• Title/Summary/Keyword: Neural Networks model

Search Result 1,843, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

Using Structural Changes to support the Neural Networks based on Data Mining Classifiers: Application to the U.S. Treasury bill rates

  • Oh, Kyong-Joo
    • 한국데이터정보과학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2003.10a
    • /
    • pp.57-72
    • /
    • 2003
  • This article provides integrated neural network models for the interest rate forecasting using change-point detection. The model is composed of three phases. The first phase is to detect successive structural changes in interest rate dataset. The second phase is to forecast change-point group with data mining classifiers. The final phase is to forecast the interest rate with BPN. Based on this structure, we propose three integrated neural network models in terms of data mining classifier: (1) multivariate discriminant analysis (MDA)-supported neural network model, (2) case based reasoning (CBR)-supported neural network model and (3) backpropagation neural networks (BPN)-supported neural network model. Subsequently, we compare these models with a neural network model alone and, in addition, determine which of three classifiers (MDA, CBR and BPN) can perform better. For interest rate forecasting, this study then examines the predictability of integrated neural network models to represent the structural change.

  • PDF

Pan Evaporation Analysis using Nonlinear Disaggregation Model (비선형 분리모형에 의한 증발접시 증발량의 해석)

  • Kim, Seong-Won;Kim, Jeong-Heon;Park, Gi-Beom
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2008.05a
    • /
    • pp.1147-1150
    • /
    • 2008
  • The goal of this research is to apply the neural networks models for the disaggregation of the pan evaporation (PE) data, Republic of Korea. The neural networks models consist of the support vector machines neural networks model (SVM-NNM) and multilayer perceptron neural networks model (MLP-NNM), respectively. The SVM-NNM in time series modeling is relatively new and it is more problematic in comparison with classifications. In this study, The disaggregation means that the yearly PE data divides into the monthly PE data. And, for the performances of the neural networks models, they are composed of training, cross validation, and testing data, respectively. From this research, we evaluate the impact of the SVM-NNM and the MLP-NNM for the disaggregation of the nonlinear time series data. We should, furthermore, construct the credible data of the monthly PE data from the disaggregation of the yearly PE data, and can suggest the methodology for the irrigation and drainage networks system.

  • PDF

A Prediction of the Plane Failure Stability Using Artificial Neural Networks (인공신경망을 이용한 평면파괴 안정성 예측)

  • Kim, Bang-Sik;Lee, Sung-Gi;Seo, Jae-Young;Kim, Kwang-Myung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
    • /
    • 2002.10a
    • /
    • pp.513-520
    • /
    • 2002
  • The stability analysis of rock slope can be predicted using a suitable field data but it cannot be predicted unless suitable field data was taken. In this study, artificial neural networks theory is applied to predict plane failure that has a few data. It is well known that human brain has the advantage of handling disperse and parallel distributed data efficiently. On the basis of this fact, artificial neural networks theory was developed and has been applied to various fields of science successfully In this study, error back-propagation algorithm that is one of the teaching techniques of artificial neural networks is applied to predict plane failure. In order to verify the applicability of this model, a total of 30 field data results are used. These data are used for training the artificial neural network model and compared between the predicted and the measured. The simulation results show the potentiality of utilizing the neural networks for effective safety factor prediction of plane failure. In conclusion, the well-trained artificial neural network model could be applied to predict the plane failure stability of rock slope.

  • PDF

Disaggregation Approach of the Pan Evaporation using SVM-NNM (SVM-NNM을 이용한 증발접시 증발량자료의 분해기법)

  • Kim, Seong-Won
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2010.05a
    • /
    • pp.1560-1563
    • /
    • 2010
  • The goal of this research is to apply the neural networks model for the disaggregation of the pan evaporation (PE) data, Republic of Korea. The neural networks model consists of support vector machine neural networks model (SVM-NNM). The disaggregation means that the yearly PE data divides into the monthly PE data. And, for the performances of the neural networks model, it is composed of training and test performances, respectively. The training and test performances consist of the historic, the generated, and the mixed data, respectively. From this research, we evaluate the impact of SVM-NNM for the disaggregation of the nonlinear time series data. We should, furthermore, construct the credible data of the monthly PE from the disaggregation of the yearly PE data, and can suggest the methodology for the irrigation and drainage networks system.

  • PDF

Graph Convolutional - Network Architecture Search : Network architecture search Using Graph Convolution Neural Networks (그래프 합성곱-신경망 구조 탐색 : 그래프 합성곱 신경망을 이용한 신경망 구조 탐색)

  • Su-Youn Choi;Jong-Youel Park
    • The Journal of the Convergence on Culture Technology
    • /
    • v.9 no.1
    • /
    • pp.649-654
    • /
    • 2023
  • This paper proposes the design of a neural network structure search model using graph convolutional neural networks. Deep learning has a problem of not being able to verify whether the designed model has a structure with optimized performance due to the nature of learning as a black box. The neural network structure search model is composed of a recurrent neural network that creates a model and a convolutional neural network that is the generated network. Conventional neural network structure search models use recurrent neural networks, but in this paper, we propose GC-NAS, which uses graph convolutional neural networks instead of recurrent neural networks to create convolutional neural network models. The proposed GC-NAS uses the Layer Extraction Block to explore depth, and the Hyper Parameter Prediction Block to explore spatial and temporal information (hyper parameters) based on depth information in parallel. Therefore, since the depth information is reflected, the search area is wider, and the purpose of the search area of the model is clear by conducting a parallel search with depth information, so it is judged to be superior in theoretical structure compared to GC-NAS. GC-NAS is expected to solve the problem of the high-dimensional time axis and the range of spatial search of recurrent neural networks in the existing neural network structure search model through the graph convolutional neural network block and graph generation algorithm. In addition, we hope that the GC-NAS proposed in this paper will serve as an opportunity for active research on the application of graph convolutional neural networks to neural network structure search.

