• 제목/요약/키워드: NPV(Net Present Value)

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NPV와 IRR은 투자기회들의 수익성을 측정하는가? 수익성 척도로서 조건들 (Do NPV and IRR Measure the Profitability of Investment Opportunities? Conditions as Measures of Profitability)

  • 김진욱
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제45권4호
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    • pp.167-173
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    • 2022
  • Investors must adopt profitable investment opportunities to maximize their wealth. Almost all investment, finance, engineering economics textbooks explain that net present value (NPV) measures the profitability (or value) of investment opportunities in absolute size, and internal rate of return (IRR) measures the profitability of investment opportunities in relative proportions. However, NPV is a measure of the relative size of the return on investment opportunity to do-nothing alternative. Moreover, IRR can occur in multiple investment opportunities and may not exist. To make matters worse, IRR and NPV also have conflicting problems in accept-or-reject decisions. In this study, the reason why NPV and IRR cannot accurately measure the profitability of investment opportunities is identified, and fundamental characteristics that investment opportunity profitability measures should have are presented.

내부수익률을 이용한 수익률분석법에 대한 이해 (Understanding of a Rate of Return Analysis using an IRR)

  • 김진욱;이현주;차동수
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제25권5호
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    • pp.9-14
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    • 2002
  • A capital investment problem is essentially one of determining whether the anticipated cash inflows from a proposed project are sufficiently attractive to invest funds in the project. The net present value(NPV) criterion and internal rate of return(IRR) criterion are widely used as means of making investment decisions. A positive NPV means the equivalent worth of the inflows is greater than the equivalent worth of outflows, so, the project makes profit. Business people are familiar with rates of return because they all borrow money to finance ventures, even if the money they borrow is their own. Thus they are apt to use the IRR in preference to the NPV. The IRR can be defined as the discount rate that causes the net present value of a cash flow to equal zero. Why the project are accepted if the project's IRR is greater than the investor's minimum attractive rate of return\ulcorner Against the NPV, the definition cannot distinctly explain the concept of the IRR as decision criterion. We present a new definition of the IRR as the ratio of profit on the invested capital.

내부수익률의 새로운 정의 (A New Definition of an IRR)

  • 김진욱;이현주;차동수
    • 한국산업경영시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국산업경영시스템학회 2002년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 2002
  • A capital investment problem is essentially one of determining whether the anticipated cash Inflows from a proposed project are sufficiently attractive to invest funds in the project. The net present value(NPV) criterion and internal rate of return(IRR) criterion are widely used as means of making investment decisions. A positive NPV means the equivalent worth of the inflows is greater than the equivalent worth of outflows, so, the project makes profit. Business people are familiar with rates of return because they all borrow money to finance ventures, even If the money they borrow is their own. Thus they are apt to use the IRR in preference to the NPV. The IRR can be defined as the discount rate that causes the net present value of a cash flow to equal zero. Why the project are accepted if the project's IRR is greater than the investor's minimum attractive rate of return. Against the NPV, the definition cannot distinctly explain the concept of the IRR as decision criterion. We present a new definition of the IRR as the ratio of profit on the invested capital.

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기후변화로 인한 수온상승이 굴양식 본양성 생산방식의 경제성에 미치는 영향분석 (The Economic Feasibility Analysis of Grow out Phase Production of Oyster Farming by Rising Water Temperature)

  • 최종두;최영준
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.157-163
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    • 2014
  • This study analysed the economic feasibility per hectare of grow out phase production of Oyster farming by rising water temperature in Ocean. Elevated Water temperature by climate change had a bad influence for oyster production and economic feasibility. In the case of production units, the total output of oyster decreases from 213,840 to 205,594 units. Using cost-benefit analysis with discounting rates (5.5%), we estimated the net present value (NPV) and benefit cost ratio (BCR) until 2100 years. The model results showed that the NPV without water temperature rise was 1,565,619,893 won and the NPV with water temperature rise was 1,540,493,059 won. Also, BCR estimated that the former was 2.095 better than the latter was 2.077. To summarise, the economic effect per hectare of water temperature rise in ocean did the damage to the economic loss about 25,126,834 won.

실물옵션을 활용한 G7 한국형고속전철의 다이나믹 가치평가 (Dynamic Valuation of the G7-HSR350X Using Real Option Model)

  • 김성민;권용장
    • 한국철도학회논문집
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.137-145
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    • 2007
  • In traditional financial theory, the discount cash flow model(DCF or NPV) operates as the basic framework for most analyses. In doing valuation analysis, the conventional view is that the net present value(NPV) of a project is the measure of the present value of expected net cash flows. Thus, investing in a positive(negative) NPV project will increase(decrease) firm value. Recently, this framework has come under some fire for failing to consider the options of the managerial flexibilities. Real option valuation(ROV) considers the managerial flexibility to make ongoing decisions regarding the implementation of investment projects and the deployment of real assets. The appeal of the framework is natural given the high degree of uncertainty that firms face in their technology investment decisions. This paper suggests an algorithm for estimating volatility of logarithmic cash flow returns of real assets based on the Black-Sholes option pricing model, the binomial option pricing model, and the Monte Carlo simulation. This paper uses those models to obtain point estimates of real option value with the G7- HSR350X(high-speed train).

