• 제목/요약/키워드: Nash Model

검색결과 420건 처리시간 0.028초

대청호 상류 유역의 비점오염원 유출특성 분석 및 L-THIA 모형 적용성 평가 (Analysis of the Characteristics of NPS Runoff and Application of L-THIA model at Upper Daecheong Reservoir)

  • 신민환;이재안;천세억;이열재;임경재;최중대
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제52권1호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2010
  • Generation and transportation of runoff and pollutant loads within watershed generated eutrophication at Daecheong reservoir. To improve water quality at Daecheong reservoir, the best management practices should be developed and applied at upper watersheds for water quality improvement at downstream areas. In this study, two small watersheds of upper Daecheong reservoir were selected. The Long-Term Hydrologic Impact Assessment (L-THIA) model has been widely used for the estimation of the direct runoff worldwide. To apply the L-THIA ArcView GIS model was evaluated for direct runoff and water quality estimation at small watershed. And the Web-based Hydrograph Analysis Tool (WHAT) was used for direct runoff separating from total flow. As a result, the $R^2$ (Coefficient of determination) value and Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient value for direct runoff comparison at An-nae watershed were 0.81 and 0.71, respectively. And the $R^2$ value and Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient value at Wol-oe were 0.95 and 0.93. The $R^2$ value of BOD, TOC, T-N and T-P at An-nae watershed were BOD 0.94, TOC 0.81, T-N 0.94 and T-P 0.89. And the $R^2$ value of BOD, TOC, T-N and T-P at Wol-oe watershed were BOD 0.80, TOC 0.93, T-N 0.86 and T-P 0.65. The result that estimated pollutant loadings using the L-THIA ArcView GIS model reflected well the measured pollutant loadings except for T-P in Wol-oe watershed. With L-THIA ArcView GIS model, the direct runoff and non-point pollutant (NPS) loadings in the watershed could be analyzed through simple input data such as daily rainfall, land uses, and hydrologic soil group.

관측자료와 RHESSys 모형을 이용한 산림유역의 생태수문 적용성 평가 -설마천유역을 대상으로- (Evaluation of Forest Watershed Hydro-Ecology using Measured Data and RHESSys Model -For the Seolmacheon Catchment-)

  • 신형진;박민지;김성준
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제45권12호
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    • pp.1293-1307
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    • 2012
  • 본 연구에서는 RHESSys (Regional Hydro-Ecologic Simulation System) 모형과 관측 자료를 이용하여 유출량, 증발산량, 토양수분량, 총일차생산량과 순광합성량을 평가하고자 한다. 수문생태모형인 RHESSys는물, 탄소 및 질소순환과 지형 공간적 변화에 따른 물질이동을 모의할 수 있다. 대상유역은 설마천 유역(8.5 $km^2$)으로 우리나라 북서쪽에 위치하고 있다. 유역의 90%이상이 산림유역이고, 토양은 대부분 사양토이다. 2007~2009년의 관측 일유출량을 이용하여 유출량을 검 보정하였고, 증발산량은 에디 공분산 방법에 의한 플럭스 타워로부터 관측되었으며 토양수분은 신뢰할 만한 실측자료를 바탕으로 모형의 보정(2007~2008) 및 검증(2009)을 실시하였다. 또한 지구의 탄소순환을 규명할 수 있는 식생의 순광합성량과 총일차생산량에 대한 모형의 검 보정은 Terra 위성의 MODIS (Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) 센서를 이용한 산출물인 순광합성량과 총일차생산량 자료를 바탕으로 모형의 보정(2007) 및 검증(2008)을 실시하였다. 모의 결과 보정기간 동안의 상관계수와 Nash-Sutcliffe 모형 효율은 유출량은 0.74와 0.63이었고, 증발산량과 총일차생산량의 상관계수는 각각 0.54와 0.93이었다. 모형 검정결과 유출량의 상관계수와 Nash-Sutcliffe 모형효율 각각 0.92와 0.84였으며, 총일차 생산량의 상관계수는 0.93이었다.

