• Ocean and Polar Research
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• v.34 no.2
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• pp.185-195
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• 2012

This paper focused on forecasting a short-term production of oysters, which have been farmed in Korea, with distinct periodicity of production by year, and different production level by month. To forecast a short-term oyster production, this paper uses monthly data (260 observations) from January 1990 to August 2011, and also adopts several econometrics methods, such as Multiple Regression Analysis Model (MRAM), Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) Model, and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). As a result, first, the amount of short-term oyster production forecasted by the multiple regression analysis model was 1,337 ton with prediction error of 246 ton. Secondly, the amount of oyster production of the SARIMA I and II models was forecasted as 12,423 ton and 12,442 ton with prediction error of 11,404 ton and 11,423 ton, respectively. Thirdly, the amount of oyster production based on the VECM was estimated as 10,425 ton with prediction errors of 9,406 ton. In conclusion, based on Theil inequality coefficient criterion, short-term prediction of oyster by the VECM exhibited a better fit than ones by the SARIMA I and II models and Multiple Regression Analysis Model.

• Journal of Welding and Joining
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• v.17 no.4
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• pp.85-92
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• 1999

In GMAW, the spatter is generated because of the variation of the arc state. If the arc state is quantitatively assessed, the control method to make the spatter be reduced is able to develop. This study was attempted to develop the optimal model that could estimate the arc state quantitatively. To do this, the generated spatters was captured under the limited welding conditions, and the waveforms of the arc voltage and of the welding current were collected. From the collected waveforms, the waveform factors and their standard deviations were produced, and the linear and non-linear regression models constituted using the factors and their standard deviations are proposed to estimate the arc state. the performance test to the proposed models was practiced. Obtained results are as follow. From the results of correlation analysis between the factors and the amount of the generated spatters, the standard deviations of the waveform factors have more the multiple regression coefficients than the waveform factors. Because the correlation coefficient between T and {TEX}$T_{a}${/TEX}, and s[T] and s[{TEX}$T_{a}${/TEX}] was nearly one, it was found that these factors have the same effect to the spatter generation. In the regression models to estimate the arc state, it was fond that the linear and the non linear models were also consisted of similar factors. In addition, the linear regression model was assessed the optimal model for estimating the arc state because the variance of data was narrow and multiple regression coefficient was highest among the models. But in the welding conditions which the amount of the generated spatters were small, it was found that the non linear regression model had better the estimation performance for the spatter generation than the linear.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.5 no.1
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• pp.19-28
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• 1976

In empirical study for fitting a multiple linear regression model for successive cross-sections data observed on the same set of independent variables over several time periods, one often faces the problem of poor $R^2$, the multiple coefficient of determination, which provides a standard measure of how good a specified regression line fits the sample data.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.3 no.2
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• pp.1-11
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• 1996

The detection of multiple outliers in nonlinear regression models can be computationally not feasible. As a compromise approach, we consider the use of simulated annealing algorithm, an approximate approach to combinatorial optimization. We show that this method ensures convergence and works well in locating multiple outliers while reducing computational time.

• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.30 no.6
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• pp.1005-1013
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• 2017

In this paper, we investigate the performances of time series models to forecast irradiance that consider weather variables such as temperature, humidity, cloud cover and Global Horizontal Irradiance. We first introduce the time series models and show that regression ARIMAX has the best performance with other models such as ARIMA and multiple regression models.

• Food Science and Biotechnology
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• v.14 no.2
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• pp.249-254
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• 2005

The relationship between Sigumjang gas chromatographic patterns precisely analyzed with capillary column and ranked order in sensory analysis was investigated by stepwise multiple regression analysis. Highly predictable multiple regression models were obtained in the analysis. Ninety percent of the Sigumjang aroma was explained by the regression models at step 15 in four transformation except for absolute value transformed with root square and relative value transformed with logarithm. The aroma of Sigumjang was most affected by 2,3-dimethylpyrazine at absolute value and absolute value transformed with logarithm and by 2-furancarboxaldehyde in other transformation. The quality of sigumjang was highly affected by ${\beta}$-phallendrenal, methylpyrazine, tetramethylpyrazine, 5-methyl-2-furancarboxaldehyde, unknown 2, octanoic acid, 4-ethylphenol, methyl 10,13-octadecanoate and ethyl linoleate.

