initial cost is calculated based on standard costs of the Korea Construction Price Index and damage cost on damage probabilities to consider the uncertainty of load and resistance. Repair and rehabilitation cost is determined using load carrying capacity curves and user cost includes traffic operation costs and time delay costs. The optimal life cycle cost design of a bridge is performed and the effects of parameters are investigated.

Effect of Plant Growth Regulators on Fruit Enlargement and Optimal Harvest Time in Sageretia thea (Osback) M. C. Johnst (생장조정제 처리가 상동나무 열매의 비대와 수확시기에 미치는 영향)

  • Song, Sang Churl;Song, Chang Khil;Kim, Ju Sung
    • Korean Journal of Medicinal Crop Science
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.311-318
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    • 2015
  • This study had been conducted to investigate the effect of some plant growth regulators inducing fruit enlargement and optimal harvest time in Sageretia thea. Two hundred fifty $mg/{\ell}$ mepiquat chloride treatment, $1mg/{\ell}$ thidiazuron treatment on full bloom, and $200mg/{\ell}$ gibberellic acid treatment on 7 days before full bloom resulted in the increase of 21.7% in weight, and $200mg/{\ell}$ gibberellic acid treatment 7 days before full bloom, 10$mg/{\ell}$ forchlorfenuron treatment 14 days after full bloom, and $1mg/{\ell}$ thidiazuron treatment on full bloom also brought about positive effects on the enlargement of the fruit, increasing 6.3%, 6.3% and 8.1% in its transverse diameter, respectively. Furthermore, the effects of the plant growth regulator treatments on the harvest time of Sageretia thea were determined as follows: the increase in the optimal harvest time of 57.2 - 75.4%, shorter maturation period, by the treatments with $500mg/{\ell}$ mepiquat chloride 7 days after full bloom, $100mg/{\ell}$ gibberellic acid treatment on full bloom, $2.5mg/{\ell}$ forchlorofenuron 7 days after full bloom and $2mg/{\ell}$ thidiazuron treatment 7 days before full bloom; and the greater effects of plant growth regulator treatments on the fruit maturation in the following order, gibberellic acid > thidiazuron > forchlorofenuron > mepiquat chloride. The results of this study are expected to be used as a reference data to develop Sageretia thea as a new local specific crop for Jeju island.

Measuring Expected Meal Duration for Restaurant Revenue Management (레스토랑 수익 관리를 위한 적정 식사 시간 측정에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Mee-Hee;Lee, Kyung-Hee
    • Journal of the East Asian Society of Dietary Life
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.278-286
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    • 2009
  • Restaurants have two strategic levers for revenue management: duration control and demand-based pricing. Reducing dining times, especially during peak periods, can add considerable revenue for restaurants. Managing meal duration, however, can be far more complex than manipulating the price. This paper examines dining duration expectations for restaurants types(Family, Korean, Quick service restaurant), customers characteristics(gender, age, occupation, meal period, visiting frequency, dining occasion, dining companions) using an a adaptation of a price sensitivity measurement tool, naming it 'Time Sensitivity measurement tool' or TSM. The TSM is then used to derive the optimal time points, and the range of acceptable times. The results demonstrate that there is a relatively wide spread of acceptable dining duration times in family restaurant. Furthermore, the optimal time points was shorter than the mean expected dining times, which suggests that many restaurants may be able to shorten dining duration without compromising customer satisfaction. The paper explores whether demographic and dining variables have an impact on time preferences, and finds whether gender, age, meal periods, visiting frequency, and dining companion effects are significant. Specifically, women in their thirties tended to prefer a significantly longer dining times for dinner.

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A Bayesian approach to maintenance strategy for non-renewing free replacement-repair warranty

  • Jung, K.M.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 2011
  • This paper considers the maintenance model suggested by Jung and Park (2010) to adopt the Bayesian approach and obtain an optimal replacement policy following the expiration of NFRRW. As the criteria to determine the optimal maintenance period, we use the expected cost during the life cycle of the system. When the failure times are assumed to follow a Weibull distribution with unknown parameters, we propose an optimal maintenance policy based on the Bayesian approach. Also, we describe the revision of uncertainty about parameters in the light of data observed. Some numerical examples are presented for illustrative purpose.

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Optimum Service Life Management Based on Probabilistic Life-Cycle Cost-Benefit Analysis (확률론적 생애주기비용-이익분석 기반 수명관리 최적화 기법)

  • Kim, Sunyong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.19-25
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    • 2016
  • Engineering structures including civil infrastructures require a life-cycle cost and benefit during their service lives. The service life of a structure can be extended through appropriate inspection and maintenance actions. In general, this service life extension requires more life-cycle cost and cumulative benefit. For this reason, structure managers need to make a rational decision regarding the service life management considering both the cost and benefit simultaneously. In this paper, the probabilistic decision tool to determine the optimal service life based on cost-benefit analysis is presented. This decision tool requires an estimation of the time-dependent effective cost-benefit under uncertainty to formulate the optimization problem. The effective cost-benefit is expressed by the difference between the cumulative benefit and life-cycle cost of a deteriorating structure over time. The objective of the optimization problem is maximizing the effective cost-benefit, and the associated solutions are the optimal service life and maintenance interventions. The decision tool presented in this paper can be applied to any deteriorating engineering structure.

Preventive Maintenance Policy Following the Expiration of Extended Warranty Under Replacement-Repair Warranty (교체-수리보증 하에서 연장된 보증이 종료된 이후의 예방보전정책)

  • Jung, Ki Mun
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.122-128
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we consider the periodic preventive maintenance model for a repairable system following the expiration of extended warranty under replacement-repair warranty. Under the replacement-repair warranty, the failed system is replaced or minimally repaired by the manufacturer at no cost to the user. Also, under extended warranty, the failed system is minimally repaired by the manufacturer at no cost to the user during the original extended warranty period. As a criterion of the optimality, we utilize the expected cost rate per unit time during the life cycle from the user's perspective. And then we determine the optimal preventive maintenance period and the optimal preventive maintenance number by minimizing the expected cost rate per unit time. Finally, the optimal periodic preventive maintenance policy is given for Weibull distribution case.