SLURP 모형을 이용한 유출수문분석 - 소양강댐 유역을 대상으로 - (Hydrological Analysis in Soyanggang-dam Watershed Using SLURP Model)

  • 임혁진;권형중;장철희;김성준
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제37권8호
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    • pp.631-641
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    • 2004
  • 본 연구는 개념적 준분포형 모형인 SLURP 모형의 소양강댐유역의 적용가능성에 대해 다루었다. SLURP모형은 강우의 시공간적 변화를 반영하여 강우-유출을 해석하여 관개계획 및 수자원 관리 효과를 판단할 수 있는 준분포형 모형이다. DEM으로부터 지형분석프로그램인 TOPAZ/SLURPAZ와 연계하여 빠르고 쉽게 지형매개변수와 지형자료를 획득할 수 있다. NOAA/AVHRR 위성영상을 이용하여 월별 NDVI를 산출하였으며, 대상유역 주변의 5개의 기상 관측소를 통해 일별 수문기상자료(이슬점, 일사량, 최대ㆍ최소 대기 기온, 상대습도 등)을 얻었다. DEM NDVI, 수문기상자료를 이용하여 1998년부터 2001년까지 4 개년도의 일별유출량을 모의하였다. 매개변수 최적화를 위하여 민감도 분석 및 SCE-UA 방법을 사용하였으며 대상기간의 Nash-Sutcliffe의 모형효율과 WMO 통계량을 통해 소양강댐 유역의 SLURP모형의 적용성을 검증하였다.

Food Distribution System in Vietnam: Nash Equilibrium and Channel Choice of Small Scale Farmers

  • NGO, Chi Thanh
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제19권1호
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    • pp.61-73
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: The transition from a traditional to a modern food distribution system induces several adjustments on the supply side since supermarkets must collect food on a larger scale and with higher quality standards. This situation becomes a real challenge for small scale farmers to access supply in a modern distribution channel. This gives rise to an original solution: supplying supermarkets through farmer associations or cooperatives. Based on this context of Vietnam linking to the case of distribution science, the paper proposes an industrial organization model of the food processing system in developing countries. The model presents the competitive relationship between two competing distribution systems: a traditional and a modern one. The former is composed of several retailers that sell their products on the traditional market while the latter is based on cooperatives that collect food and negotiate with supermarkets. The current study is to discuss the conditions under which the evolution of the food distribution system occurs by using the proposed model. Research design, data, and methodology: Based on the proposed model, the study explored the quantity flow from small producers to consumers through a Nash equilibrium and address the question of farmer repartition by a free-entry equilibrium. Results: The result shows that there is a unique positive equilibrium in the food market with participation of cooperative associations; Since farmers serve cooperative associations, they not only receive quantity incentive prices but also share profits within their organization. Conclusions: This study shows a unique distribution equilibrium where the profits of farmers working for middlemen and cooperatives are maximized. Further insights were discussed.

Sequence to Sequence based LSTM (LSTM-s2s)모형을 이용한 댐유입량 예측에 대한 연구 (Application of sequence to sequence learning based LSTM model (LSTM-s2s) for forecasting dam inflow)

  • 한희찬;최창현;정재원;김형수
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제54권3호
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    • pp.157-166
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    • 2021
  • 효율적인 댐 운영을 위해서는 높은 신뢰도를 기반으로 하는 유입량 예측이 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 최근 다양한 분야에서 사용되고 있는 데이터 기반의 예측 방법 중 하나인 딥러닝을 댐 유입량 예측에 활용하였다. 그 중 시계열 자료 예측에 높은 성능을 보이는 Sequence-to-Sequence 구조기반의 Long Short-Term Memory 딥러닝 모형(LSTM-s2s)을 이용하여 소양강 댐의 유입량을 예측하였다. 모형의 예측 성능을 평가하기 위해 상관계수, Nash-Sutcliffe 효율계수, 평균편차비율, 그리고 첨두값 오차를 이용하였다. 그 결과, LSTM-s2s 모형은 댐 유입량 예측에 대한 높은 정확도를 보였으며, 단일 유량 수문곡선 기반의 예측 성능에서도 높은 신뢰도를 보였다. 이를 통해 홍수기와 이수기에 수자원 관리를 위한 효율적인 댐 운영에 딥러닝 모형의 적용 가능성을 확인할 수 있었다.

