• Title/Summary/Keyword: On-line estimation

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A Study on the Information Supporting System for R&D Decision Making using Technology Valuation Model (R&D 경제적 가치평가를 통한 의사결정 정보지원 시스템에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Sun-Hi
    • Journal of Information Management
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.107-128
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    • 2002
  • The purpose of this study is developing a information support system for R&D decision making to maximize economic results of the R&D. This system is composed of studying the model of work flow for R&D decision making, analyzing a technology information, connecting with the databases from KISTI and others, and valuing R&D technology on line. Especially in the case of technology valuation, this system is combined with the valuation model which supports knowledge information for helping more objective estimation.

Modelling the Impact of Pandemic Influenza (신종 인플루엔자 대유행의 확산과 영향 모델링)

  • Chun, Byung-Chul
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.379-385
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    • 2005
  • The impact of the next influenza pandemic is difficult to predict. It is dependent on how virulent the virus is, how rapidly it spreads from population to population, and the effectiveness of prevention and response efforts. Despite the uncertainty about the magnitude of the next pandemic, estimates of the health and economic impact remain important to aid public health policy decisions and guide pandemic planning for health and emergency sectors. Planning ahead in preparation for an influenza pandemic, with its potentially very high morbidity and mortality rates, is essential for hospital administrators and public health officials. The estimat ion of pandemic impact is based on the previous pandemics- we had experienced at least 3 pandemics in 20th century. But the epidemiologi cal characteristics - ie, start season, the impact of 1st wave, pathogenicity and virulence of the viruses and the primary victims of population were quite different from one another. I reviewed methodology for estimation and modelling of pandemic impact and described some nations's results using them in their national preparedness plans. And then I showed the estimates of pandemic influenza impact in Korea with FluSurge and FluAid. And, I described the results of pandemic modelling with parameters of 1918 pandemic for the shake of education and training of the first-line responder health officials to the epidemics. In preparing influenza pandemics, the simulation and modelling are the keys to reduce the uncertainty of the future and to make proper policies to manage and control the pandemics.

A research on the design parameters for a double-transmission main system for sustainable water supply (이중송수관로를 이용한 안정적인 송수를 위한 설계인자에 관한 연구)

  • Hyun, Inhwan;Hong, Juneui;Kim, Dooil
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.129-138
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    • 2013
  • Water interruption is often caused by a rupture in the branch-like singular pipeline. This will cause critical complaints from household and may decrease public service quality. As an alternative of singular pipeline, additional parallel pipeline could be installed for sustainable water supply. This system is called double pipeline system and able to be utilized for water transmission line between treatment plant and distribution reservoir. Construction of double pipeline was thought to increase capital cost, which can be an issue to waterworks authorities. Reducing capital cost was possible by means of installing connectors between two parallel pipelines because of reduced diameter of each pipe. To obtain optimal design condition for connectors, it was necessary to compare water pressure according to accident location, to investigate flow according to connection pipe spacing, connection pipe diameter, and aging of pipe. Reliable and economical connection layouts were determined based on these results. The cost estimation for each design condition was carried out. Cost was approximately reduced by 20 ~ 30 % compared to the double pipeline without connections. In addition to this, connection between double pipelines could expect extra benefits for maintenance since the pipe could be repaired and rehabilitated without interruption.

A Study on the Estimation of Motor Unit Information using Surface EMG (표면 근전도를 이용한 운동단위의 정보추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Sung-Hwan;Lee, Ho-Yong;Son, Dong-Il;Jung, Chul-Ki;Ko, Do-Young
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.56 no.11
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    • pp.2040-2050
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    • 2007
  • In this study, we present a novel method for estimating the information of MU(motor unit) which is the basic element of human muscle by using surface EMG. Some of the method developed in this field could only estimate the numbers of MU that is activated. However, in our study the MU-simulator based on the line source model was designed to estimate the MU information including the numbers of MU and muscle fiber, conduction velocity, MU diameter, fiber diameter, and end plate position. The SMUAP(single motor unit action potential) detector was designed and CMAP(compound muscle action potential) by electrical stimulus was recorded. With these data, the MU-simulator can estimate the MU information by varying muscle paramater settings through MSE(mean square error) method. Our results shows that the proposed method can be comparable with the method of anatomical studies. Moreover, our system can be utilized to build a tool for diagnosis and treatment assessment of neuromuscular patients.