• Transactions of Materials Processing
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• v.11 no.5
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• pp.394-404
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• 2002

The drawbead model for a three-dimensional a finite element analysis of sheet metal forming processes is developed. The mathematical models of the basic drawbeads like circular drawbead, stepped drawbead, and squared drawbaed are first derived using the bending theory, belt-pulley equation, and Coulomb friction law. Next, the experiments for finding the drawing characteristics of the drawbead are performed. Based on mathematical models and drawing test results, expert models of basic drawbeads are then developed employing a linear multiple regression method. For the expert models of combined drawbeads such as the double circular drawbead, double stepped drawbead, circular-and-stepped drawbead, etc., those of the basic drawbeads are summed. Finally, in order to verify the expert models developed, the drawing characteristics calculated by the expert models of the double circular drawbead and circular-and-stepped drawbead are compared with those obtained from the experiments. The predictions by expert models agree well with the measurements by experiments.

• Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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• v.55 no.3
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• pp.229-243
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• 2022

The effects of monthly meteorological data measured at 11 stations in South Korea on pan coefficient were analyzed to develop the four types of multiple linear regression models for estimating pan coefficients. To evaluate the applicability of developed models, the models were compared with six previous models. Pan coefficients were most affected by air temperature for January, February, March, July, November and December, and by solar radiation for other months. On the whole, for 12 months of the year, the effects of wind speed and relative humidity on pan coefficient were less significant, compared with those of air temperature and solar radiation. For all meteorological stations and months, the model developed by applying 5 independent variables (wind speed, relative humidity, air temperature, ratio of sunshine duration and daylight duration, and solar radiation) for each station was the most effective for evaporation estimation. The model validation results indicate that the multiple linear regression models can be applied to some particular stations and months.

• Computers and Concrete
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• v.16 no.3
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• pp.399-414
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• 2015

Nowadays, fiber reinforced polymer (FRP) composites are widely used for rehabilitation, repair and strengthening of reinforced concrete (RC) structures. Also, recent advances in concrete technology have led to the production of high strength concrete, HSC. Such concrete due to its very high compression strength is less ductile; so in seismic areas, ductility is an important factor in design of HSC members (especially FRP strengthened members) under flexure. In this study, the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and multiple regression analysis are used to predict the curvature ductility factor of FRP strengthened reinforced HSC (RHSC) beams. Also, the effects of concrete strength, steel reinforcement ratio and externally reinforcement (FRP) stiffness on the complete moment-curvature behavior and the curvature ductility factor of the FRP strengthened RHSC beams are evaluated using the analytical approach. Results indicate that the predictions of ANFIS and multiple regression models for the curvature ductility factor are accurate to within -0.22% and 1.87% error for practical applications respectively. Finally, the effects of height to wide ratio (h/b) of the cross section on the proposed models are investigated.

• Journal of Korea Artificial Intelligence Association
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• v.1 no.1
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• pp.11-16
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• 2023

Accurate hospital case modeling and prediction are crucial for efficient healthcare. In this study, we demonstrate the implementation of regression analysis methods in machine learning systems utilizing mathematical statics and machine learning techniques. The developed machine learning model includes Bayesian linear, artificial neural network, decision tree, decision forest, and linear regression analysis models. Through the application of these algorithms, corresponding regression models were constructed and analyzed. The results suggest the potential of leveraging machine learning systems for medical research. The experiment aimed to create an Azure Machine Learning Studio tool for the speedy evaluation of multiple regression models. The tool faciliates the comparision of 5 types of regression models in a unified experiment and presents assessment results with performance metrics. Evaluation of regression machine learning models highlighted the advantages of boosted decision tree regression, and decision forest regression in hospital case prediction. These findings could lay the groundwork for the deliberate development of new directions in medical data processing and decision making. Furthermore, potential avenues for future research may include exploring methods such as clustering, classification, and anomaly detection in healthcare systems.