• 제목/요약/키워드: Multiple regression model

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Bayesian 다중회귀분석을 이용한 저수량(Low flow) 지역 빈도분석 (Regional Low Flow Frequency Analysis Using Bayesian Multiple Regression)

  • 김상욱;이길성
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제41권3호
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    • pp.325-340
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    • 2008
  • 본 연구는 저수량 지역 빈도분석(regional low flow frequency analysis)을 수행하기 위하여 일반최소자승법(ordinary least squares method)을 이용한 Bayesian 다중회귀분석을 적용하였으며, 불확실성측면에서의 효과를 탐색하기 위하여 Bayesian 다중회귀분석에 의한 추정치와 t 분포를 이용하여 산정한 일반 다중회귀분석의 추정치의 신뢰구간을 비교분석하였다. 각 재현기간별 비교결과를 보면 t 분포를 이용하여 산정된 평균 추정치와 Bayesian 다중회귀분석에 의한 평균 추정치는 크게 다르지 않았다. 그러나 불확실성 측면에서 평가해볼 때 신뢰구간의 상한추정치와 하한추정치의 차이는 Bayesian 다중회귀분석을 사용한 경우가 기존 방법을 사용한 경우보다 훨씬 작은 것으로 나타났으며, 이로부터 저수량(low flow) 지역 빈도분석을 수행하는 경우 Bayesian 다중회귀분석이 일반 회귀분석보다 불확실성을 표현하는데 있어서 우수하다는 결과를 얻을 수 있었다. 또한 낙동강 유역에 2개의 미계측 유역을 선정하고 구축된 Bayesian 다중회귀모형을 적용하여 불확실성을 포함한 미계측 유역에서의 저수량(low flow)을 추정하였으며 이와 같은 방법이 미계측 유역에서의 저수(low flow) 특성을 나타내는 데 있어서 효과적일 수 있음을 입증하였다.

서울형 포장설계식 개선 및 검증 (Improvement and Validation of an Overlay Design Equation in Seoul)

  • 김원재;박창규;트란 타이 손;르반 푹;이현종
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제19권5호
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    • pp.49-58
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    • 2017
  • PURPOSES : The objective of this study is to develop a simple regression model in designing the asphalt concrete (AC) overlay thickness using the Mechanistic-empirical pavement design guide (MEPDG) program. METHODS : To establish the AC overlay design equation, multiple regression analyses were performed based on the synthetic database for AC thickness design, which was generated using the MEPDG program. The climate in Seoul city, a modified Hirsh model for determining dynamic modulus of asphalt material, and a new damaged master curve approach were used in this study. Meanwhile, the proposed rutting model developed in Seoul city was then used to calibrate the rutting model in the MEPDG program. The AC overlay design equation is a function of the total AC thickness, the ratio of AC overlay thickness and existing AC thickness, the ratio of existing AC modulus and AC overlay modulus, the subgrade condition, and the annual average daily truck traffic (AADTT). RESULTS : The regression model was verified by comparing the predicted AC thickness, the AADTT from the model and the MEPDG. The regression model shows a correlation coefficient of 0.98 in determining the AC thickness and 0.97 in determining AADTT. In addition, the data in Seoul city was used to validate the regression model. The result shows that correlation coefficient between the predicted and measured AADTT is 0.64. This indicates that the current model is more accuracy than the previous study which showed a correlation coefficient of 0.427. CONCLUSIONS:The high correlation coefficient values indicate that the regression equations can predict the AC thickness accurately.

An Animated Plot of Locally Linear Approximation Method

  • Seo, Han-Son
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.77-84
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    • 1998
  • ARES plot (Cook and Weisberg, 1987) idea is applied to a multiple regression model in which the relation between a response variable and some independent variable is nonlinear. This method is expected to show the impact on the function to which and independent variable should be transformed, as a variable is smoothly added to the model.

