• Title/Summary/Keyword: Neural network models

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An apt material model for drying shrinkage and specific creep of HPC using artificial neural network

  • Gedam, Banti A.;Bhandari, N.M.;Upadhyay, Akhil
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.52 no.1
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    • pp.97-113
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    • 2014
  • In the present work appropriate concrete material models have been proposed to predict drying shrinkage and specific creep of High-performance concrete (HPC) using Artificial Neural Network (ANN). The ANN models are trained, tested and validated using 106 different experimental measured set of data collected from different literatures. The developed models consist of 12 input parameters which include quantities of ingredients namely ordinary Portland cement, fly ash, silica fume, ground granulated blast-furnace slag, water, and other aggregate to cement ratio, volume to surface area ratio, compressive strength at age of loading, relative humidity, age of drying commencement and age of concrete. The Feed-forward backpropagation networks with Levenberg-Marquardt training function are chosen for proposed ANN models and same implemented on MATLAB platform. The results shows that the proposed ANN models are more rational as well as computationally more efficient to predict time-dependent properties of drying shrinkage and specific creep of HPC with high level accuracy.

A GPD-BASED DISCRIMINATIVE TRAINING ALGORITHM FOR PREDICTIVE NEURAL NETWORK MODELS

  • Na, Kyung-Min;Rheem, Jae-Yeol;Ann, Sou-Guil
    • Proceedings of the Acoustical Society of Korea Conference
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    • 1994.06a
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    • pp.997-1002
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    • 1994
  • Predictive neural network models are powerful speech recognition models based on a nonlinear pattern prediction. Those models can effectively normalize the temporal and spatial variability of speech signals. But those models suffer from poor discrimination between acoustically similar words. In this paper, we propose a discriminative training algorithm for predictive neural network models based on a generalized probabilistic descent (GPD) algorithm and minimum classification error formulation (MCEF). The Evaluation of our training algorithm on ten Korean digits shows its effectiveness by 40% reduction of recognition error.

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Application of Statistical Models for Default Probability of Loans in Mortgage Companies

  • Jung, Jin-Whan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.605-616
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    • 2000
  • Three primary interests frequently raised by mortgage companies are introduced and the corresponding statistical approaches for the default probability in mortgage companies are examined. Statistical models considered in this paper are time series, logistic regression, decision tree, neural network, and discrete time models. Usage of the models is illustrated using an artificially modified data set and the corresponding models are evaluated in appropriate manners.

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Industry Stock Returns Prediction Using Neural Networks (신경망을 이용한 산업주가수익율의 예측)

  • Kwon, Young-Sam;Han, In-Goo
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.93-110
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    • 1999
  • The previous studies regarding the stock returns have advocated that industry effects exist over entire industry. As the industry categories are more rigid, the demand for predicting the industry sectors is rapidly increasing. The advances in Artificial Intelligence and Neural Networks suggest the feasibility of a valuable computational model for stock returns prediction. We propose a sector-factor model for predicting the return on industry stock index using neural networks. As a substitute for the traditional models, neural network model may be more accurate and effective alternative when the dynamics between the underlying industry features are not well known or when the industry specific asset pricing equation cannot be solved analytically. To assess the potential value of neural network model, we simulate the resulting network and show that the proposed model can be used successfully for banks and general construction industry. For comparison, we estimate models using traditional statistical method of multiple regression. To illustrate the practical relevance of neural network model, we apply it to the predictions of two industry stock indexes from 1980 to 1995.

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Predictive Modeling of Competitive Biosorption Equilibrium Data

  • Chu K.H.;Kim E.Y.
    • Biotechnology and Bioprocess Engineering:BBE
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.67-71
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    • 2006
  • This paper compares regression and neural network modeling approaches to predict competitive biosorption equilibrium data. The regression approach is based on the fitting of modified Langmuir-type isotherm models to experimental data. Neural networks, on the other hand, are non-parametric statistical estimators capable of identifying patterns in data and correlations between input and output. Our results show that the neural network approach outperforms traditional regression-based modeling in correlating and predicting the simultaneous uptake of copper and cadmium by a microbial biosorbent. The neural network is capable of accurately predicting unseen data when provided with limited amounts of data for training. Because neural networks are purely data-driven models, they are more suitable for obtaining accurate predictions than for probing the physical nature of the biosorption process.