The development of semi-active suspension controller based on error self recurrent neural networks (오차 자기순환 신경회로망 기반 반능동 현가시스템 제어기 개발)

  • Lee, Chang-Goo;Song, Kwang-Hyun
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
    • /
    • v.5 no.8
    • /
    • pp.932-940
    • /
    • 1999
  • In this paper, a new neural networks and neural network based sliding mode controller are proposed. The new neural networks are an mor self-recurrent neural networks which use a recursive least squares method for the fast on-line leammg. The error self-recurrent neural networks converge considerably last than the back-prollagation algorithm and have advantage oi bemg less affected by the poor initial weights and learning rate. The controller for suspension system is designed according to sliding mode technique based on new proposed neural networks. In order to adapt shding mode control mnethod, each frame dstance hetween ground and vehcle body is estimated md controller is designed according to estimated neural model. The neural networks based sliding mode controller approves good peiformance throllgh computer sirnulations.

  • PDF

COMPARISON OF VARIABLE SELECTION AND STRUCTURAL SPECIFICATION BETWEEN REGRESSION AND NEURAL NETWORK MODELS FOR HOUSEHOLD VEHICULAR TRIP FORECASTING

  • Yi, Jun-Sub
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
    • /
    • v.6 no.2
    • /
    • pp.599-609
    • /
    • 1999
  • Neural networks are explored as an alternative to a regres-sion model for prediction of the number of daily household vehicular trips. This study focuses on contrasting a neural network model with a regression model in term of variable selection as well as the appli-cation of these models for prediction of extreme observations, The differences in the models regarding data transformation variable selec-tion and multicollinearity are considered. The results indicate that the neural network model is a viable alternative to the regression model for addressing both messy data problems and limitation in variable structure specification.

An Special-Day Load Forecasting Using Neural Networks (신경회로망을 이용한 특수일 부하예측)

  • 고희석;김주찬
    • Journal of the Institute of Convergence Signal Processing
    • /
    • v.5 no.1
    • /
    • pp.53-59
    • /
    • 2004
  • In case of load forcasting the most important problem is to deal with the load of special days. According this paper presents forecasting method for speaial days peak load by neural networks model. by means of neural networks mothod using the historical past special- days load data, special-days load was directly forecasted, and forecasting % error showed good result as 1∼2% except vacation season in summer Consequently, it is capable of directly special days load, With the models, precision of forecasting was brought satisfactory result. When neural networks was compared with the orthogonal polynomials models at a view of the results of special-days load forecasting, neural networks model which used pattern conversion ratio was more effective on forecasting for special-days load. On the other hand, in case of short special-days load forecasting, both were valid.

  • PDF

Industry Stock Returns Prediction Using Neural Networks (신경망을 이용한 산업주가수익율의 예측)

  • Kwon, Young-Sam;Han, In-Goo
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
    • /
    • v.9 no.3
    • /
    • pp.93-110
    • /
    • 1999
  • The previous studies regarding the stock returns have advocated that industry effects exist over entire industry. As the industry categories are more rigid, the demand for predicting the industry sectors is rapidly increasing. The advances in Artificial Intelligence and Neural Networks suggest the feasibility of a valuable computational model for stock returns prediction. We propose a sector-factor model for predicting the return on industry stock index using neural networks. As a substitute for the traditional models, neural network model may be more accurate and effective alternative when the dynamics between the underlying industry features are not well known or when the industry specific asset pricing equation cannot be solved analytically. To assess the potential value of neural network model, we simulate the resulting network and show that the proposed model can be used successfully for banks and general construction industry. For comparison, we estimate models using traditional statistical method of multiple regression. To illustrate the practical relevance of neural network model, we apply it to the predictions of two industry stock indexes from 1980 to 1995.

  • PDF

Dental age estimation using the pulp-to-tooth ratio in canines by neural networks

  • Farhadian, Maryam;Salemi, Fatemeh;Saati, Samira;Nafisi, Nika
    • Imaging Science in Dentistry
    • /
    • v.49 no.1
    • /
    • pp.19-26
    • /
    • 2019
  • Purpose: It has been proposed that using new prediction methods, such as neural networks based on dental data, could improve age estimation. This study aimed to assess the possibility of exploiting neural networks for estimating age by means of the pulp-to-tooth ratio in canines as a non-destructive, non-expensive, and accurate method. In addition, the predictive performance of neural networks was compared with that of a linear regression model. Materials and Methods: Three hundred subjects whose age ranged from 14 to 60 years and were well distributed among various age groups were included in the study. Two statistical software programs, SPSS 21 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA) and R, were used for statistical analyses. Results: The results indicated that the neural network model generally performed better than the regression model for estimation of age with pulp-to-tooth ratio data. The prediction errors of the developed neural network model were acceptable, with a root mean square error (RMSE) of 4.40 years and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 4.12 years for the unseen dataset. The prediction errors of the regression model were higher than those of the neural network, with an RMSE of 10.26 years and a MAE of 8.17 years for the test dataset. Conclusion: The neural network method showed relatively acceptable performance, with an MAE of 4.12 years. The application of neural networks creates new opportunities to obtain more accurate estimations of age in forensic research.