• Title/Summary/Keyword: Operational Statistics

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Truck Weight Estimation using Operational Statistics at 3rd Party Logistics Environment (운영 데이터를 활용한 제3자 물류 환경에서의 배송 트럭 무게 예측)

  • Yu-jin Lee;Kyung Min Choi;Song-eun Kim;Kyungsu Park;Seung Hwan Jung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.45 no.4
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    • pp.127-133
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    • 2022
  • Many manufacturers applying third party logistics (3PLs) have some challenges to increase their logistics efficiency. This study introduces an effort to estimate the weight of the delivery trucks provided by 3PL providers, which allows the manufacturer to package and load products in trailers in advance to reduce delivery time. The accuracy of the weigh estimation is more important due to the total weight regulation. This study uses not only the data from the company but also many general prediction variables such as weather, oil prices and population of destinations. In addition, operational statistics variables are developed to indicate the availabilities of the trucks in a specific weight category for each 3PL provider. The prediction model using XGBoost regressor and permutation feature importance method provides highly acceptable performance with MAPE of 2.785% and shows the effectiveness of the developed operational statistics variables.

A Study on VaR Stability for Operational Risk Management (운영리스크 VaR 추정값의 안정성검증 방법 연구)

  • Kim, Hyun-Joong;Kim, Woo-Hwan;Lee, Sang-Cheol;Im, Jong-Ho;Cho, Sang-Hee;Kim, Ah-Hyoun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.697-708
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    • 2008
  • Operational risk is defined as the risk of loss resulting from inadequate or failed internal processes, people and systems, or external events. The advanced measurement approach proposed by Basel committee uses loss distribution approach(LDA) which quantifies operational loss based on bank's own historical data and measurement system. LDA involves two distribution fittings(frequency and severity) and then generates aggregate loss distribution by employing mathematical convolution. An objective validation for the operational risk measurement is essential because the operational risk measurement allows flexibility and subjective judgement to calculate regulatory capital. However, the methodology to verify the soundness of the operational risk measurement was not fully developed because the internal operational loss data had been extremely sparse and the modeling of extreme tail was very difficult. In this paper, we propose a methodology for the validation of operational risk measurement based on bootstrap confidence intervals of operational VaR(value at risk). We derived two methods to generate confidence intervals of operational VaR.

Operational Availability Under A Continuous Review Inventory Model for Logistics Support

  • Jeong, H.S.;Kwon, Y.I.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.75-80
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    • 2004
  • Relationships between inventory policy and operational availability of military equipment maintained under a logistics support system are analyzed. A continuous review inventory model with a stochastic demand typically used in a military logistics support is considered and some numerical studies are provided.

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The Developing of Analytical Statistics System for the Efficiency of Defense Management (국방경영 효율화를 위한 분석형 통계시스템 구축)

  • Lee, Jung-Man
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.87-94
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    • 2015
  • Recently, management based on statistical data has become a big issue and the importance of the statistics has been emphasized for the management innovation in the defense area. However, the Military Management based on the statistics is hard to expect because of the shortage of the statistics in the military. There are many military information systems having great many data created in real time. Since the infrastructure for gathering data form the many systems and making statistics by using gathered data is not equipped, the usage of the statistics is poor in the military. The Analytical Defense Statistics System is designed to improve effectively the defense management in this study. The new system having the sub-systems of Data Management, Analysis and Service can gather the operational data from interlocked other Defense Operational Systems and produce Defense Statistics by using the gathered data beside providing statistics services. Additionally, the special function for the user oriented statistics production is added to make new statistics by handling many statistics and data. The Data Warehouse is considered to manage the data and Online Analytical Processing tool is used to enhance the efficiency of the data handling. The main functions of the R, which is a well-known analysis program, are considered for the statistical analysis. The Quality Management Technique is applied to find the fault from the data of the regular and irregular type. The new Statistics System will be the essence of the new technology like as Data Warehouse, Business Intelligence, Data Standardization and Statistics Analysis and will be helpful to improve the efficiency of the Military Management.

Database Security System for Information Protection in Network Environment

  • Jung, Myung-Jin;Lee, Chung-Yung;Bae, Sang-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the KAIS Fall Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.211-215
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    • 2003
  • Network security should be first considered in a distributed computing environment with frequent information interchange through internet. Clear classification is needed for information users should protect and for information open outside. Basically proper encrypted database system should be constructed for information security, and security policy should be planned for each site. This paper describes access control, user authentication, and User Security and Encryption technology for the construction of database security system from network users. We propose model of network encrypted database security system for combining these elements through the analysis of operational and technological elements. Systematic combination of operational and technological elements with proposed model can construct encrypted database security system secured from unauthorized users in distributed computing environment.

