• Title/Summary/Keyword: Muskingum Model

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Real-Time Forecasting of Flood Discharges Upstream and Downstream of a Multipurpose Dam Using Grey Models (Grey 모형을 이용한 다목적댐의 유입 홍수량과 하류 하천 홍수량 실시간 예측)

  • Kang, Min-Goo;Cai, Ximing;Koh, Deuk-Koo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.61-73
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    • 2009
  • To efficiently carry out the flood management of a multipurpose dam, two flood forecasting models are developed, each of which has the capabilities of forecasting upstream inflows and flood discharges downstream of a dam, respectively. The models are calibrated, validated, and evaluated by comparison of the observed and the runoff forecasts upstream and downstream of Namgang Dam. The upstream inflow forecasting model is based on the Grey system theory and employs the sixth order differential equation. By comparing the inflows forecasted by the models calibrated using different data sets with the observed in validation, the most appropriate model is determined. To forecast flood discharges downstream of a dam, a Grey model is integrated with a modified Muskingum flow routing model. A comparison of the observed and the forecasted values in validation reveals that the model can provide good forecasts for the dam's flood management. The applications of the two models to forecasting floods in real situations show that they provide reasonable results. In addition, it is revealed that to enhance the prediction accuracy, the models are necessary to be calibrated and applied considering runoff stages; the rising, peak, and falling stages.

Flood Runoff Computation for Mountainous Small Basins using HEC-HMS Model (HEC-HMS 모델을 이용한 산지 소하천유역의 홍수유출량 산정)

  • Chang, In-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.7 no.3
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    • pp.281-288
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    • 2004
  • The objective of this study is to propose a methodology of the flood runoff analysis in steep mountainous basins and the analysis basin is the Jasa valley basin in Chungju city Analyzing the spatial pattern of the rainfall in 1994. 6 30~7.1, the seasonal rainy front was tied up in the whole central district, and the rainfall center was moving from the northern Chungbuk province to the northern Kyongbuk province and caused heavy storm. Analyzing the temporal pattern with the Huff method, the 52.5% of the rainfall was concentrated on the 3rd quartile. Rainfall frequency analysis is accomplished by five distribution types; 2-parameter Lognomal, 3-parameter Lognomal, Pearson Type III, Log-Pearson Type III and Extremal Type I distribution Rainfall-runoff analysis in Jasa valley basin was made using HEC-HMS model. Jasa valley basin was divided into 3 sub-basins and the analysis point was 3 points{A, B and C point) With the rainfall data measured by the 10 minutes, the flood runoff also was calculated by as many minutes. SCS CN model, Clark UH model and Muskingum routing model in HEC-HMS model were used to simulate the runoff volume using selected rainfall event.

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Rainfall-Runoff Analysis in the Whangryong River Basin Using HEC-HMS and HEC-GeoHMS (HEC-HMS, HEC-GeoHMS를 이용한 황룡강유역의 유출분석)

  • Kim, Chul;Park, Nam-Hee
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.275-287
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    • 2002
  • Rainfall-Runoff Analysis in Whangryong River Basin was made using HEC-HMS and HEC-GeoHMS. The Basin was divided into three sub-basins using HEC-CeoHMS and GIS. Then, GIS input data were derived from each sub-basins. SCS CN runoff-volume model, Snyder's UH direct-runoff model, exponential recession baseflow model and Muskingum routing model in HEC-HMS were used to simulate the runoff volume using selected rainfall event and the parameters were optimized. Peak flowrate calculated using optimized parameters was compared to the observed flowrate in the basin. The result proved to be good agreement with each other. Optimized parameters in this local basin can be used to calculate the peak flowrate in the future.

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Development and Application of Integrated Hydrologic Model with HyGIS (HyGIS와 연계한 수문통합 모형의 개발 및 적용)

  • Han Kun Yeun;Lee Chang Hee;Kim Dong Il;Kim Kyung Rock
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2005.05b
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    • pp.933-936
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    • 2005
  • 본 연구에서는, 수문해석모형과 국산 GIS 엔진인 HyGIS와 직접연계를 통해 자료수집 분석, 모의수행 및 결과도시를 일괄적으로 수행될 수 있도록 GIS-수문통합모형을 개발하였다. GIS 기반 수문모형의 자동화를 위해 유역 추출, 하도망 생성, 유출 매개변수의 산정 및 수문모형 진행을 필요한 모든 과정들에 대해서 사용자 인터페이스를 구축하고, 강우자료, 레이다/위성자료, 설계강우 조건으로부터 NGIS를 활용한 수문분석을 위한 NGIS자료의 표준화 과정을 제시하였다. 수문해석을 위한 유역추적방법에는 Clark, SCS, Snyder 방법, 하도추적방법에는 Muskingum, Muskingum-Cunge 방법 등과 같은 실제 실무분야에서 많이 이용되는 방법들이 이용 가능하도록 구성하였다. 수문모형과 NGIS DB와의 Interface 기능을 활용하여 국내 실무분야에 적용함에 있어 편의성과 실용성을 갖춘 모형을 개발을 통해, 수문모형 구축 시 NGIS 자료 및 지형 DB의 표준화 과정을 제시하고자 한다.

