• 제목/요약/키워드: Multivariate Probit Model

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Analysis of Consumers' Choices and Time-Consumption Behaviors for Various Broadcasting and Telecommunication Convergence Services

  • Koh, Dae-Young;Lee, Jong-Su
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제32권2호
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    • pp.302-311
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    • 2010
  • In this study, we analyzed consumers' choices of various broadcasting and telecommunication convergence services and time consumption for chosen services by using survey data. A multivariate probit model was used to model consumers' choices of various broadcasting and telecommunication convergence services, and an ordered probit model was used to model consumers' time consumption for chosen services. Factors affecting consumers' choices and time-consumption behavior were identified, and simulation results of market competition and substitution were obtained. Based on these results, it was found that for the time being, consumers are highly locked into existing broadcasting services and are likely to become more price-sensitive to the new broadcasting and telecommunication convergence services. Also, the ways in which individual characteristics affect choices and time consumption were found to be very diverse service by service.

Bayesian Analysis of a New Skewed Multivariate Probit for Correlated Binary Response Data

  • Kim, Hea-Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.613-635
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    • 2001
  • This paper proposes a skewed multivariate probit model for analyzing a correlated binary response data with covariates. The proposed model is formulated by introducing an asymmetric link based upon a skewed multivariate normal distribution. The model connected to the asymmetric multivariate link, allows for flexible modeling of the correlation structure among binary responses and straightforward interpretation of the parameters. However, complex likelihood function of the model prevents us from fitting and analyzing the model analytically. Simulation-based Bayesian inference methodologies are provided to overcome the problem. We examine the suggested methods through two data sets in order to demonstrate their performances.

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유헬스 서비스 수요 분석: 댁내기반 원격의료.건강관리서비스를 중심으로 (Analysis on the Demand for Ubiquitous Healthcare Services: Focusing on Home-based Telemedicine and Telehealthmanagement Services)

  • 고대영;조현승
    • 한국IT서비스학회지
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.265-284
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the demand for telemedicine and telehealthmanagement services, which are key elements of home based u-health. The conjoint analysis, which is a conventional method for demand analysis for newly introduced products, is employed, utilizing the survey data on 500 seoul citizens. Further, multivariate probit model is used to estimate the demand. The result shows that the demand for telemedicine services is greater than that of telehealthmanagement services. Further, home-based u-health services will play a role as a complementary for face-to-face medical treatments, rather than a substitute. Meanwhile, the demand for home-based u-health services is found to be very sensitive to price.

지역 규모에 따른 농촌주민의 건강위험행동 관계 연구 (Study on the Relationship between Health Risk Behaviors of Rural Residents by Regional Scale)

  • 조승연
    • 농촌의학ㆍ지역보건
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    • 제49권2호
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2024
  • Objective: This study aimed to analyze the correlation between factors affecting health risk behaviors of rural residents according to regional scale. Methods: Restricted-access data from the 2016~2021 Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey and the multivariate probit model were used. As for health risk behaviors, smoking, drinking, lack of aerobic exercise, low level of healthy eating index, unvaccination, and non-participation in health examination were considered. Results: Controlling for individuals' socio-demographic characteristics, in general, correlation coefficients between unobservable factors affecting health risk behaviors were significant. However, the magnitude and statistical significance of the correlation coefficients varied by regional scale (dong/eup/myeon). This suggests that rural residents engage in health risk behaviors due to their different characteristics compared with urban dwellers, which also varies by whether residents are located in eup or myeon area. Conclusion: It is necessary to differentiate health care services between urban and rural areas in terms of type of service and programs based on the relationship between unobservable factors affecting each type of health risk behaviors.

정보통신기기와 융합서비스에 대한 소비자 구매행태 분석 (Analysis of Consumer's Purchasing Behavior on ICT Devices and Convergence Services in Korea)

  • 신정우;김창섭;이미숙
    • 정보화정책
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.81-97
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    • 2014
  • 본 연구는 정보통신 기기 및 관련 서비스에 대한 소비자들의 구매행태를 분석하고, 다양한 정보통신 기기 및 서비스 간의 상관관계를 파악하고자 한다. 본 연구는 다양한 제품과 서비스의 다중선택 상황을 동시에 고려함으로써, 각 제품 및 서비스 그룹 내의 상관관계뿐만 아니라 그룹 간의 상관관계도 추가적으로 살펴보고자 한다. 분석자료는 소비자 설문조사를 통해 수집하였으며, 인구통계학 변수를 고려한 다변량 프로빗 모형(Multivariate Probit Model)과 분산-공분산 행렬(Variance-covariance Matrix)을 분석하기 위한 대안상수 모형(Alternative Specific Constant Model)을 각각 추정하였다. 또한 다차원척도 분석(Multi-dimensional Scaling Method)을 이용하여 제품 및 서비스 간의 관계도를 도식화하였으며, 다양한 정보통신 기기 및 서비스 간의 대체 또는 보완 관계를 도출하였다. 본 연구는 소비자들의 구매행태를 이해하고 예측함으로써 신제품과 서비스의 개발에 유용한 정보를 제공할 것으로 기대된다.

