• Title/Summary/Keyword: Observation Error

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Diagnostics of Observation Error of Satellite Radiance Data in Korean Integrated Model (KIM) Data Assimilation System (한국형수치예보모델 자료동화에서 위성 복사자료 관측오차 진단 및 영향 평가)

  • Kim, Hyeyoung;Kang, Jeon-Ho;Kwon, In-Hyuk
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.32 no.4
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    • pp.263-276
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    • 2022
  • The observation error of satellite radiation data that assimilated into the Korean Integrated Model (KIM) was diagnosed by applying the Hollingsworth and Lönnberg and Desrozier techniques commonly used. The magnitude and correlation of the observation error, and the degree of contribution for the satellite radiance data were calculated. The observation errors of the similar device, such as Advanced Technology Microwave Sounder (ATMS) and Advanced Microwave Sounding Unit-A shows different characteristics. The model resolution accounts for only 1% of the observation error, and seasonal variation is not significant factor, either. The observation error used in the KIM is amplified by 3-8 times compared to the diagnosed value or standard deviation of first-guess departures. The new inflation value was calculated based on the correlation between channels and the ratio of background error and observation error. As a result of performing the model sensitivity evaluation by applying the newly inflated observation error of ATMS, the error of temperature and water vapor analysis field were decreased. And temperature and water vapor forecast field have been significantly improved, so the accuracy of precipitation prediction has also been increased by 1.7% on average in Asia especially.

A Study on Improvement of the Observation Error for Optimal Utilization of COSMIC-2 GNSS RO Data (COSMIC-2 GNSS RO 자료 활용을 위한 관측오차 개선 연구)

  • Eun-Hee Kim;Youngsoon Jo;Hyoung-Wook Chun;Ji-Hyun Ha;Seungbum Kim
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.33-47
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    • 2023
  • In this study, for the application of observation errors to the Korean Integrated Model (KIM) to utilize the Constellation Observing System for Meteorology, Ionosphere & Climate-2 (COSMIC-2) new satellites, the observation errors were diagnosed based on the Desroziers method using the cost function in the process of variational data assimilation. We calculated observation errors for all observational species being utilized for KIM and compared with their relative values. The observation error of the calculated the Global Navigation Satellite System Radio Occultation (GNSS RO) was about six times smaller than that of other satellites. In order to balance with other satellites, we conducted two experiments in which the GNSS RO data expanded by about twice the observation error. The performance of the analysis field was significantly improved in the tropics, where the COSMIC-2 data are more available, and in the Southern Hemisphere, where the influence of GNSS RO data is significantly greater. In particular, the prediction performance of the Southern Hemisphere was improved by doubling the observation error in global region, rather than doubling the COSMIC-2 data only in areas with high density, which seems to have been balanced with other observations.

Development of an Error-Type Analysis Frame and Analysis of High School Students' Error-Types in Observation Behavior Using Microscopes (고등학생의 현미경 관찰 활동에 대한 결과 보고 오류 유형 분석틀의 고안 및 오류 유형 분석)

  • Jin, Hyun-Jung;Lee, Il-Sun;Kwon, Yong-Ju
    • Journal of Science Education
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    • v.35 no.2
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    • pp.127-137
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to develop the analysis frame of reporting observation results by high school students in biology experiments using microscopes and analyze their error types. For this study, five experiments were carried out by 12 high school students in B metropolitan city. Before these experiments, developed the analysis frame of reporting observation results. Tests for checking prior knowledge of students were done and results of each experiment were taken picture of. Using the developed framework, the real results and reported results submitted by students were analyzed. The result of this study shows how students report their observation results and they tend to have difficulty in doing observation activity itself. The ratio of factual reports is low because observation ways and recording ways have not been taught properly. Observation training is needed for observing real results objectively. The improvement in experiment environment is necessary for right observation, not observation for checking based on only results. In addition, the education of ethics in science research focusing on the integrity should be performed. The analysis data of reporting observation result by students can be used as basic data for teachers to plan observation strategies and to have right observation views and ways.

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Effect of All Sky Image Correction on Observations in Automatic Cloud Observation (자동 운량 관측에서 전천 영상 보정이 관측치에 미치는 효과)

  • Yun, Han-Kyung
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.103-108
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    • 2022
  • Various studies have been conducted on cloud observation using all-sky images acquired with a wide-angle camera system since the early 21st century, but it is judged that an automatic observation system that can completely replace the eye observation has not been obtained. In this study, to verify the quantification of cloud observation, which is the final step of the algorithm proposed to automate the observation, the cloud distribution of the all-sky image and the corrected image were compared and analyzed. The reason is that clouds are formed at a certain height depending on the type, but like the retina image, the center of the lens is enlarged and the edges are reduced, but the effect of human learning ability and spatial awareness on cloud observation is unknown. As a result of this study, the average cloud observation error of the all-sky image and the corrected image was 1.23%. Therefore, when compared with the eye observation in the decile, the error due to correction is 1.23% of the observed amount, which is very less than the allowable error of the eye observation, and it does not include human error, so it is possible to collect accurately quantified data. Since the change in cloudiness due to the correction is insignificant, it was confirmed that accurate observations can be obtained even by omitting the unnecessary correction step and observing the cloudiness in the pre-correction image.