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Analysis of Rainfall-Runoff Characteristics in Gokgyochun Basin Using a Runoff Model (유출모형을 이용한 곡교천 유역의 강우-유출 특성 분석)

  • Hwan, Byungl-Ki;Cho, Yong-Soo;Yang, Seung-Bin
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.404-411
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    • 2019
  • In this study, the HEC-HMS was applied to determine rainfall-runoff processes for the Gokgyuchun basin. Several sub-basins have large-scale reservoirs for agricultural needs and they store large amounts of initial runoff. Three infiltration methods were implemented to reflect the effect of initial loss by reservoirs: 'SCS-CN'(Scheme I), 'SCS-CN' with simple surface method(Scheme II), and 'Initial and Constant rate'(Scheme III). Modeling processes include incorporating three different methods for loss due to infiltration, Clark's UH model for transformation, exponential recession model for baseflow, and Muskingum model for channel routing. The parameters were calibrated using an optimization technique with trial and error method. Performance measures, such as NSE, RAR, and PBIAS, were adopted to aid in the calibration processes. The model performance for those methods was evaluated at Gangcheong station, which is the outlet of study site. Good accuracy in predicting runoff volume and peak flow, and peak time was obtained using the Scheme II and III, considering the initial loss, whereas Scheme I showed low reliability for storms. Scheme III did not show good matches between observed and simulated values for storms with multi peaks. Conclusively, Scheme II provided better results for both single and multi-peak storms. The results of this study can provide a useful tool for decision makers to determine master plans for regional flood control management.

Analyis of stormwater and runoff characteristics in Anseongcun basin using HEC-HMS (HEC-HMS을 이용한 안성천 유역의 강우 유출 특성 분석)

  • Hwang, Byung-Gi;Yang, Seung-Bin
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2018
  • The HEC-HMS model was applied to identify the rainfall-runoff processes for the Anseongchun basin, where the lower part of the stream has been damaged severely by tropical storms in the past. Modeling processes include incorporating with the SCS-CN model for loss, Clark's UH model for transformation, exponential recession model for baseflow, and Muskingum model for channel routing. The parameters were calibrated through an optimization technique using a trial and error method. Sensitivity analysis after calibration was performed to understand the effects of parameters, such as the time of concentration, storage coefficient, and base flow related constants. Two storm water events were simulated by the model and compared with the corresponding observations. Good accuracy in predicting the runoff volume, peak flow, and the time to peak flow was achieved using the selected methods. The results of this study can be used as a useful tool for decision makers to determine a master plan for regional flood control management.

A Study on the extraction of hydrologic-Model input parameter using GSIS (GSIS를 이용한 수문모형 입력매개변수 추출에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Geung-Sang;Chae, Hyo-Seok;Park, Jeong-Nam;Cho, Gi-Sung
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.8 no.2 s.16
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    • pp.11-22
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    • 2000
  • It needs to extract the accurate topological characteristics and hydrological parameters of watershed in order to manage water resource efficiently. But, these data are processed yet by manual wok and simple operation in hydrologic fields. In this paper, we presented algorithm that could extract topological characteristics and hydrological parameters over watershed using GSIS and it gives the saving of data processing tin and the confidency of data. We presented coupling method between GSIS and hydrologic model by using extracted parameters into the input parameter of HEC-HMS hydrologic model. The extraction procedure of topological characteristics and hydrological parameters is as below. First, watershed and stream are extracted by DEM and curve unmber is extracted throughout the overlay of landuse map and soil map. Also, we extracted surface parameters like the length of the longest flow path and the slope of the longest flow path by Grid computation into watershed and stream. And we gave the method that could extract hydrologic parameters like Muskingum K and sub-basin lag tin by executing computation into surface parameters and average Sn curve number being extracted.

