• Title/Summary/Keyword: O/D estimation

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Development of a demand estimation method by using multiclass traffic assignment based on traffic counts (다차종통행배분을 이용한 통행량기반 수요추정기법개발)

  • 김종형;이승재
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.77-88
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    • 2001
  • Until now, though most of the studies related to demand estimation method using traffic counts use methods based on singleclass, travel demands or flows are made by mixing various vehicles in real networks. In general, existing demand estimation methods based on traffic counts estimate O/D by converting a multiclass O/D matrix and traffic counts into a singleclass O/D matrix and traffic counts through PCE conversion, and analyze a O/D matrix by dividing into a multiclass O/D matrix and traffic counts after multiplying an estimated O/D matrix by the fixed ratio of a singleclass O/D matrix and traffic counts before PCE conversion. However, the merits of a demand estimation method based on multiclass calculate each route choice ratio about multiclass O/D, and maximize the estimation capability of multiclass by calculating each gradient, the reduction direction of objective function. Therefore, this study aims to establish a demand estimation method which considers congestion between vehicle and vehicle by using multiclass instead of singleclass.

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A Study on Trip Distribution Estimation Model's Accuracy: Using Daegu City O-D Tables (통행분포 예측모형별 예측 정확도(精確度)에 관한 연구: 대구시 O-D표를 대상으로)

  • Ryu, Yeong-Geun;Woo, Yong Han
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.43-59
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    • 2012
  • It is generally assumed about trip distribution estimation model that growth factor model's estimation accuracy is higher than that of other models in short-term and that gravity model's estimation accuracy is higher than that of other models in long-term. For validation of such assumptions, this study compares estimation accuracies of each estimation model using 3year(1988, 1992, 2004) O-D tables from Daegu city. Each estimation model's accuracy were compared by mid-size and large-size zone as well as short-term and long-term target years. The results show that the trip distribution estimation model selection by usual assumption is not always right.

Reliability Evaluation on the Transit O/D matrix from Traffic Counts (통행량 기반 대중교통 기종점행량(O/D) 추정의 신뢰성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • 이신해;문수연;이승재;임강원;최인준
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.19 no.5
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2001
  • The origin and destination(O-D) matrix is one of the most important elements in transportation planning process. Traditionally, transport planners survey the O-D movements in order to estimate the O-D matrix. Even though the cost of the O-D survey requires high amounts of resources, the accuracy is relatively low. Therefore, many researchers have studied the estimation of the O-D matrix for automobile from traffic counts. however, there is a little attention for the application on the transit O-D matrix estimation from traffic counts. The objective of this study is therefore the estimation of the transit O-D matrix from traffic counts using Gradient method. which is verified by the reliability analysis using a contrived small example network.

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Prediction of Volumes and Estimation of Real-time Origin-Destination Parameters on Urban Freeways via The Kalman Filtering Approach (칼만필터를 이용한 도시고속도로 교통량예측 및 실시간O-D 추정)

  • 강정규
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.7-26
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    • 1996
  • The estimation of real-time Origin-Destination(O-D) parameters, which gives travel demand between combinations of origin and destination points on a urban freeway network, from on-line surveillance traffic data is essential in developing an efficient ATMS strategy. On this need a real-time O-D parameter estimation model is formulated as a parameter adaptive filtering model based on the extended Kalman Filter. A Monte Carlo test have shown that the estimation of time-varying O-D parameter is possible using only traffic counts. Tests with field data produced the interesting finding that off-ramp volume predictions generated using a constant freeway O-D matrix was replaced by real-time estimates generated using the parameter adaptive filter.

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Development of Advanced Gravity Model Using Accordance Rate Of Observed O-D Value and Derived O-D Value from Gravity Model (실측 O-D값과 중력모형 재현 O-D값의 일치비율을 이용한 개선 중력모형 개발)

  • Ryu, Yeong-Geun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.287-295
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    • 2013
  • This paper developed advanced gravity model for higher estimation accuracy, that deals with residuals. Previously studied paper using gravity model's residual, residual calculated that observed O-D value minus derived O-D value from gravity model, and this residual added to the target year's estimated value from gravity model. In this paper, residuals calculated on gravity model parameter estimation process, and this residual is revealed the same value that observed O-D value devided by derived O-D value from gravity model. And case study resulted that developed new gravity model that applied accordance rate of observed O-D value and derived O-D value from gravity model has higher estimation accuracy than other gravity models as basic gravity model and residual plused gravity model.

