• 한국건축시공학회지
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• 제13권1호
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• pp.66-74
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• 2013

In the early stages of a construction project, the most important thing is to predict construction costs in a rational way. For this reason, many studies have been performed on the estimation of construction costs for apartment housing and office buildings at early stage using artificial intelligence, statistics, and the like. In this study, cost data held by a provincial Office of Education on elementary schools constructed from 2004 to 2007 were used to compare the multiple regression model with an artificial neural network model. A total of 96 historical data were classified into 76 historical data for constructing models and 20 historical data for comparing the constructed regression model with the artificial neural network model. The results of an analysis of predicted construction costs were that the error rate of the artificial neural network model is lower than that of the multiple regression model.

• 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.13-20
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• 2016

마이크로시뮬레이션 모델은 거시적 수준의 인구, 사회, 경제 변화를 각 개인과 가구 단위의 미시적 수준의 사건들로부터 기술하고자 하는 것을 목적으로 하며, 최근 OECD 국가들을 중심으로 정책 시뮬레이션 도구로서 많은 관심을 받고 있다. 마이크로시뮬레이션 모델의 활용도를 높이기 위해서는 해당 국가의 인구 구조를 잘 반영하는 인구 데이터가 필요한데, 우리는 반복비례갱신 (iterative proportional updating) 방법을 이용하여 한국 가상 인구를 생성하였다. 생성된 가상 인구 데이터의 검증을 위하여 인구센서스 집계 결과와의 오차를 계산하였으며, 가구와 인구 모두에 대해서 실제 집계 결과와 작은 오차를 보이는 것을 확인하였다.

• 통합자연과학논문집
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.67-71
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• 2016

The university president direct election system in Korea had begun in 1987 as a movement of college democratization in the 1980s after 6.29 Declaration. Since then, many national/private universities had adopted the election system. However, it has posed many problems and it caused a sharp division of opinions between those who approve and disapprove the direct election system. Since 2005, the government has made official of the reformation and/or abolition of the university president direct election system, and has kept pushing for universities to give up the direct election system. Now, only 3 or 4 universities hold on to the system, and many universities have changed into the indirect election system. In the indirect election, a key is the composition of president nomination committee, which confirms the university members's variety. Many universities adopting the indirect election system have used simple random sampling, like drawing lots, to compose the president nomination committee. However, drawing lots has a problem that it has large possibility of composing a biased committee. This research suggests systematic sampling as an alternative to drawing lots. A numerical analysis was conducted using a data of a university in which the indirect election was implemented recently. The drawing lots gave the biased nomination committee. On the other hand, the systematic sample improves the problem and confirms more the variety of all members.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제18권12호
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• pp.67-77
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• 2020

Purpose: Based on the author's adapted invariant choice, this study is to present the methodology and the calculation of the integral index of the digital component of the quality of life. By analyzing the digital indexes, the study is also to discuss distribution of ICT and the digital quality of life of the population of Kazakhstan and its regions. Research design, data, methodology: In this research, the method of calculation of integral assessment of the indicator was used, which indicates index constructs. The study analyzed objective secondary data for the period 2017-2019, which was the database from official websites of the Committee on Statistics of the Republic of Kazakhstan. Results: The study produced an integral code for assessing digital components of living standards of the population, consisting of five groups sub-indexes. Conclusions: Based on the provided analyses, we can confirm the existence of a significant difference of all the indicators of digital living standards of the population between the two leading cities: Almaty city and Nur-Sultan city. Furthermore we can deduce the differences of the examined indexes for other regions of Kazakhstan. Despite the rapid adoption of digital technologies, Kazakhstan still has significant digital gaps among cities indicating regional differences in the speed of implementation and distribution of digital technologies.