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정성변수를 고려한 공공아파트 기획단계 공사비 예측모델 (Cost Prediction Model using Qualitative Variables focused on Planning Phase for Public Multi-Housing Projects)

  • 지성민;현창택;문현석
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.91-101
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    • 2012
  • 공공아파트 프로젝트의 기획단계에서 수행되는 적정 공사비 예측은 기획부터 유지관리까지 전(全) 단계에 걸쳐서 영향을 미치게 되므로 명확한 예측기준 및 방법이 제시되어야 한다. 그러나 현재까지 다양한 다중회귀모델을 활용한 공사비 예측 방법이 개발되어 왔으나, 정성변수를 포함하여 공사비를 예측하는 방법에 대한 연구는 부족한 상황이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 기획단계 활용을 위한 정성변수를 포함하는 공사비 예측모델을 개발하고자 하였다. 이를 위하여 공사비 영향요인을 분석 및 추출하고, 회귀분석을 위한 독립변수를 선정하였다. 그리고 정성변수를 포함하는 공사비 예측모델을 개발하며 사례적용을 통한 검증을 실시하였다. 개발된 공사비 예측모델과 "RESAMPLING 기법"을 사용하여 구조형식별 공사비 가산비율을 제시하였다. 본 연구에서 제시한 더미회귀모델과 가산비율을 활용하면, 일반적인 공사비 예측과 함께 동일한 평형, 세대수, 연면적에서 평면형식과 구조형식을 변경시켰을 때의 공사비 예측이 가능할 것으로 기대된다.

국내 하천 형상을 반영한 SWAT 모형 내 하천폭 및 홍수터폭 산정 회귀식 도출 (Derivation of Channel and Floodplain Width Regression Reflecting Korean Channel Shapes in SWAT Model)

  • 이현구;한정호;이동준;임경재;김종건
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제61권4호
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    • pp.33-42
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    • 2019
  • In this study, the channel and floodplain widths are indirectly measured for three different watersheds using satellite images to reflect the shape of Korean channels in the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model. For measuring the channel and floodplain widths, multiple satellite images were referred to ensure the widest width of certain points. In the single channel, the widths at the multiple points were measured. Based on the measured data, the regression equations were derived to estimate the channel and floodplain widths according to watershed areas. Applying these developed equations, this study evaluated the effect of the change of channel and floodplain widths on the SWAT simulation by comparing to the measured streamflow data. The developed equations estimated larger channel width and smaller floodplain compared with those calculated in the current SWAT model. As shown in the results, there was no considerable changes in the predicted streamflow using the current and developed equations. However, the flow velocity and channel depth calculated from the developed equations were smaller than those of the current equations. The differences were caused by the effect of different channel geometries used for calculating the hydraulic characteristics. The channel geometries also affected the water quality simulation in channels because the hydraulic characteristics calculated by the channel geometries are directly related to the water quality simulation. Therefore, application of the river cross-sectional regression equation reflecting the domestic stream shape is necessary for accurate water quantity / quality and water ecosystem simulation using hydrological model.

Seismic damage vulnerability of empirical composite material structure of adobe and timber

  • Si-Qi Li
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • 제25권6호
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    • pp.429-442
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    • 2023
  • To study the seismic vulnerability of the composite material structure of adobe and timber, we collected and statistically analysed empirical observation samples of 542,214,937 m2 and 467,177 buildings that were significantly impacted during the 179 earthquakes that occurred in mainland China from 1976 to 2010. In multi-intensity regions, combined with numerical analysis and a probability model, a non-linear continuous regression model of the vulnerability, considering the empirical seismic damage area (number of buildings) and the ratio of seismic damage, was established. Moreover, a probability matrix model of the empirical seismic damage mean value was provided. Considering the coupling effect of the annual and seismic fortification factors, an empirical seismic vulnerability curve model was constructed in the multiple-intensity regions. A probability matrix model of the mean vulnerability index (MVI) was proposed, and was validated through the above-mentioned reconnaissance sample data. A matrix model of the MVI of the regions (19 provinces in mainland China) based on the parameter (MVI) was established.