Multiple Options for Appropriation Mechanisms in a Business Environment and Implications for Policy

  • Park, Kyoo-Ho
    • STI Policy Review
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    • 제3권2호
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    • pp.47-65
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    • 2012
  • Appropriation is essential for innovators to succeed. Traditionally, among various appropriation mechanisms, patents and secrecy have received attention, and the differential role of patents has been highlighted according to different industries or sectors. These discussions give a rough idea, however, and do not yield concrete directives for strategies in the context of innovation management. This paper describes an analysis of the effect of a firm's position within the value chain and the objectives of innovative activities with appropriation mechanisms. Multivariate analysis of diverse appropriation mechanisms using Korean innovation survey data revealed a specific combination of mechanisms and significant determinants in the context of objectives of innovative activities.

다변량 프로빗 모형을 이용한 가전제품 구매의 상관관계 분석 (Correlation among Ownership of Home Appliances Using Multivariate Probit Model)

  • 김창섭;신정우;이미숙;이종수
    • 마케팅과학연구
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.17-26
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    • 2009
  • As the lifestyle of consumers changes and the need for various products increases, new products are being developed in the market. Each household owns various home appliances which are purchased through the choice of a decision maker. These appliances include not only large-sized products such as TV, refrigerator, and washing machine, but also small-sized products such as microwave oven and air cleaner. There exists latent correlation among possession of home appliances, even though they are purchased independently. The purpose of this research is to analyze the effect of demographic factors on the purchase and possession of each home appliances, and to derive some relationships among various appliances. To achieve this purpose, the present status on the possession of each home appliances are investigated through consumer survey data on the electric and energy product. And a multivariate probit(MVP) model is applied for the empirical analysis. From the estimation results, some appliances show a substitutive or complementary pattern as expected, while others which look apparently unrelated have correlation by co-incidence. This research has several advantages compared to previous literatures on home appliances. First, this research focuses on the various products which are purchased by each household, while previous researches such as Matsukawa and Ito(1998) and Yoon(2007) focus just on a particular product. Second, the methodology of this research can consider a choice process of each product and correlation among products simultaneously. Lastly, this research can analyze not only a substitutive or complementary relationship in the same category, but also the correlation among products in the different categories. As the data on the possession of home appliances in each household has a characteristic of multiple choice, not a single choice, a MVP model are used for the empirical analysis. A MVP model is derived from a random utility model, and has an advantage compared to a multinomial logit model in that correlation among error terms can be derive(Manchanda et al., 1999; Edwards and Allenby, 2003). It is assumed that the error term has a normal distribution with zero mean and variance-covariance matrix ${\Omega}$. Hence, the sign and value of correlation coefficients means the relationship between two alternatives(Manchanda et al., 1999). This research uses the data of 'TEMEP Household ICT/Energy Survey (THIES) 2008' which is conducted by Technology Management, Economics and Policy Program in Seoul National University. The empirical analysis of this research is accomplished in two steps. First, a MVP model with demographic variables is estimated to analyze the effect of the characteristics of household on the purchase of each home appliances. In this research, some variables such as education level, region, size of family, average income, type of house are considered. Second, a MVP model excluding demographic variables is estimated to analyze the correlation among each home appliances. According to the estimation results of variance-covariance matrix, each households tend to own some appliances such as washing machine-refrigerator-cleaner-microwave oven, and air conditioner-dish washer-washing machine and so on. On the other hand, several products such as analog braun tube TV-digital braun tube TV and desktop PC-portable PC show a substitutive pattern. Lastly, the correlation map of home appliances are derived using multi-dimensional scaling(MDS) method based on the result of variance-covariance matrix. This research can provide significant implications for the firm's marketing strategies such as bundling, pricing, display and so on. In addition, this research can provide significant information for the development of convergence products and related technologies. A convergence product can decrease its market uncertainty, if two products which consumers tend to purchase together are integrated into it. The results of this research are more meaningful because it is based on the possession status of each household through the survey data.