Construction of System for Water Quality Forecasting at Dalchun Using Neural Network Model (신경망 모형을 이용한 달천의 수질예측 시스템 구축)

  • Lee, Won-ho;Jun, Kye-won;Kim, Jin-geuk;Yeon, In-sung
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.21 no.3
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    • pp.305-314
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    • 2007
  • Forecasting of water quality variation is not an easy process due to the complicated nature of various water quality factors and their interrelationships. The objective of this study is to test the applicability of neural network models to the forecasting of the water quality at Dalchun station in Han River. Input data is consist of monthly data of concentration of DO, BOD, COD, SS and river flow. And this study selected optimal neural network model through changing the number of hidden layer based on input layer(n) from n to 6n. After neural network theory is applied, the models go through training, calibration and verification. The result shows that the proposed model forecast water quality of high efficiency and developed web-based water quality forecasting system after extend model

A Modular Neural Network for The GMA Welding Process Modelling (Modular 신경 회로망을 이용한 GMA 용접 프로세스 모델링)

  • 김경민;강종수;박중조;송명현;배영철;정양희
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2001.05a
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    • pp.369-373
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we proposes the steps adopted to construct the neural network model for GMAW welds. Conventional, automated process generally involves sophisticated sensing and control techniques applied to various processing parameters. Welding parameters are influenced by numerous factors, such as welding current, arc voltage, torch travel speed, electrode condition and shielding gas type and flow rate etc. In traditional work, the structural mathematical models have been used to represent this relationship. Contrary to the traditional model method, neural network models are based on non-parametric modeling techniques. For the welding process modeling, the non-linearity at well as the coupled input characteristics makes it apparent that the neural network is probably the most suitable candidate for this task. Finally, a suitable proposal to improve the construction of the model has also been presented in the paper.

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Case-Selective Neural Network Model and Its Application to Software Effort Estimation

  • Jun, Eung-Sup
    • Proceedings of the Korea Information Processing Society Conference
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    • 2001.10a
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    • pp.363-366
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    • 2001
  • It is very difficult to maintain the performance of estimation models for the new breed of projects since the computing environment changes so rapidly in terms of programming languages, development tools, and methodologies. So, we propose to use the relevant cases for a neural network model, whose cost is the decreased number of cases. To balance the relevance and data availability, the qualitative input factors are used as criteria of data classification. With the data sets that have the same value for certain qualitative input factors, we can eliminate the factors from the model making reduced neural network models. So we need to seek the optimally reduced neural network model among them. To find the optimally case-selective neural network, we propose the search techniques and sensitivity analysis between data points and search space.

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FORECASTING THE COST AND DURATION OF SCHOOL RECONSTRUCTION PROJECTS USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK

  • Ying-Hua Huang ;Wei Tong Chen;Shih-Chieh Chan
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2005.10a
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    • pp.913-916
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents the development of Artificial Neural Network models for forecasting the cost and contract duration of school reconstruction projects to assist the planners' decision-making in the early stage of the projects. 132 schools reconstruction projects in central Taiwan, which received the most serious damage from the Chi-Chi Earthquake, were collected. The developed Artificial Neural Network prediction models demonstrate good prediction abilities with average error rates under 10% for school reconstruction projects. The analytical results indicate that the Artificial Neural Network model with back-propagation learning is a feasible method to produce accurate prediction results to assist planners' decision-making process.

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Forecasting realized volatility using data normalization and recurrent neural network

  • Yoonjoo Lee;Dong Wan Shin;Ji Eun Choi
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.105-127
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    • 2024
  • We propose recurrent neural network (RNN) methods for forecasting realized volatility (RV). The data are RVs of ten major stock price indices, four from the US, and six from the EU. Forecasts are made for relative ratio of adjacent RVs instead of the RV itself in order to avoid the out-of-scale issue. Forecasts of RV ratios distribution are first constructed from which those of RVs are computed which are shown to be better than forecasts constructed directly from RV. The apparent asymmetry of RV ratio is addressed by the Piecewise Min-max (PM) normalization. The serial dependence of the ratio data renders us to consider two architectures, long short-term memory (LSTM) and gated recurrent unit (GRU). The hyperparameters of LSTM and GRU are tuned by the nested cross validation. The RNN forecast with the PM normalization and ratio transformation is shown to outperform other forecasts by other RNN models and by benchmarking models of the AR model, the support vector machine (SVM), the deep neural network (DNN), and the convolutional neural network (CNN).