Estimation of the Circulating Currents in the Parallel Operation of Transformers (변압기 병렬운전시 순환전류 추정)

  • Kang, Yong-Cheol;Lee, Mi-Sun;Lee, Byung-Eun;Choi, Jae-Sun;Jang, Sung-Il;Kim, Yong-Gyun;Lyu, Young-Sik
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.57 no.12
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    • pp.2147-2152
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    • 2008
  • This paper proposes an algorithm to estimate the circulating currents in the transformers in parallel in an ultra high voltage system. For the Y-Y-${\Delta}$ transformers operated in parallel, there exist two kinds of the circulating currents i.e. one is between the tanks and the other between the banks of the delta side. As the former is 90 deg out of phase of the load current, it is estimated by decomposing the line current into the component 90 deg out of phase of the load current in the frequency domain. The latter is estimated in the time domain from applying the Kirchhoff's voltage law on the delta winding which gives a first-order differential equation in terms of the delta winding currents. To estimate the circulating currents between the tanks, the performance of the proposed algorithm is investigated when the impedances of the two transformer tanks are different or the taps of the on-load tap changer of the transformers are mismatched temporarily. To estimate the circulating currents between the banks, the performance of the proposed algorithm is also examined under magnetic inrush and over-excitation. Test results indicate that the algorithm can estimate the two kinds of the circulating currents successfully.

Comparison of observational posture evaluation methods based on perceived discomfort (지각불편도를 이용한 관찰적 작업자세 평가 기법의 비교)

  • Lee, In-Seok;Jeong, Min-Geun;Choe, Gyeong-Im
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.43-56
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    • 2003
  • Observational methods such as OWAS, RULA, and REBA have been widely used to identify posture-related risks of musculoskeletal disorders in industry, since they are useful and efficient in evaluating postural stresses. However. there are few studies comparing the methods and providing guidelines for selecting and using the methods. They have been developed based on different backgrounds and with different application areas. Each method has its own characteristics. which must be considered in selecting and using them. In this study. 17 male subjects evaluated 42 different working postures that frequently assumed in the automobile assembly line using a psychophysical method. The postures were then evaluated by different observational methods. The results of the observational methods were compared with psychophysically evaluated stresses. The observational methods resulted in different values of stresses for certain postures. For some postures showing high values of perceived discomfort. the observational methods showed different values of stresses. These results showed that the observational methods should be used differently according to application area and they have some weak points to be improved.

Dynamic Modeling of PIG Flow in Natural Gas Pipelines (천연가스배관내 피그흐름의 동적모델링)

  • Kim, Sang-Bong;Nguyen, Tan Tien;Yoo, Hui-Ryong;Rho, Yong-Woo
    • Proceedings of the KSME Conference
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    • 2001.06b
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    • pp.241-246
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    • 2001
  • This paper introduces modeling and solution for the dynamics of pipeline inspection gauge (PIG) flow in natural gas pipeline. Without of bypass flow, the dynamic behavior of the PIG depends on the different pressure between the rear and nose parts, which is generated by injected gas flow behind the tail of the PIG and expelled gas flow in front of its nose. With bypass flow, the PIG dynamics also depends on the amount of bypass flow across its body. The mathematical model are derived for unsteady compressible flow of the PIG driving and expelled gas, and for dynamics of the PIG. The bypass flow is assumed to be incompressible with the condition of its Mach number smaller than 0.45. The method of characteristic (MOC) and the Runge-Kutta method are used to solve the system governing equations. The simulation is performed with a pipeline segment in the Korea Gas Corporation (KOGAS) low pressure system, Ueijungboo-Sangye line. The simulation results show that the derived mathematical model and the proposed solution are effective for estimation the dynamics of the PIG with and without bypass flow under given operational condition.