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모바일 앱 사용에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구: 앱 카테고리 간 상관관계를 중심으로 (Determinants of Mobile Application Use: A Study Focused on the Correlation between Application Categories)

  • 박상규;이동원
    • 지능정보연구
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.157-176
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    • 2016
  • 스마트폰, 태블릿PC와 같은 모바일 기기의 확산과 더불어 앱의 보급도 크게 늘어나면서 우리 일상의 다양한 분야에서 활용되고 있다. 게임, 생활, 엔터테인먼트, 정보, 전자상거래 등 다양한 종류의 수많은 앱이 생겨나고 있으나, 그들 중 대부분이 사용자의 구매 선택조차 받지 못하고 있으며, 구매가 이루어진 이후에도 많은 수는 오랫동안 사용되지 않고 외면당하고 있다. 사용자가 앱을 선택하고 사용하는 데에 영향을 미치는 요인을 찾는 연구는 사용자에게 적합한 앱을 선별적으로 추천하는 데에 활용됨으로써 마케팅 효과를 높일 수 있다는 점에서 앱 개발자나 배포자 및 사용자 모두에게 기여하는 실무적 가치가 크다고 할 수 있을 것이다. 이런 관점에서, 본 연구는 앱의 사용에 영향을 미치는 요인이 앱 유형별로 어떻게 달라지는지를 파악하려는 목적에서 수행되었다. 앱 사용에 영향을 미치는 요인으로서 사용자의 인구통계학적 특성뿐만 아니라 사용자가 앱을 구매하고 사용한 경험, 구매 시 참고한 앱에 대한 객관적 평가인 별점, 마케팅의 수단으로서 상품의 소개 화면에 노출되는 배지(Badge)의 영향을 살펴보았다. 사용자의 앱 선택에 영향을 미치는 요인에 대한 기존 연구들은 대부분 설문에 대한 응답 결과를 분석에 사용함으로써 사용기록이 정확히 반영하지 못하는 한계점을 갖는 반면, 본 연구는 특정한 기간 동안 사용자의 실제 사용기록 전체를 측정하고 수집하여, 이 데이터를 기반으로 분석을 실시했다는 점에서 큰 의의를 갖는다고 할 수 있다. 사용자가 자신의 모바일 기기에 설치된 다양한 앱을 설치해놓고 이들 중 자신의 필요에 적합한 것을 선택하여 사용하게 되는데, 이 선택에 영향을 미치는 요인이 카테고리 별로 다를 것이라는 점을 고려하여, 다변량 프로빗 모형을 활용하여 분석을 실시하였다. 분석결과로 앱 사용에 영향을 미치는 요인이 앱 카테고리 별로 달라지는 것과 앱 카테고리 선택 간의 상관관계를 제시하였으며, 사용자의 앱사용 목적에 따라 쾌락성(Hedonic)과 실용성(Utilitarian)으로 구분지어 설명하였다.

민간의료보험 가입이 의료이용에 미치는 영향 (Effects of Private Insurance on Medical Expenditure)

  • 윤희숙
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.99-128
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    • 2008
  • 민간보험은 공적보험과 보완적인 관계를 형성함에도 불구하고 우리나라의 민간보험은 소득계층에 따른 접근성 차이로 인한 사회적 불평등, 도덕적 해이로 인한 공적보험 재정악화 등의 우려를 낳고 있다. 그러나 이에 관한 실증적 분석은 그간 이루어지지 못하여 정책적인 방향을 정립하는 데 장애가 되어 왔다. 본 연구는 건강보험공단, 심사평가원, 민간보험사, 행정자치부 주민등록세대정보 등의 관련 정보를 종합하여 이에 대한 실증분석을 시도했다. 그 결과, 우리나라의 민간보험 가입률은 전 국민의 64%에 달하고 있으며, 고소득층과 저소득층 간에 민간보험 가입률의 차이가 나타나지 않았다. 이는 공적보험의 보장성이 미흡한 상황에서 저소득층 역시 갑작스런 의료지출에 대비하고 있으며, 민간보험이 의료접근성의 계층화를 초래하지 않고 있다는 것을 시사한다. 또한 민간보험 가입자는 평균적으로 미가입자에 비해 의료이용량이 높지 않았으며, Two-Part Model을 통해 다양한 변수를 통제했을 경우에도 동일한 결과가 나타났다. 연령대에 따른 차이로 미루어 이러한 결과는 노동시장과 연관된 한시적인 성격일 것으로 추측되나, 현재로서는 민간보험 가입에 따른 도덕적 해이가 강하게 나타나고 있다는 근거는 발견되지 않았다.

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