EOMETRIC ANALYSIS OF NET PRESENT VALUE AND INTERNAL RATE OF RETURN

  • GABRIEL FILHO, L.A.;CREMASCO, C.P.;PUTTI, F.F.;GOES, B.C.;MAGALHAES, M.M.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제34권1_2호
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    • pp.75-84
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    • 2016
  • The objective of this work is to perform a geometric analysis of the net present value (NPV) and Internal Rate of Return (IRR), defining analytics and in verifying the relationship between geometric properties of such functions. For this simulation, was used the values of the cash flows for each period identical and equal to US$ 200.00 cash, the initial investment US$ 1,000.00 and investments of each identical and equal to US$ 50.00 period. In addition, the discount rate and time were considered a maximum of 2 years (24 months) at a rate between 0 and 100%. The geometric analysis of the characteristics obtained from the expressions of the Net Present Value and Internal Rate of Return possible to observe that besides the analytical dependence between these quantities , the geometric relationships are relevant when studied in relation to the zero NPV and expressed a great contribution the sense of a broad vision for the administrator in the analysis of analytical variables that in uences the balance sheet of the company.

Economic Evaluation of ESS in Urban Railway Substation for Peak Load Shaving Based on Net Present Value

  • Park, Jong-young;Heo, Jae-Haeng;Shin, Seungkwon;Kim, Hyungchul
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.981-987
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we estimate the economic benefits of Energy Storage Systems (ESSs) for peak load shaving in an urban railway substation using the annual cost. The annual investment cost of ESSs is estimated using Net Present Value (NPV) and compared with the cost reduction of electricity by the ESS. The optimal capacities of the battery and Power Converting System (PCS) are determined for peak load shaving. The optimal capacity of the ESS and the peak load shaving is determined to maximize the profit by the ESS. The proposed method was applied to real load data in an urban railway substation, and the results show that electric power costs can be reduced. Other aspects of the ESS, such as the lifetime and unit price of the battery, are also investigated economically.

순간전압강하 평가에 기반한 최적 보상기기 선정 방법 (Method to Select Optimal Device for Mitigating Voltage Sag Based on Voltage Sag Assessment)

  • 이계병;한종훈;장길수;박창현
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제64권1호
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    • pp.29-34
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents a method to select optimal device for mitigating voltage sags. The method is based on economic evaluation and voltage sag assessment involving sag duration as well as magnitude. The economic evaluation is performed by using the operation cost and economic benefit of the mitigation devices. The optimal device can be determined from the values of NPV (net present value) which is widely accepted in cost-benefit analysis. The proposed method can help sensitive customers to select optimal mitigation device. In this paper, the case study considering two sensitive customers was performed by using the proposed method.

연근해어업 어선감척사업으로 인한 생산성 및 투자 효과에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Economic Values and Productivity Attained through a Reduction in Fishing Vessels Engaged in Coastal and Offshore Fisheries)

  • 최종두
    • Ocean and Polar Research
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    • 제36권4호
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    • pp.343-351
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to estimate the economic value and productivity achieved through a reduction in fishing vessels engaged in coastal and offshore fisheries. We found that the value of increasing catch by types in offshore and coastal fisheries was about 17,338 billion won. To examine the economic value, a cost-benefit analysis was applied. This is based on the total cost of vessel reduction (4,576 billion won) assumed to be invested equally each year for five years. BCR and NPV with a discount rate (5.5%) were used to compare the profit of fishery activities in offshore and coastal areas. The model results showed that the NPV and BCR in offshore and coastal fisheries was 5,522 billion won and 2.340 respectively.

해면 중간육성 생산방식의 경제성 분석 - 갯벌 참굴 산업을 중심으로 - (Economic Valuation for Nursery-Phase Production - Focusing on the tidal flat Oyster -)

  • 최종두
    • 수산경영론집
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    • 제43권3호
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 2012
  • This paper was conducted to study the economic valuation for Nursery-Phase production of the tidal flat oyster in Korea. Benefit-cost(B/C) model used to indicate the effects of economic valuation. Using discounting rates(i.e., 4.5%, 6.5% and 8.5%), the model compared revenues and costs that occur at different times from 2012 to 2018. This study also estimated various submodels, which are Benefit Cost Ratio(B/C ratio), Net Present Value(NPV), Internal Ration of Return(IRR), to compare profit of Nursery-Phase production styles and analyzed returns to evaluate the scenarios. Sensitivity analysis were conducted for various scenarios. The results suggest as follows. First, the oyster spat to the shell height of 3~5cm was more profit than the shell height of 1~3cm. Second, all of sensitivity analysis with submodels were economic valuation such that B/C ratio > 1, NPV > 0 and IRR > discounting rate. Third, the payback period was about 3years after installed Nursery-Phase production system.