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Operational Factors Affecting Productivity of Foodservice System in Selected Hospitals (병원급식이 생산성에 영향을 미치는 요인분석)

  • 양일선
    • Journal of Nutrition and Health
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.357-366
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    • 1993
  • The purposes of this study were to investigate the operational affecting productivity in hospital foodservice, and to examine the relationships between operational factors affecting productivity. The 28 hospitals over 400 beds in Seoul were mailed questionnaires assessing the factors that affect productivity in hospital foodservice(23 hospitals responded). Data analyses included descriptive statistics. Pearson product moment correlation analysis, and stepwise multiple regression analysis. The result of Pearson product moment correlation analysis indicated that the percentage of patient meals was significantly correlated to the productivity (r=.5560, p<.01). Stepwise multiple regression analysis indicated that the percentage of patient meals and the average work hours of employees were significant predictors of the operational factors at productivity.

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Regression analysis and recursive identification of the regression model with unknown operational parameter variables, and its application to sequential design

  • Huang, Zhaoqing;Yang, Shiqiong;Sagara, Setsuo
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1990.10b
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    • pp.1204-1209
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    • 1990
  • This paper offers the theory and method for regression analysis of the regression model with operational parameter variables based on the fundamentals of mathematical statistics. Regression coefficients are usually constants related to the problem of regression analysis. This paper considers that regression coefficients are not constants but the functions of some operational parameter variables. This is a kind of method of two-step fitting regression model. The second part of this paper considers the experimental step numbers as recursive variables, the recursive identification with unknown operational parameter variables, which includes two recursive variables, is deduced. Then the optimization and the recursive identification are combined to obtain the sequential experiment optimum design with operational parameter variables. This paper also offers a fast recursive algorithm for a large number of sequential experiments.

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Evaluating the Operational Efficiencies of Local Universities Using DEA Approach (자료포락분석을 이용한 지역대학의 효율성분석)

  • Choi, Kyoung Ho;Ahn, Jeong Yong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.49-58
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    • 2013
  • Data envelopment analysis is a relatively new data oriented approach to evaluate the performance of a set of peer entities called decision making units which convert multiple inputs into multiple outputs. It has been extensively applied in performance evaluation and benchmarking entities such as hospitals, universities, cities, courts, and business firms. This study provides the evaluating results of the operational efficiencies of local universities using a DEA approach. In addition, we explore the difference of the efficiency between regional flagship national universities and non-flagships.

Comonotonic Uncertain Vector and Its Properties

  • Li, Shengguo;Zhang, Bo;Peng, Jin
    • Industrial Engineering and Management Systems
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.16-22
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    • 2013
  • This paper proposes a new concept of comonotonicity of uncertain vector based on the uncertainty theory. In order to understand the comonotonicity of uncertain vector, some equivalent definitions are presented. Following the proposed concept, some basic properties of comonotonic uncertain vector are investigated. In addition, the operational law is given for calculating the uncertainty distributions of monotone functions of comonotonic uncertain variables. With the help of operational law, the comonotonic uncertain vector is applied to the premium pricing problems. At last, some numerical examples are given to illustrate the application.

Stochastic simulation based on copula model for intermittent monthly streamflows in arid regions

  • Lee, Taesam;Jeong, Changsam;Park, Taewoong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.488-488
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    • 2015
  • Intermittent streamflow is common phenomenon in arid and semi-arid regions. To manage water resources of intermittent streamflows, stochactic simulation data is essential; however the seasonally stochastic modeling for intermittent streamflow is a difficult task. In this study, using the periodic Markov chain model, we simulate intermittent monthly streamflow for occurrence and the periodic gamma autoregressive and copula models for amount. The copula models were tested in a previous study for the simulation of yearly streamflow, resulting in successful replication of the key and operational statistics of historical data; however, the copula models have never been tested on a monthly time scale. The intermittent models were applied to the Colorado River system in the present study. A few drawbacks of the PGAR model were identified, such as significant underestimation of minimum values on an aggregated yearly time scale and restrictions of the parameter boundaries. Conversely, the copula models do not present such drawbacks but show feasible reproduction of key and operational statistics. We concluded that the periodic Markov chain based the copula models is a practicable method to simulate intermittent monthly streamflow time series.

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