자진신고자 감면제도하의 담합 게임에 대한 균형분석모형 개발 (Developing an Equilibrium Analysis Model of Cartel Game under Leniency Programs)

  • 박지현;안선응
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.77-83
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    • 2013
  • This study is to develop a mathematical analysis model to grasp the behaviors of cartels. Cartels are formed tacitly and cause tremendous damage to consumers in modern society which is composed of advanced industry structure. The government authorities have instituted the leniency programs to respond cartels. However, cartels will continue unless there are legal sanctions against cartels based on an accurate analysis of leniency programs. The proposed cartel equilibrium analysis model is a mathematical behavior model which is based on the existing methods and the prison's dilemma of game theory. Therefore, the model has a form of pay off matrix of two players. We use a iterated polymatrix approximation (IPA) method to deduct a Nash equilibrium point. The model is validated by an empirical analysis as well.

온실가스 배출권 거래제도를 고려한 경쟁적 전력시장 모형 연구 (A Study on the Model of Competitive Electricity Market Considering Emission Trading)

  • 김상훈;이광호;김욱
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제58권8호
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    • pp.1496-1503
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    • 2009
  • The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) is an international environmental treaty to stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere. In order to fulfil the commitments of the countries in an economically efficient way, the UNFCCC adapted the emission trading scheme in the Kyoto Protocol. If the UNFCCC's scheme is enforced in the country, considerable changes in electric power industry are expected due to the imposed greenhouse gas emission reduction. This paper proposes a game theoretic model of the case when generation companies participate in both competitive electricity market and emission market simultaneously. The model is designed such that generation companies select strategically between power quantity and greenhouse gas reduction to maximize their profits in both markets. Demand function and Environmental Welfare of emission trading market is proposed in this model. From the simulation results using the proposed model the impact of the emission trading on generation companies seems very severe in case that the emission prices are significantly high.

용수구역 물 관리를 위한 표준화 물수지 모형 개발 (Development of Standardized Water Balance Model for Applying Irrigation District in South Korea)

  • 노재경;이재남;김용국
    • 농업과학연구
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    • 제37권1호
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    • pp.105-112
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    • 2010
  • The objective of this study is to develop a standardized model for analyzing water balances in large scaled water basin by considering agricultural water districts, and to evaluate the hydrological feasibility of applying this model to several water districts such as Nonbul, Geumbok, Daejeon 1, Daejeon 2, and Cheonggang in Geum river basin. Ten types of stream network were considered in developed model. Using this model, streamflows were simulated by major stations and water balances were analyzed by water districts. Simulated streamflows and measured streamflows were compared at check stations such as Gapcheon and Bugang stations in which Nash and Schcliffe's model efficiencies were 0.633, 0.902, respectively. This results showed its applicabilities to national water resources plan, rural water development plan, and total maximum daily load plan in Korea.

수문자료 빈곤지역에서의 저수지 규모 결정 모의 모형 개발 (Development of a Simulation Model for Reservoir Sizing in a Region with Insufficient Hydrological Data)

  • 최진규
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제42권4호
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2000
  • A simulation model for reservoir sizing was developed to be applied in a region with insufficient hydrological data. Reservoir storage balance equation was formulated on a monthly basis. Gajiyama equation was generalized to estimate monthly reservoir inflow more accurately. Monthly evaporation equation on a reservoir water surface was introduced , which was functioned with monthly mean temperature. Generalized Gajiyama equation was applied to estmate reservoir inflow of the Sayeon dam. Nash-Sutcliffe's model efficiency was 0.793. Using developed model for reservoir sizing, water supply capacity was analyzed with 118.000㎥/day on the Sayeon dam. This showed a reasonable result as compared with 110000㎥/day in other technical report. For general application of developed model, a virtual reservoir was considered and its dta of surface area and volume by elevation was prepared using DEM. Using the model, size of reservoir was determined and water supply capacity was anlayzed on a virtual reservoir.

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비방향 DEA 게임 교차효율성을 이용한 공급업체 선정방법 (A Non-Oriented DEA Game Cross Efficiency Model for Supplier Selection)

  • 임성묵
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.108-119
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    • 2015
  • This study intends to propose a non-oriented DEA based game cross-efficiency approach for supplier selection. With a discussion on the choice of DEA models and approaches that are most appropriate for supplier selection, we propose a game cross efficiency model based upon the non-oriented variable returns-to-scale RAM DEA by adapting the existing game cross efficiency model based upon the oriented constant returns-to-scale CCR DEA. We develop the RAM game cross efficiency model and a convergent iterative solution procedure to find the best game cross efficiency scores that constitute a Nash equilibrium. We illustrate the proposed model with two data sets of supplier selection, and demonstrate that significantly different results are obtained when compared with the existing approaches.