• Proceedings of the National Institute of Ecology of the Republic of Korea
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• 제5권1호
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• pp.21-27
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• 2024

Harmful pet insects, if not controlled, can negatively affect people, plants and their surrounding environment. In Vietnam, all crops are regularly impacted by pest insects. In serious cases, crops can be totally destroyed by insect pests. Harmful insects that damage crops often grow fast and increase rapidly. Therefore, research on insects is crucial for managing pests, protecting crops, and forecasting pest situation in the following years. This study aimed to collect data regarding changes of pests on rice and corn as two main crops in four provinces in Red River Delta of Vietnam, including Thai Binh, Nam Dinh, Ha Nam, and Hung Yen, from 2018 to 2022. Primary data were collected from reports of government agencies and official statistics. Based on these data, this study evaluated changes of pest insects in five years, discussed reasons for such changes and response methods, and forecasted pest's behavior in the following years. Significant findings of this study include the fact that Vietnam has to face many difficulties to develop its agricultural sector. For insect management, an essential action is to do ground surveys to gather all related data including weather data, pesticide data, crop yield, and product quality. This information is meaningful for finding out causes of changes, understanding relationships between insects and surrounding factors, and predicting the situation in the following years.

• 유통과학연구
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.63-71
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• 2016

Purpose - A variety of indicators are used for the diagnosis of economic situation. However, most indicators explain the past economic situation because of the time difference between the measurement and announcement. This study aims to argue for the resurrection of an idea: electricity demand can be used as an indicator of economic activity. In addition, this study made an endeavor to develop a new Real Business Index(RBI) which could quickly represent the real economic condition based on the sales statistics of industrial and public electricity. Research design, data, and methodology - In this study monthly sales of industrial and public electricity from 2000 to 2015 was investigated to analyze the relationship between the economic condition and the amount of electricity consumption and to develop a new Real Business Index. To formulate the Index, this study followed next three steps. First, we decided the explanatory variables, period, and collected data. Second, after calculating the monthly changes for each variable, standardization and estimating the weighted value were conducted. Third, the computation of RBI finalized the development of empirical model. The principal component analysis was used to evaluate the weighted contribution ratio among 3 sectors and 17 data. Hodrick-Prescott filter analysis was used to verify the robustness of out model. Results - The empirical results are as follows. First, compatibility of the predictability between the new RBI and the existing monthly cycle of coincident composite index was extremely high. Second, two indexes had a high correlation of 0.7156. In addition, Hodrick-Prescott filter analysis demonstrated that two indexed also had accompany relationship. Third, when the changes of two indexes were compared, they were found that the times when the highest and the lowest point happened were similar, which suggested that it is possible to use the new RBI index as a complementing indicator in a sense that the RBI can explain the economic condition almost in real time. Conclusion - A new economic index which can explain the economic condition needs to be developed well and rapidly in a sense that it is useful to determine accurately the current economic condition to establish economic policy and corporate strategy. The salse of electricity has a close relationship with economic conditions because electricity is utilized as a main resource of industrial production. Furthermore, the result of the sales of electricity can be gathered almost in real time. This study applied the econometrics model to the statistics of the sales of industrial and public electricity. In conclusion, the new RBI index was highly related with the existing monthly economic indexes. In addition, the comparison between the RBI index and other indexes demonstrated that the direction of the economic change and the times when the highest and lowest points had happened were almost the same. Therefore, this RBI index can become the supplementary indicator of the official indicators published by Korean Bank or the statistics Korea.

• 한국지리정보학회지
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• 제13권3호
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• pp.14-28
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• 2010

본 연구의 목적은 공간적 분포 특성만을 고려하고 있는 기존의 핫스팟분석에 대한 대안적인 방법으로서 공간상에서 나타나는 사건간의 인과관계를 시간영역으로까지 확장하여 동시적 분석이 가능한 시공간분석 방법을 제안하는 것이다. 분석방법으로는 먼저 지리정보시스템을 이용하여 지방중소도시인 M시의 범죄자료를 데이터화 하였고, Ripley K함수와 시공간검정통계량 분석을 통해 M시의 범죄분포 패턴을 지도화 하였다. 연구결과, 범죄위험도가 유의미하게 높은 지역들이 나타났으며, 이들 시공간적 범죄 집중지역들은 기존의 공간분포만을 고려한 범죄분포 패턴과는 다소 차이가 있음을 발견할 수 있었다. 본 연구결과는 시공간적인 범죄분포 특성에 맞는 맞춤형의 경찰 인력 배치와 배분, 그리고 치안행정 서비스 등의 조정을 위한 참고자료로서, 또한 시공간적인 집중을 보이는 이들 지역을 중심으로 물리적 환경 변화의 유도와 공간이용의 개선 효과를 통해 범죄율을 줄여나가는 범죄예방 활동 및 정책수립을 위한 기초자료로도 유용하게 활용될 수 있을 것으로 기대된다.