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Analysis of Hydrological Impact by Typhoon RUSA using Landsat Images and Hydrological Model (Landsat영상과 수문모형을 이용한 태풍 RUSA에 의한 수문영향 분석)

  • Lee, Mi-Seon;Park, Geun-Ae;Kim, Seong-Joon
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.38 no.5 s.154
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    • pp.391-399
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    • 2005
  • The purpose of this study is to evaluate hydrological impact by the land cover change of typhoon damage. For the typhoon RUSA (rainfall 1,402 mm) occurred in 2002 (August $31\;{\sim}$ September 1), satellite images of Landsat 7 ETM+ of September 29, 2000 and Landsat 5 TM of September 11, 2002 were selected, and each land cover was classified for Namdae-cheon watershed $192.7km^2$ located in the middle-eastern part of Korea Peninsula. SCS unit hydrograph for watershed runoff and Muskingum for streamflow routing of WMS HEC-1 was adopted. 30m resolution DEM & hydrological soil group using 1:50,000 soil map were prepared. The model was calibrated using three available data of storm events of 1985 to 1988 based on 1985 land cover condition. To predict the streamflow change by damaged land cover condition, rainfall of 50 years to 500 years frequency were generated using 2nd quantile of Huff method. The damaged land cover condition treated as bare soil surface increased streamflow of $50.1\;m^3/sec$ for 50 years rainfall frequency and $67.6\;m^3/sec$ for 500 years rainfall frequency based on AMC-I condition. There may be some speedy treatment by the government for the next coming typhoon damage.

Improvement of Channel Routing Method in Longterm Runoff Model (장기유출모형의 하도추적기법에 대한 개선방안)

  • Kim, Nam-Won;Lee, Jeong-Woo;Lee, Byong-Ju;Lee, Jung-Eun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2007.05a
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    • pp.1553-1557
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    • 2007
  • 본 연구의 목적은 SWAT 모형에서 적용되는 하도유출추적 방법인 변동저류추적법과 Muskingum 방법에 대한 문제점 및 한계점을 제시하고 이를 개선하고자 하는데 그 목적이 있다. 이를 위해 충주댐 상류유역에 SWAT 모형을 적용하였으며 기존 두 가지 방법에 대한 한계점을 제시하였다. 또한 새로운 하도추적 방법으로 연속방정식과 Manning 식으로부터 비선형 저류방정식을 구성하여 적용하였으며 주하도 유입량에 대한 세가지 방법을 비교한 결과 기존 방법보다 본 연구에서 제시한 방법이 일 단위 장기유출모의에서 합리적인 유출량 결과를 제시하는 것으로 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 SWAT 모형의 적용성을 향상시킬 뿐만 아니라 유출 및 수질모의에도 상당한 영향일 미칠 것으로 판단된다.

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Calibration and Validation of a Streamflow Network Model for Predicting discharge on a Downstream River of a Reservoir (저수지 하류의 유량 모의를 위한 하천망 모형의 보정 및 검정)

  • Song, Jung Hun;Kang, Moon Seong;Song, Inhong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.432-432
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    • 2015
  • 농업용 저수지의 하류유역은 저수지로부터 농업용수를 공급받는 관개지구와 산림지 등 관개를 실시하지 않는 비관개지구의 수문순환이 복합적으로 연계된다. 이러한 저수지 하류유역의 하천유량은 배후 유역에서 발생하는 유역 유출량, 관개지구의 농업용수 회귀수량, 저수지에서 방류되는 환경용수 방류량과 제한수위 및 만수위 방류량, 그리고 지하수 유출량 등으로 구성된다. 본 연구에서는 저수지 하류의 하천유량 구성 요소를 해석하는 하천망 모형을 구성하였고, 대상지구의 자료를 구축하였으며, 모형의 보정 및 검정을 수행하였다. 비관개지구의 유출량 모의는 수정 3단 Tank 모형을 이용하였다. 관개지구의 배수량은 논 포장 배수량과 용수로 배수량을 구분하여 모의하며, 논 포장 배수량은 논 물수지식을 기반으로 모의하였다. 저수지 방류량은 저수지 유입량과 저수지 운영방식을 고려하여 모의하도록 구성하였다. 하도 추적은 Muskingum 방법을 이용하였다. 연구 대상지로 이동저수지 유역을 선정하여 기상, 지형, 수문, 그리고 영농 자료를 수집하여 모형의 입력 자료를 구축하였다. 모형의 평가를 위한 통계적 지표는 Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE), root mean square error-observations standard deviation ratio (RSR), 그리고 percent bias (PBIAS)를 이용하였다. 보정 및 검정 결과 구성된 모형의 모의 결과는 실측치의 경향을 잘 반영하는 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구 결과는 우리나라 농촌유역 물순환에 대한 이해를 넓히며, 저수지 하류유역 유량 해석을 위한 기초자료로 이용될 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

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