The Effect of First Observation in Panel Regression Model with Serially Correlated Error Components

  • Song, Seuck-Heun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.667-676
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    • 1999
  • We investigate the effects of omission of initial observations in each individuals in the panel data regression model when the disturbances follow a serially correlated one way error components. We show that the first transformed observation can have a relative large hat matrix diagonal component and a large influence on parameter estimates when the correlation coefficient is large in absolute value.

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A Basic Study to Predict Solar Insolation using Meteorological Observation Data in Korea (국내 기상 측정결과를 이용한 일사량 예측 방법 기초 연구)

  • Hwangbo, Seong;Kim, Hayang;Kim, Jeongbae
    • Journal of Institute of Convergence Technology
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.27-33
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    • 2014
  • To well design the solar energy system using solar energy, the correlation to calculate solar irradiation is basically needed. So, this study was performed to reveal the relationships between the solar irradiation and four meteorological observation data(dry bulb temperature, relative humidity, sunshine duration, and cloud cover) which are different from previous other researches. And then, we finally proposed the first order non-linear correlation from the measured solar irradiation using four meteorological observation data with MINITAB. To show the deviation of the solar irradiation between measured and calculated, this study compared using the daily total solar irradiance and the maximum peak value. From those results, the calculation error was estimated about maximum 25.4% for the daily total solar irradiance. The error of the solar irradiation between measured and calculated was made from the curve fitting error. So, solar irradiation prediction correlation with higher accuracy can be obtained using 2nd or higher order terms with four meteorological observation data.

Effects of Viewing Angle on the Estimation of Joint Angles in the 2-dimensional Plane (2차원 면에서의 자세 관측시 시야각이 관절각 추정에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, In-Seok
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.51-62
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    • 2006
  • In assessing risks related to working posture, pictures of postures are taken from various directions, which can be a source of observation error. Joint postures of the neck, lower back, knee, shoulder, and elbow were taken from 7 different viewing angles and 19 observers estimated joint angles by observing the pictures in 2-dimensional display. The joint angles were also measured using an optoelectronic motion measurement system. The estimation error increased as the viewing angle varies from the right side of the human body, but the patterns differ according to which joint angles were being observed. Guidelines to increase the validity of observation of joint angles were presented based on the results. In general, it is recommended to maintain the viewing angle within 20 degrees from the right side of the human body, while different ranges of viewing angle are recommended for each joint angle.

Comparison of Statistic Methods for Evaluating Crop Model Performance (작물모형 평가를 위한 통계적 방법들에 대한 비교)

  • Kim, Junhwan;Lee, Chung-Kuen;Shon, Jiyoung;Choi, Kyung-Jin;Yoon, Younghwan
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.269-276
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    • 2012
  • The objective of this short communication is to introduce several evaluation methods to crop model users because the evaluation of crop model performance is an important step to develop or select crop model. In this paper, mean error, mean absolute error, index of agreement, root mean square error, efficiency of model, accuracy factor and bias factor were explained and compared in terms of dimension and observed number. Efficiency of model and index of agreement are dimensionless and independent of number of observation. Relative root mean square, accuracy factor and bias factor are dimensionless and not independent of number of observation. Mean error and mean absolute error are affected by dimension and number of observation.

A Study on the Optical Bench for LEO Earth Observation Satellite (저궤도 지구관측위성의 광학탑재체 지지구조물 설계 연구)

  • Kim, Kyung-Won;Kim, Jin-Hee;Rhee, Ju-Hun;Jin, Ik-Min;Kim, Jong-Wo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2005.05a
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    • pp.805-808
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    • 2005
  • This paper is a study on an optical bench satisfying stiffness and thermal pointing error requirements for LEO earth observation satellite. According to shape and stiffness requirements, optical bench type 1 is designed. Because type 1 does not satisfy the thermal pointing error requirement, an optical bench type 2 is suggested. Although the type 2 has better results than type 1, it still does not meet the thermal pointing error requirement. Using the results of optical bench type 1&2, the optical bench type 3 is finally designed, which satisfies both the stiffness and thermal pointing error requirements.

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Observing Sensitivity Experiment Based on Convective Scale Model for Upper-air Observation Data on GISANG 1 (KMA Research Vessel) in Summer 2018 (현업 국지모델기반 2018년 여름철 기상 1호 특별 고층관측자료의 관측 민감도 실험)

  • Choi, Dayoung;Hwang, Yoonjeong;Lee, Yong Hee
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.17-30
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    • 2020
  • KMA performed the special observation program to provide information about severe weather and to monitor typhoon PRAPIROON using the ship which called the Gisang 1 from 29 June 2018 to 4 July 2018 (UTC). For this period, upper-air was observed 21 times with 6 hour intervals using rawinsonde in the Gisang 1. We investigated the impact of upper-air observation data from the Gisang 1 on the performance of the operational convective scale model (we called LDAPS). We conducted two experiments that used all observation data including upper-air observation data from the Gisang 1 (OPER) and without it (EXPR). For a typhoon PRAPIROON case, track forecast error of OPER was lower than EXPR until forecast 24 hours. The intensity forecast error of OPER for minimum sea level pressure was lower than EXPR until forecast 12 hours. The intensity forecast error of OPER for maximum wind speed was mostly lower than EXPR until forecast 30 hours. OPER showed good performance for typhoon forecast compared with EXPR at the early lead time. Two precipitation cases occurred in the south of the Korean peninsula due to the impact of Changma on 1 July and typhoon on 3 July. The location of main precipitation band predicted from OPER was closer to observations. As assimilating upper-air data observed in the Gisang 1 to model, it showed positive results in typhoon and precipitation cases.