A Study on Synthetic OD Estimation Model based on Partial Traffic Volumes and User-Equilibrium Information

  • Cho, Seong-Kil
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.180-183
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    • 2008
  • This research addresses the problem of estimating Origin-Destination (O-D) trip matrices from link volume counts, a set of unobserved link volumes and information of user equilibrium flows in transportation networks. A heuristic algorithm for estimating unobserved link flows is derived, which provides volume estimates that are approximately consistent with both observed flows and an assumption of user equilibrium conditions. These estimated link volumes improve the constraints associated with the synthetic OD estimation model, providing improved solution search procedure. Model performance is tracked in terms of the root mean square errors (RMSE) in predicted travel demands, and where appropriate, predicted linked volumes. These results indicate that the new model substantially outperforms existing approaches to estimating user-equilibrium based synthetic O-D matrices.

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An Occupancy based O/D Data Construction Methodology for Expressway Network (고속도로를 대상으로 한 재차인원별 O/D 구축방법론 연구)

  • Choi, Keechoo;Lee, Jungwoo;Yi, Yongju;Baek, Seungkirl
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.30 no.6D
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    • pp.569-575
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    • 2010
  • The occupancy based O/D is essential for measuring efficiency of various transportation policies like HOV/HOT lane, ramp metering, and public parking station. There has been many studies on occupancy survey methodology and O/D estimation using TCS (Toll Collection System) data separately. The occupancy O/D estimation methodology using TCS data has not been attempted thus far. An overall process from data collection stage to the occupancy O/D estimation stage has been suggested. Field survey was performed at the northbound Seoul toll station of Gyeongbu Expressway by each 2 hours of AM peak, PM non-peak, PM peak, midnight periods on a day. The process of matching the TCS data and field survey data classified by tollbooth ID, car type/mode, and arrival time was also performed. One typical output of the results showed that the ratio of single occupancy vehicles bounding for Seoul during the AM peak amounted to 60%. With the key output of this study and the specific O/D estimation methodology suggested, the whole centroid-to-centroid occupancy O/D of the country could be available, and then various applications in which the occupancy information is required could be possible.

Development of an Improved Gravity Model using Residual (잔차를 이용한 개선 중력모형의 개발)

  • Ryu, Yeong Geun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.3D
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    • pp.417-424
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    • 2006
  • To get more accurate trip distribution estimation results, this study developed an improved gravity model. Using three different year's O-D table resulted from person trip survey, this study analyzed correlative between basic year's residuals and target year's residuals by gravity model. And resulted that the two have linear correlation. From this, improved gravity model was developed as adding basic year's residual to present gravity model. Developed gravity model was compared to present gravity model by estimation accuracy, and revealed that distributed trips from improved gravity model was more closer to real O-D than distributed trips from present gravity model.

Estimation of Sodium Hydroxide Waste Origin-Destination Matrices for Preventing Hazardous Material Transportation Disasters

  • Kim, Geun-Young;Jung, Tae-Hwa;Kim, Sang-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.73-79
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    • 2009
  • Hazardous materials (HazMats) are substances that are flammable, explosive, toxic, or harmful, if released into the environment. Since the transportation of HazMats increases in many developed countries, HazMat transportation has the key function in the process of HazMat usage to trace information of production, storage, shipment, usage, and waste disposal. The Korean Ministry of Environment (KMOE) and the National Emergency Management Agency (NEMA) have developed many laws, regulations, and standards for hazardous materials. However, the Korean HazMat laws, regulations, and standards do not guarantee accurate information of HazMat origin-destination (O-D) shipments, though the HazMat O-D movement is the critical information in safety and security of HazMat transportation. The objectives of this research are: (1) to investigate emerging and recurrent issues in Korean HazMat transportation, and (2) to develop the estimation method of O-D matrices for hazardous materials under limited data sets. The sodium hydroxide waste shipment among forty candidate HazMats is selected as the sample research case. The growth-factor method is applied to estimate the 2005 O-D matrix of sodium-hydroxide waste shipment. The column-and-row factoring process is used to calibrate the estimated sodium-hydroxide O-D matrix. The result shows the applicability of the O-D estimation process for hazardous materials. The Sodium Hydroxide Waste Origin-Destination Matrix is obtained to trace routes and paths of the Sodium Hydroxide transportation.