• 한국직업건강간호학회지
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.93-107
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• 2005

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to identify the trends of studies on work-related musculoskeletal disorder and to suggest the direction of future research. Method: 144 research thesis for a degree on work-related musculoskeletal disorder were systematic reviewed and published from Jan. 1990 to Mar. 2005. The analyzed using descriptive statistics, an actual number, percentage. Result: As its result the work-related musculoskeletal disorder research which is announced from domestic the doctorate dissertation at the 2004 year 42 the most many 144 dissertation middle most to be 129 in master degree dissertation was 15 in Ph D degree. Dissertation contents character the contents against the result relation that it analyzes especially and a condition and an obstacle was many most at 84. Research plan in most description investigation research 121 the dissertation field to be the especially public health (hygiene, industry and environment) at this 57 most many research object person distribution manufacturing industry in the research object one dissertation was many most at the 40. The tools which are used in each measurement in the question tool which it uses most the question price of land which uses the condition investigation ticket which it made from the NIOSH and the ANSI most many 33, the hazard which analyzes a work attitude in the tool which it uses the RULA was many most at 14. In the stress test tool social psychological healthy measurement PWI (Psychological Wellbeing Index) the dissertation which uses the Job Strain of the Karasek Model to be many most at 19 PWI (Psychological Wellbeing Index) 7 easy use. Work-related musculoskeletal disorder measurement hazard in physiological index and the machinery and tools which it uses there were 9 researches to use an electromyogram most plentifully. With the effect goes to a work-related musculoskeletal disorder they are 33 where the age is many most from general quality. From healthy act with the relation of smoking the year to be many from 16 dissertations. Work of the corpse an attitude (the attitude which is inappropriate) with 5 and the work market the work burglar is many most at 9, the society-support of 36 where the stress is many psychologically most, the stress and service also the most many duty discretion (authority and autonomy) is 6 at the duty demand boat song 9. The service career to be many is 22 of extraordinarily with relation of service. Conclusion: It is recommended the research which it sees being limited in only domestic thesis for a degree the international comparative study to become accomplished. It comes to think with the fact that it will be necessary to make the protocol which it conforms in the civil official guide the test researches for the protocol or arbitration program which is standardized are necessary. Prevention and the civil official of work relation bones and sinews standing total disease hazard scientific base one program is necessary with base.

• 대한원격탐사학회지
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• 제33권5_2호
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• pp.721-732
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• 2017

벼 등 식량작물 작황 추정의 경제, 산업적 중요성이 증가함에 따라 생물리 모형과 원격탐사 기반의 위성자료를 활용한 작황 추정 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 이 연구에서는 위성 기반의 전천후 기상 입력자료(i.e. 기온, 대기 수증기압 포차, 일사량)와 빛 이용효율 모형을 이용한 생물리적 작물 성장 알고리즘을 벼에 적용하여 벼의 수확량을 수확 시기 보다 이르게(9월 중순 경) 추정하는 것을 목적으로 하였다. 2003년부터 2014년까지 12년간 경상권을 제외한 국내의 군 단위 행정구역별 벼 수확량을 추정하고, 이를 통계청에서 제공하는 현미 생산량 통계와 비교, 평가하였다. 벼 건중량, 수확지수 그리고 수확량 추정 결과는 각각 지도로 작성하여 공간적 분포 양상을 분석하였다. 연도별 전국 평균 추정 건중량은 평균오차(ME)가 0.56%, 평균절대오차(MAE)가 5.73%로 유의미한 결과를 보였다. 연도별 군 단위 건중량은 ME가 0.10%에서 2.00%, MAE가 2.10에서 11.62%의 범위를 보였다. 추정된 건중량은 강원지역에서 상대적으로 과대 모의하고, 충청 이남의 도심과 서해 인근지역에서 과소 모의하는 경향을 보였다. 건중량과 유관한 통계청 자료(i.e. 볏짚 생산량)와는 상반된 변동 양상을 보였는데, 이는 입력자료의 해상도(1 km)로 인한 픽셀 내 토지피복 이질성으로 인한 오차로 사료된다. 또한 생육기간 이후 수확시기의 생육상황을 고려하지 못하는 점을 향후 연구에서 개선할 필요가 있다.

• KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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• 제32권2호
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• pp.93-143
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• 2010

이 글은 2000년대 일본의 대북제재가 북한의 대외거래에 미친 효과를 측정한다. 이를 위해 우리는 대북제재의 경제적 효과를 개념화하는 것으로부터 시작하여, 현존하는 북한무역통계를 토대로 일본 대북제재의 효과가 존재하는지 유무를 검증하고, 마지막으로는 현존하는 통계를 합리적으로 재구성함으로써 일본의 제재 효과를 계량적으로 측정한다. 이러한 과정을 통해 우리가 도달한 결론을 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 국제사회의 경제제재는 북한의 무역에 당사국 효과와 제3국 효과라는 두 가지의 영향을 미친다. 전자는 제재 당사국과 북한의 무역이 줄어드는 것을 의미하며, 후자는 이에 따라 북한과 여타 국가 사이의 무역도 영향을 받는 것을 말한다. 둘째, 이러한 제재의 효과를 분석하기 위해서는 북한무역에 대한 정밀한 통계자료의 입수가 필수적이지만, 현존하는 북한의 무역통계는 모두 특정 국가와 북한의 거래를 잘못 보고하거나, 또는 북한의 실제 거래 국가를 누락하는 등 일정한 결함을 내포하고 있다. 셋째, 이러한 통계의 결함을 감안한 상태에서 이를 우회하는 방식으로 분석을 진행해보면, 일본의 대북제재는 뚜렷한 당사국 효과와 제3국 효과를 동시에 갖는 것으로 나타난다. 일본의 제재로 북일무역은 줄어들지만, 북한은 이를 여타 국가와의 거래확대로 중화시킨다는 뜻이다. 다만, 이러한 제3국 효과는 북한의 수출과 수입에 있어 다르게 나타난다. 수출의 경우에는 한국과 중국, 태국 등 북한의 주요 거래상대국들에서 모두 정(+)의 제3국 효과가 존재하지만, 북한의 수입에 있어서는 한국이나 심지어 중국에 있어서도 제3국 효과의 통계적 유의미성이 부정되는 것이다. 넷째, 일본의 제재 효과를 계수적으로 측정하기 위해서는 현존하는 북한무역통계를 보다 정밀하게 재구성해야만 하는데, 이러한 재구성은 북한의 수입에 있어서는 불가능하지만 수출에 있어서는 가능하다. 이렇게 재구성된 데이터를 토대로 추정하면, 2004~06년 북한의 대일 수출은 일본의 대북제재로 연간 0.8억~1.2억달러의 피해를 입은 것으로 나타난다(당사국 효과). 이는 2003년 북한의 대일 수출액의 60%에 해당한다. 그런데 같은 기간 동안 북한은 일본의 제재에 맞서 다른 나라로의 수출선 전환을 추진하였고, 그 결과 연간 0.8~0.9억달러에 달하는 여타 국가로의 수출증대 효과를 보았다(제3국 효과). 여섯째, 이러한 북한 거래선 이전의 60~70%는 한국(남북교역)에 의해 가능해진 것으로 나타난다. 반면, 중국으로의 거래선 이전은 미미하거나 유의미하지 않은 것으로 나타난다. 일곱째, 북한의 수입에 관해서는 이처럼 계수적으로 제재의 효과를 추정하는 일이 불가능하다. 그러나 비록 결함이 있지만 현존하는 북한무역통계는 일본의 제재가 북한의 수출보다는 수입에 더 큰 영향을 미친다고 말한다. 따라서 일본의 제재가 북한의 수출에 있어 별다른 영향을 미치지 못한다고 해서, 곧바로 제재의 효력 자체가 없다고 단정하는 것은 현명하지 못하다.