회귀분석에 의한 $Si_3N_4$세라믹 절삭공구의 공구수명 추정 (Estimation of Tool life by Simple & Multiple Linear Regression Analysis of $Si_3N_4$ Ceramic Cutting Tools)

  • 안영진;권원태;김영욱
    • 한국공작기계학회논문집
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    • 제13권4호
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    • pp.23-29
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    • 2004
  • In this study, four kinds of $Si_3N_4$-based ceramic cutting tools with different sintering time were fabricated to investigate the relation among mechanical properties, grain size and tool life. They were used to turn gray cast iron at a cutting speed of 330m/min and depth of cut of 0.5mm and 1mm in dry, continuos cutting conditions. Multiple linear regression model was used to determine the relations among the mechanical property, grain size and the density. It was found that the combination of hardness and fracture toughness showed a good relation with tool life. It was also shown that hardness was the most important single element for the tool life.

여행비용접근법을 통한 대구 우방타워랜드의 편익가치 측정 (Estimation of Users대 Benefit Value for Woobang Tower Land in Taegu Using Travel Cost Method)

  • 김수봉;심애경;권기찬
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.173-178
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    • 2001
  • The aim of this paper is to evaluate users benefit values of theme park using Travel Cost Method with special reference to Woobang Tower Land in Taegu for the estimation of economic values. This research is mainly based on questionnaire survey of 100 users of the theme park. Socio-economic factors such as income, year of education, annual income, age and money(travel cost) are analysed from 5 residential areas of the respondents. Multiple regression analysis was used for the evaluation of annual number of park visitings based on the analysis. The regression model shows NV = $\alpha$+$\beta_1$TC+$\beta_2$INC+$\beta_3$EDU+$\beta_4$AGE (NV : Annual Number of Visitings, TC : Travel Cost, INC : Annual Income, EDU : Years of Education, AGE : Age). Regarding to visitors demand curve based on the equation showed that annual economic values of Woobang Tower Land was estimated as 50billion Korean Won.

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커피전문점에서 전환장벽을 고려한 고객만족과 충성의 관계 (Moderating effect Switching Barrier on Coffee-shop customer Satisfaction and Loyalty)

  • 김판수;한장협
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한안전경영과학회 2011년도 추계학술대회
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    • pp.683-694
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    • 2011
  • This study analysed impact of service quality on customer satisfaction and loyalty in the take-out coffee shop. The switching barrier was also studied as a moderating effect. Particularly, this study focused on relationships between customer loyalty and switching barriers. A lot of previous studies interest only in customers satisfaction. This study also analysed relationships among service quality, customer satisfaction, switching barriers and brand loyalty. Eventually, service quality significantly affects customer satisfaction, moderating effects, brand loyalty and marketing performance. SERVQUAL model which was established by PZB (1988) was used as a service quality factors. The impact on customer satisfaction was analysed using multiple regression analysis. Simple regression analysis was used to find effects of customer satisfaction and customer loyalty. Additional factors of switching barriers was classified based on previous studies. Hierarchical multiple regression analysis was used to find factors of customer loyalty among switching barriers. In the result, we can find that the importance of tangibles, responsiveness in service quality factors and contract cost, search cost and continuous cost in moderating effects.

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Statistical micro matching using a multinomial logistic regression model for categorical data

  • Kim, Kangmin;Park, Mingue
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제26권5호
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    • pp.507-517
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    • 2019
  • Statistical matching is a method of combining multiple sources of data that are extracted or surveyed from the same population. It can be used in situation when variables of interest are not jointly observed. It is a low-cost way to expect high-effects in terms of being able to create synthetic data using existing sources. In this paper, we propose the several statistical micro matching methods using a multinomial logistic regression model when all variables of interest are categorical or categorized ones, which is common in sample survey. Under conditional independence assumption (CIA), a mixed statistical matching method, which is useful when auxiliary information is not available, is proposed. We also propose a statistical matching method with auxiliary information that reduces the bias of the conventional matching methods suggested under CIA. Through a simulation study, proposed micro matching methods and conventional ones are compared. Simulation study shows that suggested matching methods outperform the existing ones especially when CIA does not hold.