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Decision Variable Design of Discrete Systems using Simulation Optimization (시뮬레이션 최적화를 이용한 이산형 시스템의 결정변수 설계)

  • 박경종
    • Proceedings of the Korea Society for Simulation Conference
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    • 1999.10a
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    • pp.63-69
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    • 1999
  • The research trend of the simulation optimization has been focused on exploring continuous decision variables. Yet, the research in discrete decision variable area has not been fully studied. A new research trend for optimizing discrete decision variables ha just appeared recently. This study, therefore, deals with a discrete simulation method to get the system evaluation criteria required for designing a complex probabilistic discrete event system and to search the effective and reliable alternatives to satisfy the objective values of the given system through a on-line, single run with the short time period. Finding the alternative, we construct an algorithm which changes values of decision variables and a design alternative by using the stopping algorithm which ends the simulation in a steady state of system. To avoid the loss of data while analyzing the acquired design alternative in the steady state, we provide background for estimation of an auto-regressive model and mean and confidence interval for evaluating correctly the objective function obtained by small amount of output data through simulation with the short time period. In numerical experiment we applied the proposed algorithm to (s, S) inventory system problem with varying Δt value. In case of the (s, S) inventory system, we obtained good design alternative when Δt value is larger than 100.

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An implementation of automated ECG interpretation algorithm and system(I) - Introduction of YECGA (심전도 자동 진단 알고리즘 및 장치 구현(I) - YECGA 개요)

  • Kweon, H.J.;Jeong, K.S.;Chung, S.J.;Choi, S.J.;Lee, M.H.
    • Proceedings of the KOSOMBE Conference
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    • v.1996 no.05
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    • pp.175-178
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    • 1996
  • The purpose of this thesis is the propose of various signal processing algorithm for the ECG(electrocardiogram) and the design of realtime automated ECG analyzer feasible with these algorithms. The algorithms are composed of (1)filtering procedure fer the estimation and removal of baseline drift, 60Hz power line interference, and muscle artifacts (2)detection procedure of QRS complex and P wave (3)typification procedure for the pattern classification according to the morphologies (4) selection of representative beat, significant point and wave boundary decision procedure and (5) parameter extraction and diagnosis procedure. All verifications are carried out between the algorithms proposed in this paper and other algorithms already proposed by many researchers, for the objective comparison in each procedure. The efficiency of proposed algorithms are demonstrated with the aid of internationally validated CSE database and the performances of filtering procedure are compared on artificial noise signal as well as actual ECG signals with appropriate noise components. for the comparison on the performance of designed automated ECG analyzer, the diagnosis results were compared with ECG analyzer manufactered by Fukuda denshi in Japan.

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The Advanced Voltage Regulation Method for ULTC in Distribution Systems with DG

  • Kim, Mi-Young;Song, Yong-Un;Kim, Kyung-Hwa
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.737-743
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    • 2013
  • The small-scaled onsite generators such as photovoltaic power, wind power, biomass and fuel cell belong to decarbonization techniques. In general, these generators tend to be connected to utility systems, and they are called distributed generations (DGs) compared with conventional centralized power plants. However, DGs may impact on stabilization of utility systems, which gets utility into trouble. In order to reduce utility's burdens (e.g., investment for facilities reinforcement) and accelerate DG introduction, the advanced operation algorithms under the existing utility systems are urgently needed. This paper presents the advanced voltage regulation method in power systems since the sending voltage of voltage regulators has been played a decisive role restricting maximum installable DG capacity (MaxC_DG). For the proposed voltage regulation method, the difference from existing voltage regulation method is explained and the detailed concept is introduced in this paper. MaxC_DG estimation through case studies based on Korean model network verifies the superiority of the proposed method.